US stock · Communication Services sector · Internet Content & Information
Company Logo

Groupon, Inc.

GRPNNASDAQ

12.07

USD
-0.45
(-3.59%)
Market Closed
5.47P/E
9Forward P/E
0.21P/E to S&P500
361.617MMarket CAP
- -Div Yield
Google Trends
Recent Reddit Comments

I keep seeing that GRPN has an intrinsic value of $20 per share.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN might be an ACTUAL 10 bagger

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Here are some implied moves for earnings next week with 944 companies set report:
$DIS 7.8%
$TTD 17.8%
$RBLX 21.3%
$SOFI 16.5%
$COIN 18.3%
$U 15.0%
$FVRR 19.9%
$YETI 13.5%
$DNUT 11.4%
$RIVN 19.3%
$BYND 17.4%
$SONO 13.0%
$BROS 13.9%
$APP 19.1%
$CYBR 14.5%
$AFRM 25.1%
$POSH 20.1%
$ACB 15.0%
$CODX 13.4%
$TOST 19.8%
$WYNN 8.2%
$MTTR 19.1%
$RKT 12.6%
$PLBY 26.7%
$ELY 9.4%
$AMC 16.1%
$UPST 26.3%
$PLUG 13.8%
$PTON 23.3%
$LI 11.0%
$PLNT 9.8%
$BLNK 13.3%
$CLOV 18.2%
$SPG 7.1%
$SDC 25.3%
$LMND 17.2%
$DDD 16.9%
$PUBM 17.8%
$RNG 17.3%
$GRPN 16.4%
$ATER 22.5%
$RICK 12.9%
$RAIL 19.7%
$PLTR 16.7%
$TSN 7.3%
$COTY 15.0%
$RIDE 22.0%

(And the explanation on how I get the implied moves and how I use them : https://www.optionmillionaires.com/implied-moves-earnings-explanation/ )

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Huge insider buying on GRPN rn. What do they know???

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

You said slow growth for GRPN 2 months ago, it has risen from 17 to 20.35$ till then so you were right on it, even if it wasnt bigger because of the market

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

If the market weren’t in chaos the last year everyone who followed my DDs would be millionaires I’m sure 😅 RIP UBER, VIAC/PARA, and GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

VIX futures and options, for steady monthly income. You have to know what you're doing though. (Stay away from any ETFs or ETNs based on it, please. That's amateur hour, and you'll get absolutely murdered if you don't know what you're doing.)

MTBCP - preferred shares of what used to be Medical Transcription Services I think, but now calls themselves Care Cloud. I buy when it gets to a 25 or 26 handle, sell when it goes to less than a 10% yield, which is mid 27ish if I remember right, wait for it to come down again when it does that, buy again. Steady monthly income here too.

GRPN - Nice income producer too. (Wat???) Buy it, sell covered calls at < 30 delta every week, nice steady stuff because its IV is high. If it goes up too much you have to cover the sold options, but that's a good problem to have. Nice and low now, obviously get out if it gets too high, which I'd say would be around 30 at this point. Probably due for a small dump as its been rising nicely for the last few weeks.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GPRO, BB, GRPN,PTON

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Groupon! It was grpn

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

All in GRPN.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

So I did the BP and GRPN based on your recommendation ( or the bot recommendation). I didn't like the other pick from my own deductions so I didn't trade on that. I made the money on those as well and I was hoping to see few more plays but you're right. It probably does need some tweaking. Thanks for sharing and I'll be looking forward to more of your posts.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN $18P are ITM now... even the $17p might become ITM before COB today

