Saw a 2017 corolla for $26k yesterday.... one could flip a car into a nice come up Mas long as they don't repurchase a car this decade
No mas. I'm out. Stick a fork in me, I'm done. Turn out the lights, the party's over. My cake is all dough. Spent the last few months cost/averaging down. Got no more dry powder left.
Played both calls and puts. Nothing hits. It's like playing roulette in an Indian casino and the damn ball keeps hitting green zeros. My folio is down 48% and I have no intention of losing the other 52%. Call me next year when the recession is over. Peace!
yo espero que el mercado se martega en la bajar para que las pesona tenga una oportunidad de krese con sur negocio asi como los empresario pueda martene mas a su travajadore con un buen suerdo
Sim, com certeza, vai de cada um.
No Brasil por exemplo, pra quem mora no interior carro é necessidade, mas pra quem mora em Porto Alegre e não precisa de carro pra ir trabalhar, ter carro é burrice (apesar de que claro, depende da situação da pessoa).
This is mas bueno
its red its red - is it time - we are at 1% prime when we are at 3/4% prime we will be getting close - some thing will bottom sooner but that ugly x-mas sweater your neighbour wears could be around till halloween - he may be double dipping it this year
410 then on to test 50 day and potentially 200 day MAs
Still not signs yet of complete capitulation. Big sell offs will eventually come. Retail is no where near crying uncle and is not saying no mas yet. We will be at the bottom when everyone has had their sould crushed and pulverized into bone dust.
I believe you can get an MA medical assistant associate degree in 2 years. The demand for MAs in NY at least is through the roof. Salaries in the $20-26/ hour range in NY.
Bueno días para todos yo piensos que si van a bajar mas la semana que viene y todo es por lo que esta con la Gerrard en Rusia es mi opinión
I think I started thinking about it while momentum trading and seeing things bounce off certain MAs. Sometimes a 9 or 20 period MA would be a bounce level, but a 200 MA was mostly always going to bounce
Anybody have any opinions on $MAS (Masco)? I feel like with summer around the corner and into fall their earnings will be bigger than last years, plus the acquisitions they made in 2021
Wait till a retest of the 50 day MAs on spy/qqq before going short again
Stop being a dick. I worked with a great union and in another job, same union, bad business agent. The problem is the business agent and the need for power. Hey, I worked the union job and I know the problem, greed and the lack of honest work. The great union knows how to negotiate and compromise. The bad ones, don't know what they really wanted but think it's x-mas time.
sorry should've turned off the MAs. the high line is the put/call ratio. it's higher than the covid crash.
If you zoom way out you can see the reason the stock market has done so well the last twenty years is cause the economy has been doing worse and worse.
This has caused the federal reserve to print money in the form of QE and stimulus to prop all these asset classes up.
This is where the saying “don’t fight the Fed” has come from. Remember this saying.
So long as the fed is printing more new money and lowering interest rates then yes ride out any dips and bear markets, even buy those dips.
Assets are really just someone else’s debt so the counter party risk is immense. It makes the system unravel if things start to crash.
They desperately don’t want that.
So rather than let things crash they have just printed new money, essentially loaning it to themselves.
This has caused asset inflation and that’s why the stock market and real estate have gone up so much.
But it’s also accelerated the breaking of this system. Now it’s to the point where it’s starting to collapse.
Casual investors don’t realize this quite yet.
It’s causing inflation so now the fed has to stop or they risk making inflation way way worse.
So now they have stopped printing new money, are letting treasuries roll off their balance sheet and also are raising interest rates.
All of these are bad for stocks. Super bad that it’s all 3 at the same time.
But investors largely don’t remember a time before the fed was printing so it’s been a bull market for over a decade.
Well don’t fight the fed. Right?
Well now they have stopped supporting these asset classes and now they will collapse.
Stocks, real estate and bonds will all collapse. To a lesser degree so will commodities.
So what the smart money has done is slowly over 6-9 months sell high and trickled their money out slowly as to not shock the system and start the crash but snuck their money out.
