Should I investigate a back door Roth? In the past 2 years, I have contributed $120k to a SEP-IRA. Because the market is down, it is worth $100k ($GOOG and $ADBE). Is my account being at a loss advantageous for switching to a Roth?

Last week I wanted to do puts on adbe and fdx did calls instead and it worked out so hoping for same thing this time around. If it doesn’t work it’s my last play until April…

NVDA, MSFT, AMD, ADBE, NFLX, GOOG this is my opinion.

Can somebody explain why AMD, NVDA, Microsoft and Google were all green today, but almost everything else was red?

(yes, a few others like TSM, QCOM, ADBE, ASML and MU also green)

Bonus Question: What's going on with semiconductors lately? Everybody super bullish on semis?

Took adbe call profits and put them into these.

Started off with sqqq calls, player earnings perfectly- jd puts them docu puts last week and then this week adbe calls and today fdx calls. Yesterday I had calls on everything, 6k gain yesterday and 4K gain today

Adbe opened at 348 went down to 342 then ended at 355 so yeah who knows

Bro a week ago I commented fdx and adbe will good plays this week! Lfg

Funny thing is a week ago in the earnings thread I said we can make money off adbe and fdx and it looks like I’ll be making a good 3-4K from them

Xpev and fdx calls. Today was adbe calls

Adbe calls and shares was 1k profit at open. Then I bought spy, amzn, tsla, fdx calls- some for tomorrow some for next week

Thank adbe for being a good company and now Fdx has to do the same thing for tomorrow to be a Green Day

I want to thank adbe for having killer earnings for this day

QQQ was 300.54 after hours after ADBE earnings. The buyer probably bought that 299C for a few cents before the close for a lotto play, and could have made around $1 profit, even if they didn't catch the whole 1.54 move AH.

Adbe is up 17.38 I’m like hey what’s up hello

I asked my mom if FedEx is a good company, she said yes, so I’m putting my adbe profits into fdx calls easy

PA user here. Specific to ADBE. Data from 2019 to 2023 (In this case the past 16 earnings events)

Finished today 5.1 gonna wake up to atleast 6k since I have 2k in adbe calls

Any guesses what adbe opens up at? I’m dreaming of 360 then I can post some gain porn for once

Locked and loaded spx, adbe, and tsla calls

This has been a nice vacation, I swear every time I take off from work I make money in the market… $700 to 6k+ as long as adbe opens up where it’s at or higher

Adbe mooned now xpev’s turn in the morning

Part of me just wants to hold adbe stock forever. Other part wants me to sell and go all in on FedEx calls 🤔

Idk man adbe’s earnings were killer

I didn’t FOMO into $ADBE and I’m gonna long $ROPE

No adbe fans? 🚀 Big tech!

if adbe opens up at 360 I'll make $5k :)

cashing my ADBE 332.5 3/17 calls for 🤑🤑🤑

Those earnings are fr ADBE? No Photoshop?

13% yoy growth for adbe holy smokes, if adbe doesn't go to 400 i'll be suprised

ADBE just used Photoshop. It’s highly effective!

Would you guys mind posting incessantly about ADBE once their earnings drops so I don’t have to check if?

So glad I noped out of ADBE Puts to double down on Lennar Puts.

ADBE is about to hit ath

Told ya Adbe calls

Are my ADBE calls safe?

Bruh wtf Robinhood just fucked with me so bad it said adbe went back to 333 for a second wtf as that

I haven't realized any loses. My worst 3 performing stocks in my portfolio are ADBE (-32%), AMZN (-30%) and GOOGL (-25%) and I refuse to realize any loss. I don't need the invested money in any case.

Kind of concerning for my ADBE Iron Condor. Maybe this stock will get smacked down tomorrow

$ADBE just photoshopped J Powell photo into new $500 bill and start printing 💸

Bye bye my five calls also adbe will fade by open also killing my calls

$ADBE Q1

EPS $3.80 Beats $3.68 Estimate,

Sales $4.66B Beat $4.62B Estimate

Looks to be up 4.31% AHs

Hey ADBE don't move too much. I need to get paid on my Iron Condor

Adbe calls

ADBE could drop about 30% tonight and that'd be fine, just fine

ADBE = adobe

If you don’t have adbe calls you’re not black

ADBE puts and watch it literally destroy the entire market tonight after they report earnings

Need adbe to go to 400 and bring spy with it

Same with me adbe calls

A sidenote... what I'm doing is buying OTM calls in the stocks I like such as HSY and ADBE and then the vast majority of my money is in cash. There is of course the risk of the option expiring worthless, but I expect the market to move enough in the time that I'm holding the option that I can buy some shares in the open market and ultimately save the amount that I spent on the premium.

