Pfizer Inc.
PFE
NYSE43.76
Nice! I just bought PFE puts today. Gonna cash in when all the lawsuits hit.
IMHO - this truly is an excellent time to buy pfizer/PFE; whatever new horror strain of covid evolved in China during the unLockdown will be spreading as we speak.
PFE just blew me up. Peace guys
Hollywood’s demonic praise of Satan brought to you by Pfizer
Literally
https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/1622573901216727040
Embedded video - 0:26 - 1.9M views
$PFE puts. So glad I never gave in
King of Thailand said to get PFE poots
You are right on target. Like me you just got in a little early. I was about a week ago as well. All indicators were in agreement. However, I am learning to be more patient now, like wait for the signal but then also wait for the CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator) to come back out of the over/under status. That will help from getting in/out too early like my trademark move almost every time. Fomo. Even though I also included MacD it is almost too late in the game. But if the signal line is under the histogram I'm good. CVS is an expensive retail chain. However I think it's subsidiary stuff is making the money. We stopped shopping CVS because the prices are just out of line. However, for a swing trader, I'm not worried about its reputation or model. Most of the consumer staples went south last week. In defense mode, when there is nowhere else to put the tech money, CVS, K, GIS, ABBV (maybe PFE) will be good for the next few weeks.
I originally was purely going for growth, but kinda changed that plan overtime and added other stocks to my watchlist / portfolio as the market changed. I'll list what I have and plan to have.
TSLA - 16.21% (I already know I'm heavily overweight and have a plan to sell some)
RIO - 9.78% (4% of these positions have a trailing stop, to lock in profits and go back to 5% allocation)
CSPX - 7.99%
NVDA - 5.88%
AAPL - 5.84%
ULVR - 5.75%
DGE - 5.54%
GOOG - 5.46%
SHEL - 5.41%
BRK.B - 5.38%
VXUS - 5.37%
ABNB - 5.35%
AZN - 4.26%
PLTR - 2.47% (Plan to sell when I hit green)
UU - 2.27%
VZ - 0.41%
Those to be bought / added back into my portfolio:
HSBA, NG. (buy order for market open), TSCO (Tesco, not tractor), SSE, GSK
MSFT, PFE, WMT, KO
I had someone suggest ditching VZ for V or MA, and pretty much said the dividend stocks are gonna leave me waiting for years to see good profits. I have Crypto too, but I'm not too concerned about my buying of those, I use an algorithm for my % allocations and then dca.
It's not the largest portfolio, money wise, but I've been dcaing weekly. Gonna start using the emas, if nothing looks great, skip that week.
Some comments / suggestions would be much appreciated.
I originally was purely going for growth, but kinda changed that plan overtime and added other stocks to my watchlist / portfolio as the market changed. I'll list what I have and plan to have.
TSLA - 16.21% (I already know I'm heavily overweight and have a plan to sell some)
RIO - 9.78%
CSPX - 7.99%
NVDA - 5.88%
AAPL - 5.84%
ULVR - 5.75%
DGE - 5.54%
GOOG - 5.46%
SHEL - 5.41%
BRK.B - 5.38%
VXUS - 5.37%
ABNB - 5.35%
AZN - 4.26%
PLTR - 2.47% (Plan to sell when I hit green)
UU - 2.27%
VZ - 0.41%
​
Those to be bought / added back into my portfolio:
HSBA, NG (buy order for market open), TSCO (Tesco, not tractor), SSE, GSK
MSFT, PFE, WMT, KO
​
I had someone suggest ditching VZ for V or MA, and pretty much said the dividend stocks are gonna leave me waiting for years to see good profits. I have Crypto too, but I'm not too concerned about my buying of those, I use an algorithm or my % allocations and then dca.
I've been thinking this too. With some the recent news coming out, I'm thinking shorting PFE could be the way to go.
!banbet PFE 35 4w
PFE Calls
This made me lol https://www.reddit.com/r/tifu/comments/10s0pfe/tifu_inviting_a_girl_over/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android_app&utm_name=androidcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button
PFE looks bad just on a technical level looking at the chart. There's clear channels it's traded in since 2009 and it's in the upper one going toward that middle trend line. I think it should hit 40 but I also think it's oversold. I will definitely be buying at $40 but for now I'm selling puts at the $40 strike
Moderna will be the most successful biotech ever. You’re playing with fire and going to get burned badly. Flu data out soon. RSV data was very good and beat PFE and GSK. Moderna can combo covid, flu and RSV unlike those two companies. There is usually no second place and the RSV market is huge. Merck partnership on PCV & Keytruda will be gold standard for cancer immunotherapy. But please short away.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-01/merck-s-mrk-covid-drug-linked-to-viable-spreading-mutants-study-says?utm_campaign=bn&utm_medium=distro&utm_source=yahooUS#xj4y7vzkg
PFE moon
I got a call on $PFE at this dip.
Makes sense. Especially the part that PFE does not move that much. Thanks!
You have to account for the break even, changes in IV (in this case not that severe) and take into account that PFE doesn't really move all that much. Buying a put that far OTM requires big moves to make a lot of money. Better to buy a put spread that is closer to ATM when purchased. You don't make as much...but the difference is small and the POP is large.