They’re sitting in cash waiting to buy back in as well as investing in certain emerging markets, metals, mining stocks, commodities, futures.
At some point things will crash too much risking a bad recession (some think depression) and the fed will reverse course again and start to print massive amounts of money again.
That is when I’d be willing to get back in stocks if I’m looking for income rather than just investing long term. When they do the stock market will shoot up up up.
Real estate is also in deep shit. It’s just a lot slower to feel the effects because it’s so much less liquid.
I sold ALL my rental properties in 2019.
The real long term play if you’re young and don’t need to draw off any of this as income is to buy and cold store Bitcoin and Ethereum.
That’s the new macro play and it’s the best asymmetrical bet I’ve ever seen. EVER.
It’s still super early right now and I’d wager 99% of investors don’t understand it yet but it has an easy 100x growth play coming over the next two decades.
It’s how this broken inflationary system we live under right now will transition to a deflationary one and shore things up.
I sold over a million in apple stock and have it in cash.
I’ve still got $400k worth in there because I think it’s a blue chip that others will sell to buy for awhile still but I’ve got most of my money in Bitcoin and Ethereum and won’t sell any of that and I buy more every week.
I think soon most all the markets crash as the fear will keep building and building till people say fuck it no mas and dump.
I think bitcoin crashes right along with stocks and that is the dip I will buy up.
I’ve got buy orders set at 30k, 25k and 20k.
That’s how I see it. That’s my investment plan.
Best of luck friend.
Olá, sou do Brasil e escreva um blogger para empreendedores ele se chama ocondutordotempo.blogspot.com. Ficarei muito feliz se puder dar uma olhada nos artigos. Tem também exposição de produtos de artesãs brasileiras. Ainda esta no começo, mas ficarei agradecida em receber a visita de todos. Obrigada
yes,it does. but the market is in a downtrend and making lower lows. 200ma above the smaller MAs. i believe SPY will hit ATH by end of the year but not until it reachesthe bottom close to 390s
In 1970 did we see all year sales event like right now?
Like Jan New Year sale Feb: President day sales March April Tax Return Sales May Memorials day sales July independence day sales September Labors day sales Nov-Dec Black Friday X mas sales
Right now i feel we have sales going on every month but I'm curious how it used to be in 1970s when inflation rate is high
"Hae, I'm Eloan Mas"
- Chinese Elon Musk, 2022
Alright, I gotchu, fam, as the kids say. I spent over a decade in low pay family owned food service. Started as a dishwasher, climbed through the ranks as a cook, and ended up as manager and assistant GM. Most of these tips you probably know or heard before, but it never hurts to have a refresher.
- Chaos with the staff is par for the course. It's just part of the job, especially fast food. When staff are poorly managed, the chaos is crippling and dysfunctional. When well managed, it's merely disruptional, but it will never go away or be smooth sailing for any length of time. It's just the nature of the people who work in the industry that their lives are often under upheaval and they bring that with them. If you accept that, then working with it won't be as exhausting.
- While dealing one-on-one with crew members is essential, from a top-down perspective it's more helpful to think of managing the culture of the business as a whole, and reinforcing expectations that come with it. People adapt to the environment they are in, and when the culture is strong, clear on the priorities and values, and enforced, not only will staff fall in line without a ton of brow beating, but other crew members sort of 'police' newer members. For example, in our restaurant we placed a high priority on both being hardworking (and staying busy) and cleanliness. As a result, when times were slow the managers were directing cleaning efforts, and often getting down in it themselves, too. We took pride in how clean our business stayed, and as a result, this provided a sense of accomplishment to the staff and made them more compliant towards putting in that effort. Same with keeping busy, when senior members are running around getting their duties done, it puts pressure on newer members to do the same.
- Run a tight ship. Related to point 2. Expect excellence. Slack and poor behavior is a cancer that will spread if not kept constantly in check. Chew people out for not being on time, cut their hours if they can't get it together. 30 minute smoke breaks are not tolerated, etc. Constantly drill it it people's heads that it's in THEIR best interest to keep this machine of commerce running smoothly, so that the business flourishes, everyone is happy and making money.