Can you clarify if the graph is specifically for ADBE, or is it a generic graph that just explains how realized relates to implied? If specifically for ADBE, how much historical data is it based on? Just the last ER or some average over some number of ERs?

ADBE calls or puts?

Might buy some OTM adbe FDs for earnings

My only hope is adbe going up like $100 then I can retire for the week

Do any of youz know when ADBE earnings report drop?

!banbet adbe +2% 1d

Anybody in here know what the speculation is for ADBE earnings? I'm seeing they're estimating a share price increase to 3.68 but I need more sources.

Earnings coming out for ADBE.

Adbe will push spy to 400 with good earnings, I believe

I told some adbe call yesterday, hope they bought at 325 it’s now at 335

Hd, wmt, amzn, apple, goog, Msft, Costco, adbe. Ko, oxy

5k in adbe shares and 2k in calls along with couple spy 400s 3/17. I guess it’s just time to go do other stuff

All in chicken adbe

ADBE calls

#Ban Bet Won

/u/MarcoPolooooo made a bet that ADBE would go to 337.29 within 2 days when it was 327.46 and it did, congrats you fuckin nerd.

Their record is now 7 wins and 12 losses

Ban Bet Created: /u/MarcoPolooooo bet ADBE goes from 327.46 to 337.29 before 15-Mar-2023 03:04 PM EDT

Their record is 6 wins and 12 losses.

!banbet adbe +3% 2d

My plays this week:

Zim calls GTLB puts ADBE calls (only because it tanked recently and I think they’ll pull some magic fuckery) DG calls

Sept last year I bought a pretty fair amount of ADBE puts for ER. That’s when they announced their Figma deal. Stock dropped like a brick. I closed within minutes of the opening bell but woulda been serious cash if I had held for an couple hours. Still, made a solid dollar.

https://i.imgur.com/8yYvz5F.png

AVERAGE EARNINGS MOVE | LAST MOVE | IMPLIED MOVE FROM ATM OPTIONS PRICING

2023-03-13

$LPSN | LivePerson Inc: 15.04% | 3.8% | 18.42%

$ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd: 9.93% | 4.66% | 14.01%

$MTN | Vail Resorts Inc: 6.39% | 6.03% | 20.56%

2023-03-14

$LEN | Lennar Corp: 6.64% | 5.48% | 6.6%

$STNE | StoneCo Ltd: 16.94% | 20.62% | 16.47%

2023-03-15

$PD | PagerDuty Inc: 12.6% | 10.53% | 22.85%

$FIVE | Five Below Inc: 8.1% | 21.19% | 7.74%

$FNV | Franco Nevada Corp: 4.49% | 9.73% | 4.38%

$AMRS | Amyris Inc: 18.66% | 42.17% | 27.27%

$ADBE | Adobe Inc: 5.58% | 9.21% | 6.98% 2023-03-16

$SIG | Signet Jewelers Ltd: 13.81% | 22.88% | 10.64%

$ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc: 11.45% | 15.67% | 8.82%

$DG | Dollar General Corporation: 6.57% | 5.01% | 4.6%

$FDX | FedEx Corp: 6.32% | 3.41% | 6.4%

$BEKE | KE Holdings Inc: 15.36% | 16.34% | 10.34%

$WSM | Williams Sonoma: 8.48% | 4.3% | 9.59%

$JBL | Jabil Inc: 7.02% | 4.1% | 6.08%

2023-03-17

$AQN | Algonquin Power: 3.57% | 19.55% | 11.52%

My Robinhood acct is where I make risky investments with crypto. I had only contributed $300 and got lucky to quadruple what I have. I don't have any plans to contribute more to my Robinhood but my risk tolerance is high, and I'm okay losing everything except the $300 I had originally contributed... But obviously I want to try to continue to grow it.

Otherwise, my Roth is invested in relatively safe EFTs like SPY, VUG, VGT, QQQ, SPYD, etc. And a few individual stocks like AAPL, ADBE, Costco, Target, Visa, etc.

I cannot speak for the quality of each company but I can provide you with a calculation of fair value and its historical financials charted over 20+ years.

$ADBE https://jmp.sh/ERdpOwlH

• crazy growth in the last few years, came back down recently

$HSY https://www.icloud.com/iclouddrive/0d702TQARhiYj9jU_HMbwcG6Q#hersheys

• incredible ROE and ROIC, but also weak balance sheet for that reason

$LOGI https://www.icloud.com/iclouddrive/01baGaR6-YukbWZZDHYB1qQ9Q#logitech

• about averagely priced based on P/S and P/E alone, OK ish priced atm I would say
• decent ROE and ROIC

I’ve been running pretty well swing trading, check out my posts, I share my plays.. Coming off a huge $ADBE weekly call, good luck!

