US stock · Financial Services sector · Banks—Regional
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KeyCorp

KEYNYSE

16.42

USD
-0.16
(-0.97%)
Market Closed
7.20P/E
7Forward P/E
0.36P/E to S&P500
15.314BMarket CAP
4.64%Div Yield
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Recent Reddit Comments

I trade meme stocks. The key is to buy early hype and sell before the dump. I’m up 40% this year.

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Depends on what your doing.

If your into the apple sphere I'd go with max book.

However if your willing, Lenovo ThinkPad "work" laptops are excellent. I have 2 for the cost of 1 mac book and it does more, more ports more storage and slightly more ports.

The insides are more cost effectively upgrade as well if you need more ram for example.

However it depends on what your doing.

If you just coding and spreadsheets from a desk, macs probably the way to go

If you travel a lot, need more specs on a reasonable budget the ThinkPad is best, the durability is a key feature for me and what I do

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It has to do with hacking possibilities that are not publicly known. A cell phone, AFAIK not that I'm sure, is not definitely something people can get into, especially if it is not a smart phone. The confirmation text from an internet firm you sign up for is, according to my limited understanding, unlikely to be able to be intercepted. It's a very different story with mySQL databases that rely on HTTPS and public key cryptology.

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I read that it wasn't denied, and some key details like there are tons of cancelled flights. So whether he's under arrest or not, something is going on.

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The key is to never think that your portfolio is worth is much as it is, or as little as it is.

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Never said I was an expert. For a decade we had record low interest rates, even with a supposed healthy economy that showed near maximum employment, growth in almost every market, and a favorable business environment. Raising rates early, such as their moves in 2018, would have positioned them better for the market turmoil when COVID severely impacted the economy, as well as not having to make as drastic of increases now. Granted hindsight is 20/20, but what I was hinting at is that they seem to have a triple mandate - employment, stable markets, and a focus on the stock market - the latter of which should not be something they key in on. But the 2018 market reaction to a 25 bps increase had the Fed backpedaling. They’re way too late reacting to inflation and instead were still expanding their balance sheet when we had that drastic rebound post COVID.

But sure, make a stupid comment with no other context - guess you’re just upset your digicoins aren’t decoupled from the asset declines we’re experiencing.

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You can’t just drop people from a lease all willy nilly. The LL has no incentive to do so. The ex is on the lease and has presumably been vetted. If OP stops paying, ex is still on the hook. As for adding a roommate, if subletting isn’t allowed and you move someone in without notifying your landlord, that’s grounds for eviction for violating your lease. Granted, we’re only talking about two months here but you’re really opening yourself up to some problems. Communication, as always, is key. Talk to your landlord.

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Yes, always I've appreciated Siegel. Not sure he's a perma bull. He picks up on key, big picture points well. He's been a bull because he sees productivity leaps due to technological innovations such as AI. Every great bull market in equities is accompanied by leaps in productivity except maybe the one we just left which was probably mainly fueled by ZIRP, near-ZIRP.

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Yes I am very aware that you buy a house when rates are high to get a better deal. With cash. Give me an example of an investment that is better then 6 percent tax free. That isn't risky. And I know about debt,interest,loans and credit ect. Now remember the key word is RISK especially with the economy like it is. And where it could be headed. Sure if you want to YOLO options on wallstreet bets then don't buy the house. If you want to wait 6 months and see how far prices drop sure sounds good. But you are paying rent for that 6 months that needs to be factored in. Leverage could make them rich but it could also make them poor. And no offense taken I enjoy other people's opinions.

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I think it's good that we have a strong labor market, it's the only way we can increase wages (which have not kept up with inflation or productivity growth) and get strong unions. But I agree that I'd rather see more immigration than just causing a recession to fix it. The thing about all this is that the feds tools are just super blunt, we need targeted action from congress like tax increases, immigration, specific price caps, investment/support for key industries like fertilizer. Sadly congress is broken so all we have to fight inflation is the fed banging the entire economy with a hammer.

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AAPL 140p 10/28 looks enticing

Only 3.40 ($340) to enter. Apple traded flat this week, and near a key support level of $148. There is many people who seen Apple as a reliable stock, and to me are blinded to potential supply chain and currency headwinds. If it breaks that level, it could easily be headed to June lows at $129.

Nice risk/reward ratio as well

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I had this same discussion yesterday. People are too hardcore “DCA” on hear sometimes. If I see a key support level broken I “DCA” more than normal in. When I see a spike to the upside and my percentages get out of wack in my portfolio then I also remove some risk and reorganize. Everyone has their own strategies..

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Ok, thanks for confirming what I thought: the whole plan of “get refinanced when rates go down in a year (or whatever)” is pure WSB-brain. People here seemed to treat refinancing like an infinite money glitch. I have never done it, so I was thinking I am missing some key element.

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Two things right off the bat.

First, congratulations! You should be very proud of yourself for getting to this point! Well done you!

Second, if you are interested we have a Marketing Message Toolkit that we would be happy to offer you as our gift if you are interested. It will help you help you implement what we are going to talk about into your business, minus some of the headaches. Just let us know if you are interested and we will see you get it.

Okay, so lets take the points of your question one by one. Your key phrase (effectively market) is spot on!

Your first step is to identify whom you are marketing to. That would be mom. The next question is, how does mom make her decision to buy? What is her tipping point? Her buying decision is a process. It usually start out very practical based out of need. Her darling kiddo has out grown their_________ and needs a new one in a larger size.

The truth is, their are a ton of ____________ already on the market. So, what makes her choose to buy a specific ___________? What would make her choose to buy your ________?

Two things, and they are different. The younger the child or baby it is all about emotion. How cute is it? How sweet is it? What emotion does that outfit evoke in mom when she sees this outfit that she also wants everyone else who sees her child in that outfit to also feel and acknowledge? "Oh, what a darling outfit! So-and-so looks so cute in it! Where in the world did you find it? (AKA-you are a good mom and you made a good choice).

However, as the child gets older the scales shift and practicality, durability, cost, and ease of maintenance become her higher priorities. She is tired, she is usually on a stricter budget, she has more laundry to do, and yet she still wants to feel and be acknowledged that she is a good mom and her child still looks great in their new outfit.

Her "pain-points" are your marketing points. Your brand and products solve her problems and bring her the positive emotions her exhausted heart an mind are looking for.

Now let's talk about building your brand.

