JPM and HPQ wouldn't have been filled at the posted target price, though...

Just want to let you know, I appreciate you posting these, I have had a few successes based on what you post. And some that I wish I had bought... FOMO is real haha

You had JPM and HPQ on the list a few days ago and I put that on the watchlist instead of actually going through with it but they are sitting fat right now

​

|WSM|15.00%|discretionary; luxury| |:-|:-|:-| |BPOP|13.00%|financial; bank| |MED|11.00%|discretionary; diet| |HPQ|10.00%|tech; computers| |QFIN|9.00%|financial; lender| |GSK|9.00%|health; pharma| |NRG|7.00%|utilities; energy| |PBR|7.00%|oil| |ATKR|6.00%|industrial; products| |BWMX|6.00%|discretionary; catalog| |DQ|5.00%|material; solar| |cash|2.00%||

(32% discretionary; 22% financial; 11% materials; 10% tech; 9% health; 7% utilities; 7% oil)

(48% mid cap; 33% large cap; 17% small cap)

(36% ex-us)(14% china; 9% uk; 7% brazil; 6% mexico)

DELL, C, HPQ, INTC, MMM, KRC, META

AI stocks includes big boys from tech. I personally own Amazon, Tesla, Google, Meta and Uber.

Many companies use AI, like Coinbase, which uses AI to automate customer support.

3D printing, perhaps Xerox and HPQ.

Industrial Additive Manufacturing is the place to look. Specifically in medal 3D printers that can scale up in size. Even better if they can print under melting point, so LPBF companies are out. Binder Jetting such as Desktop Metal (DM) and HP (HPQ) are a good start. Meld, Spee3D, and Fabrisonic are some others to look at though they aren't public yet. Just keep an eye on them.

HPQ lost all of its gains 🤡

Is HPQ a buy? Considering selling some puts, but it looks like the stock went up after earnings announcement...

Low and hpq puts are my play today for earnings. Lowe’s had to sell the Canadian operations for a billion dollar loss while hp computer sales are in the shits. Both up right now

I remember at least since 2019 Buffett was being asked why is he not deploying his massive pile of cash and his reply was that equities are just too expensive right now. That is market timing by definition. Refusing to buy quality companies because you want to wait for better price. But that was 2019, with sub 2% inflation. Now with inflation we have and holding $130b in cash? Interesting strategy. So he is one of the biggest market timers for several years now. But OK, if you don't want to buy anything that's fine, we all know what a slow growth companies with massive excess of cash ought to be doing. Distribute cash to your shareholders via dividend! Do what you preach when it comes to other companies. You might say, well BRK is an assets management firm, not your typical business, they need some dry powder for well timed acquisitions. But then how come that BAM, BX, BLK, KKR. APO and many others somehow manage to grow their portfolios of companies / assets and at the same time distribute generous dividend. Not that I care too much as I'm not a Berkshire shareholder but as his age Buffett seems to be willing to sit on his pile of cash until he dies. Which is an odd strategy to me. If I was holding an assets manager I would want that firm to use the cash in productive ways instead of trying to time exact bottom to buy something. Not that he wasn't buying things of course. From memory in the last few years he bought PARA, SNOW, HPQ and other interesting choices.

​

|MED|18.00%|discretionary; diet| |:-|:-|:-| |WSM|12.00%|discretionary; luxury| |HPQ|11.25%|tech; computers| |QFIN|9.25%|financial; lender| |BPOP|9.25%|financial; bank| |AGRO|7.50%|staple; farming| |GSK|7.50%|health; pharma| |NRG|7.50%|utilities; gas| |PBR|6.50%|oil| |ALL|5.50%|financial; insurance| |OLN|4.75%|material; chemical|

Update on my portfolio. I make adjustments after every quarter.

Replaced HIG with OLN. OLN is at a better valuation.

I sold HPQ at the top after AAPL earnings expecting HPQ earnings to be disappointing. I'll pick it back up a day or two after earnings tomorrow.

When MED dropped -13% in one day, I doubled my position and did well when it recovered, then adjusted my position back to 18%. I rarely swing trade like that, but it worked out this time.

I'm holding a lot of discretionary now. Would prefer to hold less in this climate, but I don't really pick stocks based on sectors.

