CORN, CANE, and SOYB. Also look into fertilizer companies like IPI, LXU, MOS, and NTR. Keep in mind, Intrepid is the only US miner of potash for supply chain disruption and fertilizer will be classified as a strategic resource within the next 5 yrs.

“Soaring prices are driven by a confluence of factors, including surging input costs, supply disruptions caused by sanctions (Belarus and Russia), and export restrictions (China). Urea prices have surpassed their 2008 peaks, while phosphates and potash prices are inching closer to 2008 levels. Concerns around fertilizer affordability and availability have been amplified by the war in Ukraine.” From world bank article

Ukraine war’s repercussions Between them, Ukraine and Russia produce almost a third of the world’s wheat and barley and half of its sunflower oil. Russia and Belarus are the world’s number two and three producers of potash, a key ingredient of fertilizer.

India has banned exports of wheat effective immediately, citing a risk to food security, partly due to the war in Ukraine and as a scorching heatwave curtailed output and domestic prices hit a record high.

Although not one of the world’s top wheat exporters, India’s ban could drive global prices to new peaks given already tight supply, hitting poor consumers in Asia and Africa particularly hard.

$MOS $NTR $CF Best plays people load the boat we about to go sailing

“Soaring prices are driven by a confluence of factors, including surging input costs, supply disruptions caused by sanctions (Belarus and Russia), and export restrictions (China). Urea prices have surpassed their 2008 peaks, while phosphates and potash prices are inching closer to 2008 levels. Concerns around fertilizer affordability and availability have been amplified by the war in Ukraine.” From world bank article

Ukraine war’s repercussions Between them, Ukraine and Russia produce almost a third of the world’s wheat and barley and half of its sunflower oil. Russia and Belarus are the world’s number two and three producers of potash, a key ingredient of fertilizer.

India has banned exports of wheat effective immediately, citing a risk to food security, partly due to the war in Ukraine and as a scorching heatwave curtailed output and domestic prices hit a record high.

Although not one of the world’s top wheat exporters, India’s ban could drive global prices to new peaks given already tight supply, hitting poor consumers in Asia and Africa particularly hard.

$MOS $NTR $CF Best plays people load the boat we about to go sailing

“Soaring prices are driven by a confluence of factors, including surging input costs, supply disruptions caused by sanctions (Belarus and Russia), and export restrictions (China). Urea prices have surpassed their 2008 peaks, while phosphates and potash prices are inching closer to 2008 levels. Concerns around fertilizer affordability and availability have been amplified by the war in Ukraine.” -From world bank article $MOS $NTR $CF “Food Security” is the real crisis plus inflation

CF, UAN, NTR, MOS

Fertilizers $MOS $IPI $NTR $CF

Yeah . I’ve done well on NTR

Doing Ok. Down about 15% from peak. Have been working on a new project so didn't have the same amount of time to trade as I did so I largely went to cash in the beginning of the year where I could. I reallocated a lot to private sector deals (prob 40%) via AltoIRA and direct investments. I stayed neutral on large positions by steadily selling covered calls on V, AAPL, MSFT, CELH, INMD (anything I owned as equity) and some puts I was running on V, UPST. I managed to get out of the semis doing well though I held 20% of them too long and sold the rest in March. My big losses were ironically on a large SPY put (50 contracts) I stayed too long in when there was a bear rally, CROX which still surprises me as the company continues to crush it., and a bunch of small companies that are long term bets I really won't look at for ten years anyway. Did well on PFE. I caught some great trades from the levelfields alerts on NTR, NOG and IPI, and did well going in on LMT when the war broke out. CELH am neutral on still given covered calls. Did get reamed on COIN calls. Sold all crypto but BTC for small gains. Did you make a lot on your shorts?

NTR to $160 (CAD)

Long term puts on HYG and Long Term Calls on NTR, BG & CTVA

Potash was like that back in the day: POT...now it is NTR.

I am all in oil, commodities and NTR.

I’m watching $CF and $NTR, I mean look how far they’ve climbed since September ‘21, almost parabolic. Reminds me of AMD’s top. I’d be impressed if there was more gas in the tank, but based on how other commodities like steel and copper, lumber; I’m leaning more towards top.

my top 40. all worth looking into. spent over a year making this list, theres more but this captures many great sectors.