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Some implied moves(+/-) for earnings next week - 679 companies reporting:
$ZM 18.1%
$SNOW 12.6%
$AVGO 6.1%
$COST 4.1%
$AI 21.3%
$OKTA 10.3%
$SPLK 10.7%
$BOX 10.9%
$PLAN 18.7%
$ZUO 13.9%
$HEAR 25.5%
$KIDS 10.7%
$BBY 10.5%
$BILI 13.4%
$BURL 8.4%
$KR 7.5%
$BJ 10.3%
$BIG 14.5%
$GPS 13.2%
$SWBI 13.9%
$ESTC 17.2%
$VZIO 17.4%
$SE 15.6%
$AZO 5.3%
$BIDU 7.8%
$DPZ 7.4%
$IQ 14.9%
$EHTH 26.36%
$WKHS 16.8%
$ZIP 15.4%
$WW 15.9%
$SRPT 8.0%
$CDLX 19.6%
$PETQ 20.3%
$WDAY 10.4%
$DDD 19.7%
$AMBA 14.6%
$GRPN 14.0%
$BIGC 24.1%
$LCID 16.2%
$BLNK 12.5%
$SDC 19.0%
$RIDE 19.3%
$PRTY 20.3%
$ITRI 13.3%
$SAIL 14.2%
$AMRN 11.9%
$RDNT 11.7%
$IGT 12.1%
$PRGO 9.3%
$DLTR 8.7%
$ANF 12.2%
$DY 13.8%
$ICPT 45.4%
$HIBB 15.3%

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Some implied moves(+/-) for earnings next week - 679 companies reporting:

And the explanation on how I get the implied moves and how I use them : https://www.optionmillionaires.com/implied-moves-earnings-explanation/

&#x200B;

$ZM 18.1%
$SNOW 12.6%
$AVGO 6.1%
$COST 4.1%
$AI 21.3%
$OKTA 10.3%
$SPLK 10.7%
$BOX 10.9%
$PLAN 18.7%
$ZUO 13.9%
$HEAR 25.5%
$KIDS 10.7%
$BBY 10.5%
$BILI 13.4%
$BURL 8.4%
$KR 7.5%
$BJ 10.3%
$BIG 14.5%
$GPS 13.2%
$SWBI 13.9%
$ESTC 17.2%
$VZIO 17.4%
$SE 15.6%
$AZO 5.3%
$BIDU 7.8%
$DPZ 7.4%
$IQ 14.9%
$EHTH 26.36%
$WKHS 16.8%
$ZIP 15.4%
$WW 15.9%
$SRPT 8.0%
$CDLX 19.6%
$PETQ 20.3%
$WDAY 10.4%
$DDD 19.7%
$AMBA 14.6%
$GRPN 14.0%
$BIGC 24.1%
$LCID 16.2%
$BLNK 12.5%
$SDC 19.0%
$RIDE 19.3%
$PRTY 20.3%
$ITRI 13.3%
$SAIL 14.2%
$AMRN 11.9%
$RDNT 11.7%
$IGT 12.1%
$PRGO 9.3%
$DLTR 8.7%
$ANF 12.2%
$DY 13.8%
$ICPT 45.4%
$HIBB 15.3%

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

1847 Goedeker Inc

NYSEAMERICAN: GOED

PPS - $2.01 (Feb 21, 2022)


Mohawk Industries, Inc.

NYSE: MHK

PPS - $148.26 (Feb 21, 2022)


Groupon Inc Common Stock

NASDAQ: GRPN

PPS - $23.46 (Feb 21, 2022)


American Resources Corp

NASDAQ: AREC

PPS - $1.96 (Feb 21, 2022)

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

These idea’s are terrible! Having said that let me give my own terrible ideas!

GOED MHK GRPN

YOLO: AREC

This is not financial advise.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Interesting perspective. As an advertiser, I know there’s a ton of junk, display ads that offer limited value, but I can buy that for Pennies. I don’t see businesses leaving FB or Google so soon. CPMs have been driven down on more targeted ads over the last number of years. As a business owner the model still works for me.

And food for thought - I was a mortgage lender in 2003. I lived in Boiler Room. This, this does not feel like boiler room. The only thing this kinda feels like, is an inflationary period that may need to be forced into a recession, thereby making it tougher on businesses which means less advertising and more discounts, Groupons etc. to cash flow without having to pay for an ad.

To be clear I hold both GOOG and GRPN.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

only issue I have is with number 7.

been in it for 16 years and this is just hindsight bias. That is, just because you are holding something for long term, does not take out the risk and does not mean that you didn't make a bad buy. loon at grpn, ge, etc

you need to find balance with risk reward. In a good outcome like we have had, the market has rewarded high risk plays. However, IF you were just starting out in 2021 in tech, you wouldve been destroyed.

how these companies play out from here is anyones guess, but the main issue is IF you were all in, now you have to sit out for a few years.

if you dont take enough risk, then you dont perform well. Too much risk and you blow out. You need to find the middle, specific to your earning ability and situation.

tldr: plan to be wrong, position yourself accordingly, have some money for flexibility.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

How much was your margin on GRPN and how much was from your cash balance?