Found and removed one ticker below minimum cap*

Some companies reporting earnings this week not listed on the typical earnings calendars:

Monday After Close: Progyny (PGNY), Vimeo (VMEO)

Tuesday Before Open: SeaWorld (SEAS), Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Bank of Montreal (BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), New Fortress Energy (NFE), Cronos Group (CRON), ADT (ADT)

Tuesday After Close: HP (HPQ), Ross Stores (ROST), Rocket Lab USA (RKLB), Rocket Companies (RKT), Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE), GoodRx (GDRX), Nextdoor (KIND), CarGurus (CARG), Eventbrite (EB), Grocery Outlet (GO), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Duolingo (DUOL), VIZIO (VZIO)

Wednesday Before Open: Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV), Royal Bank of Canada (RY)

Wednesday After Close: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), Rush Street Interactive (RSI), Funko (FNKO)

Thursday Before Open: Polestar Automotive (PSNY), Utz Brands (UTZ), Hormel Foods (HRL), Six Flags (SIX), Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Thursday After Close: The Cooper Companies (COO), Samsara (IOT)

Friday Before Open: N/A

Oxy cost bby calls hpq dell puts

AVERAGE EARNINGS MOVE | LAST MOVE | IMPLIED MOVE FROM ATM OPTIONS PRICING

2023-02-27

$OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corporation: 5.4% | 9.29% | 6.05%

$ZM | Zoom Video Communications Inc: 15.91% | 9.87% | 13.29%

$PGR | Progressive Corporation: 3.22% | 2.48% | 4.67%

$HEI | HEICO Corp: 5.32% | 4.12% | 5.47%

$TGT | Target Corp: 6.84% | 12.17% | 8.68%

$WDAY | Workday Inc: 7.63% | 18.15% | 7.78%

$OKE | ONEOK Inc: 4.02% | 2.56% | 5.03%

2023-02-28

$HPQ | HP Inc: 6.94% | 5.34% | 6.13%

$SRE | Sempra Energy: 3.26% | 0.64% | 5.09%

$CPNG | Coupang Inc: 15.84% | 26.05% | 12.8%

$RKT | Rocket Companies Inc: 8.15% | 4.55% | 10.55%

$MNST | Monster Beverage Corporation: 6.62% | 9.36% | 6.91%

$AZO | AutoZone Inc: 4.9% | 0.89% | 5.82%

$BNS | Bank Nova Scotia Halifax: 3.27% | 3.04% | 5.7%

$A | Agilent Technologies: 4.14% | 6.99% | 6.57%

$AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc: 10.5% | 10.14% | 20.39%

$VRSK | Verisk Analytics Inc: 4.78% | 7.57% | 5.18%

$BMO | Bank of Montreal: 2.88% | 2.73% | 4.83%

2023-03-01

$OKTA | Okta Inc: 12.37% | 25.89% | 13.14%

$CRM | Salesforce Com Inc: 6.33% | 11.34% | 7.32%

$SNOW | Snowflake Inc: 8.55% | 8.41% | 10.89%

$VEEV | Veeva Systems Inc: 9.51% | 15.87% | 10.09%

$LOW | Lowes Companies Inc: 4.97% | 7.25% | 5.55%

$DLTR | Dollar Tree Inc: 8.74% | 7.69% | 8.06%

$RY | Royal Bank of Canada: 2.34% | 1.85% | 3.88%

$NIO | : 16.81% | 18.49% | 11.64%

2023-03-02

$KR | Kroger Co: 7.11% | 8.47% | 5.56%

$BBY | Best Buy Company: 9.27% | 15.28% | 8.04%

$TD | Toronto Dominion Bank: 2.85% | 2.21% | 4.15%

$BURL | Burlington Stores Inc: 10.83% | 19.48% | 8.7%

$AVGO | Broadcom Inc: 6.05% | 1.61% | 4.83%

$HRL | Hormel Foods Corporation: 5.25% | 4.57% | 3.69%

$HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company: 6.57% | 9.13% | 6.61%

$CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources Ltd: 4.64% | 2.48% | 7.17%

$DELL | Dell Technologies Inc: 7.34% | 10.18% | 7.28%

$VMW | Vmware Inc: 6.35% | 1.16% | 4.22%

$ZS | Zscaler Inc: 16.56% | 22.15% | 12.25%

$MRVL | Marvell Technology Group Ltd: 6.42% | 9.49% | 8.75%

$COST | Costco Wholesale Corporation: 3.44% | 3.5% | 3.74%

Additive manufacturing 2.0 has arrived. Metal 3D printing. I suspect a lot of what's being made overseas will be made here. And most of the jobs will be pretty good. Not manual labor, but 3D printer maintenance. DM, HPQ, VLD, SHPW, and others.