Two words... Consistency and integrity.

To build your brand your messaging needs to be consistent. Over time your customer base recognizes your messaging as YOUR BRAND. It's like hearing the old Coke jingle on the tv. Even if you were in the next room you knew it was a Coke commercial because of the jingle. You don't need a jingle, but you do need to keep your messaging consonant.

Last thing, and this may be the most important, especially right now given the evolving business, economic, and political chaos. Integrity must permeate every single aspect of your business if you want to be successful, and that includes your marketing messaging. If you can't give a bargain price on something because you are using a higher quality item to make it, that is okay. Use it as a selling point. Just be honest about it.

One last tip. Based on what we see coming down the road we would strongly encourage you to take a very close look as every aspect of your supply chain and source locally to your area as much as possible.

I hope this has helped you a bit and we wish you every success!

Warm regards,

The Spectrum Post Team

TheSpectrumPost.com

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The key here is not only waiting for a drop but having that cash on hand to make a +50% down payment on that bad boy. How do u do that? Well we are on WSB so by YOLO'ing on some risky ass options 🤣🤣. The only way any of us are going to be able to take advantage of any type of price drop while interest rates sky rocket is to get yo cash up. Isn't that what's the options market is for??? Like a wise man once said....

Cash money. They wasn't gonna stick me with no 30-year payment plan. That's for suckas. They got my daddy like that for a Cadillac years ago. I got the only house on the block that's paid for. That's why I'm the king around here 🍾🍾🥂🥂

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Thank you for the response! Realistically, some of that 50k left is going to go towards general moving expenses, applicants, etc. When all is said and done we'd probably be left with maybe 35k for an emergency fund which I think is still decent - over 6 months. The key is that we'd be able to continue saving. I fear a situation where that isn't possible but I think that's my worst case scenario thinking.

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Yeah, it's a key-person risk issue. Sure it is.

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Low key hoping. Probably makes me a bad person, but my puts would print

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Thanks! Whats they key difference between air and pro? Is it lighter?

PS I've always just had pros

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Anyone else low key enjoy explosive diarrhea...The sudden buildup/rumbling in your stomach and you know shit as about to go down. Then its a photo finish race to the toilet, pants halfway undone just barely making it in time as your butthole shoots out watery poop at half the speed of sound. Then that sudden rush of relief that only can be described as an intense butthole orgasm.

Low key feels good.

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Fundamentally, no doubt its a strong company with great innovation. But for some reason its not holding key technical levels like GOOG, AAPL,. May be too much shorting involved.

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If this was true, wouldn't everyone his age be as rich as him? Something tells me you're leaving out some key variables in your equation.

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I agree wholeheartedly. Cash flow is key in a business and one of the most powerful lessons I learned early was “don’t make it hard for clients to give you money.”

We sell big tickets services and we accept credit cards and don’t charge a fee. And I am certain that there are months when clients are tight on cash, but they pay me (and not some of there other vendors).

Bake the fee into your pricing, then it’s like a bonus when someone pays with a check or ACH.

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Given the information in the chart, I don't know that you really have enough information to make an informed decision.

If going just upon this chart, I would say no. If going upon some historical relevance of say the last year based upon momentum and other key elements that may help refined price correlation with respect to its medium or trend, then possibly.

Realistically come any trade you enter has to have as much information provided as possible to make sure you get the best entry point possible with the highest probability of profitability.

The fundamental aspects of the company are strong, but as many have mentioned, the tech stocks are taking a pretty good beating lately. That really needs to be considered in terms of your long-term goals.

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If you have an option I would probably see if there is lower fee options through your bank to consolidate this debt through a line of credit, then choose a credit card to keep and close the rest and make sure they mark the cards as closed by you versus some other reason they can choose to which may be detrimental to you in the future. The key is to get as low a interest rate as possible and start chipping away at it, which means you don’t keep adding debt while you do. Good luck!

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the key phrase is if spent correctly. Since taxes go to the government, they 100% will not be spent correctly.

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Bruh I worked there for a bit on contract. They were a disorganized shitshow that spent waaaaay too much money on management consultants who low-key ran their strategic operations.

Then the original price drop hit which made all the options for the core employees worthless which was followed by a mass exodus of anyone with talent. Any money you put in them is dead money.

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My dad and uncles have built new houses and remodeled existing houses so I've seen how much work and money it is. But I lack 99.9% of the skills they have, not to mention the dedication to try to work on house stuff after work and every weekend for years. So I'm really looking for some place as "turn-key" as possible.

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Its simple

2018: Powell tries to raise rates, Trump wanted to fire him, Powell gave up

2020: Trillions printed because of the looming recession due to Covid, Rates are still 0 (Everyone was REAL happy to avoid this recession, even though THIS was the best time to allow the market to slow down)

2021: More printed rates are still 0.

2022: 3 percent rise in interest rates.

The Fed did their job on technical basis, they kept unemployment low, and Until last year, inflation was 2%.

The problem is people have no clue what's happening during the bull runs, and have no clue how Economics work.

Key point, 90% of people can't even give a definition of inflation.

"Oh its Biden's fault." "Oh it's because everyone is greedy" "LET'S SPEND MORE TO REDUCE INFLATION." That's not how it works. We need to cut deficit spending, The Fed needs to start QT like they said they plan to ramp that up in December, and keep raising interest rates high to curb demand for Stocks, Real estate, Commodities ect.

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>Haas says that the value of these assets might stabilize and improve
later in a recession, when the Fed either lowers or stops raising
interest rates. 

This is the key for me. When the interest rates changes, the demand curve for basically every single asset shifts. Whether or not something is or not inflation proof should largely be judged based on whether or not the asset resists inflation at a constant interest rate level.

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My math is wildly different from yours but the end result is quite similar. The key is be very very conservative on ARV.

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I started investing/trading in 99/2000 near the end of the dot com crash. What I’ve learned is bear markets are god sends for people with long time horizons. In retrospect, the ‘08 crash was the best thing that ever happen to my portfolio and it is what setup a decade great B&H returns.

This is merely a flesh wound compared to ‘08 as long as the fed gets inflation under control and we don’t have a decade of stagflation. That appears to be what they are doing and as painful as it may be now. This is probably the last good bear/sale I get before retiring in the next 10-15 years so I plan to make it count.

