I'm playing cooper. Like any mine... permitting is byzantine. My approach is from a EV standpoint. Something like 170 lbs of copper go into an electric car.

I'll wait and collect some great divvy's.

FCX, BHP

Im not an expert, but I have been researching a bit. I believe in a recent conference call one CEO (possibly FCX) mentioned 10 years to bring a new mine fully online.

DO you mean 27C for FCX?

Thank you and understood re: standing aside for FCX. I think you said this is based on pricing from 6:30pm of the prior trading day.

I did. Thank you for flagging.

Also suggesting to stand aside on FCX as it gapped down already unless it somehow rises above yesterday's high.

@ u/hardyrekshin - I'm not seeing a 77 call option for FCX. Did you mean 27C?

Tickers of Interest - TL;DR

Gamma Max Cross

• MRO 11/18 26P for $1.65 or less
• HL 11/18 4P for $0.20 or less
• SPXS 11/18 25C for $2.55 or less
• GH 11/18 55P for $6.90 or less
• FAS 11/18 60P for $5.00 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• GDX 11/18 25P for $1.00 or less
• FCX 11/18 77C for $2.45 or less
• RIG 11/18 3C for $0.30 or less
• COIN 11/18 70P for $8.15 or less
• BX 11/18 90P for $4.45 or less

Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
• The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.

FAQ - Because others have already asked.

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

Tickers of Interest - TL;DR

Gamma Max Cross

• MRO 11/18 26P for $1.65 or less
• HL 11/18 4P for $0.20 or less
• SPXS 11/18 25C for $2.55 or less
• GH 11/18 55P for $6.90 or less
• FAS 11/18 60P for $5.00 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• GDX 11/18 25P for $1.00 or less
• FCX 11/18 77C for $2.45 or less
• RIG 11/18 3C for $0.30 or less
• COIN 11/18 70P for $8.15 or less
• BX 11/18 90P for $4.45 or less

Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
• The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.

FAQ - Because others have already asked.

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

Dr. Copper looks sick. $FCX

Well this isn’t financial advice. Personally I like the cruise lines.. people aren’t going to wake up one day and not like crusing anymore some of those are at 400%+ lows… Extremely bullish on FCX. I could go on and on.. OP belongs here. Get out while you can.

F

SYK

WDFC

SLB

FCX

Well, right now I'm looking at long term plays in the EV space... specifically commodities like CU, LI, AL, CO, Graphene etc...

I like BHP, FCX, TECK as copper plays.

AA for Aluminum.

A small company in Canada called NanoXplore that produces Graphene.. GRA.to

And as you know ALB and LAC for a Lithium trade.

I like Copper:

FCX, BHP

I like EV plays:

CHPT, TSLA

I like Cyber:

CRWD, PANW

And to a lesser extent Uranium CCJ

Why don’t I start. (Let’s ignore fees for this example, and use a size of 1 contract for simplicity sake)

I bought a single FCX (Freeport McMoran) Sep 30 2022 $30 Call for .93 cents. At the time FCX was trading at $28 ish. (100 contracts so 100 x .93 = 93) so all in that position cost me $93.

Delta/Gamma Scalping: At $29.45 the delta is about 46 lots. Hence to hedge my long call position I sold 46 lots of FCX. Now I have also placed orders to sell 11 more lots when the price rises to $30.33 at which point my delta exposure would be 57 lots.

Once filled I would likely put another buy order for 11 lots in at $29.45 where my delta would decrease back down to 46 lots. In theory by this would allow me to keep my position hedged while also locking in profit. In this case 11 x .88= $9.68

On the downside I have some buy orders as my delta decreases. I would repeat the same process as above moving my limit orders around to adjust for delta exposure.

Vega: Unfortunately for me I bought the option when Implied Vol was about %57 and is now %56.5. With my vega position being worth about $2.5 that means my vega loss is approx -$1.25. (Vega is probably the Greek I least understand in terms of capturing PnL so please do correct me if anything is off)

Theta: Ahh the time decay value of an option position. My position currently loses about $5 a day in value. So for this weekend I will actually have a $15 dollar bill as Friday, Saturday, and Sunday all see the position lose in value.

Summary: So in summary had I only done the one hedge above I would be down 16.25-9.68= $6.57 over the weekend. Had I not done any I would have footed a $16.25 bill over the weekend.

I hope i lot of puts on spy , ARkg , FCX, apple and AMD

I hope it is gonna be the reddest day for a while , i have a lot if puts riding on ARKG , FCX , apple and spy

I hope to day is gonna be the reddest this year cuz i got a lot of puts riding on ARKG , FCx, apple and spy

SCCO pays 6% divvy too and focuses solely on copper. FCX is a good hedge considering they mine a lot of different metals

Copper is very sensitive to economic outlook. I see Econony and construction slowing down. Copper prices should be dropping with the economy. Once interest rates start coming down, economy should pick up again. Look at FCX too!

# Tickers of Interest

**Gamma Max Cross**

* [DKNG](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#DKNG) 10/21 17.5P for $1.30 or less

* [CHPT](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CHPT) 10/21 17P for $1.35 or less

* [USO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#USO) 10/21 70P for $3.30 or less

* [LVS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#LVS) 10/21 38P for $2.05 or less

* [AG](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AG) 10/21 8P for $0.55 or less

**Delta Neutral Cross**

* [NIO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#NIO) 10/21 17.5Pfor $0.80 or less

* [DIS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#DIS) 10/21 110P for $2.30 or less

* [FCX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#FCX) 10/21 32P for $1.90 or less

* [ICLN](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#ICLN) 10/21 22P for $0.40 or less

* [MRVL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#STM) 10/21 47.5P for $2.00 or less

# Trading Thesis

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

# Notes

* If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.

* Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.

* I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.

* The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.

# FAQ

* These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?

* No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.

* Are you entering all these plays?

* No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

Copper had fallen below the price needed to keep some mines open, so it was bound to rebound a bit (FCX conference call). Also, copper and lithium are crucial to clean energy which has been rallying lately.

If FCX has ignored it, I probably will, too...

I'd go with:

$AMD and $NVDA for the beta, plus you get metaverse exposure $TSLA because, well, Elon $FCX and $ALB for mining / industrial metals exposure $S for cyber $VICI for real estate exposure $IONQ for quantum computing $SOFI for financials $DDOG for data analytics

10% equal weighted portfolio Buy and forget your password for 3 years

Love copper right now for a long term hold .Cheap right now and will be critical in the "green revolution"

200 lbs of CU in an electric car!

BHP, FCX

Nothing yet, but here's my list:

Semiconductors: TXN, ACLS, MKSI.

Water/industrial: WTS, FELE, AOS, GGG

Waste: HCCI

Materials: SCL, AVD, FCX

Others: MEDP, DFH, BLDR, BC.

FCX 35c 9/9

Positions today (8/25/2022) included AMD, BABA, BMY, FCX, META, PDD, and SLB because I thought I knew what I was doing.

Bought FCX yesterday just before close...nice 6% pop today.