OXY

CVS

AMD

SQ

AAPL

ZIM

CEG

NVDA

TSLA

MRVL

MOS

AMZN

F

DIS

UEC

TLRY

CLF

AA

HOOD

ABNB

MRNA

LAC

ENPH

NET

STEM

AST

TELL

UNH

NTR

AMAT

MU

TGT

FB

BLNK

RKLB

PTRA

GRWG

CRSP

PLUG

APPH

This sounds like the start of an NTR hentai. We just need the ugly bastard now. I’ll volunteer my wife’s boyfriend.

NTR is my shining star 🌟

NTR crushed earnings! Looks like lots of runway into 2023.

Sold before divi at 80ish. Scalped sblk and grin for 30-50% gains. Out of ntr as well. Good luck guys

NTR too. Brrrrrrr

Did you get out of NTR with any profits? Shit tanked so quick

I was 2/3 today on fertilizers and materials. Had calls on NTR, FMC, and MOS. I'll take the MOS hit since no one was expecting anything crazy. Hoping MPC crushing in the morning for some max gains.

$NTR $BG

$NTR

…bish

The VIX is too high I agree. #3 and #4 producers are at war. It's not expected to cover as it's impossible. So prices will simply go up. Plus NTR is trying to increase potash by $1B more. This is going to get worse and high prices for a while.

I bought stocks as you said IV is too high and I'm in it for 6 months longer.

NTR looks very good and cheap

Really, Wow not what I get.

Symbol,Impl Vol,IVRank,Mark,Net Chng ABNB,76.07%,88.9,153.700,-6.53 AKAM,45.87%,73.6,112.280,-3.55 AMD,76.12%,93.9,85.870,-4.12 ANET,68.13%,85.8,116.000,-5.34 BIGC,111.37%,65.9,17.880,-.80 BIIB,44.72%,13.4,207.530,-2.97 BKNG,60.49%,100.0,2211.110,-107.49 BP,51.99%,72.1,28.720,-.63 CAR,112.29%,45.5,267.670,-5.38 CHGG,99.89%,59.1,24.740,-.96 CROX,85.46%,92.3,66.750,-1.39 CVS,39.80%,100.0,96.130,-4.72 DASH,118.61%,99.8,81.540,-5.96 DBX,63.60%,67.6,21.750,-.71 DDOG,99.44%,94.7,121.500,-7.69 DOCN,132.76%,100.0,39.430,-4.57 EAT,79.91%,100.0,36.380,-2.51 EL,50.39%,100.0,264.060,-8.27 ETSY,103.88%,99.7,93.660,-8.69 EXPE,70.39%,99.3,175.330,-8.65 EXPI,113.63%,87.1,13.390,-.63 FSLY,132.96%,95.9,15.950,-1.20 FTNT,71.78%,97.3,289.500,-19.64 FUBO,160.15%,94.0,3.790,-.28 GDDY,54.04%,81.4,80.810,-6.52 IPI,109.87%,75.8,76.580,-6.48 IRBT,93.85%,89.0,50.650,+.29 LOGI,60.70%,68.2,65.300,-.70 LYFT,82.42%,85.9,32.720,-.96 MELI,85.58%,91.7,975.060,-66.37 MGM,58.46%,78.3,41.060,-1.07 MGNI,110.35%,73.5,9.650,-.60 MOS,80.75%,96.2,62.450,-2.90 MRNA,91.72%,72.1,135.000,-8.11 MTCH,82.66%,98.4,79.350,-2.45 NET,107.20%,96.9,86.260,-9.11 NTR,60.94%,91.1,98.250,-3.05 PENN,86.45%,89.9,36.700,-1.31 PFE,44.17%,88.3,48.680,-1.44 PRU,41.91%,71.6,108.510,-3.61 QSR,37.08%,89.9,57.150,-1.27 RACE,44.88%,71.8,209.740,-4.30 REGN,36.55%,76.6,659.210,-16.47 SBUX,47.33%,99.2,74.750,-1.94 SHAK,77.83%,96.9,57.830,-2.33 SHOP,104.01%,97.5,428.050,-16.46 SKLZ,152.62%,50.0,2.060,-.14 SQ,105.42%,93.6,99.800,-5.10 SWKS,64.64%,100.0,113.350,-4.35 TRIP,71.02%,66.6,25.670,-.69 TUP,87.47%,68.2,17.580,-.25 TWLO,103.28%,100.0,111.820,-7.10 UBER,79.30%,96.5,31.480,-1.34 VRTX,35.17%,30.5,273.220,+4.58 W,120.04%,97.2,77.020,-6.45 WING,74.37%,95.7,91.760,-6.02 YUM,38.07%,88.1,117.010,-2.51 ZBRA,52.01%,89.8,370.010,-13.32 ZG,94.13%,97.0,38.650,-.96 ZI,81.83%,88.1,47.400,-1.55