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Wrong. Look at the waybacachine. First snapshot on a trading day in 2016, which I was around for.

https://web.archive.org/web/20160301143952/https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/

We have glbl, sune, nbg, ebay, goro, grpn, tsla, uwti, ugaz, vrx, gold, pot stocks ON THE FIRST PAGE with reference to sune 10-k filing which I doubt most here even know what a 10-k is. It's over 90% discussion, literally better then I thought as I see NOT A SINGLE MEME and a SINGLE shitpost.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

It was because pypl did poorly on guidance. Grpn and square are partnered and grpn has shares of sumup. Look into next square earnings for slight rally. March is the fed meeting as well, there’s going to be a nice pop from there as well I guess

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Puts on GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GROUPON GRPN. ALIBABA BABA and FORD F in that order

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Everything I track looks like it’s within a standard deviation. Except grpn, which is 3x.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Can't post it but if you search GRPN on Google there's a SA article from late December basically making the same argument.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Going to YOLO $20k into calls… help me pick how teared Ed I should be.

MNMD 1/23 $2.5 GRPN 1/23 $35 COIN 1/23 $250 TLRY 1/23 $10

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Ive been trading since 06. Its been a learning curve and each year has bee progress. the thing holding me back has been my risk aversion, leading to small bets.

Ive had amd and nvda before they were "cool" .

3.50 and 11/12 per share. sold for a 20% profit in the year.

msft in its 60s.

I dont know if they will or not, thats the point. Look at sears, ge, gpro, grpn,bbry and many others that at the time of their downfall, someone like you said the exact same thing you are saying now. Are these companies different? in hindsight sure. At the time, not so much.

All I know is, today, the market is willing to pay 20-30x sales on companies that have no buy back plan or dividends. 20-30 years from now, people might not.

The returns that these companies have had has been in share price due to people buying shares. Aapl and msft issue dividends and do engage in buy backs, this is the return you should be looking at, since it is what keeps people holding shares and produces real value for holders.

If a company is just growing in share price but has limited earnings, the hope is at some point theyll return earnings to the holders, but this may never happen. If it isnt happening, then your only out is someone who is willing to pay more than you did. This last part is definitely likely, considering the sentiment has shifted to just throwing your money in etfs (which purchases these shares).

tldr: no one knows. share price is dependent on someone willing to pay more than what you paid.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

sears, blackberry, lehman, bearsterns, nortel, grpn, gopro, block buster, ge,, nokia, bac (still not at its peak)

not all monsters, but all were pretty popular/big.

look at some of the companies that recently crashed as well.

holding long term is a risk reduction strategy that gives you more time to be right. It doesnt mean you will be right.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN is starting to move. Take advantage of all them Karens trying to save money.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

who is still holding grpn for long term?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

My boomer relative pitched me GRPN and is bragging about how it's up 15% yesterday.

Am I retarded or is it indeed a shitty business? Both?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Are you kidding . GRPN peaked like 10 years ago. The majority of businesses don't come out ahead by partnering with GRPN, it is a garbage race business model

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Did anyone even use GRPN before the pandemic? How is it considered such a good recovery play?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Thoughts on $GRPN?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

I've been beating the drum about Groupon (GRPN). Glad to see respected analysts joining in!!

"Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) is a misunderstood Company that has been wrongly left for
dead due to an antiquated bear thesis and apathetic sell-side. Market participants
have completely overlooked the sizable and growing value of Groupon’s investment
in SumUp, and are significantly undervaluing the Company’s core business, which has
recently stabilized and is poised for significant growth. We believe shares are worth
at least $63.18 today and could exceed $98.00 in a conservative upside scenario.
-Prescience Point Research"

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

take money when its on the table. Reduce risk whenever you can.