Some miners are focused on a particular metal. FCX is a copper miner for example. They produce other metals too, but copper is their primary. Therefore, they are strongly correlated to the price of copper. AMR is another one I own own that mines metallurgical coal. You can find miners that produce different metals and invest accordingly.

Although I own it for the dividend, I believe it's oversold. I intend to buy more, along with FCX and MP. I have AA on my watchlist.

Tickers of Interest

Gamma Max Cross

• NCR 09/16 33P for $1.65 or less
• EWG 10/21 23/24 Strangle for $1.70 or less
• IBM 09/16 134P for $1.85 or less
• GPS 09/16 10P for $0.55 or less
• ON 09/16 70P for $3.20 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• GLD 09/16 166C for $2.65 or less
• FCX 09/16 31C for $1.55 or less
• NU 09/16 4.5P for $0.40 or less
• DOW 09/16 55P for $1.75 or less
• TRIP 09/16 27P for $1.25 or less

Trading Thesis

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.

FAQ

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

Tickers of Interest

Gamma Max Cross

• CLF 09/16 19P for $0.85 or less
• RCL 09/16 40P for $2.35 or less
• LAZR 09/16 9.5P for $0.55 or less
• SABR 09/16 7P for $0.10 or less
• TECK 09/16 32P for $1.65 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• IWM 09/16 195P for $4.40 or less
• FCX 09/16 32C for $1.60 or less
• SQ 09/16 90C for $6.60 or less
• KRE 09/16 65/66 Strangle for $3.70 or less combined
• SMH 09/16 240C for $8.95 or less

Trading Thesis

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.

FAQ

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

To the guy that convinced me not to tard out on FCX - 🖕

I’m thinking of going full tard on FCX - thoughts

> $FCX I believe that Copper shortages are the next headline item, mainly due to EVs, this company will benefit.

I have heard the same. I get up to thirty 80lb spools a week and we are being warned and have been for a while.

Yep. Already heard that for quite a while. It is coming, eventually.

TECL... interesting! I held ERX long term during the Covid recovery and made a bundle. Got LTCGs on it too.

I'll 2nd your FCX pick. The road to sustainable energy is paved in copper!!

Be careful when comparing any car company to Tesla. Tesla is way more than a car company. It's a long list... One day they will also license out there autonomous driving platform to other car companies. Then all of their competitors will become their customers.

ENPH, STEM, CHPT, FCX, and CLF

$NET is a play on a possible 4th cloud provider with insane growth.

$S is a stellar cybersecurity company that has the opportunity to catch up to crowdstrike

$ADDYY is selling hot items at an incredibly cheap valuation.

$VWAGY is going to surpass Tesla in EV sales while it is currently valued as a fraction of the market cap. The brand diversity allows them to sell to every consumer segment (VW, Skoda, Audi, Porsche, Bentley, Lamborghini, Bugatti & others).

$RIVN is the anti-Tesla with down to earth founder, excellent build quality, KILLER vehicles & ~17B in cash to make their mass market dreams a reality

$AXON basically has a growing monopoly on public service software, absolutely fantastic execution/growth.

$FCX I believe that Copper shortages are the next headline item, mainly due to EVs, this company will benefit.

$RDFN has an amazing product that the market is not valuing appropriately given homes sales are not in a permanent lull.

$TECL is a high risk triple leveraged ETF, but it only incorporates the best blue chip stocks so if you want to lever into Microsoft and Apple and the like, this is an interesting way to do it. You need to read about the risks of this instrument though because there are a few bug ones.

Industrial equipment. Supply lines are going to get shorter. China can't continue to be the world's factory and automation is making production more competitive in developed countries. Re-industrialization of America is going to be a boon for industrial equipment makers.

Commodities. Inflation has raised the cost to extract materials from the earth. Either commodity prices rise, or production gets shit down, which then causes prices to rise. There was some about this on the FCX conference call. Combine that with demand for copper/nickel/zinc etc to go crazy with electrification...well....it's a good place to be.

Automation. See top point. People are too expensive.

FCX is an American company that has two molybdenum mines. China is currently the highest producer of molybdenum. It’s used in steel to make it stronger

MP Materials ($MP) mines rare earth minerals in the USA. Rare earth minerals are used in strong magnets.

Gold, Platinum and Palladium are just regular minerals. Freeport-McMoRan Inc ($FCX) produces copper, gold and molybdenum; Wheaton Precious Metals Corp ($WPM) produces gold, silver, palladium and cobalt; First Quantum Minerals Ltd ($FQVLF) produces copper, nickel, gold and silver. It sounds like you want $WPM.

Tickers of Interest

Gamma Max Cross

• TMUS 08/19 140P for $1.55 or less
• ADP 08/13 235P for $1.00 or less
• MMM 08/19 139P for $1.35 or less
• TGT 08/19 150P for $2.45 or less (Warning: High IV)
• EOG 08/19 105P for $3.05 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• SYK 08/19 205P for $1.90 or less
• FCX 08/19 28.5P for $0.70 or less
• CRWD 08/26 28P for $0.80 or less
• AFL 08/26 56P for $0.90 or less
• APTV 08/19 97.5P for $1.40 or less

​

Trading Strategy

Gamma Max is the price where a hypothetical portfolio of all option open interest for the ticker produces the most gamma.

Delta Neutral is the price where a hypothetical portfolio of all option open interest for the ticker produces the least delta.

Simply touching those calculated price levels isn't enough to make a trading decision. You need to consider what the ticker's price did the previous times it touched those levels. You should also take into context the broader market movement.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Pretty sure someone just found out what copper is today…

Congrats I guess? But FCX (risky miner with largest copper reserves) already ran from single digits into the $40s and is on its way back down.

Compelling short to hedge your long positions should this recession actually take shape.

The only place to be buying calls is energy and materials.

$CF $FCX $SLB $CHRD

$NVDA puts into earnings.

A few thoughts to consider...

Commodities have plummeted in the last 2 months. Look at the chart of say FCX. Also, read their last conference call. The CEO made a point about current prices will lead to supply reduction (and then increased prices). I'm not saying but today, but there is some solid value there.

I like smaller retail personally. TGT, CVS etc have been analyzed to death and are what they are. I hold CVS, but I've held it a long time. Smaller retailers with steady cash flows and dividends are much cheaper. I also think if they've stayed healthy this long, they have a niche Amazon has a hard time filling.

I do think there will be higher inflation then pre covid. There are labor and commodity pressures that can't be ignored and China isn't a boundless source of cheap.labor anymore.

That's my 2 cents anyway. I might be wrong.

Holding some CVX and FCX🏦

Anyone playing FCX earnings?

I thought about Alcoa; but I bought $CLF instead today. But, yeh the commodity stocks are way oversold. $FCX looks interesting as well.

FCX too.

start by listening to a youtube interview of rick rule. then look at copx holdings. Learn the difference between explorers, developers, and producers, and understand how a mine is built. then also look at how long it takes to build a copper mine and estimated supply/demand factors decide how you want to play. then finally look at stocks again. If you just want to get your foot in the door and have a seat at the table, a small position in copx or a producer like FCX should capture the move. But you probably won’t make big money

FCX pretty much tracks copper futures. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Z2OPjl8m/

FCX has been on top of the IV list for some time already, only today it profited from the bump in copper and miners, but this certainly doesn't mean that this market or company has reached the bottom. I would not try to find a direction, only a vol play would make sense, and maybe that is what you have spotted.