I could see NTR and MOS do really well here.

MOS and NTR are my bets. Fertilizer is the only commodity I like, everyone needs to eat.

A lot of gains already priced in but revenue for both should be crazy.

Some implied ones for earnings next week - 1607 companies reporting : $SQ 15.8% $ZG 18.6% $DASH 18.5% $FUBO 22.4% $MELI 12.1% $DBX 9.2% $SHAK 15.5% $VRTX 5.0% $SHOP 14.6% $DDOG 15.6% $UBER 11.9% $TWLO 16.9% $ETSY 17.5% $NET 15.7% $FSLY 20.0% $SKLZ 26.8% $TRIP 11.5% $FTNT 14.0% $IRBT 18.7% $BKNG 8.8% $DOCN 24.9% $MGNI 20.7% $GDDY 10.6% $CROX 16.9% $PENN 11.1% $W 19.1% $AMD 10.9% $ABNB 10.7% $SBUX 6.7% $LYFT 12.8% $SWKS 9.4% $MTCH 10.7% $AKAM 7.7% $PRU 7.3% $MRNA 12.4% $CVS 5.2% $REGN 6.7% $YUM 5.0% $WING 13.2% $RACE 6.1% $EAT 14.2% $EXPI 21.5% $TUP 17.1% $CHGG 20.2% $CAR 18.7% $EXPE 10.6% $LOGI 11.3% $MGM 7.7% ?$ANET 11.2% $MOS 10.9% $ZI 16.3% $NTR 8.5% $IPI 20.9% $BIGC 21.5% $PFE 6.0% $BP 6.1% $BIIB 5.9% $QSR 6.8% ?$EL 9.7% $ZBRA 10.1%

Soybean planting is expected to rise by volume and acreage in 2022 since Soybeans use less fertilizer than Corn and Wheat. Also you can plant Soybeans later in the planting season than Corn.

There is another topic where a fellow reddit user posted about $MOS, $ADM, and $NTR. I think those stocks are a better play on inflation than the commodity ETF's. But If you want to go with ETF's I would look to buy $CORN or $WEAT on the dip over $SOYB.

A lot of farmers locked in their prices for fertilizer before the Ukraine/Russian war so their volume is up, and the farmers bought at pre war prices. It's all going to come down to $NTR guidance. Do they expect farmers to buy fertilizer for the 2023 growing season at the increased prices in phosphates? If Corn and Wheat prices remain near all time highs and continue to climb, I expect the answer to be Yes. And remember the market is forward looking. There is soon to be a panic in a potential food shortage/crisis.

Thank you.

Any idea why NTR continues to do well even with high NG prices? Is the idea that yes costs are higher but increases in fertilizer costs outpace NG costs?

Question: increases in natgas price decrease margins for ammonia producers. So why have companies like NTR which produce a lot of ammonia and N-bases fertilizers done so well in an environment where NG prices are up 2x in US and 5x+ in Europe from last year?

I would say $ADM is the less volatile stock and $MOS and $NTR are leveraged stocks on the move in Corn and Wheat prices. $MOS is having issues with production, or at least they did last quarter but prices of Phosphate in particular have rising so dramatically that their price increases have hidden their mining shortages. I am more of a gambler than many, and I expect $MOS shares to explode once their production gets on track.

Another fertilizer stock to look at is $CF. They are in hydrogen and nitrogen fertilizer and less reliant on the Ukraine/Russian war.

$NTR is made up of the old Agrium and Potash Saskatchewan. I am more bullish on $MOS but either is fine. The deal is you have to watch the futures market in Wheat & Corn especially if you get into these companies. Soybeans are less reliant on fertilizer.