Loving a stock long term is not a reason to not take profit. this is trader bias.

think of all the people who liked ge,lehman, grpn, etc long term.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Wowzers check out GRPN Groupon. Thought they were dead......big bullish research report out.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

All in GRPN. They're gonna need it

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Do you guys remember this company called Groupon?? Let's pump GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

$wish reminds me of $grpn 95% down from IPO never went up for once

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN. ALL IN

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Thanks for reminding me! Opening a position in them and possibly GRPN.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Nah, I disagree. I don’t own grpn, but I see it as a reopening stock. People love discounted activities. They just partnered with Square app. I can see small business utilizing it, trying to bring in new customers.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Bruh they are GRPN (take a look at that 5 year chart) without the strength of local deals. GRPN started letting anyone on their platform...and it all went to sh*t. Same thing has happened with WISH. Fool me once...shame...you know, the thing.

-3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Hello my fellow degens! $GRPN shorts are gonna get wrecked. Check the chart zoom out, 30 comes faster than your wife’s boyfriend

-9
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

A company like GRPN has a ton of cash but has performed terribly. Same with CRON.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN earnings beat (3rd beat in a row) and tons of cash on Groupon's balance sheet. Oh yeah, they also just announced a partnership with Google. I'm holding for the big pay off! Good luck, longs!!

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN and LCID

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Grpn 11/12 $30c check it

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

>Groupon, Google Team Up to Help Google Pay Users Grab Life by the Groupon(TM) $GRPN

^*Walter ^Bloomberg ^@DeItaone ^at ^2021-11-02 ^08:41:31 ^EDT-0400

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Some implies moves for earnings next week:

&#x200B;

$ROKU 9.1%
$PTON 9.7%
$SQ 6.8%
$ABNB 7.3%
$PINS 10.7%
$UBER 8.1%
$COIN 11.2%
$DKNG 7.6%
$PENN 7.0%
$MRNA 7.9%
$W 10.2%
$NET 11.5%
$MELI 7.8%
$FSLR 7.1%
$DBX 6.5%
$FTNT 8.3%
$DDOG 9.2%
$EXPE 8.2%
$RDFN 13.1%
$SHAK 9.0%
$ILMN 6.5%
$OLED 9.1%
$YELP 10.7%
$JYNT 13.6%
$UAA 9.9%
$RACE 5.1%
$CRSR 10.4%
$GRPN 16.7%
$AMC 11.6%
$APPS 12.1%
$ATVI 5.7%
$ZG 11.4%
$LYFT 8.2%
$REGN 4.7%
$LITE 7.1%
$PZZA 5.9%
$PLNT 7.8%
$K 4.5%
$LSPD 14.0%
$CARS 11.9%
$DOCN 13.1%
$VRTX 6.5%
$AYX 13.4%
$SEDG 12.0%
$MTCH 7.6%
$XPO 8.7%
$AMGN 3.3%
$MDLZ 2.7%
$PAYC 8.2%
$AKAM 6.1%
$EXAS 7.5%
$CVS 4.2%
$WING 9.0%
$MAR 4.6%
$NCLH 5.8%
$EXPI 16.3%
$LL 9.6%
$SMG 7.3%
$CPRI 9.8%
$TUP 14.8%
$QCOM 5.3%
$FSLY 13.7%
$SKLZ 14.0%
$TTWO 6.3%
$MGNI 16.3%
$EA 5.6%
$MGM 5.8%
$CAKE 10.0%
$QRVO 7.3%
$BKNG 5.0%
$HUBS 9.7%
$GDDY 8.3%
$CF 5.1%
$CGC 11.7%
$GOOS 9.0%
$JCI 3.9%
$NKLA 14.2%

124
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Some implied moves for earnings next week:

&#x200B;