Also calling /u/hempthot who had some strong opinions about FCX in an options thread from 1 year ago, predicting the rise to 50$.

Am bullish on FCX as well after getting in last few months.

Driver of commodities bounce is due to US Dollar bouncing off of fib levels.

> Granted, near-term prices have more effect on the final value that excel will spit out

Yes I simplified but your excerpt above is the key. It’s the same concept as anything else and the famous quote applies:

> In the short the run the market is a voting machine, in the long run it’s a weighting machine.

Commodity stocks react to near term commodity prices far more than they do anything else.

The long term demand projection (and supply shortfall) of copper hasn’t changed much in the last three months, so why has FCX been chopped in half? Spot prices. If everything is baked into the stock price a 50% correction would imply a huge change to the DCF model. Do you think any of the equity research reports have a DCF model that’s reduced valuation by $36B in three months?

Commodities are a deal when the dollar is this strong. I am DCAing NEM, FCX, GLD, & TGB. Not very big investment, but enough for me. Not rich enough to buy futures contracts.

$NFLX 14.7% LQ -35.1% LY -3.3%
$TSLA 7.8% LQ +3.2% LY -1.9%
$SNAP 18.5% LQ +1.2% LY +23.6%
$ISRG 6.8% LQ -14.3% LY -1.1%
$UAL 8.6%
$AAL 8.8%
$FCX 7.6%
$DPZ 6.5%
$TSCO 5.9%
$POOL 10.1%
$IQV 8.3%
$SAM 14.4%
$PPG 2.9%
$MAT 8.2%
$COF 6.2%
$STX 7.4%
$CLF 9.4%
$AXP 5.3%
$ROP 7.2%
$AA 8.9%
$CSX 4.9%
$LVS 7.4%
$KMI 3.8%
$EFX 9.4%
$CCI 7.0%
$JBHT 8.5%
$BAC 5.7%
$GS 4.5%
$IBM 5.9%
$ASML 6.3%
$ABT 3.6%
$NDAQ 6.4%
$BIIB 4.8%
$JNJ 2.6%
$LMT 4.0%
$HAS 9.3%
$SI 26.2%

FCX (Freeport McMoran). But copper prices are quite beaten down at the moment. Should they ho up, FCX will too.

This has been relentless. The strong dollar is only half the story. FCX has been donkey punched.

Alright, out of curiosity... thoughts on this selection of stocks?

---- 20% parked off to an index (just to largely track the market as such, not touching until 2050s)

---- 20% Div stocks: ARCC & ORCC

---- 20% Long term growth (estimating to hold into 2030+): FREY & CHPT

---- 40% Short term growth (estimating to hold until 2024-27ish): CLF & FCX & AA & LAC

---- (extra fixed amount) moonshots: RBOT & SLDP & AREC

7/15 atm puts on FCX. Wait until it recovers within the first 5-10 min then pull the trigger.

I’m holding FCX puts for mid November.

I’m pretty relaxed about the day to day moves.

My picks : LAC, ALB, SQM, GNENF, FCX, SCCO, QS, SLDP, CHPT, RMO, VALE, RIO, ..

Nobody knows.

Copper, Lithium mining and refining seem to be the more obvious plays (FCX, LAC have mostly non-asia centered operations). Copper especially since electricity needs to flow in any application and copper is the best we know cost/availability/effectiveness-wise.

As for alternatives to lithium, from periodic table the next possible alternative is Sodium, however Sodium is much more reactive (meaning stuff go boom boom fast) than Lithium, which means more danger if things go south. All the precautions needed for Lithium, same or equivalent, at least, will be needed for Sodium.

I don't expect lithium to be so easily replaced. A lot of possible improvements can come from integrating graphene into the battery structure, but graphene manufacturing at scale is an unknown amount of years away. But hey, I might be wrong. Maybe the 20-year play is pocket-sized nuclear reactors instead of batteries, who knows.

​

As for companies... SLDP is a possible player - afaik Ford has a connection with them - but no clue if it will pan out successfully.

CHPT might have a role in the supporting infrastructure (which *will* need to be built out, and most likely through a lot of Gov't funding), if EVs become more and more prevalent.

Copper players are on discount right now due to demand woes. EVs use tons of copper. $FCX is an obvious play and will in addition do well once we spring the next bull run. Copper is in everything.

Romeo Power, $RMO seems to be an up and coming battery and electrification supplier. Though they are trading as a penny stock right now and are thus subject to the associated volatility.

Since no one asked, here is a list of companies I own at least 100 shares in

AAPL ABEV AMD AMZN ET FCX F GOOGL (post split) GPRO HAS HOOD HTGC INTC LAC LUV NTDOY PAA T TSLA VALE WBA X

🦀🦀🦀CRAB GANG🦀🦀🦀

Nope. FCX puts and UVXY calls

The best time to reload FCX puts was yesterday. The second best time is right now.

Stopped out of my FCX puts for a good gain. Will look to reenter in the $29-30 area. Highly recommended that people think about shorting commodities like copper given the slowdowns we are seeing.

INTC

NYDOY

HAS

VALE

DRTS

FCX

F

Y’all should really get on the FCX put train on the next pop.

FCX puts July 8 just OTM

Just go for the miners, they’re a reasonable proxy and are very liquid.

FCX basically mirrors the price of Copper, for example.

We will see. I did add quite a bit to my Oil stocks the last 2 weeks. The only miner I have been buying recently is $KGC. Kinross may have more downward pressure as they sold all their Russian mining assets for somewhere around 50 cents on the dollar I believe. But Kinross is going to be around for the long term.

I find stocks such as $FCX & $MOS & $VALE having a better upside than Gold miners right now. With that said $GOLD is my largest stock holding and I am not selling but also not adding.

$FCX bearish sentiment. Thoughts on puts?

Construction spending miss and went negative… fcx and cat dumping

Sold ADM today, picked up more OXY. Probably going to start closing out options tomorrow, pick up BAC, FCX, DIS, AMD and throw my phone in a lake.