I got BABA 3/10 $93C so I hope you get a nice pop next week! I’ve been running pretty well on my swing trades, check out my posts! Sold my ADBE and BA calls today :).. Good luck!

In one of my portfolios I've got super safe ETF's and then my IRA has these:

ADBE

HSY

LOGI

NCBDY

I've really been thinking about adding MNST but haven't bought any yet.

$LLY 3/10 322.50 C.. Wish you asked me yesterday, posted my swing for $ADBE 3/17 $345C +70% in a day

Thanks. Seems pretty growthy relative to a VTI? Getting the non growth allocation without dividend income is the tricky part.

I am 26, so I have several decades until retirement. My goal is to hold the stocks in my portfolio perpetually, though I'm not reserved to make adjustments and sell when a) I see an opportunity to take profits b) my thesis changes. My long term goal is passive income generation, though I don't chase yields. I don't pay much attention to valuation or macro, as I think that since I plan on holding these stocks for decades while buying every month, those don't matter to me much. I invest regularly every month, so I'm okay with buying at a higher valuation at times and lower valuation at other times. In my opinion, buying at the best possible time is more difficult than buying a good company. That said, if I see an undervalued stock I like, I don't hesitate to buy more and when I make my regular contributions, I try weigh towards stocks that might have been beaten down or seem undervalued. My last review in one of these was Dec 2021. Since then, I have made some adjustments, mostly by researching new companies and updating what I focus on when doing my analysis. I am pretty comfortable with my current portfolio and can see myself holding any of these companies for decades (that surely won't be the case, but I'm okay with that; not all of these will be good investments, but most of them should, I think).

My goal is not doing 50% in a year or buying low and selling high. My goal is to outperform the index modestly, at maybe 2-3% annually, which would compound very nicely over decades. I'm okay with the risk that I underperform at a modest rate. I want to avoid making drastic changes to my portfolio depending on macro environment.

I like stocks that are quality companies with:

• A sustainable business model - high cash flow generation, high ROIC / ROCE, good balance sheet. Bonus points for recurring, diversified revenue, and optionality.
• Business model and products I understand, or at least understand their value. I don't think I'll ever understand ASML's machines, but I understand why it's one of a kind company.
• A wide moat. Bonus points are for brand value, network effect, IP, barriers to entry / high switching costs, supply chain, etc. I am okay with paying a high multiple for a company that cannot be replicated by throwing money at the problem. Almost every company I own scores very high in this regard in my own checklist.
• High margins. I focus mostly on gross margin, but consider other margin metrics, too.
• Sustainable buybacks and dividend growth.
• Great management.

Not every company I own scores high in each of these, but together they fit my investment goals very well.

I used to have an allocation for growth in my portfolio, but overtime, I have decided to fully target quality companies and compounders with a great track record. I realized that it is never too late to buy into a company once it becomes profitable and sustainable. And if I miss a few 10-baggers because of restraint from unprofitable companies, I'll be okay with that.

My current allocation is 96% equity, with the rest being a single commodity holding - a carbon allowance ETF (CARB on BIT)

Of the 96% equity, 1/3 (32%) is in diversified ETFs:

| Name | Target allocation | |--------------------------|----------------------:| | MSCI World | 24,0% | | MSCI World Small Cap | 4,0% | | MSCI EM IMI | 4,0% |

The other 2/3s are stocks, structured as following, ordered by my target weight (descending):

| Name | Ticker | Target allocation | |---------------------------------|:----------:|----------------------:| | Microsoft | MSFT | 6,00% | | Apple | AAPL | 5,50% | | ASML Holding | ASML | 5,50% | | Brookfield Corporation | BN | 4,00% | | Costco | COST | 4,00% | | MasterCard | MA | 4,00% | | Novo Nordisk | NVO | 4,00% | | Ulta Beauty | ULTA | 4,00% | | Visa | V | 4,00% | | Alphabet | GOOG | 4,00% | | Johnson and Johnson | JNJ | 3,00% | | Home Depot | HD | 3,00% | | Lockheed Martin | LMT | 3,00% | | Union Pacific | UNP | 3,00% | | Intuitive Surgical | ISRG | 2,50% | | Adobe | ADBE | 2,50% | | Brookfield Asset Management | BAM | 2,00% |

ADBE and HSY

That bul trap eod yesterday was nasty. Good thing I didn’t fall for it and bought puts on adbe. My only regret, not buying more and not going deep otm. Press f for bol. #F.

If you read the details of the case they say ADBE tried to buy Figma in 2020 and 2021 too. Figma just didn't give in until 2022 with the general market falling Adobe looks desperate for this to close and is probably in trouble if it doesn't.

Mostly tech stocks for me because that's what I understand.