- Be fair. Related to point 3 about running a tight ship. Don't let people get away with one thing because they're good at something else. Don't let breaches of rules or culture go unchecked. Immediately correct behavior and set the expectation that your crew will be mature enough to handle feedback without throwing a fit. It's hard to let people go, both emotionally and with the impact on the business, but in order to command respect from a group, you have to demonstrate that there are consequences and they will be enforced. Likewise, carefully and lightly reward behavior that goes above and beyond. Set milestones for the crew, and celebrate them.
- Team building, caring about people, and fun. Related to point 2 about culture. Work is hard. Make it less so by having fun. Do something for every holiday. Do something at least once a month. We had costume contests with prizes for Halloween. X-Mas dinners. Bowling around New Years. Bring donuts once a week. If something good happens, graduation, birth of a child, etc, everyone signs a card or does something special. When tragedy strikes, go even above that. People have to know that you care about them. I've collected money for medical and living expenses, visited people in hospitals, bailed people out and picked them up from jail, gone to funerals, covered shifts, etc.
- Designate a heavy. On every shift, we always had at least one crew leader who I secretly designated as "The Axe". They were the ones that didn't want to win a popularity contest and enjoyed exercising a bit of power. It's definitely a personality type, and you want to fit the right person for the role. Usually someone who is mature enough to not be an asshole just for the sake of being an asshole but knows how to be blunt and maybe even a bit mean. We would coach them and pump them up, and they would keep everyone in line be enforcing the rules. Nobody wants to run afoul of The Axe.
- Develop your staff. Give promising members a bit more responsibility and attention. Throw a small raise in if you can afford it, or give them a title. Hold them to a higher standard than others. Basically, you want the business to run so well by itself by the crew that you could walk away for a few days and it won't burn down in the meantime.
There's a ton more, but I'm done for now. Good luck!
postar isso em sub gringo é meio sem noção, mas de boa. A principal coisa é que quando sua esposa se formar a renda de vocês pode aumentar, então você pode considerar um planejamento a longo prazo. Seu pai realmente paga todas as contas? Com o que você gasta seu salário? Enquanto você pode procurar outros trabalhos pra aumentar sua renda (e no processo melhorar seu currículo e portfólio), o mais importante é ter planejamento financeiro e metas.
Fora isso, realmente recomendo você postar isso num sub brasileiro. Lá eles vão te dar dicas muito mais concretas sobre opções de educação, moradia e despesas. Você pode ouvir histórias de pessoas que moram no mesmo lugar que você ou passaram por coisas parecidas.
OP, não sei se alguém já falou mas recomendo você ter um segundo emprego além desse com seu pai, esse é o único jeito que vejo você melhorando sua situação atual.
Faça com que o horário do trabalho com o seu pai seja compatível com seu segundo trampo e organize com sua esposa objetivos de médio e longo prazo alcançáveis de modo que vocês dois fiquem satisfeitos..
Além de estudar, sua esposa trabalha? Ela precisa arranjar um emprego também, talvez conversar com sua mãe pra ajudar mais com seu filho enquanto ela trabalha.
Se não quiser seguir nessa linha de trabalho, a única saída será se especializar e/ou fazer concurso mas não se engane pois essa pode ser ainda mais difícil embora lhe permita uma vida melhor..
Em qual estado vc ta? Se vc nao for de SP, faça o que vc fizer, nao mude pra Sao Paulo, muito menos a capital. Eu sei que o salario é maior, mas o custo é muito muito muito maior tbm. Eu sou de SP e minha familia ainda mora la- vc precisa ganhar no minimo uns 5 mil pra manter esse estilo de vida.
No mais, vc pode se mudar e arranjar outro emprego ganhando mais. Mas vc nao vai manter esse estilo de vida. Sua esposa trabalha?
It's fraud in a number of ways.
Florida had no income tax so you personally won't be defrauding Florida for tax purposes.
Your employer will want you to file taxes in MA, but any such fraudulent taxes are to your detriment and MAs advantage.
You are going to be completely outside the normal legal protections as it's not clear whose employment law applies here.