Watch ticker symbols $WEAT & $CORN if you buy $MOS or $NTR; or watch the actual futures market for Wheat & Corn. As long as $WEAT and $CORN remain above all DMA's than $MOS and $NTR are buys on the dip.

Helps a lot to frame, thank you.

Yes it’s very impressive that ADM has been publicly traded since 1924 and still going strong. Not exactly a meme stock but good value and momentum IMO.

One more question: If looking at fertilizer plays: How does MOS compare with NTR?

How does MOS compare to NTR?

Sold NTR at 11x

Idk. Maybe. But I’m going with $NTR- potash straight from the source.

Yeah, I’ll probably sell the day before earnings or tomorrow. I have a feeling my crushed play would go up like it did today and will sell off at closing. I’ve had plays just repeat that cycle until it went green. It’s happen with a recent TSLA,NTR,and is currently happening to a UPS play I have.

I called that SPY will go up after a dip and that might happen tomorrow. I honestly think it will go green in one of these days.

21 years old - 40k

Would greatly appreciate any suggestions/critiques

13% AMZN 12% CVE 10% AAPL 10% TGT 8% GOOG 7% TSLA 7% TD 6% NTR 6% AMD 5% NVDA 5% FB 3% MSFT 1% PFE 1% BAM 1% LAC 1% V 1% MULN 1% redacted 1% LIT 1% cash

NTR is Saskatoon based.

NTR strong bounce at $100

Anyone have any thoughts on NTR?? It’s a Canadian (Potash) fertilizer company

Anyones thoughts on $MOS and $NTR? I got in before the big pump the last mnth+, sold almost everything a little bit ago. I am not a fan for the short term, but I am still long on both. Fertilizer has seen increases of 300% and I don’t see it slowing down over the next few years with the looming food crisis.

Anyones thoughts on $MOS and $NTR? I got in before the big pump the last mnth+, sold almost everything a little bit ago. I am not a fan for the short term, but I am still long on both. Fertilizer has seen increases of 300% and I don’t see it slowing down over the next few years with the looming food crisis.

Let's ask Cramer about NTR

I took a hit playing fertilizer this past week. However I think calls are still the right direction for their upcoming earnings and will probably pick up a couple on both stocks.

MOS and NTR both fell below their 30 day SMA. I will be watching to see if they continue to drop before picking up any calls.

BRO theres a company that has ticker "NTR" im ALL IN ON MARGIN LFG

>Why ain't nobody talking about Fertilizers

What are you talking about?

Alot of people have been talking about them and maybe that's why both NTR and MOS are up more than 50% over the last few months.

NTR is my favorite! Almost more than loss porn!

I do think that the market has priced in a chance of the war ending/negotiations going well. we also haven't seen the effects of developing world for high food prices yet. I would say there is still some room to move north but fertilizer stocks like NTR or MOS would be the way to go - actual crops like wheat or corn or sunflowers can easily be replaced in the market as needed. The need for fertiliser goes up either way though.

fertilizer and agri stocks are great. MOS CF NTR etc. anything that’s not tech or consumer discretionary should survive

ntr stonks？ i can fap to this

They got hammered today no doubt. I think they'll get some bounce back though, earnings for NTR coming up and I expect them to do well.

More Past Weekly Fertilizer Prices…this will give you a better understanding to why I believe fertilizer producers such as $MOS $NTR $CF $IPI $ADM and other will beat earnings Dec 3-$1072.87

Dec 10-$1081.83

Dec 17-$1087.53

Jan 7-$956.58

Jan 14-$906.66

Jan 21-$871.46

Jan 28-$811.70

Feb 4-$898.28

Feb 11-$866.92

Feb 18-$877.93

Feb 25-$891.50

Mar 4-$984.72

Mar 11-$1137.56

Last Year Prices from Jan-April prices we’re beginning of the year $450 to April $580. So gives you a better insight to why I keep my bullish thesis to amazing earnings. Also these miners before this major bull run used to provide monthly production updates…when there in a bull run they don’t provide such bullish info because will give to much momentum for the stock imo.