$ROKU 9.1%
$PTON 9.7%
$SQ 6.8%
$ABNB 7.3%
$PINS 10.7%
$UBER 8.1%
$COIN 11.2%
$DKNG 7.6%
$PENN 7.0%
$MRNA 7.9%
$W 10.2%
$NET 11.5%
$MELI 7.8%
$FSLR 7.1%
$DBX 6.5%
$FTNT 8.3%
$DDOG 9.2%
$EXPE 8.2%
$RDFN 13.1%
$SHAK 9.0%
$ILMN 6.5%
$OLED 9.1%
$YELP 10.7%
$JYNT 13.6%
$UAA 9.9%
$RACE 5.1%
$CRSR 10.4%
$GRPN 16.7%
$AMC 11.6%
$APPS 12.1%
$ATVI 5.7%
$ZG 11.4%
$LYFT 8.2%
$REGN 4.7%
$LITE 7.1%
$PZZA 5.9%
$PLNT 7.8%
$K 4.5%
$LSPD 14.0%
$CARS 11.9%
$DOCN 13.1%
$VRTX 6.5%
$AYX 13.4%
$SEDG 12.0%
$MTCH 7.6%
$XPO 8.7%
$AMGN 3.3%
$MDLZ 2.7%
$PAYC 8.2%
$AKAM 6.1%
$EXAS 7.5%
$CVS 4.2%
$WING 9.0%
$MAR 4.6%
$NCLH 5.8%
$EXPI 16.3%
$LL 9.6%
$SMG 7.3%
$CPRI 9.8%
$TUP 14.8%
$QCOM 5.3%
$FSLY 13.7%
$SKLZ 14.0%
$TTWO 6.3%
$MGNI 16.3%
$EA 5.6%
$MGM 5.8%
$CAKE 10.0%
$QRVO 7.3%
$BKNG 5.0%
$HUBS 9.7%
$GDDY 8.3%
$CF 5.1%
$CGC 11.7%
$GOOS 9.0%
$JCI 3.9%
$NKLA 14.2%

34
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Idk, but the food industry is in need of a booster. $dnut $taco $wtrh $bros $ptlo $shak all of that. Look at $CMG numbers, reopening stocks. And $grpn

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN has had some huge moves. This is where the "mispriced" IV fails, going by IV some of GRPN's moves shouldn't happen in a 100 years. 4+ SD moves should be incredibly rare, but they aren't really.

You looked at IV over the last year. It also dropped from 40 to 65, to 45, to 20. IV crush isn't going to make up for that type of gap up.

I like selling straddles/strangles. I wouldn't do it on an underlying that has a tendency to move like this tho.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

The plotting of IV and RV and predicting FV is a great tip thanks! However when people say "edge" they usually mean a trade with expected value greater than 0 right? Can you say that for certain about the GRPN sample trade? Sure IV is inflated compared to RV so your PoP is high, but you don't really know exactly what it is right? Do you really have an edge in the GRPN trade?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Earnings should be the first week of November. If we get the beat on expectations -- and I don't see why it won't happen again -- I think there will be a short squeeze. Then again, GRPN often has a run-up prior to earnings, so it might happen a little sooner. I'm just looking forward to all those shorties losing their shirts.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Mark my words -- Groupon (GRPN) is going to skyrocket and burn the shorts trying to keep it down. They have more cash on the books than their market cap! More and more sales each quarter.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

This was the problem with Groupon.

It was valued as a tech company. But to grow to scale, it needed TONS of workers to keep calling and hounding mom and pop yoga studios to sign up to offer groupons.

And tons of these places would get burned by “one and done” value shoppers who would all flood the place on the last day the Groupon was valid, and these places wouldn’t ever offer another Groupon again.

So when investors really drilled down…growing to scale had tons of practical issues and cost realities.

I mean look at the stock of GRPN and ask yourself how that $500+ price back in 2011 is doing now (I’ll save you a click. It’s at $22 now).

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN. Mark me

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

I remember my business professor made us follow the IPO of GRPN back in 2011 and he absolutely despised the company and the initial VCs for some reason. It made me feel good to see it drop from $20 down to $5 and lower just a couple years later.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Hey. It's me. $APRN. The 2.0 version of $GRPN.

8
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

I am a bot from /r/wallstreetbets. You submitted one or more banned tickers: GRPN.

                            Message /u/zjz if they're above 1.5 billion-ish market cap and not related to crypto/pennies/OTC/SPACs.
1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

I am a bot from /r/wallstreetbets. You submitted one or more banned tickers: GRPN.

                            Message /u/zjz if they're above 1.5 billion-ish market cap and not related to crypto/pennies/OTC/SPACs.
1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

For reference, here are the positions with the most losses: https://imgur.com/a/dSxOeUi

I basically bought shares and kept averaging down (way too early) on margin for GRPN, CSRN, and CRDF. The MOMO and BZUN losses were related to the recent shit that Chinese stocks have been taking.

To be fair, I was up roughly 65K by June of this year and got way too confident and greedy. My actual YTD losses are closer to 35K, which is still bad, but more tolerable.