It's mostly your employer who will be in deep shit, as they won't be paying into the unemployment insurance programs for Florida despite you being in fact a resident of that state.
Lol the carnage in the bond market is unreal. Bonds selling off at a historic rate, inflation at 40 year high with a Fed that is becoming panicked (oh and has a mas since inventory of MBS they plan on liquidating), global leaders warning of food shortages, and a war in Ukraine but people treating SPY down 7% from ATH like it’s a generational buying opportunity
muy bien nada Mas estoy muy cansado de Pasar todo el Dia jalando me el pepino
Inflação indo para o alto e além nos EUA como se supunha. Março de 2022 virou um dos piores meses da história econômica americana. O acumulado de 8,5% ainda é pouco. Não tem a ver com a "guerra" (efeito), mas com a geopolítica de Joe Biden
Yes, but mas first your Roth IRA contributions and then go back to the Roth 401K.
I can see that logic but the market isn't always so logical. Just a quick check of the long term MAs has CCJ as a better bet than UUUU anyways. Royalties will prob be a winner but they all will with the spike in Uranium that I think is coming in 2023.
At the listed price, it's too expensive for all but the top 1% of professionals or enthusiasts, and those aren't typically the people on Kickstarter. I think you could probably find some sales at the current $500 price tag, but I don't think you're going to get them there.
Have you looked into outsourcing manufacturing, using different less expensive materials, etc?
You might consider setting up landing pages at different price points - $200, $300, $400, $500 - and running ads to each of them on FB to see which generate actual interest. Put a "BUY NOW" button on the landing page that then goes to a preorder form to collect their email address. That could give you some insights into the price that the market could support, and you could work on the manufacturing / sourcing side of things to see if you could feasibly get the product down to that price.
If not, there's just not a product market fit. Some products are just too expensive for the mas market.
QQQ major resistance at 355. Has to chop sideways to get these MAs to curl up. 360 target today still in tact.
Los retrasados cada dia son mas tontos
Lexus was somehow still using their Game Boy looking screen just two years ago in their IS-350 models. WTF.
I concur with your sentiment on Mas Ghibli.
I r truly el mas fuk Pham. 🅱️ack2🅱️enis🅱️Roth
Hey, been following your posts as I start to dive in to TA for daily scalping. So far have just been using all kinds of MAs and EMAs + RSI. Could you share more about what methods you’re using here and why these targets make sense? Consider it as purely for the educational value so I too can have a few more wrinkles
That’s a huge stretch. History and data show that people respond to incentives . Tax incentive? Behavior. Marginal cost exceeds marginal benefit? No mas.
What you are saying implies they are pushing some “screw my kids” button out of sheer spite
Because most central banks don’t care about the value of their currency. They target interest rates or a band around acceptable rates. Very few central banks actively target exchange rate, one example came to my mind, the MAS.
MAs and Bollinger Bands aren’t me drawing lines. And they’re not prescriptive. But funny how the market obeys them in a sea of randomness…
Averaging down doesn't help if the stock is going down in average too (50 / 100 / 200 MAs)
Using just those indicators is very difficult, especially set to those timeframes. If we're intraday trading, we're looking at minutes and hours, not days. I haven't heard of anyone who is purely profitable scalping via MACD. Volume and order flow are important.
If I'm intraday trading, I use VWAP, the order book and volume profile primarily. I include some MAs for confirmation and context.
Woodworker by hobby here. One of the reasons why Etsy got absolutely FLOODED with cutting boards starting in 20/21 is literally tens of thousands of WW's scrambled to get at least one 1099 sale on Etsy so they could qualify as a "Small Business". Some Youtube WW did a video on it and the floodgates opened. ANd it worked.
To be fair, though, I know personally one WW that took the money and built a bigger shop and used it to go full time WW. Turned out pretty well for him and now he's got 2 more full time employees.
And here I was giving out 45 cutting boards for x-mas gifts....