What am I doing? I’m DCAing 10k per month in non-tax deferred accounts on top of 15% 401k IRA contributions. Writing puts at key support levels and taking assignment when my strike is breached. Getting paid to wait and be patient when it isn’t. I have 100 shares of QQQ and 100 shares of IWM that are trading very close to my Oct 21 strikes at the previous lows. Sure, it is scary but I’ve sold puts for a few months now and my cost-basis is already considerably lower than that. I’m selling calls on shares I own. I don’t trust my financial analysis ability enough to pick individual stocks on fundamentals so I stick to the large ETFs with good bid-ask spreads on their options chains. I own some VIT and VOO but prefer SPY and the big ones despite their higher fees due to options liquidity.

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Buying consistently is the key!

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So the current term you are asking about is called "house hacking". Tons of videos on youtube and sites on Google how to do it.

Basically with a FHA/VA loan you have to live there the first year. So the idea is people will buy with a FHA/VA loan live there for a year while you fix up the place. The key is to find a place that needs a lot of cosmetic fixes but nothing major. Then you refinance the loan to buy another one with a FHA/VA to repeat.

You can only have 1 FHA/VA loan at any time and you have to live there the first year before you refinance out. The idea is you renovate it and pay like 15k over the year. The hope is you add equity of say 75k to the home. So it makes the figures right.

As a real estate investor and someone that did house hacking 20 years ago. Its a great way to be rich but in my opinion not in this current market. You might buy a home at 6% interest and the following year it could be 7.5-8% which won't make sense and will destroy your rental numbers to the point where you will lose money.

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We exist. We just socially distance ourselves and have done so since our latch key days.

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Hello, I'm an email copywriter myself so I can give you some advice on things your email should always contain:

- focus everything on what your reader wants, give them value and help them achieve their goals through each email

- Create a relationship with the reader ( you can tell your story or show him that you understand him…) and by giving him value that will really serve him he will start to trust you

- Concentrate on emotions when you sell through your email, you must always this 4 key emotions in your email:

New (what you tell them must be new to them, something they don't know)

Easy (you have to show them that your product will help them achieve what they want easily)

Safe (so you have to show them that the chance of them getting what they want with your product is high, that It's certain)

Big (in your email you have to talk about something huge, something incredible, something that will help them and that is completely crazy)

- Your email must include 3 parts when you wright an email to someone who don’t know your product yet

Disrupt (the first sentence must catch their attention and make them want to read more) Intrigue (you create intrigue around the product and you make them want to know what your product is)

Click (you ask them to click on a link to go to a page or do something else)

-For someone who already knows you product you can do

Probleme (you show him his problem )

Agitate ( you create some pain around his problem or some desire to fix that problem)

Solution ( you tell him there is a solution , that is your product and then you do a CTA)

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15 TO 24 MONTHS??? I want what you’re smoking OP. It will take YEARS to recover a good chunk of the losses in value, and most won’t ever see the previous ATH again. Free money season is over, multiple compression, and intrinsic value are key.

HEDGE UP!!! Options are key here, puts are covering my losses in shares and then some.

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You know your family and friends. Generally speaking it will get out of control -- not getting out of control will be the rare exception. And they there's the thing where you first hint a few of them made a copy of the key will be when your real customers walk in on them and demand a refund.

Standard advice covers this: Do not do business with friends and family. Once you ignore standard advice, any shenanigans or unfriendly behavior voids the discount.

Friends and family should be boosters and should earn a discount bringing full pay customers in. You already have calls asking about zero. There is a clue just laying on the ground informing you how this will go, right now. Best pick up that clue -- this is just the early sample.

Good luck not seeing an out-of-control house party bust on local TV that just seems familiar.

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This is a great market to be in. I’m in. It’s scalable across all service companies. The key being (and the biggest challenge) is knowing the different needs in each industry. Pretty much the entire service industry is moving in this direction though. Industry that are still holding out that I can see in my area anyways would be plumbers, and HVAC, but they are wising up to the benefits quickly. In my industry we have private groups in most of the social media -lay forms, and occasionally see folks trying to get input on what we are looking for. Some of the requests I see are Automated Google reviews Phone call recording GPS routing Route building 2 way sync for bookkeeping software Inventory integration Service vehicle tracking Service oriented kpi’s Cell phone/ tablet app Credit debit payments. Customer notifications That of course is on top of the core functions of the platform which it looks like you have those. Keep it up it’s a great place to be Another note service industry jobs are considered recession proof jobs. So you’ll have clients even in an economic slow down.

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My friend, I appreciate the wisdom to suggest that people should more thoroughly consider whether their situation is best suited to a Traditional versus Roth account, that's absolutely great advice. Otherwise, I think you're a little off base here.

OP is currently 24 years old and makes $50K a year. Her current tax bracket is 12% - if we're brushing broadstrokes she's a prime example of someone for whom a Roth is better suited. To suggest that it is unlikely that they'll not be withdrawing in excess of that at retirement is way too premature - you have no idea her expected future earnings, her expected lifestyle, whether they intend to own a house or rent in retirement, and a myriad of other data points that are key here.

Sure, if we ever tax withdrawals on Roth accounts then it would have been better to invest in a Traditional account, but that is pretty clearly not politically feasible anytime soon and to be honest if that ever happens, it won't be overnight and you'll notice that threat becoming a part of the national conversation - you could take your Roth contributions and structurally reinvest them in a Traditional vehicle. Sure, your earnings would still be held in a Roth but I doubt you're suggesting in this hypothetical that Roth vehicles will be taxed at a higher rate than anything else.

To your question of what happens if we institute an exorbitant national sales tax it actually doesn't make a single difference whether you invested in a Traditional or Roth retirement vehicle. The net value of a Roth or Traditional account is identical at retirement holding income tax rates equal over the investment horizon.