AAPL - https://www.stockbruh.com/#/view-profile/AAPL

NVDA - https://www.stockbruh.com/#/view-profile/NVDA

MSFT - https://www.stockbruh.com/#/view-profile/MSFT

TXN - https://www.stockbruh.com/#/view-profile/TXN

ADBE - https://www.stockbruh.com/#/view-profile/ADBE

ADBE: falls on acq of Figma

Also ADBE: falls on failure to acquire Figma

Going against the grain of what's been posted so far, I think this is bad for ADBE, especially if the DOJ wins and blocks the deal.

ADBE paid so much for Figma for one reason, Figma is the only viable competitor to Adobe's products, and it was picking up steam. There were articles just a few months before the purchase about how employees at big tech firms like Microsoft preferred Figma products to Adobe products, and how Figma was growing rapidly as an Adobe alternative. A lot of fans of Figma were extremely disappointed by the news of the acquisition because they don't like Adobe and think they've stopped innovating.

This is exactly why Adobe paid such a steep premium for Figma, they're buying up their biggest competitive threat, and with the growth Figma was having Adobe would never have gotten them to agree to sell by offering a lower number close to "fair value" based on their present earnings.

ADBE instantly dropped 15% on the news that that we’re buying Figma for 20b. Now it drops 5% on the news that they aren’t buying Figma 🤣

ADBE down on buying figma now down on maybe not buying 😢

Adbe goes down on figma news adbe goes down on news gov gonna try and block it...

Lol ADBE Figma deal BLOCKED. stock down 4%

I'll just end up bagging it for years like I am with ADBE

Result of TSLA, ADBE, MSFT, MRNA, NFLX option trading last year.

INTC isn't a growth stock, its a shit stock.

I'm talking MSFT, ADBE, NVDA, CRM went up like 60% since Jan. too fast too soon, gonna implode i agree with the article.

Early assignment is rare, but this is what selling a credit spread if for as you have the long leg to help cover the share assignment.

If the short leg is exercised early and you are assigned the shares then the long leg can be closed to help with closing the share position for about the max loss amount of the spread.

If assigned 100 shares of ADBE then the next day you could close the long leg to collect its value (which should have risen since the stock moved up) and the proceeds used to help offset part of the loss from selling the shares.

Again, this is the main purpose of a risk defined credit spread strategy. Just don't let credit spreads expire as this long leg coverage will be lost as u/Arcite1 correctly points out . . .

What if it happens before expiration? For example, what happens if the underlying becomes ITM in after hours trading, but it still OTM from the long leg? It sounds like I would be assigned and therefore be required to buy 100 shares of ADBE, right?

What happens when a credit spread expires between the short and long legs?

I sold a bull put spread with an expiration date of 2/24 in which I sold the ADBE $355 Put and bought the ADBE $350 put.

What happens if this option goes ITM on the short leg but OTM on the long leg? Am I required to buy 100 shares of ADBE without the option of exercising my long leg? In this case, if the underlying goes down to $353, for example.

>If you dollar cost average that $150,000 over that time, the ROI would be much less.

Why are you shifting the goal posts?

>However, I bet putting money in MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, WMT, GOOG, ADBE, NVDA, TSLA, etc. today will yield > 3x in 15 years.

Take a look at the S&P 500 leaders and the midfield from the 2000s. Companies rise and fall all the time. Buying the S&P 500 is predominantly buying those companies anyway, but with flexibility to also capture gains from companies not on your radar yet and hedge against a giant losing their edge.

No kidding.

Poor example even for the S&P.

If you dollar cost average $150,000 over that time, the ROI would be much less.

If we're making stuff up, why not visualize April 2009 to 2023?

How about April 2022 to now?

In 2013, the market was just starting a bull run to account for a lost decade and inflation.

No different in 15 years. The market (S&P) will be 3x from here due to inflation. However, I bet putting money in MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, ADBE, NVDA, TSLA, etc. today will yield > 3x in 15 years.

Not 100% true.

The index is only good to keep up with inflation.

If you dollar cost average that $150,000 over that time, the ROI would be much less.

No different in 15 years. The market (S&P) will be 3x from here due to inflation. However, I bet putting money in MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, ADBE, NVDA, TSLA, etc. today will yield > 3x in 15 years.

Poor example.

If you dollar cost average that $150,000 in, the ROI would be much less.

If we're making stuff up, why not visualize April 2009 to 2023?

How about April 2022 to now?

In 2013, the market was just starting a bull run too account for a lost decade and inflation.

No different in 15 years. The market (S&P) will be 3x from here due to inflation. However, I bet putting money in MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, ADBE, NVDA, TSLA, etc. today will yield > 3x in 15 years.

looks at my ADBE position. ;(