Este es el foro mas retrasado en reddit seguro
Então, eu tenho Taesa, CESP, COPEL, ITAU (que não está pagando muitos dividendos no momento), COPASA, Direcional, Fleury etc. Eu ganhei mais no Taesa que com qualquer um dos outros.
Tenho 2 FIIs também: TORD11 e VSLH11
Sei que diversificar é muito importante mas diversificar demais também não é bom. Estou com 9 empresas e eu só adicionaria talvez mais um banco, mais um do setor de saúde e mais um do setor cíclico e deixar assim. Se ficar muitas empresas, vou ter dificuldade para administrar.
Sounds like you’re just mas that money dIDNt go to the scam that is student loans
Add a little more detail. I would like to know more. Which graph and MAs are you looking at? Which index?
I love TA, but MAs are a hugely lagging indicator. By the time the cross happens, you may already be at the lows or just a few weeks from it, the time to go bearish was like anytime between now and 3 months ago. Covid is a great example, the cross happened just as the entire thing reversed and fucked everyone who took it seriously. Its good for confirming that the bear market happened, but it doesn't say whether or not it will continue or end in the future.
wow UAN is exactly what I was looking for. Flagging on MAs....
AAPL falling below its 200 day MA feels like an important moment and joining the rest of the large cap techs well below their 200 day MAs.
There will only be fear and mas panic if its any worse than covid.
I just read your first link and it says - “Our findings demonstrated the feasibility and value of applying technical analysis in this context. On average, the returns obtained using TA surpassed the value invested. Since some assets performed very well, they covered the losses incurred by other low-performing assets. However, few combinations of moving averages were able to outperform the returns from a buy and hold strategy.
In addition, our study suggests that technical analysis and fundamental analysis can complement each other. We proposed that TA could foster the search for groups of companies listed on the stock market that have a dynamic level of capitalization and present a strong profit opportunity for investors. For this portion of our work, we analyzed combinations of moving averages that were persistently profitable within the BRICS markets. Table 4 indicates that some assets could surpass the returns obtained by a risk-free strategy. Tables 5, 6, and 7 display pairs of MAs with a higher density of positive results, i.e., combinations of MAs in which the returns obtained by good performing assets raised the average return, even though there were many low-performing assets”
Clearly you don’t even read these studies. Nowhere in that link says TA is useless rather it shows better return than passive buy and hold. You literally provided a link to prove that I was saying. I am not going to bother even reading wiki as it’s not a valid source or rest of your article. Maybe you should read these published studies first yourself.
Thank you for the detailed reply! Got it, so short call credit spread for slight directional bias and put debit spread for a strong directional bias would also be decent strategies for VIX ETNs. Is it more risky to short VIX while it's in backwardation? Would it be safer to wait until it's in contango again or doesn't matter?
You're right the buying power effect on /VX is 19,866 for me on TDA. I'm trying to find another brokerage for futures with better margin, commissions and fees. Let me know if you have a recommendation please.
My big wins over the last month have been long XLE and USO after the Russia/Ukraine escalation, short RSX, trading SPX/QQQ both ways (big win on short tech at open today), and I bought AMZN calls before stock split announcement. I admit a lot has been luck and major catalysts. Def won't be this easy all the time. Just sticking with simple TA like volume profile, SR levels, RSI, MAs, and paying attention to macro, fed and news in headline driven environment, sector rotations, and options flow. I'm trying to learn how to utilize DOM and order flow now to trade /ES better. Made my first trades yesterday which worked out well but still so much to learn 😀
I also read dynamic hedging by Taleb and am currently reading option volatility & pricing by Natenberg. I don't know how much I've retained but I think it's been somewhat helpful 😅
I use spreads to manage my risk, I just posted on another post about opening a GME spread as a lotto play, they have earnings next thursday
Guessing what direction the stock will move is really hard, I know a lot of people will say, look at the historic data, always goes xxxx, yes, but it's still a gamble, I did a play like that many years ago, according to the data, the stock most of the time goes up after earnings, 15-20%, so I bought a call for 650 dollars... and guess what happened?, it went down and I lost it all.