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Well, here's the thing man, since I am essentially self taught in macro economics, I can see the field from outside of its default Chicago school world view. Using a highly scientific approach (again, professional analytical chemist here) and about 8 years of research now, I have learned that our current discourse and approach to macro is fundamentally broken and built on extremely weak ideology. Friedman himself admitted this. Romero, Stiglitz, Russ Roberts, Krugman all agree, modern macro is a minefield of ideology and bad science, at best. Modern macro doesn't even have a working theory of inflation, let alone an actual quantitative predictive model. Can modern macro explain Japan? Nope. Modern macro is so limited that it cannot provide any useful information for the purposes of making policy decisions, which, at the end of the day, is the entire point, is it not? Ofc I understand what a balance sheet it, but what I'm claiming that YOU don't understand is that 1) this entire conversation is a political one, NOT a scientific one, and 2) the gov is not a household, i.e. it is not merely a USER of currency, and so normal rules that households and businesses have to use about balance sheets not only don't apply, they are actually harmful when applied. Every time the US has paid off the national debt, it triggered a recession. That's not an accident, thats necessary. That's because if the fed gov removes all the money that it puts into circulation, then USERS of the currency have none. Gov deficits and debt are not necessarily a problem merely bc the balance sheet doesn't sum to zero, and THAT, my good friend, is the key piece that you're missing. For SS specifically, I don't want it to sum to zero, I want the fed gov to redistribute from richer to poorer to ensure proper SS dispersions. If you want to have a balance sheet that finagles a way to make that look "balanced" on paper, fine, you can do that, but at the end of the day all the money for SS will come from the press, as it does now, and money removed from other sources will appear as the "contribution" column, but in reality that's just book keeping, they don't ACTUALLY contribute. Read Binyamin Appelbaum if you want to understand why modern macro is so fucked, it's a good historical perspective.

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The key phrase is "up to". With short dated Treasuries yielding 3.5%, why not?

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What specifically is your question?

The Fed conducts Open Market Operations as one of their functional key policy levers.

  • During expansionary monetary policy, they buy high quality assets like T-bills and MBS off of the market (primarily banks) which reduces interest rates and flushes liquidity into the credit markets (by replacing bonds with cash).

  • During contractionary monetary policy, they sell high quality assets on the market which pulls cash / liquidity out of the system (by replacing cash with bonds) and increases the interest rate.

This chart is showing a continuation of contractionary Fed monetary policy, where they continue large Tbill/MBS sales into 2024 to keep interest rates higher.

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I’m at 35% cash. 3700 was a key level. If we close below it again on Monday then there’s little support until about 3300. I’ll hold tight and see if we test that

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In Britain we have the same problem and at the lower end of the market we have designated key worker schemes for people doing certain kinds of jobs. But those are generally offered by non profit providers (with the original construction subsidised by the government).

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Well said

They key is to wait for dust to settle which 99.99% can't

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Don’t waste your time doing anything cold. Networking is your key. Your luck with cold calling is a very small percentage. Get out. Talk to people. Network. Join the chamber of commerce.

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Color and consistency is key. Could be nothing, could be something. Important part is to know your normal and talk to a doctor when you're off it.

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Get rid of the debt! I don’t agree with everything Dave Ramsey says but that key point is just so helpful: get rid of the debt. Right now you have $700 a month going to student loans and car payment. If you start paying those down quickly, you’ll have so much more income per month.

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What key things do you look for in growth companies?? Thanks in advance OP

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Documents from “Archegos” case of Bill Hwang. Can be found on https://pacer.uscourts.gov and search “Archegos”. Archegos was connected to Credit Suisse & “GameStop” with Credit Suisse internal Audit found here https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/investor-relations/financial-disclosures/results/csg-special-committee-bod-report-archegos.pdf This DOJ & SEC convictions of employees of Archegos show Credit Suisse Swaps, documents, & testimony. Trial of Bill Hwang is on going. Documents has information ie. “Indeed, internal counsel from the various prime brokers held a call among themselves earlier that day, agreeing that lawyers would be present on any calls between the brokers, and that the lawyers would read a script on each call making clear that no broker was permitted to disclose its Archegos-related positions” Also how Swaps “…I and others executed trades that allowed the fund to amass market power and certain securities traded on U.S. exchanges. Archegos used security-based swaps to gain exposure to these securities while concealing the true size of the fund’s positions from the market and our trading counterparties. Once Archegos gained market power in these securities, I and others used this power to trade in such a way as to artificially manipulate the prices of the securities. Acting at the direction of the head of the fund [Hwang], I traded to increase the prices of names in which Archegos held long positions and reduced the prices of securities in which the fund hel[d] short positions. I did this by, for example, buying large amounts of a stock when the price dropped in response to negative news or trading premarket when I knew the fund’s activity would have a greater impact on price. I manipulated the prices of these securities in order to influence others in the market to buy or sell the securities in ways that would benefit Archegos’[s] key positions and increase Archegos’[s] purchasing power through variation margin” testimonies from Archegos employee whom admitting to 5 felonies with 20 years max each count, totaling possible 100 years sentence. Documents also show counter-parties of the Swaps and the Banks. Just with Archegos positions shows the valuation of the shorting done.

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They are as the rental income is key and it is higher and increasing more than that on other RE(office, retail, etc.)

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Don't worry so much about investing right now. Earning and saving once you start earning more are key.

It's time to have a conversation with your parents about what they expect you to do now and to think about what you want to do. It's good that you have at least an awareness, that your social skills are lacking, but you'll need to put yourself out there to start building them.

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The Bank of England warned the new chancellor of the Exchequer, Kwasi Kwarteng, that the economy is in recession and this package may trigger more rate rises. And yet.

Key passages from the linked piece in The New York Times:

>Prime Minister Liz Truss of Britain on Friday gambled that a hefty dose of tax cuts, deregulation and free-market economics could reignite growth before the next general election as her government unveiled a package of measures that is likely to determine its electoral success or failure.

>Mr. Kwarteng abandoned a proposed rise in corporate taxation and, in a surprise move, abolished the top rate of 45 percent of income tax applied to those earning more than 150,000 pounds, or about $169,000, a year. He also cut the basic rate for lower earners.

>The government is betting that reducing taxes will encourage more investment and that the benefits will flow through the economy. But the risk is that the measures are insufficient to reverse years of lackluster productivity and business investment.

> 

>The combination of tax cuts and promises already made to shield households and businesses from the soaring cost of energy will mean more government borrowing, and one of the biggest dangers is that investors shun the plans. That would push the cost of borrowing to painful highs that make the debt levels unsustainable.

>On Friday, British asset prices dropped steeply. The pound has weakened against most major currencies, and reached its lowest level against the U.S. dollar since 1985, falling 1.7 percent to below $1.11. The FTSE 100, Britain’s benchmark stock index, lost nearly 2 percent.