5
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

I do. GRPN+CRDF+CRSR+JWN are the primary culprits.

4
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

This is really the part that changed the entire set up for me..

People here have brought up the fear of over leveraging, and they are right.

The reason why we people don’t like selling PCS here is because, sure you save buying power but what will you do with that money while it’s not being used as AAPL collateral?

And if you are using the money that would otherwise be used for taking assignment, what will you do if you have to take assignment?

These are all valid points, what good is capital efficiency if you don’t have the capital to take assignment (you are using it elsewhere)?

I thought about this a lot, and the solution I came up with was to slowly widen the strike, taking profits on the long put as it takes on more and more profit.

The best example I have is the Groupon position because it friggin tanked. I mean hard. Look at that chart, I sold a $38p/$37p on Aug 6th since then it has been cut in half. (I mentioned the $40/$39p, I sold that one as well, but the $38/$37p I sold is easier to follow)

Since this is the absolute worst case scenario, I will outline this trade here to show you how it unfolded:

GRPN 9/17 strike

Sell the $38/$37p (+$0.46) {implied b/e: $37.54}

Sell the $37p/$36p (+$0.87) {implied b/e:$36.67}

Sell the $36/$35p (+$0.80) {imp. B/e: $35.87}

Sell the $35/$34p (+$0.92) {imp. B/e: $34.95}

Sell the $34p/$33p (+$0.65) {imp. B/e: $34.3}

Sell the $33p/$32p (+$0.85) {imp. B/E: $33.45}

Sell the $32/$31p (+$0.82) {imp. B/E: $32.63}

Sell the $31/$30p (+$0.90) {imp. B/e: $31.73}

Sell the $30/$25p (+$3.75) {imp. B/e: $27.95}

Sell the $25p/$24p (+$0.65) {imp. B/e: $27.33}

Sell the $24/$23p (+$0.59) {imp. B/e: $26.74}

Sell the $23/$22p ($0.45) {imp. B/e: $26.29}

*assignment risk, rolled to 10/15

Close the 9/17 $38/22p,

Open the 10/15 $38/21p. (-$0.23) imp. B/e: $26.52

——

And that’s where my position currently stands.

A couple of notes:

My original position here, had I opened it up as a naked put or CSP, would have been selling the $38p for $2.55. My break even would have been $35.45.

The improvement from long put profits was $9.16 (26%) until I was forced to roll strikes because of assignment risk (the short put had very little extrinsic value left).

What makes this strategy unique is that it is cash secured. It increases delta with each roll, so it is very similar to DCA.

Also, if GRPN gets over $26, I will have an opportunity to close this position at a significant annualized win.

This was obviously a lot of adjustments because this position has been a nightmare for me, but it is an example of how even in the worst case scenario, management of a PCS can repair a trade from a loser to a winner, while the insta-winners that you get are very lucrative.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

You are right, selling PCS is the most capital efficient way to enter into a long position (assuming you are willing to take assignment worst case scenario).

There are many here boo-hooing you and saying you are reducing your premium. Not true. On a percentage of risk basis, you are increasing your premium on an “expire otm” winner.

Your only scenario that this is less efficient in a PCS entry than a CSP entry is if the long put never takes on any gains. To this I say, you should probably reduce the width of the spread on entry so that the long put takes on gains when the short put is threatened.

Personally, I start in the 7dte cycle, when threatened I spread one strike and roll to the 14, when further threatened, spread one strike and roll to 21.

At some point I de-hedge by selling the long and only keeping the short put.

In this instance, I have always come out with excess gains to the original CSP, although the caveat is that the longer you wait to roll the better your break even will be.

This is because each roll costs you extrinsic value to roll, although that is offset by the credit received for increase in risk from widening the spread.

If you were to sell the $125/$124 and only sold the long put in case of taking assignment, and Apple fell to $120, your break even would be around $120 whereas if you only sold the CSP your break even would only be strike minus premium received.

Proof: I sold GRPN $40p/$39p day after earnings when they spiked to $41. GRPN is currently trading at $22.70 and my current breakeven on the trade is ~$26. Had I sold the $40p CSP my breakeven would have been around $38.

Hope this helps, 100% of my trades are done with this set up, so I have a lot to say on the topic.