So today I no longer buy or sell naked calls/puts, I always open a spread as part of my risk management strategy... I opened a call debit spread for GME for next week, 97 long, 100 short, for 1.30, max loss 130, mas profit 170, I know I'm limiting my profit if the stock just goes to 150 after earnings, but also I'm limiting my loss if it tanks, I rather do small wins or loses than blowing up my account with a bad trade.
Another thing I do, is SPX 0DTE, 3 times a week, and with this market I've been banking it, only 1 loss so far in the past 4 weeks, but this one is a lot of risk, SPX moves really fast up or down and if you don't have proper risk management and you get too greedy, you can blow up your account in minutes
My mom is a public school teacher. Tomorrow they have a a meeting to go through their library and remove any books that have any BIAS. X-mas, hannukah, all of it.
Sad to see so many people think that it is possible to not have a bias. What dorks.
si por desgracia , ya que gracias a esto se puede respaldar el hecho que tienes conocimiento alguno aun que algunas personas que no lo tienen demuestran tener mas capacidad que los estudiados
Timing is just much more important, so you have to really get into TA and learn to trust the TA you find reliable. Try to look for solid trendlines, support, resistance, and how it reacts to certain MAs. Sometimes stuff like Fibs or trading at the top of Bollinger Bands/VWAPs work okay too, but I like the aforementioned stuff the best, nice and simple.
r/Dipset-20-69 hands r/OPINION_IS_UNPOPULAR the and yells out Si Papi Si Uno Mas ! Mas duro Papi
> We haven’t even dropped 20%.. even the NASDAQ has held its own for now.
A few big names carrying the corpses of many littles ones.
Just look at the broad ranges of the various companies in the majority indexes, almost 3/4 of all companies are still below their 200 day MAs.
This is after a year of bleeding that should have move the bar way down, but the bar only gets lower.
every technical indicator is based on moving averages, even ones based on ML, under the hood everything is looking at moving averages and various numbers pulled from MAs
I’m a pretty avid reader and love books on investing, both in real estate as well as the stock market. 1st book I highly recommend is The Total Money Makeover by Dave Ramsey. It takes you step by step on how to pay down debts, save money and invest. It’s like my money bible!
2nd book was for my teenage kids - I bought a handful of stock market investing books for kids and beginners, and each one missed the mark. Then for X-Mas, I bought them a book called Vital Steps to Investing-for Teens by Jace Marshall. It was on-point. Took them from knowing nothing at all, to opening their first brokerage acct to placing their first trade, and many since! Couldn’t be happier about it - they will be far ahead of their friends down the line.
Just my 2 cents
Reposting cause my post got removed :P
Okay I'll try, you ******* *****. MACD stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. Let's start with Moving Average, you're such a ***** I bet you don't even know what that means. A moving average is an average price over a specific time period. It's really not that hard, ******. If the price on the 1st is $100, then it moves up to $120 on the 2nd, then on the third it tanks to $50. Your 3 day moving average is $90. We learned this shit in grade school, maybe you remember?
The MACD doesn't use regular moving averages though, it uses Exponential Moving Averages, which isn't that different. EMAs are just regular MAs that weight the more recent days higher than the less recent days. I'm not even going to do a sample calculation for you because it literally doesn't matter.
To get the MACD, you just take the 12-period EMA, and subtract the 26-period EMA. The MACD is the difference. It's supposed to show you something about changes in momentum when it changes from positive to negative or some shit. Are you following, ******?
If it all seems like astrology, that's because it is. Buy stocks that have solid fundamentals, but you're probably too ****** to even do that.
That was fun, thanks.
Maybe just start with understanding what moving averages are and what a 10 period MA means vs a 50 period, for example. How do they behave differently and why? Then understanding MACD more digestible... It is just an indicator based on how two such MAs behave in relation to each other.
If you're trying to move off QBO the Sage cloud option is far more robust (it descends from the MAS/Sage ERP folks) without going into Oracle/Netsuite territory. Literally anything but xero.
SPY gon be bouncing between the 50 and 200 MAs for the rest of the day I bet.