do you have a sheet with EarningsTtm for all 500+ S&P500 tickers? i am not sure where to find the mistake

|Ticker|SharesOutstanding|EarningsTtm| :--|:--|:--| |AAPL|16185000000|100347000000| |BRK.B|2206000000|81997020000| |GOOGL|658544000|73875465920| |GOOG|658544000|73875465920| |MSFT|7479000000|72172350000| |JPM|2937000000|39649500000| |META|2707000000|36246730000| |BAC|8057000000|28521780000| |XOM|4213000000|25404390000| |PFE|5611000000|24968950000| |INTC|4089000000|24779340000| |VZ|4200000000|21588000000| |AMZN|10174000000|21467140000| |CVX|1965000000|20966550000| |JNJ|2631000000|19837740000| |WFC|3790000000|18381500000| |GS|343447000|17965712570| |UNH|938172000|17374945440| |T|7159000000|17110010000| |C|1942000000|16584680000| |HD|1028000000|16262960000| |MRNA|397760000|14430732800| |PG|2399000000|14202080000| |MRK|2529000000|14187690000| |CMCSA|4480000000|14112000000| |MS|1749000000|13974510000| |V|2083000000|13289540000| |WMT|2741000000|12800470000| |COP|1293000000|12619680000| |ABBV|1767000000|12386670000| |CSCO|4141000000|11843260000| |F|4020000000|11617800000| |QCOM|1120000000|11099200000| |UPS|873766000|10764797120| |KO|4335000000|10360650000| |PEP|1383000000|10165050000| |COF|393051000|10038522540| |NVDA|2500000000|9450000000| |MA|972645000|9386024250| |AIG|792192000|9308256000| |MU|1117000000|8991850000| |PM|1550000000|8959000000| |GM|1458000000|8879220000| |TSLA|1036000000|8588440000| |AVGO|403818000|8484216180| |REGN|109846000|8237351540| |TXN|922134000|8170107240| |CB|423711000|8016612120| |CVS|1311000000|7957770000| |LOW|639129000|7867677990| |ABT|1751000000|7616850000| |TMO|391462000|7570875080| |AXP|753060000|7530600000| |NUE|266062000|7455057240| |MCD|739605000|7055831700| |ACN|664188000|6954048360| |USB|1486000000|6895040000| |DOW|728102000|6734943500| |ORCL|2668000000|6643320000| |UNP|628025000|6631944000| |AMAT|869947000|6576799320| |OXY|937191000|6504105540| |LLY|950160000|6423081600| |CAT|533374000|6405821740| |DHR|727077000|6398277600| |HCA|295484000|6382454400| |MET|813206000|6334874740| |WBA|863773000|6279629710| |BLK|151503000|6117691140| |BMY|2129000000|6046360000| |LMT|266107000|6045951040| |NKE|1574000000|6028420000| |TFC|1331000000|6016120000| |DE|305636000|5898774800| |HPQ|1034000000|5831760000| |LYB|327622000|5762870980| |TGT|463696000|5643180320| |NOC|155445000|5641099050| |COST|442963000|5638918990| |IBM|899435000|5531525250| |MMM|569059000|5519872300| |AMGN|534200000|5454182000| |WBD|2427000000|5412210000| |HON|680733000|5180378130| |CI|317273000|5165204440| |SCHW|1817000000|5051260000| |FCX|1449000000|5042520000| |NFLX|444274000|5015853460| |MDT|1329000000|4983750000| |DHI|352030000|4970663600| |PNC|413581000|4888527420| |ADBE|472500000|4866750000| |SPGI|347100000|4828161000| |CHTR|167858000|4765488620| |DFS|280965000|4742689200| |FDX|259178000|4704080700| |PRU|375000000|4657500000| |GILD|1254000000|4514400000| |LRCX|138715000|4463848700| |EOG|585713000|4416276020| |AMD|1621000000|4392910000| |LEN|295490000|4340748100| |SBUX|1147000000|4312720000| |PXD|241959000|4176212340| |RTX|1487000000|4163600000| |MDLZ|1384000000|4152000000| |TSN|354548000|4045392680| |ICE|558266000|4041845840| |PARA|649101000|4024426200| |LIN|503453000|3947071520| |AFL|644165000|3942289800| |NRG|237284000|3898576120| |TRV|239961000|3832177170| |CSX|2174000000|3826240000| |SYF|501489000|3726063270| |PLD|748939000|3722226830| |HPE|1299000000|3676170000| |DUK|769899000|3672418230| |PYPL|1158000000|3531900000| |DVN|660000000|3511200000| |ALL|274983000|3426288180| |ELV|357347000|3319753630| |EL|357347000|3319753630| |EMBC|357347000|3319753630| |BK|807798000|3279659880| |GD|277705000|3268587850| |TJX|1172000000|3234720000| |MMC|501914000|3212249600| |WTW|111488000|3196360960| |KLAC|149235000|3098118600| |ADM|562708000|3066758600| |EMR|621998000|2998030360| |HUM|126493000|2997884100| |D|830650000|2990340000| |MO|1811000000|2988150000| |NSC|238333000|2962479190| |AMP|109904000|2930040640| |ADP|417747000|2844857070| |TROW|227297000|2836666560| |TMUS|1254000000|2821500000| |PSX|481086000|2766244500| |CME|359421000|2760353280| |STT|367115000|2753362500| |FANG|177493000|2706768250| |AEP|513544000|2685835120| |WY|744498000|2680192800| |ITW|311443000|2662837650| |DIS|1821000000|2658660000| |AMT|456347000|2646812600| |CARR|848242000|2621067780| |EXC|980210000|2597556500| |MOS|361993000|2584630020| |VLO|408096000|2534276160| |INTU|282812000|2528339280| |MPC|540995000|2504806850| |ATVI|781882000|2486384760| |TEL|322174000|2458187620| |VRTX|255756000|2447584920| |HIG|328865000|2427023700| |FITB|686087000|2415026240| |KDP|1419000000|2412300000| |APA|338232000|2381153280| |MTB|179431000|2354134720| |CFG|495446000|2348414040| |KEY|932471000|2331177500| |SO|1063000000|2296080000| |GIS|602212000|2276361360| |RF|934500000|2270835000| |AZO|19488000|2262556800| |DG|226997000|2226840570| |DISH|529995000|2220679050| |ETN|399000000|2218440000| |CTSH|521174000|2178507320| |APD|221773000|2175593130| |PGR|584900000|2164130000| |SPG|328647000|2149351380| |LUMN|1033000000|2148640000| |NXPI|262565000|2145156050| |KR|727753000|2139593820| |SLB|1413000000|2105370000| |ORLY|65725000|2070337500| |ZTS|470629000|2061355020| |BBY|225168000|2051280480| |LH|93176000|2047076720| |CINF|160440000|2045610000| |CE|108309000|2039458470| |MRO|707691000|2038150080| |CL|837942000|2027819640| |SYK|378154000|2019342360| |PCAR|347683000|1981793100| |MCO|184500000|1961235000| |HSY|205605000|1951191450| |PHM|237627000|1943788860| |CBRE|326861000|1918674070| |CMI|141098000|1911877900| |WM|415207000|1893343920| |BEN|499924000|1864716520| |ADI|519806000|1850509360| |WDC|313168000|1841427840| |BDX|285065000|1821565350| |PSA|175529000|1816725150| |SHW|260131000|1815714380| |LHX|192875000|1809167500| |DGX|117365000|1793337200| |STX|214844000|1783205200| |SIVB|58851000|1760233410| |KMB|336925000|1752010000| |ABC|209464000|1736456560| |CTRA|805805000|1724422700| |IP|370629000|1701187110| |CTVA|723700000|1700695000| |PH|128478000|1688200920| |APH|597139000|1683931980| |FISV|646394000|1674160460| |ISRG|358957000|1651202200| |CF|208602000|1629181620| |XEL|544653000|1628512470| |CNP|629449000|1598800460| |YUM|285164000|1596918400| |VICI|963002000|1588953300| |L|246108000|1587396600| |ROST|349926000|1581665520| |RJF|216659000|1579444110| |HAL|901976000|1560418480| |EW|621752000|1535727440| |ED|354295000|1534097350| |URI|71612000|1531780680| |K|337873000|1530564690| |HOLX|249381000|1526211720| |DD|508527000|1525581000| |WHR|56202000|1524760260| |NTRS|208380000|1508671200| |OKE|446616000|1505095920| |CNC|584887000|1503159590| |PFG|252684000|1493362440| |MAR|327298000|1485932920| |DLTR|224556000|1482069600| |WMB|1218000000|1473780000| |EXPD|167754000|1466169960| |ON|434506000|1459940160| |CCI|433032000|1459317840| |NEE|1965000000|1454100000| |FRC|179603000|1436824000| |BIIB|146452000|1433765080| |TT|233860000|1424207400| |VFC|388323000|1378546650| |DLR|284672000|1377812480| |PAYX|361017000|1361034090| |WEC|315435000|1356370500| |MNST|529671000|1355957760| |AON|212384000|1350762240| |EQR|376042000|1349990780| |CMS|290129000|1349099850| |SWKS|160926000|1337295060| |RSG|315891000|1336218930| |NVR|3290000|1330081200| |MGM|426052000|1325021720| |WRB|265193000|1323313070| |RE|39438000|1320778620| |SWK|150965000|1305847250| |IVZ|455025000|1301371500| |OGN|253637000|1301157810| |ES|344878000|1300190060| |AWK|181753000|1286811240| |MCHP|554501000|1286442320| |MSI|167297000|1256400470| |A|298708000|1251586520| |OMC|205733000|1248799310| |OTIS|422794000|1238786420| |FE|570932000|1233213120| |KHC|1224000000|1224000000| |JCI|695669000|1210464060| |LNC|171947000|1191592710| |CTAS|102325000|1184923500| |NDAQ|164678000|1164273460| |GWW|51102000|1158482340| |AVB|139818000|1124136720| |DOV|144163000|1118704880| |ODFL|113354000|1117670440| |ROP|105913000|1115263890| |FOXA|556749000|1113498000| |FOX|556749000|1113498000| |BALL|319789000|1112865720| |ECL|285655000|1105484850| |CPRT|237673000|1083788880| |SBNY|62928000|1083620160| |GLW|844612000|1081103360| |GRMN|193125000|1077637500| |PPG|236194000|1072320760| |TAP|216890000|1071436600| |ETR|203374000|1069747240| |IQV|189279000|1069426350| |HBAN|1439000000|1064860000| |BAX|503529000|1062446190| |MCK|145365000|1061164500|