Further to my last post, my watchlist companies that are already over analysts' 12 month targets (=negative price expectations/good shorts)...REGN, GM, SI, MTH, HPQ, MU, ROKU, UAL, W, SPOT

I think their HPQ position was similarly short lived.

I bought hpq 1 week before he did because I’m the best investor on the fucking planet

Pick one or four of these.

Lmao i bought HPQ puts thinking they report today but ita HP

HPQ

INTC

META

DELL

HPQ

C

​

|MED|16.75%| |:-|:-| |QFIN|13.50%| |NRG|12.25%| |HPQ|11.25%| |WSM|9.00%| |BPOP|8.00%| |GSK|8.00%| |AGRO|7.00%| |PBR|5.75%| |ALL|3.75%| |HIG|3.75%|

Portfolio update. Took gains on META and sold. Added GSK and HIG.

It's about 1/3 ex-us holdings now.

QFIN has been my biggest winner the past quarter at +51%. NRG being my biggest loser at -14%. I believe people overreacted when selling NRG after their recent acquisition, so I upped my position.

Berkshire got fucked on their HPQ buy. they bought $4.2 billion April 6 around $35 a share. Its $27 now so as far as that trade is considered, Warren belongs here.

19 years old and started investing in October.

18% AAPL, 18% AMZN, 22% TSM, 7% APLE, 6% HPQ, 5% REXR, 1% T, 3% V, 3% CSX, 2% CMCSA, 15% AMT.

I plan on buying VOO, VTI, VPU, VIG, WM, WT, PG, UL, and GOOGL. I would love if someone can give me some advice and one thing I really want to learn is how to calculate the intrinsic value of a company. Thanks!

Love it... It's like a consolidated value picks portfolio chock full of superinvestor favorites. I don't think that in itself is a negative or positive factor, but looking at each pick individually I think you've picked really well. I'm assuming by FANG you mean Diamondback Energy and not the tech companies. Anyway, looks like you've done some solid work.

I personally only own PARA out of these. I've looked at some of these like BN, BAM, GEO, and HPQ and they basically seem attractive but I just kind find comfort with understanding the business prospects. Can I ask you why are BN and BAM your biggest 2? What is so appealing to you exactly? Also I see a lack of META/GOOG/other big tech plays. Any thoughts you can share on why that is the case? Is it just a risk-reward play or what do you feel?

https://i.imgur.com/kJ1BGIN.png

LMFAO Warren Buffett is a Bagholder of the Hewlett-Packard, HP stock $HPQ who bought at the literal top @ $40.00 and currently trading at $26 bucks.

"Warren Buffett bought $4.2 billion worth of HP (NYSE: HPQ) equity in April 2022, when the stock was trading at about $40/share."

27 years old and investing for 5 years now. This is my equity portfolio:

15 cash (for bargain opportunities) BN 15% BAM 10.5% OVV 9.65% QRTEA 8% GEO 7.27% FANG 6.66% ATVI 5.83% WBD 4.95% FG 4.82% STLA 4.19% HPQ 3.65% PARA 2.38%

For every stock in my portfolio I have done extensive research and I can tell you everything you want to know about the stock or my specific size in the portfolio. Feel free to ask so we can both learn

The best one is HPQ.

Why did HPQ jump after hours?