Random thought... I think TA can be useful especially with MAs and finding support/resistance points, but holy shit do I cringe when retards post shit like "CUP & HANDLE FORMED ON THE 1 MIN CHART". Like thats not how TA works
>Using technical analysis has been very helpful
Same here! People like to dump on it on here but in a market so largely driven by algos that seems silly to me. I dont know a whole lot about the different patterns and whatnot, but simply things like support/resistance lines and MAs/EMAs can absolutely be helpful given that algos monitor the same thing.
I think it’s worth it. Especially RSI and MAs
I'm feeling the bull momentum but the MAs on the SPY 1YR Don't fully agree yet.
Each point you made I could debate all day long but let's not. The only question I have to you is why are U.S. oil companies allowed to pay to lobby in Canada? Why would they do this?
To make oil seem more evil than it is, so that Canadians will never ship their own oil, so that the U.S. will be the only real provider of oil to Canada, so the U.S. oil companies will make more money.
But when U.S. people donate to the truckers, it's seen as the U.S. swaying a certain political sentiment and canadians get their bank accounts frozen. But it's okay for oil companies to do it. (I don't stand with the truckers but it's an interesting point).
I can't get out of my mas basement because the average cost of a house in my area is $850k CAD. Let's be real, if you're in WSB and NOT in your mom's basement then you don't belong here.
I've been adding to my positions once they drop below MAs and enter oversold. If they keep dropping, I add more, limiting myself to two lots per company. I'll unload the higher lot once markets stabilize.
I essentially trade short ratio strangles <10 DTE based on VIX, MAs, and market breadth.
Que linda! E ella puede hacer mas que follar. Esta puta es inteligente y en buen forma por una puta primera. Viva mexico.
if we open at these levels or below, we gonna see another mas selloff.
Well, that was certainly a week. As talked about yesterday, liquidity continues to deteriorate in many names, including the index futures themselves, which makes it more difficult to move size™ without impacting price action. The picture looks... relatively bleak.
As far as indexes and major ETFs, ARKK continues to get mutilated as it continues spiraling downwards towards Coronavirus Crash highs.
The Nasdaq Composite Index (not the Nasdaq 100 Index) had a "death cross" today (50d MA crossing under 200d MA). Yeah yeah yeah crayons and whatnot but it's an indicator of trend and when everyone with a Bloomberg Terminal reads "death cross" people are at least going to take note (same as the 50d and 200d MAs themselves). Also, everyone and their investment bank knows about the S&P doing a H&S. The Nasdaq 100 has already broken that right shoulder a while back.
News headlines continue to flood as the Ukraine-Russia situation escalates adding fuel to a very uncertain fire.
The beargod himself, Michael Burry, has reactivated his Twitter account. He hasn't tweeted anything yet, but he probably will at least give his opinions on something soon. Or he'll just go and say stupid crap. Both are options. His banner is still a painting of Tulipmania.
Fed's doing Fed stuff with more Fed officials (including Brainard) saying "it's time to hike rates" and other FOMC members saying similar things. 2s10s has eased a bit, 3m10s has mostly stayed unchanged this week.
It's a volatile time with lots of ups and downs. Position accordingly.
Happy long weekend all.
AAPL is basically Noah's Ark at this point 10-12% above its 200 day MA, and it's hard for me to believe that they somehow avoid all the tech carnage taking place everywhere around them.
GOOG and MSFT gave up their 200 day MAs and their charts look like they're on the verge of a total breakdown.
AMZN has been consolidating for 18 months, peaked back in July 2021, but now 10% below its 200 day MA.
FB/NFLX both collapsed already back to pre-pandemic prices.
The speculative tech plays are off -60% to -80% from their Feb 2021 highs.
If we start seeing money come out of AAPL, look out below. It really does look alone now holding up the whole market.
SPY's 200 and 20 day MAs have become one.