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LinkedIn gives consults too with advice on your campaign(s) once you have something setup. Won't carry you all the way, but take the advice to start. Start off small and make adjustments as you go. I've generally found avoiding the "audience expansion" tool is key. 😂

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Well if it helps I know some big private banks and money managers with around 1bln AUM and they do not advice their clients to sell. Staying in defensive titles more than cyclical but being in the market is key. But in the end they can mess up just as much…:D

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I think the key is employment/unemployment figures. Once companies fire people due to less demand, and also not have to pay so much for new hires inflation will get much better. Oil is the only enigma. As the USA release reserves dry up, China goes full on, and Iran deals with uprisings, (plus Russians), I think even with less demand oil will still be a good option.

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Andcamp, I’m not sure I understand?

What big time company is trading at a 50 PE?

Google= 18.9

S&P = 17x

V = 28.9x

LYB = 4.6x

C = 6x

ADBE = 28x

The key in these times is to buy QUALITY. I know, for a fact, that I’m going win on QUALITY in the long term.

What names are you in with a 50 PE?

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Make sure you have a good hand before you throw your chips in.

Is this a “deal breaker” situation where you’ll walk if they don’t meet your requests? Understanding your position is key and it seems like you do.

It sounds (imho) that you’re getting some good benefits, it seems like your company has a defined ladder and a process to climb it, along with the additional responsibility you’re getting an extra 7k (US, Roughly).

Assuming that your benefits remain the same and it’s only a salary increase, is the number worth the work? If not, what would make it work more comfortably for you?

Every employer offers different benefits, but often within the company many benefits for salaries employees are the same. It’s with a discussion, certainly but I would imagine it’s relatively standard across the company.

All this to say. There aren’t many “right” answers, just what is right for you.

Can your work be down remotely, or hybrid? A more flexible schedule perhaps?

Look at other openings and see if they offer anything your company doesn’t. Apply for some of them and take interviews if you’re serious about negotiating. If you ask and they say “No”, what’s your move? Don’t balk. If you’re going to walk, walk. But I think (and to be fair, I’m often wrong) that a failed bluff will make your next negotiation that much harder.

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I think the key here is “could”.

The tradesman will likely be burning through a higher proportion of income on basic necessities (ex: 50/100k) compared with the physician (100/375k). While the earning years are sacrificed for the physician, the catch-up period is very short.

Also, agree that people shouldn’t go into medicine for money. Should be for fame and glory. ;)

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Thanks for your advice! Appreciate you sharing your perspective.

As far as your question goes. It's still in early stages of ideation and prototyping. I have done market research, identified who holds the market share and examined their products.

Having gathered this data I have identified a differentiating angle for the product (restraints and challenges to try and resolve). The product would be sold to HR management - its an area I am currently working in as a maketing manager full time. So I'd consider myself very knowledgeable of this segment, pain points, key channels to reach them etc.

I guess your questions give me a good insight on the documentation I need to prepare to attract and convince someone to buy-in to the idea and have confidence in the plan.

Thanks again!

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I worked at a car wash during high school about 5 years ago so I have experience. They were a very hands on wash where employees would vacuum, dry and wipe down the interior in like an assembly like fashion. They made an absolute killing. We did between 1,000 to even 2,000 cars a day during busy days.

The key was their unlimited wash memberships that people paid for monthly. The wash charges the customer $50 a month and it costs the store 50¢ to wash the car. With an unlimited membership that means you also get paid when it rains out since that monthly revenue still comes in.

A car wash is a business I definitely want to get into some day.

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We’re at key support on Spy/Es so I think we get a bounce Monday. Overall, still bearish. If you’re a short term trader short set ups are better probability than long right now. Better to wait until we are at resis to go short then long at demand or support.

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June was peak so far. It was lower in July. Then lower again in August. It didn't increase last month. It just didn't meet expectations. You are right about likely being the key word, nothing is guaranteed. With interest rates rising at this pace I'm a little worried about them overdoing these rate hikes.

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A lot of key analysts and investors see another leg of -20% or -30% down. It will bring the S&P close 2,800. I continue to DCA but I keep cash for sure to invest at this level.

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Dear reddit. I have a key maker. How do I let car thieves know I am available to make car keys for them?

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In the last 2 quarters, Netflix has lost ~1.2m subscribers, going from 221.8m in Q4-21 to 220.7m in Q2-22.

Increasing competition is one of the key reasons behind Netflix’s woes. Some industry watchers are calling it the “Streaming Wars”.

In the past Netflix was one of the only few streaming providers. However, as the US market has matured over the years, many traditional media giants have entered the market.

These companies aren’t afraid to spend on content and marketing to acquire subscribers.

According to Antenna, an industry watcher, Netflix’s subscriber market share in US has declined from 42% to 26% over the last 2 years.

Most of this share gain has gone to services like Apple TV+, Paramount+ and Peacock. Disney+ has also been able to maintain share in a growing market.

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KPI's if you want, but the key is just general job duties. Imagine Steve is one of your three partners and his job is to sell new customers. What if you find Steve is only working a few hours per week and hasn't brought in any new customers in 6 months?

You'll want a legal process to remove him. Otherwise he could walk from your company with 33% ownership and no real contribution to growth.

Clear expectations and some metrics will help you out immensely down the road.

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Makes sense. Colleague of mine started in customer service in our company, then made her marketing / comms skills very visible (volunteering on projects,asking people for coffee to hear about what they do etc). Got transferred to internal comms and promoted there. Has now left for a senior social media role at a very high profile name in the industry.

OP - I don’t think there’s a right way to break in. Some people do it by getting other jobs and transferring. Others do it by building relationships with key people. Others do it through internships.

There’s no one course or certificate you can do that suddenly boost your chances (at least IMHO). Google Analytics is always useful to have, and experience with email systems is good too (even better, again IMHO, if you understand how the whole thing works). If you can write good presentations you’ll make yourself invaluable.

If you’re UK-based, or even in the EU, I’d highly recommend checking out the School of Marketing and their weekly mentorship sessions (which are also available on demand). Some great advice in there.

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Bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.

Market returns are never guaranteed. Having good control over your mortgage and minimizing the interest paid out is something that no one can take away from you. A big down payment (especially with interest rates approaching 7%) is going to be key in reducing your monthly payment and minimizing your interest bill.

We’re approaching a point with interest rates where it’s probably gonna be a wash between paying off the house or throwing it in the market and getting an 8% average back. Right now in fact, you’d probably be losing money in the market. If it were 2016-2019 where interest rates were super low and the market was bussin, yeah it makes sense to throw it in the market.