​

|||| |:-|:-|:-| |17.25%|MED|discretionary; diet| |12.25%|QFIN|financial; loans| |10.25%|HPQ|tech; computers| |10.25%|BPOP|financial; bank| |8.25%|WSM|discretionary; luxury| |8.25%|NRG|utility; energy| |7.25%|META|tech; internet| |6.25%|ALL|financial; insurance| |6.25%|AGRO|staple; farming| |5.25%|PBR|oil| |4.25%|AMN|healthcare; staffing| |4.25%|IAU|gold|

(12.25% China, 11.50% South America) (7.50% dividend)

Location is going to be everything. Have you watched this video explaining how he started his coffee cart? https://youtu.be/HPq05GXUgL8

Well, there's a lot of ways to determine the intrinsic value of a stock. The pe ratio, do they have enough money to cover their short term and long term liabilities, has their dividend increased at a stable rate for the past ten years. Also what their business model is, if they are an established brand or not etc.. Also there are plenty of stocks that pay good dividends to hold long-term like KO, MCD, BBY, HSY, HPQ and more. All of which are good sound businesses. By the way that liquidity argument is very dumb, is apple just going to liquidate out of the blue? is Costco? I don't think you're looking at stocks the right way

Everything in your watchlist had earnings beats and thus make sense to be on your list.

All of tech is not “over owned” and should be individually assessed based on earnings results and forecasts as well. See Aapl, csco, Dell and hpq earnings for example.

Just think. It wasn't that long ago that HP consisted of hpe hpq+ keysight + agilent

Look at the latter to see what happens when you cut and run from the old guard bloat at the mother ship

HPQ beat EPS and revenue. Oh yea.

So looks like HPQ fucked my puts, JWN and GES puts printing, call side not so much, flipped DWAC for a 2 bagger to the tune of like $1400 today, doubled down on BBY $78p and grabbed 7dte SPY 399p, sus low volume pp won't shake me out like they did 6 weeks ago. All in a decent day for my port

Puts on HPQ’s CEO voice

$HPQ, you regard

HPQ plans job cuts

🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

HPQ

4Q Adj EPS 85C, EST. 84C

Plans 4,000-6,000 Job Cuts by End of Fiscal 2025

Sees 1Q Adj EPS 70C to 80C, EST. 86C

Raises Quarterly Dividend 5% To 26.25C/Share, EST. 28C

I just placed some puts on HPQ so it's ok for me

JWM ADSK or HPQ gambles anyone?

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Ah that makes much sense… I had 37.5 probably gonna drop but I hope not by much? And hope there isn’t a rally in the morning. Are BBY and HPQ your only other earnings plays? I didn’t have any thought I’d take a shot at this one

Their guidance was shit, I have some $40p that should still be green, but basically they're guiding down 16% on Consumer and commercial products amongst other things, one big P&D ah, I expect my BBY and HPQ puts to print also

AVERAGE EARNINGS MOVE | LAST MOVE | IMPLIED MOVE FROM ATM OPTIONS PRICING
2022-11-21
$SJM | JM Smucker Company: 5.88% | 4.43% | 5.98%
$ZM | Zoom Video Communications Inc: 16.41% | 18.98% | 13.88%
$DELL | Dell Technologies Inc: 6.51% | 14.23% | 10.27%
$A | Agilent Technologies: 3.97% | 6.36% | 7.45%
2022-11-22
$BBY | Best Buy Company: 9.58% | 11.1% | 9.84%
$HPQ | HP Inc: 5.99% | 7.37% | 7.44%
$DLTR | Dollar Tree Inc: 8.77% | 11.89% | 9.79%
$ADI | Analog Devices Inc: 3.77% | 5.49% | 4.09%
$MDT | Medtronic PLC: 3.83% | 3.83% | 4.0%
$LU | Lufax Holding Ltd: 9.09% | 6.25% | 47.75%
$GES | Guess Inc: 19.43% | 4.42% | 14.8%
$DY | Dycom Industries Inc: 14.98% | 5.37% | 12.6%
$JACK | Jack in the Box Inc: 6.91% | 9.23% | 10.63%
$BURL | Burlington Stores Inc: 9.45% | 11.08% | 11.58%
$AMWD | American Woodmark Corp: 11.97% | 15.18% | 13.26%
$ANF | Abercrombie and Fitch Co: 15.35% | 18.66% | 13.92%
$ADSK | Autodesk Inc: 7.34% | 0.69% | 7.74%
$AVXL | Anavex Life Sciences Corporation: 10.53% | 10.62% | 14.53%
$JWN | Nordstrom Inc: 12.22% | 23.74% | 16.85%
2022-11-23
$DE | Deere and Co: 6.42% | 0.87% | 5.74%

• TROW
• BBY
• WBA
• CMI
• MMM
• HPQ
• INTC

Thanks for the comment. The issue I'm facing is I'm unsure exactly how to balance my portfolio.