Definitely wasn't an ideal position, but I first got into the specific option Monday at the bottom before it started that end of day rally. Melted my theta so fast that I just hung onto them. Was an absurd green dildo from nowhere. But they were still only 3% OTM at the eod and I thought volatility was coming back after 3 trading days rangebound so I doubled down. Vix had started moving, too. We snapped back to the 450 range again, but not without a big theta burn, so they still weren't worth selling. We ended Tuesday on another rally. I got to thinking I was real smart and bought more at close because they were so far down and I was expecting today to start out in the same range and trend down ahead of the data. TA got blown up EoD but had still read bearish to me prior to that had been stuck in the bottom of the channel for an hour, and even peeked out the bottom twice. And the very idea of two days of 1-2% gains right now was absurd.
I probably should have gotten a closer strike when I doubled down again today, but I was admittedly kind of in a revenge trading mindset after how absurd today was. They're a little under 5% OTM right now, so was a stupid move to not spend more to get better strikes. I like 3% OTM when volatility is high because they run so hard and a 3% move isn't uncommon in choppy trading. But 5% would be pretty big even for bad data. Justified it by thinking that with us sitting at the fib retrace, well above the 5, 20, and 200 MAs and experiencing 4% gains on extremely low value that the rally was pure retail and big money was getting ready to dump. Even if it isn't a trap, there's still some pent up sell pressure, from this low volume rally.
Anyway thats my story about why I belong here. If they print it'll be absurdly profitable, even with the weeks worth of burn. If they don't, then well I'm fucked. I'm also worried the data getting shrugged off if it isn't completely apocalyptic. And the market making an absurd run if it's even close to estimates.
Its 100% risk of regulation why they fell. Its what caused the collapse in stock price in the first place. Weaker earnings mainly solidified it.
This is one of many articles that explains Beijings regulatory actions on the companies. You can literally search on Google “Why Alibaba stock fell” and you will get the same result. Like said potential risks of regulation by both the US and China has always been there. It just didnt seem to hit into the stock price started moving downward.
Solid plan, especially if your intent is to buy options. Wait for IV to settle and a positive confirmation at the critical weekly/monthly MAs + reclaiming the 2018-2020 uptrend.
I'll definitely be watching the price action at $228-232
Riding shares, will add calls once my initial targets/MAs are cleared and IV settles.
Uhhhh no, and here's why:
- They have $50 billion in cash after their $19 billion buyback, and yes the Zucc cucked himself, but hol' up
- They sport a P/E of 16, 4:1 asset/liability ratio, 65% YoY increase in cash flow, and currently trade at 15x FCF. $AAPL, $MSFT, $AMZN, $GOOG, and $TSLA have a P/E of 25-188, higher debt ratios, lower margins, and trade at 27-272x FCF (guess who's at 272 lol)
- Weekly (and daily) RSI are the most oversold they've been since the post-IPO dump, and the weekly is curling to make a bottom
- It bounced off the May 2018 and Feb 2020 high today
- The VWAP is $220.78, and easily in reach
- Delta flows are primarily being driven by Jan 2023 calls being sold, but IV is also in the 83rd percentile, so expect those to be closed out as IV decreases
- The current level also shows a successful test of the -2.618 Fib retrace from the September 2021 dump
- The weekly 200 & monthly 50 MA sit right at $230, so closing successfully above that will easily take it $266 and eventually $290 to attempt a gap fill
- The aforementioned MAs just happen to be right above the 2018/2020 trend, at $228.56
This is a great spot to dip a toe in, with a stop below $200. If we get a weekly then monthly close over $230, the party is back on.
TL;DR: The Metadump can easily become a Metapump. Zucc can buy SPOT & PTON for $45 billion, and still have enough for a super-yacht bigger than Jeff Amazon's + 300 000 metric fucktons of cocaine to make these hoes dance
Renting is more than just paying for the roof over your head. You are also “paying in advance” for maintenance, repairs and property taxes. As labor cost and taxes rises, your rent also rises.
On a 30-yrs fixed mortgage loan, you have a fixed monthly payment, until taxes are higher next year, and even though is not included in the monthly payment, a full HVAC system replacement on a X-mas morning is a chunk of money that can put your finances to limp for a bit, or even out you out of commission.
So, it is a very relative approach to say you are throwing money away if you are renting.
There are many things to consider.