Now consider the situation where you pay off your mortgage in say 10 years and save 100k in interest over the original term of the loan. What does that 100k invested look like after 20 years?

I’d personally rather do everything in my power to pay as little interest as possible rather than speculate on possible returns. I already have a 401k for that and it’s only tolerable bc the purpose of that money is to sit in the market for 30 years.

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Trying to hit stop losses on puts. Still pretty bearish going into Monday when $AAPL under key support and hasn’t rolled over

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> You didn't really share details on the "what to do about it" actions. Maybe your employer really is doing (or planning?) some different/unique things in pursuit of "having better WLB" compared to competitors.

Oh great thought. It was not dropped in a "OUR initiatives are BETTER than others and will result in success while there's fail..." context (I clarified with them), it was straight up "Johnny the Luddite competitor/client hasn't seen the future, and is still working their folks to death in the salt mines, and thus, stay here and work, don't go there."

> Maybe your employer really is doing (or planning?) some different/unique

Specially naw. "Take your PTO" and "we'll have less meetings" won't solve the issue. Burnout is (in my opinion) exclusively from decision/leadership fatigue from key people; the key "I am the only person who knows wtf is going on here". That gets old.

But sadly, squeezing blood from 10-20 year experienced employees and then slathering it all over new hires IS our business model. The data was telling.

10-20 year experienced people had 3x the "burnout" as the 2-10, and 20+ year XP tranches, and 8x the 0-2 year cohort.

10-20 years XP is, maybe ~20% of our total employee count, but is in 90% of the project execution/technical decision level positions. Our industry is niche, so outside experience, while valuable, has to be augmented with ACTUAL experience in the specific industry before someone functions at 100%. So as such, we rely on our those people for delivery. NO SHIT they burnt out when you stacked 3 major simultaneous programs on a team used to executing 1.

Anyways... I just was curious, as I see this is a problem literally EVERYONE is dealing with, and trying to fix or pay lip service to fixing.

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  • Why haven't insiders and institutions sold already if it's going bankrupt.
    • I never said it's going bankrupt, but they will have to raise money or get smaller.
  • They can take out loans.
    • True, but why get shareholders to vote to allow so many more shares? Why borrow at high interest rates when your stock price is high? I think a stock issuance is somewhat more likely, but who knows?
  • They are doing a digital pivot and partnering with bleeding edge defi companies.
    • This effort has failed miserably. Apes will stay "still in 'beta'", but GMail was in beta for 5 years. Beta (in this context) is just a label to deflect complaints about bugs. Crypto is also coughing up blood. Bad timing.
  • Morningstar and others have a price target if $50 per share post split.
    • They are probably wrong (at least long-term). Cherry pick all you want, but the median price target is $16. I personally think GameStop will run to $40 again (maybe a couple times), because retail is irrational, but gravity will eventually set in, and a recession might be the trigger.

​

>
let it be considered a normal god damn mother fucking ticker

That's what I'm trying to do. Value GameStop as I would any other retailer. Tell this to the cult subs. The apes are the ones selling the extreme ideas:

  • "No cell, no sell!"
  • "GameStop is the key to exposing Wall Street fraud!"
  • "3000% short interest!"
  • "Diamond-handing until phone-number valuations!"
  • "Evergrande default is bullish for GME!"
  • "Kenny paid Putin to invade Ukraine to distract from GME!"

(all pulled from SS)

If GME were a normal ticker it would already be at $16. It hasn't traded on fundamentals since before the squeeze. Meme stocks are different.

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I really don't understand how they come up with that. Neither with very optimistic key metrics like P/E ratio or such you can justify this price. A couple months ago I did a DCF analysis, and with optimistic estimations (like annual revenue growth of 30% over 10 years!!!) the fair price was still at around $140.

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Dollar went straight vertical today. Been reviewing a lot of dollar/stock correlations historically.

Key level for DXY is 120. That's where I think stocks bottom (even if DXY keeps moving up).

120 is probably where we see max fear/pain in stocks. Right now around 112-113.

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I just had to stop working and put that song on so I could sing along off key while staring at my portfolio. Thank you for that, todays a good day

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Part of what made the early 80s rates great was that it was toward the end of that peak. Real return spiked pretty heavily because inflation going forward was much lower. You could also say the same argument for ~1998-2000 era, even though rates were easily half. But by then people were sad rates were half than in the past, and dot-coms were acting like money printers. But it was more or less the same thing on the same timeline (about 20 years.) Real return is the key, and that floats and remains unpredictable no matter the current levels. But there does feel like there's a sense of a floor (avoid deflation) and ceiling to bond rates, even when mathematically that's obviously not true.

The reality though is that all investments compete with each other so stocks were also down (i.e. "The Death Of Equities") and you could probably throw darts at your options at the time and everything did great. Did you know this at the time? Of course not. So it was still market timing.

But to be fair, if bonds and stocks have too similar return, you don't really want to be all in on stocks, why take the variance? Can you pinpoint a nominal target as the top without any context? Not really. But it's still not something I would bet my retirement on. But a more balanced portfolio probably starts to make sense as rates go up to some level.

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So question for the masses who work for larger businesses.

My company is large (EPC engineering firm), and recently paid a lot of money for an outside analysis of a large performance unit with respect to burnout, causes of burnout, who was burning out (by tenure, role, etc.) and then importantly, what to do about it! We just had the "report out" of the stats and initiatives to the masses. All of this for us is the intersection of: 0) NICHE field, 1) too much work with accelerated schedules, 2) not enough experienced people, 3) replacement with new hires, and 4) remote work hitting right when we ramped. Like... obvious stuff.

Anyways... great stuff, I am glad it is happening. But, we just had a long time well liked critical employee quit for "less chaotic pastures" so the timing of the report out and initiatives is great.

A now director, with whom I go way back, and I were lamenting about their departure. They mentioned their opinion that "Burnout, and the causes of such, are a problem for all firms in our sphere, everywhere... competitors and clients. However, we are different because we've recognized it and are doing something about it."

I was surprised, and told them I thought the "we're the only ones doing something about it" was an incredibly naïve corporate position to have, if that was in fact our corporate position. It isn't a differentiator... Everyone in our sphere (clients, contractors, other A&E firms) has identified it as a challenge towards "getting what they need done" and is "trying to be seen solving the problem."