Like you mentioned, some of the stocks and sectors I hold will surely continue to do well in a extended bear market. But I also have the stocks and sectors that are down -30-40% (I didn't buy them at their height) that will explode upwards when the market sentiment becomes more bullish (though this may be a while).

So if I were to hold only stocks and sectors that are defensive, then I'd be ignoring the deep value in stocks like MED, WSM, HPQ. But in turn, if I were to focus only on these deep value stocks, then I will likely suffer during an extended bear market.

COKE, AGRO, NRG, AMN, CMCSA, ALL; these are my defensive plays. While MED, WSM, HPQ, BPOP, PBR are my offensive plays.

So I'm about 53.25% defense. Though MED and WSM have both sometimes done well during bear markets.

It's difficult figuring out how to balance the deep value offensive plays with the moderately valued defensive plays. If I go all defensive, then I'd be missing the stocks that I think are great businesses and that are down -30-40% --but these stocks will likely continue to do poorly in a recession --but then again, they may be near their bottom.

he bought HPQ at like 35. It's not down that much.

One of my largest positions

HPQ

​

|||| |:-|:-|:-| |BPOP|14.75%|financial; bank| |MED|10.75%|discretionary; diet| |ALL|10.75%|financial; insurance| |HPQ|9.25%|tech; computers| |MNDO|8.00%|tech; software| |NXST|8.00%|comm; broadcast| |LH|8.00%|healthcare; labs| |SBGI|6.50%|comm; broadcast| |SFM|6.50%|staple; grocery| |META|6.50%|comm; social| |NRG|6.50%|utility; gas| |cash|4.50%||

(25.50% financial; 21.00% communication; 17.25% tech; 10.75% discretionary; 8.00% health; 6.50% staple; 6.50% utility)

HPQ going up. Seems people are expecting it to do well like AAPL. Very nice

Why HPQ clifford yesterday just to hulk today lol

Tickers of Interest - TL;DR

Gamma Max Cross

• AAPL 11/18 155P for $3.95 or less
• XOM 11/18 110P for $2.90 or less
• NCLH 11/18 16.5P for $0.85 or less
• LCID 11/18 14P for $0.75 or less
• LUV 11/18 36P for $1.20 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• XLF 11/18 34P for $0.65 or less
• IYR 11/18 84P for $1.70 or less
• HPQ 11/18 28P for $0.80 or less
• SPWR 11/18 17P for $0.85 or less
• ABR 11/18 12.5P for $0.15 or less

Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
• The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.

FAQ - Because others have already asked.

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
• You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean?
  • The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not.
• Where are the crayons? I only see words.
  • Click the links above.
• Have you back-tested this?
  • Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.7), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error)
• What is the historical performance?
  • The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.85 with a 67% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 49% and 72%. (Stats as of 2022-10-28)

I’m looking for some advice. I have 20k right now to invest in stock market. Already have a couple single stocks and some etfs. Right now I’m looking for a mid level risk, volatility and with upside. So not unprofitable speculative, high volatility/risk down 80% like a sofi, but also not some blue chip like PG or KO. I’m thinking roughly 40% drop ytd with some upside, Salesforce, Workday, HPQ, maybe MasterCard, Texas Instruments or even Dow chemical. I know that’s vague but everything I Own is either apple or sofi. I want to hit a middle area of mid tier bargain and some growth potential.

All are roughly 1-3% of the account:

ALL

ALLY

BABA

BLK

C

CROX

CVS

EAF

FL

GOOG

GS

HBI

HEAR

HPQ

HUN

INTC

META

MO

PARA

PYPL

SNBR

SWBI

URBN

WBA

And like 42% cash

Or hpq at &25. ride it up to $30 then sell. It’s set for a bounce.