6
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Groupon (GRPN) has a market cap of $731MM, and a cash position of $851MM. I think institutions (73% ownership) and insiders are pushing it down to buy shares on the cheap. I'm loading up!!

0
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Two squeeze candidates on watch for today. Need to break key levels TLRY: 14.19+ GRPN: 25.17+

-12
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Not too late to get into GRPN. Real squeeze will occur at 25.17+

-1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Well shiiiiiiit, my two stocks (TLRY & GRPN) are red. Sup with you guys? Everybody have a good weekend?

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Roll your gains into GRPN. She’s coiled up and ready to pop

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

$AMD and $GRPN. $AMD has to run about 35% relative to $NVDA to reach the same gain as $NVDA did from the low of March 8. $GRPn has been beaten down heavily and I have got some sort of 6th sense saying it will be either bought by a mega cap company or an activist will be a large shareholder like it happened with $GME.

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

All in $GRPN.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

18% short interest on $GRPN. Big one guys to take it to the moon.

-5
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Swinging some GRPN. Still oversold on most timeframes

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Currently have the following limit orders, with buy amounts that would be equivalent to 1%-2% of my portfolio

DFEN @ 20 IVR @ 2.85 NCMI @ 2.25 NTB @ 30 VWAPY @ 20 GRPN @ 18

Any red flags in there? Or just straight up stupid ones?

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Grabbed some GRPN, she’s far too oversold on all timeframes

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Yeah. You definitely can't force a trade. The main reason I haven't blown up my account this time around is by sticking to my stop losses. No more hoping and praying it goes back in my direction after being down 40%.

I still trip up sometimes though. Last week, a friend was telling me that he was in on GRPN calls before earnings. He was up 80% the next day but it just crashed. All of his contracts are basically worthless now. I decided to get in a 'recovery play' even though I didn't see any of the signals that the downtrend was reversing. I went against my rule and held overnight. It never recovered and I lost 90%, all of my gains from the entire week.

Thankfully, dumb plays like that are not happening as often because I usually talk myself out of it. What I've learned is that discipline won't guarantee success but discipline over emotion is needed for success.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

What’s up with grpn?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN beat earnings and got dumped HARD. The RSI right now is in the bottom 50 stocks out of 8224 covered on finviz. With short interest 15%, seems like a great candidate to buy FD’s on a buck out…big player will cover or skmeone will step in

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

What the hell is going on with GRPN

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

Grpn

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

$GRPN, $ZR, AND $AMD, some $VIAC on the side.

3
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

$GRPN incredible earnings, about to surge.

2
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

$GRPN. Killer earnings and this is just the beginning. How is this only a 1 billion dollar market cap?

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN looks like it may kill it tmrw.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

grpn, bbry

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

You should have received $10 to $15 as cash in lieu payment for the 11/20th share of stock, since GRPN was in the $20s after the reverse split in June 2020.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

You can make money on anything.

risk management is key.

While this is relatively "cheap" compared to other valuations, this could also be a gpro grpn type of stock.

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

THIS! CRSR is a gold mine. But I dont like all of the insider sales in the past few weeks.

Having said that, take a look into GRPN. I went long on GRPN last July, still am, and its been wonderful to me. Only 29m total shares outstanding of which 87% is held by institutions.