So, that is my question for our daily fellow masses of other coworkers on a Friday: Has your company identified "burnout" and "burnout adjacent" problems as a key challenge in getting things done, and is actively attempting to "make changes.? E.g. my companies statements of "We're so far ahead of the curve, we're the only ones doing something about it..." are laughable.

At least in my industry... it's an arms race, and a key part of the arms race is recognizing its an arms race.

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I mean they're not wholly irrelevant, but its not like you can plan to go viral right. So if you get a viral video that's 100% awesome and I would consider developing a strategy on it or at least use it to learn from, but generally speaking if we just focus on likes or members, its not a big deal. We don't know how much they care about our brand. We don't know how active they are or what use this is to use. Are they bots? Etc.

What we do know though is that relationships are the key to marketing and social media is the perfect spot for a business to do that.

Sure its good to go from 1000 to 10,000 viewers, but unless social is your only marketing channel its not that big of a deal. And your still going to have to pay for your social media ads if you want results because organic reach is generally very low these days, unless your putting out some awesome relevant content that people really love, its something like only 10% of your people ever actually get shown your normal posts. I would look up stats but...

I'm not a social media professional I should add. Its the one area i didn't think I'd get into in school but I have become much more interested after 4.5 semesters studying marketing. One more year to go

.

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Generally speaking yes, the Dow has never lost money over something like 20 years. In the general capitalistic market sense civilization moves forward: people work and make money, buy houses and go on vacations, get haircuts. To say the market will never recover would be to say its the end of capitalism or really, the end of civilization. This is why in the long run if you invest in broad based funds like VOO you're bound to come out ahead. The key is you have to invest long term and not get caught up in the daily, weekly, yearly gyrations of the market.

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I've been in this sub for several years. Yes, some people in the large and growing community expressed opinions, often negative ones, regarding the community's changing behavior. This isn't a problem though. This is, itself, community engagement. Yeah, it's kind of a meta form of engagement, but again, that's just a thing that always happens in growing communities, as if the perceived problems leading to those meta posts in the first place.

Communities aren't so simple that you can classify their behavior as simply good or bad with a clean inflection point that you can go back to. I don't like using the word "problem" to describe observations about a community's behavior which changes over time. Not everybody will like every change, and that's OK. Working through that as a community is part of being a part of that community.

There was absolutely nothing unique happening in this sub. Some people thought posts got too shallow, others thought there were too many repeat posts, some didn't like the attention from spammers and grifters, and to some degree all of those things were in fact happening. I'm not denying that.

Here's my issue though: regardless of what did or didn't happen, forced daily threads is objectively a terrible solution to any or all of those possibly unwanted changes. Forced daily threads is one of the biggest overreactions I've ever seen from a mod team. Usually what happens is the community itself starts creating daily threads as a sort of emergent behavior, but that's the key point, it's driven by the community not forced by mods. Most large subs have some form of daily thread or sporadic "megathreads" and even then they still have duplicate posts discussing the same topics, and what happens? Life goes on. The daily threads and megathreads, if the community likes them, get the most engagement, and the duplicates fade into obscurity.

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Thinking about buying shorts after stocks fall is the same mentality of buying shares after a run up.

The key word being "after"

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Retesting and building a mini bear flag low key

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The reason why engagement is dropping in this sub is simple: because the daily threads mechanic exists in direct opposition to the most fundamental aspects of how Reddit as a product and user experience works. I know the intentions are good, and I actually agree with the intentions, but the intent doesn't matter if the execution is bad. The execution is bad. You're fighting a losing battle and it's not worth fighting. Stop ignoring the data that's plainly visible. Stop ignoring the anecdotes which perfectly match the data. You need to find another strategy, simple as that. Daily threads ain't it. Daily threads are killing this sub.

Subreddits are supposed to be communities within Reddit, not a completely different experience that doesn't look and act like Reddit at all. That's the issue here. This needs to still be a Reddit experience. Don't try to fight against what Reddit is.

Remember, life outside this subreddit exists. Imagine the user journey of somebody who uses Reddit and doesn't only use this specific subreddit as if it were a self-contained experience. You open up Reddit, what do you see? A feed of the best posts. You click into literally any other subreddit, what do you see? A feed of the hot posts. That's what your fighting against. Reddit is designed at it's very core to show posts and encourage posting and you're trying to completely change what a post is in a way that Reddit's very core isn't designed to understand and encourage. It's just not going to work. Please, stop this madness and just let people post things.

Daily threads are making it virtually impossible for anyone to engage with this subreddit without actively seeking it out even if they're subscribed. The daily thread never shows up in my feed despite this being one of the largest and, despite the down trend in engagement, one of the most active subreddits I subscribe to. And I promise you I have a very small number of subscribed subreddits. That's just how bad this idea is. You're effectively hiding the true engagement metrics from Reddit as a whole which means Reddit as a whole not only isn't helping you drive engagement, it's basically discouraging it by instead encouraging engagement with posts from other subs that appear to be more active even if they aren't.

Even operating purely within this subreddit, daily threads makes the experience worse. Nobody actually cares what day something was posted. That is not the primary piece of information people want to see when browsing. People don't recall posts based on their date and it isn't how people want to navigate posts either. The title of a post is a vital piece of information because it acts like the key for indexing information. That's how people remember posts and find posts. Nobody thinks to themselves, "Hey remember that really excellent comment in the daily thread post from September, 23rd, 2022?". No, people think, "Oh I remember a really cool post about what to do if you win the lottery" or whatever it is. Then people search that, which maps up to the title of the post so you can actually find the damn thing!

Trying to contribute new content is also a terrible experience. Because daily threads are both unintuitive and completely counter to the way Reddit works overall, people come here eager to participate, make a post, then check back later hoping for engagement only to find a moderator comment saying, "Your post was unworthy so we deleted it, this should be a comment in the daily thread instead", which is just such a bad user experience I honestly can't believe I have to spell it out like this. You're actively discouraging participation from people trying to participate in the community. You're treating your own community like a bunch of idiots who can't be trusted. In order to participate you have to go through this ridiculous hazing ritual in which you get declared unworthy to post, accept your low status in the world, and skulk off to the daily thread. That terrible experience alone is probably turning away a huge percentage of what would be new participants in the community.

Reddit is a great product and it's incredibly engaging. In fact, it's so good at being engaging that's basically why the problems exist in the first place the moderators were trying to solve. Because it's so engagement focused, it does indeed make old information harder to surface. Reddit isn't an information archive and it isn't designed to be one either.