​

|Large Caps||| |:-|:-|:-| |ALL|11.75%|financial| |HPQ|10.00%|tech| |LH|8.25%|healthcare| |HIG|6.50%|financial| |PBR|6.50%|energy| |Med/Small Caps||| |BPOP|15.25%|financial| |EBS|10.00%|healthcare| |SFM|10.00%|defensive| |TPX|8.25%|discretionary| |MNDO|6.50%|tech| |MED|4.75%|discretionary| |cash|2.25%||

(5.50% dividend) (33.50% financials; 18.25% healthcare; 16.50% tech; 13.00% discretionary; 10.00% staples; 6.50% energy)

And consider that Berkshire has already taken a 11.4% stake in HPQ - Buffet might complete this acquisition, or gobble up a bit more at these prices.

Look at what happened to HPQ stock from October 20th to the 21st last year. They raised their dividend from $0.1938 to $0.25 per quarter - and their stock went up $2+ the next day, as the NASDAQ had a slight up day as well.

October 19th, 2022 is when I expect history to repeat itself.

I'm not a financial adviser.

​

|Large Caps|| |:-|:-| |ALL|20.00%| |HPQ|8.50%| |PBR|4.00%| |REGN|3.00%| |Med/Small Caps|| |BPOP|20.00%| |HLF|13.25%| |MNDO|8.50%| |TPX|8.50%| |MED|6.25%| |CINF|4.00%| |BWMX|3.00%| |cash|1.00%|

Yea it looks like dates changes today and there is more inversion. But historically it’s been worse, here are the charts. Many times during the 70s it was much worse and if you are old enough to remember the world felt much closer to collapse then than now.

https://www.gurufocus.com/yield_curve.php?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjai7G3ssPoAhWTTcAKHbNUDhwQ9QF6BAgBEAI&gclid=Cj0KCQjwj7CZBhDHARIsAPPWv3fgnw55PcWG2uFv3tBLOukr11HPqTZoHLGW5DocuZA1jM_Iv5tpkRMaAvmOEALw_wcB

I just caught wind of HPQ silicon for new battery solutions, recommend you all take a look

So far I've watched this episode from this channel but it was bar far an excellent master class in running a successful business:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPq05GXUgL8

It's just a coffee shop - but you can learn so much about business and management.

​

Is sometimes catch an episode of this, but it does seem to be a bit of an ego stroke:

https://www.youtube.com/c/DeepDivewithAliAbdaal

HPQ Silicon

My simple advice: next time get in some boring stock like HPQ (Buffet had stakes in it) and observe. If you are very itch to play high-stake stocks, just get in for very small amount like 10 shares of BBBY that should let you stay in the game for much longer.

Thanks OP I love this thread... Targeted AI this week .. Tomorrow watch those puts print! Also nailed HPQ

HPQ holders how you feeling today? Not on my main watchlist, it's on my second watchlist (yes, I have tiers, lol), but just moved it up to my main one. Great price, if I had some dry powder I might have bitten already.

my HPQ puts printed today 🥱🥱

HPQ BACK FROM THE DEAD. Yay bye bags

HPQ. Did a call on CHWY :/

Anyone get their lottos in on CHWY or HPQ?

I’m going to buy more puts to add to my ever-growing list of money makers. I bought $HPQ yesterday 🐻. Also went short on arkk and will hit the genomics as well. When I get severely burned by one of these, I’ll know it’s time to get bullish again 😂

Wish I sold HPQ puts instead of CHWY. HPQ better company imo

HPQ and CHWY right around my breakeven. Likely bleed out tomorrow and fuck me

HPQ quarter wasnt too good hut theyre already undervalued so meh

warren buffet please buy more hpq and save my calls

HPQ Earnings Highlights:

• GAAP diluted net EPS of $1.08
• Non-GAAP diluted net EPS of $1.04
• Net revenue of $14.7 billion
• Net cash provided by operating activities of $0.4 billion
• Free cash flow of $0.3 billion

HPQ release already wtf

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|ALL|18.75%| |:-|:-| |BWMX|16.50%| |MNDO|12.00%| |HPQ|9.75%| |BPOP|9.75%| |EVR|7.50%| |M|7.50%| |HLF|5.25%| |DHI|5.25%| |PBR|3.00%| |NRG|3.00%| |cash|1.75%|

(68.50% usa, 16.50% mexico, 12.00% israel, 3.00% brazil)

No big tech. A lot of small caps. A lot of financials and some oil to defend against prolonged bear market. A lot of ex-usa.