FCX to pop to 34 range and close the gap. Copper needs at least 2 days of love.

Buying S&P 500 Puts whenever it increases.

Buying Oil and Natural Gas and holding. LNG, PXD, XOP, USO, BNO.

Buying GLD whenever it drops. Maybe will consider SLV.

FCX, SCCO

$X is a great stock/company. But if I own $CLF also owning $X is tying a lot to one industry.

I traded/lived thru 2008. The gold & steel stocks never hit 2007 peak commodity highs. $MOS, $FCX, $XOM did. So I am BTFD on the Steel stock, Another tib bit. The commodity super cycle from 2004 didn't end until 2012. Keep buying $X. You'll do ok.

Valid analysis. I would say $MOS will double after earnings in a month. $CLF has inflationary pressures. Unlike oil or food businesses can put projects on a hold. $FCX which i just bought back into today after taking a lot of tasty gains is the biggest gamble. Unlike $MOS or $CLF...if China keeps shutting down manufacturing than copper will under perform Ag & STeel

Hmm made good gains on FCX puts last week I just don’t see copper recovering in the near term without lifting of inflation fear. Definitely a buy though for when this shit is all over. MOS though…that’s bound to crash with oil eventually

Oil will outperform. Just don't expect the stocks to 2x from here. Buy $CLF, $MOS, and $FCX stocks for gains. Oil stocks are the new boomer divy stocks with little upside/downside.

My moves were made 2day. Everyone on reddit & CNBC is screaming demand destruction. But yet the US May durable goods print came in at 0,7% over 0,1% expected, So I bought a ton of commodity stocks 2day. $FCX, $MOS, $HAL, and $IPI were a few. The smart money is sooo wrong. The people have a ton of cash thanks to stimi's. And there is a limited supply of things. But CNBC is trying to get the weak hands to sell oil stocks? Why? Can the Fed & other central banks print Oil?

Keep adding to my S&P 500 Puts each time there is a mid-day high.

Oil, Gas and Mining/Metals (LNG, PXD, USO, BNO, FCX, GLD)

Continue to look for a pull back in food commodities to find a better entry point.

Added to $GGB which bounced off it's 200 DMA on 2 yr charts. Added to $MOS which bounced off it's 50 DMA on 2 yr charts. Opened a position in $FCX and added to $IPI. Steel, Ag Fertilizer, and Copper. Too much smart money is shorting commodities right now.

If we have demand destruction I am screwed; however I am not seeing demand destruction at the gas pumps. The US durable goods May print today missed to upside of 0.7% act vs 0.1% increase exp.

I am only seeing/hearing demand destruction talk on CNBC & Reddit and not in the real world. The numbers don't lie.

Well if I am correct, I probably need to be over there.

I own 100 shares or more in:

AAPL ABEV AMD AMZN ET FCX F GOOGL GPRO HAS HOOD HTGC INTC LAC LUV NTDOY PAA T TSLA VALE WBA X

Category 2 (part 2)