Companies like Mosaic have been buying back tons of there shares and back in February last quarter they announced a billion shares buyback on top of there original 2021 buyback…so there’s much room left in all these stocks imo

More Past Weekly Fertilizer Prices…this will give you a better understanding to why I believe fertilizer producers such as $MOS $NTR $CF $IPI $ADM and other will beat earnings Dec 3-$1072.87

Dec 10-$1081.83

Dec 17-$1087.53

Jan 7-$956.58

Jan 14-$906.66

Jan 21-$871.46

Jan 28-$811.70

Feb 4-$898.28

Feb 11-$866.92

Feb 18-$877.93

Feb 25-$891.50

Mar 4-$984.72

Mar 11-$1137.56

Last Year Prices from Jan-April prices we’re beginning of the year $450 to April $580. So gives you a better insight to why I keep my bullish thesis to amazing earnings. Also these miners before this major bull run used to provide monthly production updates…when there in a bull run they don’t provide such bullish info because will give to much momentum for the stock imo.

Companies like Mosaic have been buying back tons of there shares and back in February last quarter they announced a billion shares buyback on top of there original 2021 buyback…so there’s much room left in all these stocks imo

More Past Weekly Fertilizer Prices…this will give you a better understanding to why I believe fertilizer producers such as $MOS $NTR $CF $IPI $ADM and other will beat earnings Dec 3-$1072.87 Dec 10-$1081.83 Dec 17-$1087.53 Jan 7-$956.58 Jan 14-$906.66 Jan 21-$871.46 Jan 28-$811.70 Feb 4-$898.28 Feb 11-$866.92 Feb 18-$877.93 Feb 25-$891.50 Mar 4-$984.72 Mar 11-$1137.56

Last Year Prices from Jan-April prices we’re beginning of the year $450 to April $580. So gives you a better insight to why I keep my bullish thesis to amazing earnings. Also these miners before this major bull run used to provide monthly production updates…when there in a bull run they don’t provide such bullish info because will give to much momentum for the stock imo.

Companies like Mosaic have been buying back tons of there shares and back in February last quarter they announced a billion shares buyback on top of there original 2021 buyback…so there’s much room left in all these stocks imo

Fertilizer prices have more than doubled since last year. Limited supply of relevant minerals, high energy costs, high global demand and 2 European fertilizer plants closed. I don’t see it exploding history doesn’t repeat but it rhymes. So right now as economies open up and with food demand globally. And Russian sanctions I see big demand in this market. This is just my opinion. 10-34-0 is 49% more expensive, MAP is 53% higher, DAP is 68% more expensive, UAN28 is 83% higher, UAN32 is 89% more expensive, urea is 100% is higher, potash is 103% higher and anhydrous is 119% more expensive compared to last year. $MOS $NTR $CF $IPI $ADM

Fertilizer prices have more than doubled since last year. Limited supply of relevant minerals, high energy costs, high global demand and 2 European fertilizer plants closed. I don’t see it exploding history doesn’t repeat but it rhymes. So right now as economies open up and with food demand globally. And Russian sanctions I see big demand in this market. This is just my opinion. 10-34-0 is 49% more expensive, MAP is 53% higher, DAP is 68% more expensive, UAN28 is 83% higher, UAN32 is 89% more expensive, urea is 100% is higher, potash is 103% higher and anhydrous is 119% more expensive compared to last year. $MOS $NTR $CF $IPI $ADM

Unless MOS pumps $8 tomorrow my calls are dead... that's 4k.

Unless NTR pumps $5 tomorrow my calls are dead... that's 4.8k.

So... what happened to fertilizer and food stocks? MOS -9.5%, NTR -4.6%, CF -6.6%, BG -2.9%, ADM -2.4% today.

10-34-0 is 49% more expensive, MAP is 53% higher, DAP is 68% more expensive, UAN28 is 83% higher, UAN32 is 89% more expensive, urea is 100% is higher, potash is 103% higher and anhydrous is 119% more expensive compared to last year. $MOS $NTR $CF

10-34-0 is 49% more expensive, MAP is 53% higher, DAP is 68% more expensive, UAN28 is 83% higher, UAN32 is 89% more expensive, urea is 100% is higher, potash is 103% higher and anhydrous is 119% more expensive compared to last year. $MOS $NTR $CF

Look at NTR. It shot up quickly (had a catalyst too). Has been flat/slightly down for a little while now.