Here's the kicker though. People come to Reddit, including this sub, to engage a community. That's it. It really is that simple.

There is basically no community on earth powered by any platform, including in person meetings, pertaining to any topic, where the engagements aren't somewhat repetitive over time, somewhat shallow at times, and often involve asking questions that have been answered many times. But don't mistake that reality to mean people aren't enjoying the experience. They wouldn't show up to engage otherwise.

There was no major problem in the first place. This sub wasn't a victim of its success; it was just successful. Nothing this drastic needed to change.

Yes, the behavior of communities tends to change as they become larger, and that may result in some people not enjoying participating as much, and might even drive them to leave the community, but that is by definition the exception to the rule because that behavior change wouldn't have happened in the first if the community growth weren't outpacing people leaving as a result.

To be clear, I'm not saying nothing should have done, but this was the wrong strategy and it was way off. You're not making this sub behave like a smaller sub by doing this. You are going to make this a smaller sub, but then you still won't have the prior behavior of a smaller sub unless you undo the mechanism that got you there once you arrive. So this is at best a way to temporarily reduce the size of the sub by annoying people into leaving which is completely unsustainable.

I need to stop ranting because I've already made like 100 specific points about how the mechanics of daily threads are a terrible experience. There are more ways to break down why they're so bad though. So let me just close by saying please, stop doing this. It's absolute madness. Reddit is literally a platform for community engagement. Stop fighting it. Just moderate it. You really don't need to do anything more than delete illegal, threatening, or harassing activity as a baseline. Other things get sorted out by the behavior of the community itself pretty well. If people hated all the repeat questions as much as you seem to think, they wouldn't keep answering them. Yes, those answers tend to get increasingly dismissive over time and often point towards archived information, but the pointers to the archive can be automated (for the poster's benefit) and the upvote/downvote system can ensure these repeat questions don't stick around long for the community's benefit.

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"amazing buying opportunity" is low key copium.

"amazing selling opportunity" i.e. price has gone up so much it's now time to sell, is the way.

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Wait part of your name is key part.

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Key supports holding up

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The fact you keep calling them bars makes me think you probably don't understand British pub culture. You're not wrong about how the business works but a key thing you should know is just how saturated the pub market is in the UK. There isn't a lack of demand, in my opinion it's an excess of supply.

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very. on another note i'll be a key share holder when it hits $105 at a whole 2 shares!

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Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services rise.

source

Key word is rate aka how much prices change.

For what its worth, deflation isn't good either.

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So I need to focus on writing blogs and building content that has those key phrases first?

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Seems like apple 150 is a key level

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I’ve only joined one club ever and it was near my old house/neighborhood but it was pretty fairly low key and inexpensive.

I would never join a fancy one since I like to make my rounds at different courses and a lot of my golfing is through work now.

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I think the key takeaway is to make sure any partnership you have goes both ways. Make sure I'm providing something of value or helping them with their own business and they'll be more inclined to help bring me business

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Idk all puts will be inflated timing is key on 0dte

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An opt-in page is an effective marketing tool in itself! If designed correctly, your opt-in page will impress visitors into providing their information in return for regular updates and offers related to your products/services.

How to make a good opt-in page?

Some key guidelines to follow while making your opt-in page are-

- State the incentive behind filling the opt-in form briefly and clearly.

- Add images and videos related to your offerings to raise interest.

- Ask for only important information that is not sensitive.

- Include timers, compelling language, and exit conformations to encourage signing up.

- The content must be tailored to meet the needs of your target audience and solve their problems.

- Assure that you will keep the provided data safe and not spam the user with unnecessary or irrelevant information.

- Give clear instructions and details so the user is sure about what to do and what effects it will have.

Following all these guidelines will help you make compelling opt-in pages that bring you a lot of high-quality leads. But this may be a challenge unless you have expertise and experience in coding, marketing, and content creation. And hiring experts for every opt-in page can turn out costly!

The easy way!

The best solution here is to go for a landing and opt-in page builder like CloudFunnels or ClickFunnels. These tools will quickly build compelling opt-in pages along with your entire sales funnel with just a few clicks!

Moreover, I would personally suggest CloudFunnels as it lets you build top-notch landing pages and opt-in pages at very low costs using its simplistic drag-and-drop page builder. With this tool, you need no expertise and no tall budgets to create world-class opt-in pages.

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I feel you on Intel. I’m stuck here holding Dec 2022 Calls. We stand at a 27 RSI on the monthly timeframe. It’s almost comparable to the Dot Com Bubble and 2008 GFC. I’m in absolute awe how the sellers have no much gravitas on this stock. I’ve been watching the L2s closely, which good support is hard to find at some key points in the day. Very exhausting to see this, but one of the key talking points is it’s a value trap despite the good numbers and ratios on paper.

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Key passages from the 21 September 2022 Economic & Housing Outlook by Fannie Mae:

>Housing and Interest Rates Continue to Suggest Recession Likely in 2023

> 

>Headline inflation has moderated over the past two months; however, this is largely due to a significant decline in gasoline prices. Core inflation, along with food prices, continue to remain well above the Federal Reserve’s target. Following the completion of our forecast, the August release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed core prices rising 0.6 percent over the month and 6.3 percent on an annual basis, an acceleration of four-tenths from July.

>Topline inflation drivers continue to shift away from rising goods and commodities prices and toward services. While we believe headline inflation has likely peaked, strong rent growth and a tight labor market are leading to a more persistent inflationary trend, which historically has been difficult to contain without a general economic contraction.

> 

>The strength in non-energy goods prices was somewhat at odds with other indicators, such as business surveys showing a declining share of firms raising prices. The stronger dollar exchange rate, driven in part by weakening economic growth abroad, is also putting downward pressure on import prices, which fell 1 percent in August. Going forward, we expect softening in goods price inflation, which was supported by the August Producer Price Index (PPI) showing softer goods price inflation.

>However, shelter inflation, which rose at a rapid 0.7 percent over the month (the largest monthly increase since 1991) is likely to remain strong at least through mid-2023. As we have discussed previously, there is a considerable time lag between moves in house prices, rents, and changes in the CPI measure of shelter costs. More worrisome, however, is acceleration in non-energy, non-shelter services inflation.

> 

>The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views published by the ESR group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.

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We also low-key hate you ❤️

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