|Ticker|Name|Sector|Price|Market cap|P/E|Earnings date| :--|:--|:--|--:|--:|:-:|--:| |PNR|Pentair plc|Industrials|47.03|7778742986|14.4|07/26/2022| |META|Meta Platforms, Inc.|Communication Services|170.16|460507931590|12.88|07/27/2022| |TMO|Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.|Healthcare|544.81|213272411264|28.37|07/27/2022| |MCD|McDonald's Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|247.9|183333696786|26.19|07/27/2022| |BMY|Bristol-Myers Squibb Company|Healthcare|78.96|168110891490|28.04|07/27/2022| |QCOM|QUALCOMM Incorporated|Technology|125.1|140111998291|12.81|07/27/2022| |NOW|ServiceNow, Inc.|Technology|504.09|101049779847|458.76|07/27/2022| |ADP|Automatic Data Processing, Inc.|Industrials|218.79|91398885204|32.31|07/27/2022| |PYPL|PayPal Holdings, Inc.|Financial|77.68|89956469873|25.68|07/27/2022| |BA|The Boeing Company|Industrials|141.53|83734214051|#N/A|07/27/2022| |CME|CME Group Inc.|Financial|210|75477801000|27.47|07/27/2022| |EQIX|Equinix, Inc.|Real Estate|689.17|62729485458|127.32|07/27/2022| |LRCX|Lam Research Corporation|Technology|450.19|62448106188|14.07|07/27/2022| |GD|General Dynamics Corporation|Industrials|222.33|61742175391|19.04|07/27/2022| |SHW|The Sherwin-Williams Company|Basic Materials|231.25|60155340000|33.68|07/27/2022| |HUM|Humana Inc.|Healthcare|456.81|57783449745|19.38|07/27/2022| |NSC|Norfolk Southern Corporation|Industrials|230.43|54918956229|18.61|07/27/2022| |MCO|Moody's Corporation|Financial|277.5|51198722250|26.29|07/27/2022| |F|Ford Motor Company|Consumer Cyclical|12.01|48277378570|4.22|07/27/2022| |ORLY|O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|639.06|42002493135|20.47|07/27/2022| |APH|Amphenol Corporation|Technology|65.85|39321569313|24.43|07/27/2022| |TEL|TE Connectivity Ltd.|Technology|118.39|38142155985|15.67|07/27/2022| |CTSH|Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation|Technology|70.26|36617672301|16.86|07/27/2022| |AFL|Aflac Incorporated|Financial|55.79|35937938044|9.16|07/27/2022| |HES|Hess Corporation|Energy|101.69|31652284384|43.6|07/27/2022| |ODFL|Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.|Industrials|257.72|29213515702|26.32|07/27/2022| |VICI|VICI Properties Inc.|Real Estate|30.32|29198220346|18.75|07/27/2022| |AVB|AvalonBay Communities, Inc.|Real Estate|195.15|27285520876|24.33|07/27/2022| |DRE|Duke Realty Corporation|Real Estate|57.45|22086951533|21.44|07/27/2022| |HIG|The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.|Financial|65.69|21603116376|9.03|07/27/2022| |ALGN|Align Technology, Inc.|Healthcare|258.75|20390938650|29.15|07/27/2022| |RJF|Raymond James Financial, Inc.|Financial|92.5|20040920500|13.05|07/27/2022| |MAA|Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.|Real Estate|172.53|19914723687|33.53|07/27/2022| |GPC|Genuine Parts Company|Consumer Cyclical|136.75|19363129925|21.17|07/27/2022| |GRMN|Garmin Ltd.|Technology|100.13|19337605719|22.87|07/27/2022| |CINF|Cincinnati Financial Corporation|Financial|116.5|18681380800|9.24|07/27/2022| |URI|United Rentals, Inc.|Industrials|248.29|17780421337|11.67|07/27/2022| |TDY|Teledyne Technologies Incorporated|Technology|378.02|17707537422|31.16|07/27/2022| |HOLX|Hologic, Inc.|Healthcare|70.93|17688594406|11.68|07/27/2022| |IR|Ingersoll Rand Inc.|Industrials|43.33|17588938977|23.96|07/27/2022| |ROL|Rollins, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|35.11|17290288455|52.28|07/27/2022| |MOH|Molina Healthcare, Inc.|Healthcare|267.13|15680533957|22.72|07/27/2022| |UDR|UDR, Inc.|Real Estate|46.15|14694206635|91.76|07/27/2022| |GNRC|Generac Holdings Inc.|Industrials|224.55|14333010976|29.75|07/27/2022| |TYL|Tyler Technologies, Inc.|Technology|345.33|14322112264|88.88|07/27/2022| |AVY|Avery Dennison Corporation|Industrials|165.35|13511451736|18.94|07/27/2022| |PTC|PTC Inc.|Technology|112.44|13152770481|27.8|07/27/2022| |RE|Everest Re Group, Ltd.|Financial|283.19|11168433156|8.42|07/27/2022| |LW|Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.|Consumer Defensive|71.91|10387169916|44.86|07/27/2022| |FBHS|Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|63.24|8272253871|11.27|07/27/2022| |VRSN|VeriSign, Inc.|Technology|169.27|18542631837|23.79|07/28/2022| |PFE|Pfizer Inc.|Healthcare|51.59|289466125496|11.84|07/28/2022| |MRK|Merck & Co., Inc.|Healthcare|93.13|235507602704|16.66|07/28/2022| |ABT|Abbott Laboratories|Healthcare|109.45|191640596556|25.27|07/28/2022| |CMCSA|Comcast Corporation|Communication Services|39.57|177274192182|12.74|07/28/2022| |INTC|Intel Corporation|Technology|38.61|157876253885|6.42|07/28/2022| |HON|Honeywell International Inc.|Industrials|180.02|122545575570|34.79|07/28/2022| |MO|Altria Group, Inc.|Consumer Defensive|43.4|78578176562|26.44|07/28/2022| |NEM|Newmont Corporation|Basic Materials|64.18|50936527840|48.63|07/28/2022| |AEP|American Electric Power Company, Inc.|Utilities|93.6|48067736336|17.96|07/28/2022| |FCX|Freeport-McMoRan Inc.|Basic Materials|30.99|44912629048|8.99|07/28/2022| |VLO|Valero Energy Corporation|Energy|103.93|42413458976|16.73|07/28/2022| |BAX|Baxter International Inc.|Healthcare|66.78|33625639293|32.02|07/28/2022| |BIIB|Biogen Inc.|Healthcare|211.93|31037571287|21.72|07/28/2022| |TWTR|Twitter, Inc.|Communication Services|39.41|30116357329|162.78|07/28/2022| |NUE|Nucor Corporation|Basic Materials|111.06|29548833964|3.96|07/28/2022| |TROW|T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.|Financial|121.5|27616524750|9.83|07/28/2022| |SIVB|SVB Financial Group|Financial|415.52|24453829201|14.1|07/28/2022| |FITB|Fifth Third Bancorp|Financial|35.22|24163995543|10.09|07/28/2022| |LUV|Southwest Airlines Co.|Industrials|37.73|22372248473|40|07/28/2022| |FE|FirstEnergy Corp.|Utilities|37.29|21290065989|16.66|07/28/2022| |DPZ|Domino's Pizza, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|396.54|14293312365|30.31|07/28/2022| |POOL|Pool Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|356.94|14286495042|19.79|07/28/2022| |CE|Celanese Corporation|Basic Materials|127.57|13816953582|6.83|07/28/2022| |KIM|Kimco Realty Corporation|Real Estate|20.14|12446656574|12.77|07/28/2022| |SNA|Snap-on Incorporated|Industrials|201.87|10774661605|13.08|07/28/2022| |AAL|American Airlines Group Inc.|Industrials|13.9|9028255472|#N/A|07/28/2022| |ALLE|Allegion plc|Industrials|99.6|8745368902|19.14|07/28/2022| |RHI|Robert Half International Inc.|Industrials|77.9|8609001818|13.2|07/28/2022| |ALK|Alaska Air Group, Inc.|Industrials|41.92|5285768025|11.45|07/28/2022| |XOM|Exxon Mobil Corporation|Energy|86.9|366127520928|14.4|07/29/2022| |PG|The Procter & Gamble Company|Consumer Defensive|144.35|346338392244|25.23|07/29/2022| |CVX|Chevron Corporation|Energy|144.77|284445986404|13.61|07/29/2022| |ABBV|AbbVie Inc.|Healthcare|152.34|269201530928|21.85|07/29/2022| |LIN|Linde plc|Basic Materials|303.23|152441155658|39.02|07/29/2022| |CAT|Caterpillar Inc.|Industrials|185.49|98935601836|15.56|07/29/2022| |CHTR|Charter Communications, Inc.|Communication Services|463.12|88684051976|16.77|07/29/2022| |CL|Colgate-Palmolive Company|Consumer Defensive|80.38|67353759582|33.3|07/29/2022| |ITW|Illinois Tool Works Inc.|Industrials|187.92|58526349197|22.09|07/29/2022| |AON|Aon plc|Financial|271.74|57713171737|43.16|07/29/2022| |PSX|Phillips 66|Energy|84.2|40508610111|14.65|07/29/2022| |JCI|Johnson Controls International plc|Industrials|48.95|34052988290|28.37|07/29/2022| |IDXX|IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.|Healthcare|361.48|30366934423|42.43|07/29/2022| |LYB|LyondellBasell Industries N.V.|Basic Materials|89.24|29236968732|5.07|07/29/2022| |WY|Weyerhaeuser Company|Real Estate|34.33|25558610837|9.55|07/29/2022| |GWW|W.W. Grainger, Inc.|Industrials|460.95|23555315410|20.4|07/29/2022| |CHD|Church & Dwight Co., Inc.|Consumer Defensive|91.61|22240251458|28.1|07/29/2022| |VFC|V.F. Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|48.01|18650904943|15.49|07/29/2022| |CBOE|Cboe Global Markets, Inc.|Financial|114.94|12205317943|24.61|07/29/2022| |NWL|Newell Brands Inc.|Consumer Defensive|20.03|8282405283|#N/A|07/29/2022| |CTRA|Coterra Energy Inc.|Energy|26.35|479941278|32.7|07/29/2022|