4
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN

0
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow

GRPN. People love coupons for CBD gummies and a 5 pack of lounge shorts

1
Reply
Share
Report
Save
Follow
Recent Tweets
$GRPN 100% Win rate on 3 trades in 1 month. Profit Factor with no losses, rating is Bearish. Start free trial at https://t.co/t5kOjgsWN3 https://t.co/vzwvk0gbrq
0
0
0
$GRPN https://t.co/A8JukzTjQQ Groupon Inc The model has predicted that this companie s stock price value has a positive short term outlook and is poised to gain long term positive momentum #money #forex #startup
0
0
0
$GRPN's price moved below its 50-day Moving Average on May 3, 2022. View odds for this and other indicators: https://t.co/jFW4iHT1vE #Groupon https://t.co/imaJBqioiz
0
0
0
DailyDown5 $FRPT $62.99 -5.32% -4.49% -44.68% -37.18% 33.80 $FTCH $7.87 -9.44% -11.37% -39.88% -61.23% 35.99 $GRPN $11.53 -7.91% -21.88% -41.59% -57.17% 28.22 $JWN $21.17 -6.45% -11.75% -26.37% -6.49% 34.56 $KSS $39.37 -12.59% -18.72% -35.01% -34.08% 25.77
0
0
0
DailyDown5 $ELYS $1.10 -9.09% -13.39% -46.08% -66.97% 29.03 $FLWS $9.21 -6.88% -15.43% -33.21% -43.22% 32.84 $FRPT $62.36 -6.27% -5.44% -45.24% -37.81% 33.39 $FTCH $7.85 -9.67% -11.60% -40.03% -61.33% 35.91 $GRPN $11.79 -5.83% -20.12% -40.27% -56.20% 28.86
0
0
0
DailyDown5 $FIVE $115.28 -6.57% -21.03% -37.33% -32.23% 25.08 $FRPT $61.40 -7.71% -6.90% -46.08% -38.77% 32.79 $FTCH $7.68 -11.57% -13.46% -41.29% -62.14% 35.30 $GRPN $11.87 -5.23% -19.61% -39.89% -55.92% 29.05 $GTHX $4.96 -5.79% 7.70% -28.97% -52.31% 41.82
0
0
0
DailyDown5 $GNRC $212.15 -5.16% -6.33% -18.32% -23.33% 40.79 $GRPN $11.62 -7.19% -21.27% -41.13% -56.84% 28.44 $GTHX $4.94 -6.26% 7.16% -29.33% -52.55% 41.58 $HAS $81.07 -6.56% -11.98% -8.59% -15.95% 35.06 $JOBY $5.13 -6.22% -3.75% -6.39% -15.07% 48.44
0
0
0
$GRPN Showing Recent Insider Activity. See which insider was Bought $52.6M worth of shares in the last 3 months. https://t.co/1tBF59boOm $GRPN #GRPN #insidertrading
0
0
0
$GRPN is short sale restricted for 2022-05-19. https://t.co/CM9fY0ZIqk
0
0
0
Bear Forecasts May 19, 2022 08:22:00 PDT 🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻 ticker : log change intraday $IDT : -2.24 $NUE : 0.73 $GRPN : -2.76 $PRU : -1.30 $CEQP : 2.38 $SEAS : 1.99 $FDN : 2.19 $HON : -0.52 $HZO : -1.19 $CROX : -0.27
0
0
0
Groupon, Inc's quarterly revenue growth rate YoY of -41.90% ranked 3811 out of 5731 companies in our database. https://t.co/7zPeZOcNW2 $GRPN 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/oLNEgsfkpc
0
0
0
$GRPN Bullish AF on it now.. These two bought 1.65 Million shares a few days ago.. someone always knows something .. added a few to the longs here.. https://t.co/ajTGkTQnjk https://t.co/gB86Az9zv2
0
0
4
$GRPN - Groupon, Inc. 2022 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation. https://t.co/RA7SRaJRRe #trading #investing #finance
0
0
0
Cheap call option upside: $GRPN calls cheaper than 89% of history, $PBR 89%, $VXX 89%, $JNJ 89%, $XLU 89%, $CF 89%, $KHC 88%
0
0
1
SweepCast 🦍 Unusual Options Observed : $GRPN with our scanner on $18 CALL Expiring: 06/17/2022 worth 32K🐂 Start Your Trial today on https://t.co/pSB4hAOvHI & Follow Us #stockstowatch #stockmarket https://t.co/4BMPwbML2b
0
2
2
Twitter's on the Rise: $LUNA Price: $5.38 Mentions: 3 $GRPN Price: $14.76 Mentions: 3 $PTON Price: $15.87 Mentions: 3 $SPHS Price: None Mentions: 3 $RMTI Price: $2.02 Mentions: 3 #stocks #investing #trading
0
0
1
Insider Buying: Groupon, Inc. $GRPN Major Shareholder Buys 160,000 Shares of Stock https://t.co/SNtXbumtZU
0
0
0
all these companies are very weak vs $spy $ITOS $14MIL insider selling $PARR $11.4 SELLING $BFIN $28 MIL BUYING $MCK $3 MIL SELLING $GRPN $23.5 MIL SELLING I understand the selling.
0
0
1