Better ones would be WLLW and HPQ.V

This play was just based on me thinking HPQ is overvalued and hasn’t dipped very much since it’s peak. PC cyclical in nature, supply chain issues, big debt numbers, lower consumer demand, higher rates for all…Felt it still had room to decline so I got in. My option is set for 1/20/23 $30 put. I wasn’t ready for it to drop so soon, but the dell earnings rippled through its competitors as well, and HPQ is set for earnings tomorrow. I ended the day at 35% total return. I don’t anticipate on HPQ seeing any bullish momentum short term, hence the option choice. That said I def am long bullish on these guys, I just didn’t think $35 per share was a good price point considering it’s fundamentals and where the rest of the market was.

So now I have gains, earlier than anticipated, and I’m stuck wondering if I should just let it ride until I see a higher gain and risk it or just take my profits now and look for another play

Small question - but what is a good exit point for my options where I won’t be greedy but won’t be selling myself short? I’ve read some of the posts regarding risk management and I’ve yet to garner where I should be.

I know it’s personal for everyone, but options can fluctuate so drastically sometimes. I’ve had calls and puts go up 200% intrinsically before I turned around and sold.

Basically, what is a good benchmark to just fucking exit so I don’t constantly think I could get more and become greedy.

Currently sitting at a 30% gain on a naked put on HPQ and with the market direction I feel it could drop to my breakeven of $30 strike. Option expires in 4 months essentially.

I’m already ITM 30%, how to not be so greedy at a rational level? I want more gains from this play but I feel like if I just did this steadily instead I’d have a higher return overall instead of waiting.

Just looking for advice really

I've heard that big tech is not going to be what it has been last 20 years .

Big companies slow growth.

I only invest in krypto right now + BOIL but if it was for retirement I'd invest mostly value.

AAPL is OK + META + Pfizer + Intel of the big companies along with HPQ

I'd add HPQ to this list - the options are underpriced relative to others with earnings forthcoming

HPE and HPQ both fell in sympathy with Dell already, made worse by JPoW. I picked up some atm calls at the bell on Friday for the obvious bounce. So, to confirm puts is definitely the play.

Strangles on HPQ, DELL, and any other big tech with earnings and cheap options. Even if we haven't hit bottom, you just have to move a few percentage points either way - very doable in this volatile market

What did JPOW do to HPQ?

I have no clue why HPQ is down 4% today. I'm seeing no news.

Next week's earnings

Never visited LULU but they're doing something right. High growth, profits, reducing share count. 5 year revenue growth average 21.69% p.a. and their guidance was for 21% growth this quarter.

AVGO guided to 24% growth this quarter, 5 yr rev. growth avg 15.7% p.a.

CRWD cybersecurity guided to over 50% growth for this quarter. They didn't crash like the other pandemic stocks.

HPE and HPQ might be interesting to watch to see how the PC market is doing.

MDB is the other fast growing software stock releasing earnings

I guess earnings were today. im kind of bummed hpq is only down 2.8%. But maybe it will move more tomorrow. If the pre-market is down tomorrow maybe hpq will go down more. I was hoping for 5% movement because that would have netted a more sure return. I dont know how accurate the optionsprofitcalculator website is. Im anxious if the movement is less than 3% there will be a margin of error where ill make very little or lose money. Hoping for a lot of volatility in the morning.

Nice. Did you also get hpq cuz of dell or you were already looking at hpq?

I was able to pick up an even tighter HPQ strangle for about the same price. Tbh, this seems almost too good to be true so I didn't put too much in.

Seems like some nice analysis/finds here! Well done!

HPQ. Sep 2 Calls before earnings on Aug 30. Stock is at a great value right now

HOLD THE LINE

Dude…. Put a quarter of that in GOEV and HPQ.V. You’ll be rich in a year’s time

Awesome post here!! Can you make more posts like this?!? I made 45% gain pumping/dumping PFE 50c’s today. Holding onto ABBV for 150 target. Bought puts in HPQ. NVDA and AAPL have already said laptop sales will be way down this year. Puts on Macy’s and BAC. There’s a chance Macy’s could have decent earnings but inflation could be eating into their margins or causing a slow down in sales.