Category 2 (part 2)

|Ticker|Name|Sector|Price|Market cap|P/E|Earnings date| :--|:--|:--|--:|--:|:-:|--:| |PNR|Pentair plc|Industrials|47.03|7778742986|14.4|07/26/2022| |META|Meta Platforms, Inc.|Communication Services|170.16|460507931590|12.88|07/27/2022| |TMO|Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.|Healthcare|544.81|213272411264|28.37|07/27/2022| |MCD|McDonald's Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|247.9|183333696786|26.19|07/27/2022| |BMY|Bristol-Myers Squibb Company|Healthcare|78.96|168110891490|28.04|07/27/2022| |QCOM|QUALCOMM Incorporated|Technology|125.1|140111998291|12.81|07/27/2022| |NOW|ServiceNow, Inc.|Technology|504.09|101049779847|458.76|07/27/2022| |ADP|Automatic Data Processing, Inc.|Industrials|218.79|91398885204|32.31|07/27/2022| |PYPL|PayPal Holdings, Inc.|Financial|77.68|89956469873|25.68|07/27/2022| |BA|The Boeing Company|Industrials|141.53|83734214051|#N/A|07/27/2022| |CME|CME Group Inc.|Financial|210|75477801000|27.47|07/27/2022| |EQIX|Equinix, Inc.|Real Estate|689.17|62729485458|127.32|07/27/2022| |LRCX|Lam Research Corporation|Technology|450.19|62448106188|14.07|07/27/2022| |GD|General Dynamics Corporation|Industrials|222.33|61742175391|19.04|07/27/2022| |SHW|The Sherwin-Williams Company|Basic Materials|231.25|60155340000|33.68|07/27/2022| |HUM|Humana Inc.|Healthcare|456.81|57783449745|19.38|07/27/2022| |NSC|Norfolk Southern Corporation|Industrials|230.43|54918956229|18.61|07/27/2022| |MCO|Moody's Corporation|Financial|277.5|51198722250|26.29|07/27/2022| |F|Ford Motor Company|Consumer Cyclical|12.01|48277378570|4.22|07/27/2022| |ORLY|O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|639.06|42002493135|20.47|07/27/2022| |APH|Amphenol Corporation|Technology|65.85|39321569313|24.43|07/27/2022| |TEL|TE Connectivity Ltd.|Technology|118.39|38142155985|15.67|07/27/2022| |CTSH|Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation|Technology|70.26|36617672301|16.86|07/27/2022| |AFL|Aflac Incorporated|Financial|55.79|35937938044|9.16|07/27/2022| |HES|Hess Corporation|Energy|101.69|31652284384|43.6|07/27/2022| |ODFL|Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.|Industrials|257.72|29213515702|26.32|07/27/2022| |VICI|VICI Properties Inc.|Real Estate|30.32|29198220346|18.75|07/27/2022| |AVB|AvalonBay Communities, Inc.|Real Estate|195.15|27285520876|24.33|07/27/2022| |DRE|Duke Realty Corporation|Real Estate|57.45|22086951533|21.44|07/27/2022| |HIG|The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.|Financial|65.69|21603116376|9.03|07/27/2022| |ALGN|Align Technology, Inc.|Healthcare|258.75|20390938650|29.15|07/27/2022| |RJF|Raymond James Financial, Inc.|Financial|92.5|20040920500|13.05|07/27/2022| |MAA|Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.|Real Estate|172.53|19914723687|33.53|07/27/2022| |GPC|Genuine Parts Company|Consumer Cyclical|136.75|19363129925|21.17|07/27/2022| |GRMN|Garmin Ltd.|Technology|100.13|19337605719|22.87|07/27/2022| |CINF|Cincinnati Financial Corporation|Financial|116.5|18681380800|9.24|07/27/2022| |URI|United Rentals, Inc.|Industrials|248.29|17780421337|11.67|07/27/2022| |TDY|Teledyne Technologies Incorporated|Technology|378.02|17707537422|31.16|07/27/2022| |HOLX|Hologic, Inc.|Healthcare|70.93|17688594406|11.68|07/27/2022| |IR|Ingersoll Rand Inc.|Industrials|43.33|17588938977|23.96|07/27/2022| |ROL|Rollins, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|35.11|17290288455|52.28|07/27/2022| |MOH|Molina Healthcare, Inc.|Healthcare|267.13|15680533957|22.72|07/27/2022| |UDR|UDR, Inc.|Real Estate|46.15|14694206635|91.76|07/27/2022| |GNRC|Generac Holdings Inc.|Industrials|224.55|14333010976|29.75|07/27/2022| |TYL|Tyler Technologies, Inc.|Technology|345.33|14322112264|88.88|07/27/2022| |AVY|Avery Dennison Corporation|Industrials|165.35|13511451736|18.94|07/27/2022| |PTC|PTC Inc.|Technology|112.44|13152770481|27.8|07/27/2022| |RE|Everest Re Group, Ltd.|Financial|283.19|11168433156|8.42|07/27/2022| |LW|Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.|Consumer Defensive|71.91|10387169916|44.86|07/27/2022| |FBHS|Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|63.24|8272253871|11.27|07/27/2022| |VRSN|VeriSign, Inc.|Technology|169.27|18542631837|23.79|07/28/2022| |PFE|Pfizer Inc.|Healthcare|51.59|289466125496|11.84|07/28/2022| |MRK|Merck & Co., Inc.|Healthcare|93.13|235507602704|16.66|07/28/2022| |ABT|Abbott Laboratories|Healthcare|109.45|191640596556|25.27|07/28/2022| |CMCSA|Comcast Corporation|Communication Services|39.57|177274192182|12.74|07/28/2022| |INTC|Intel Corporation|Technology|38.61|157876253885|6.42|07/28/2022| |HON|Honeywell International Inc.|Industrials|180.02|122545575570|34.79|07/28/2022| |MO|Altria Group, Inc.|Consumer Defensive|43.4|78578176562|26.44|07/28/2022| |NEM|Newmont Corporation|Basic Materials|64.18|50936527840|48.63|07/28/2022| |AEP|American Electric Power Company, Inc.|Utilities|93.6|48067736336|17.96|07/28/2022| |FCX|Freeport-McMoRan Inc.|Basic Materials|30.99|44912629048|8.99|07/28/2022| |VLO|Valero Energy Corporation|Energy|103.93|42413458976|16.73|07/28/2022| |BAX|Baxter International Inc.|Healthcare|66.78|33625639293|32.02|07/28/2022| |BIIB|Biogen Inc.|Healthcare|211.93|31037571287|21.72|07/28/2022| |TWTR|Twitter, Inc.|Communication Services|39.41|30116357329|162.78|07/28/2022| |NUE|Nucor Corporation|Basic Materials|111.06|29548833964|3.96|07/28/2022| |TROW|T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.|Financial|121.5|27616524750|9.83|07/28/2022| |SIVB|SVB Financial Group|Financial|415.52|24453829201|14.1|07/28/2022| |FITB|Fifth Third Bancorp|Financial|35.22|24163995543|10.09|07/28/2022| |LUV|Southwest Airlines Co.|Industrials|37.73|22372248473|40|07/28/2022| |FE|FirstEnergy Corp.|Utilities|37.29|21290065989|16.66|07/28/2022| |DPZ|Domino's Pizza, Inc.|Consumer Cyclical|396.54|14293312365|30.31|07/28/2022| |POOL|Pool Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|356.94|14286495042|19.79|07/28/2022| |CE|Celanese Corporation|Basic Materials|127.57|13816953582|6.83|07/28/2022| |KIM|Kimco Realty Corporation|Real Estate|20.14|12446656574|12.77|07/28/2022| |SNA|Snap-on Incorporated|Industrials|201.87|10774661605|13.08|07/28/2022| |AAL|American Airlines Group Inc.|Industrials|13.9|9028255472|#N/A|07/28/2022| |ALLE|Allegion plc|Industrials|99.6|8745368902|19.14|07/28/2022| |RHI|Robert Half International Inc.|Industrials|77.9|8609001818|13.2|07/28/2022| |ALK|Alaska Air Group, Inc.|Industrials|41.92|5285768025|11.45|07/28/2022| |XOM|Exxon Mobil Corporation|Energy|86.9|366127520928|14.4|07/29/2022| |PG|The Procter & Gamble Company|Consumer Defensive|144.35|346338392244|25.23|07/29/2022| |CVX|Chevron Corporation|Energy|144.77|284445986404|13.61|07/29/2022| |ABBV|AbbVie Inc.|Healthcare|152.34|269201530928|21.85|07/29/2022| |LIN|Linde plc|Basic Materials|303.23|152441155658|39.02|07/29/2022| |CAT|Caterpillar Inc.|Industrials|185.49|98935601836|15.56|07/29/2022| |CHTR|Charter Communications, Inc.|Communication Services|463.12|88684051976|16.77|07/29/2022| |CL|Colgate-Palmolive Company|Consumer Defensive|80.38|67353759582|33.3|07/29/2022| |ITW|Illinois Tool Works Inc.|Industrials|187.92|58526349197|22.09|07/29/2022| |AON|Aon plc|Financial|271.74|57713171737|43.16|07/29/2022| |PSX|Phillips 66|Energy|84.2|40508610111|14.65|07/29/2022| |JCI|Johnson Controls International plc|Industrials|48.95|34052988290|28.37|07/29/2022| |IDXX|IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.|Healthcare|361.48|30366934423|42.43|07/29/2022| |LYB|LyondellBasell Industries N.V.|Basic Materials|89.24|29236968732|5.07|07/29/2022| |WY|Weyerhaeuser Company|Real Estate|34.33|25558610837|9.55|07/29/2022| |GWW|W.W. Grainger, Inc.|Industrials|460.95|23555315410|20.4|07/29/2022| |CHD|Church & Dwight Co., Inc.|Consumer Defensive|91.61|22240251458|28.1|07/29/2022| |VFC|V.F. Corporation|Consumer Cyclical|48.01|18650904943|15.49|07/29/2022| |CBOE|Cboe Global Markets, Inc.|Financial|114.94|12205317943|24.61|07/29/2022| |NWL|Newell Brands Inc.|Consumer Defensive|20.03|8282405283|#N/A|07/29/2022| |CTRA|Coterra Energy Inc.|Energy|26.35|479941278|32.7|07/29/2022|