Why will these go back up significantly?

Nutrien (NTR-N) is a good one to own, but it's already had a run. I'm not sure now is a great time to buy given the current price.

AMZN GOOG AAPL AMD FB TGT COST TD NTR PFE WM

$NTR Green every single day

MOS and NTR are good too, but IIRC they're more exposed to Canada and other non-potash fertilizers. Also MOS is about 17x as large as IPI, despite having a lower stock price. This means that the price will probably not move as much as IPI's will (as seen in their recent run ups). Obviously this also means that they're safer bets overall.

OP just wondering if you could give a quick opinion on IPI vs. MOS and NTR? it seems they will all benefit the same from this environment but for instance MOS is still the cheaper of the bunch and I find its 'performance' is relatively good lately but I have heard of IPI as well a bit

MOS and NTR going to dip overnight or at open tomorrow.

Seems like this + Shanghai/China lockdowns + potential EU embargo of Russian oil + the war are driving oil and fertilizers up today. Holding and adding onto my MOS position for these reasons. Keeping an eye on CF, NTR(fertilizers) APA, and RRC(oil/energy) as well.

NTR is up 53% over 6 months (most of that in the last 3) that alone makes me take a step back.

CF has a PB of over 7. WTF red flag. This is not cheap. Not saying it's not a buy, but WTF...

MOS PFCF of over 35. Again WTF...

NTR PFCF of over 50...

Go MOS and NTR.

I own both

When I open my apple stock app, which says it grabs data from yahoo lists NTR p/e as 20.29... where does the difference from your 7 come from?

I’m new to this stuff, so trying to learn.

NTR, MOS and CF. Major fertilizer shortages. Russia/Belarus face sanctions and produce 1/3 of the world’s potash supply. These stocks have rallied but are only 7x consensus 2022E EPS. 10% cash flow fields. This fertilizer shortage is not going away anytime soon.

Well, that's a lot of interesting stocks.

Probably bad market response: IBM, NFLX, ATVI, MMM, SPOT, HOOD, UBER, DASH, RBLX

Probably good response: V, XOM, NTR, ENB, SOFI (to the moon obviously), DIS, RIVN (because that trash is always going against logic).

I know almost nothing though

NTR u slut green to red wtf

Ntr

I’ve made some very healthy gains with calls on IPI and MOS. I’ve been needing to buy some calls in NTR too.

Actually it's Canada. NTR is the largest company, up 100% YoY.

MOS, CF, IPI, NTR is what I'm in right now for fertilizer.

Sold my NTR calls a little early, left a little on the bone. Oh well still decent profit, time to scalp with some puts on the way down.

NTR, we will always need fertilizer

Ntr

NTR is a decent one for fertiliser

NTR, MOO ETF

Thinking about getting some long dated calls on wheat related stocks, unsure if they still have enough upside though. Preliminarily looking at BG, AGRO, ADM, WEAT, and a couple small ones. Any other good stocks/etfs to look at in that realm? Already been trading fertilizer stocks MOS and NTR for decent profits.

I'm also at almost 500mg caffeine for the day. Going to need to stock up before tomorrow because I'm an idiot.

Fertilizers

CF MOS NTR

Been holding NTR calls for April 14th all week, it's finally pushing back up. Hope it moves a bit more so I can dump them before the weekend.

Im holding NTR $90P May20. Easy money

I'm up 50% YTD buying only fertilizer companies (MOS, CF, NTR, UAN, LXU).

My sweet baby NTR is dropping, calls are all for next week but what the hell.

Best of luck making that back man. I’m hoping for a little more luck with NTR

Best of luck making that back man. I’m hoping for a little more luck with NTR

NTR ralliee while everything was going down big-time !

Odds of NTR getting to 108 again?

Fertilizer is on the move this quarter: UAN, MOS, LXU, IPI, IPL, CF, NTR.... pick one and run with it as part of your portfolio.

RIG is intriguing as a relatively cheap play on oil with lots of upside, but it might not kick in until after the quarter has ended.

Add in some SOXL below $35, maybe some TQQQ, and something like UPST

Do you get to include dividends and distributions in your "most money" calculations? If so then seriously consider a position in UAN.

NTR is a good fertilizer play. May have already seen its run though