I would not recommend investing in commodities producers unless you have good knowledge of underlying commodities and markets in general. But since you ask some individual equities

Agri: AMD, BG Fertilizer: NTR, MOS, CF Seeds: CTVA, FMC Miners: RIO, BHP, FCX

I've been trading these in the past but not anymore. They are majors and really top of the pile commodity producers. There are hundreds of minors but I see no reason to get involved with those.

I was thinking this but also nibbling at low days

I bot some AMZN, KSS, PLTR, and C small positions in shares at what I think are cheap valuations.

I’ve been long commodities equities like glencore and bhp since pandemic lows - if we get a full blown recession I will add more copper focused companies - FCX, FQ - next year. Right now these companies are cash machines. Everyone is talking about commodities prices down the last week or so but we are so far into profitable territory for the low cost producers that only an epic collapse can hurt profitability.

Should i take loss in $fcx put ? Down 20% on july 15 $25 put

How is $fcx looking ?

Feeling very that I sold my SPY puts and went short FCX (copper) on Friday. That shit drops with the market and only gets a small pump when everything rips back up.

Look at DMA's (daily moving averages). Most commodity stocks are still above their resistance levels. I don't know what stocks you own but there is a real supply/demand issue. The Fed & other central banks are trying to start a depression to lower demand with a shrinking supply. That's their only option. Just like their transitory inflation J-boning 1 yr ago.

The steel stocks I own like $CLF & $GGB are most vulnerable. As Steel is a finished product and not a commodity.

$MOS & $IPI will pick up like all agriculture stocks once food prices spike.

$FCX or $VALE will move up once China starts full time manufacturing.

$GOLD, $KGC, $FSM, $AG, etc are precious metal stocks, They move based on the US 10 Yr.

All oil stocks will rebound after another 10-20% drop.

Everyone quotes Warren Buffet saying be greedy when others are fearful. That's a bs quote from him. His best quote and I'm paraphrasing is the stock market is a transfer of wealth from those that are patient from those that are impatient.

Are FCX and CLF going to rebound?

Best thing I did was sell some spy puts and buy long dated FCX puts.

Copper is gonna get clapped in the coming months as the global economic outlook gets bleaker and I’m gonna bank on if.

Add more FCX puts.

My FCX puts are fucked. Chilean copper miner Codelco gearing up for a nationwide strike.