Lets see:
$MSFT lowers guidance
$AMD lowers guidance
$INTC lowers guidance
$EA lowers guidance
$NXPI lowers guidance
$VZ lowers guidance
$PFE lowers guidance
Samsung lowers guidance & doesn't expect ramp of orders until 2H 2023.
$SNAP no guidance due to uncertainty.
Think about, if there is possibility for PFE to go under $9 in next 8 trading days. If NO, you are going to lose all your “invested” money in that trade.
I love SPOT & PYPL. I like INTC, META, PFE, MO, GOOG, MSFT & VOW3.DE.
Ya, PFE is green now, weird. Guess I had to refresh. Wasnt too far down tho
MCD and PFE killed their earnings, why are they red today..?
First SOFI reported earnings and I was happy Then PFE reported earnings and I got sad But then SPOT reported earnings, and I got happy again
Life
$PFE a bit of a bargain imho. But I'm a filthy classic value investor.
PFE fuk
PFE
well pfe basically scammed more people than sbf, and gas as a whole is going down
Did Xom or pfe report yet? Why down so much?
I have two of my stocks reporting tomorrow before the open - XOM and PFE. I wouldn't be able to sleep tonight.
Damnit - we dont have PFE in the tool yet. Let me know if you want me to run it for any of these securities. Same inputs. Or you can do it yourself for SPY
- Black IV
AAPL - Apple
ADBE - Adobe
ADI - Analog Devices
AMC - AMC Entertainment
AMD – Advanced Micro Devices
AMZN - Amazon
ASML - ASML Hold
ATVI - Activision Blizzard
AVGO - Broadcom
BA - Boeing
BBBY - Bed Bath & Beyond
BKNG - Booking holdings
CAT - Caterpillar
CHTR - Charter Communications
CMCSA - Comcast
COST - Costco
CRM - Salesforce
CSCO - Cisco Systems
CSX - CSX Corp
CVX – Chevron
DASH - Doordash
DIS - Disney
DK - DraftKings
F - Ford
FISV - Fiserv
FSR - Fisker Inc
FTNT - Fortinet
GILD - Gilead
GME - GameStop
GOOGL - Google class A
GS - Goldman Sachs
GT - Goodyear Tire
HD - Home Depot
HON – Honeywell
INTC - Intel
INTU - Intuit
IPI - Intrepid Potash
ISRG - Intuitive Surgical
IWM - iShares Russell 2000 ETF
JD - JD.com
KDP - Keurig Dr. Pepper
KLAC - KLA Corp
KO - Coca Cola
LRCX - Lam Research
MAR - Marriott Intl
MCD – McDonald’s
MDLZ - Mondelez
MELI - Mercado Libre
MRNA - Moderna
MRVL - Marvell Tech
MSFT - Microsoft
MU - Micron
NFLX - Netflix
NVDA - Nvidia
PANW - Palo Alto Networks
PEP - PepsiCo
PINS - Pinterest
PLTR - Palantir
PLUG - Plug Power
PTON- Peloton
PYPL - PayPal
QCOM – Qualcomm
QQQ – Nasdaq 100 ETF
RIOT - Riot Blockchain
RBLX - Roblox Corp
REGN - Regeneron
RSX - Van Eck Russia ETF
^SPX – S&P 500 Index
SBUX – Starbucks
SHOP - Shopify Inc
SNAP - Snapchat
SNOW - Snowflake
SPY - S&P 500 ETF
SQ - Block
TLRY - Tilray Brands
TLT - iShares 20-YR ETF
TMUS - T-Mobile
TSLA - Tesla
TXN - Texas Instruments
UBER - Uber Technologies
UNG - U.S. Natural Gas Fund
USO - U.S. Oil Fund
V - Visa
VGT – Vanguard IT Fund
^VIX – CBOE Volatility Index
VOO – Vanguard 500 Fund
VRTX - Vertex Pharmaceuticals
WEAT - Teucrium Wheat Fund
Already priced in bad PFE earnings, so we goin to 🪐
Anyone else doin PFE puts for earnings
Playing Pretty Risky SPY 2/7 423 Calls @ .20 SPY 2/7 370 Puts @ .10 for hedge SPY 12/29 $515 Calls for YOLO @ $1 ENPH 2/10 315 Calls @ .31 PFE 2/10 50 Calls @ .05
Tickers with earnings between now and tomorrow's market open:
- cflt
- whr
- nxpi
- agnc
- gm
- ups
- mcd
- pfe
- cat
- spot
- glw
- xom
- mro
- psx
Guys good morning $PFE bluish ?
Do the math on the uncovered long put vs buying a put spread and you will see why. Compare buying a 40 or 35 put and tell me what they are worth at expiraion in July when PFE is 35.
Short all the pandemic bs; $mrna, $dash, $pfe, $msft.
I just keep shorting PFE. They suck.
Since you see this...and PFE goes up and down very slowly, then you should probably just target a put spread expiring in June. Buy the 40 strike put, sell the 35 strike put. You spend 0.77 cents to make 4.27 dollars. If PFE goes to 35 by expiration, you will make 549% return on your money. There probably really even isn't a better trade than that.
If you have 1 grand, and you are willing to gamble that entire 1 grand on PFE (and willing to lose it all), you can buy ~13 contracts. So you spend $1k, and if you are right you will make $5,500
If you believe PFE will tank then you buy puts TOMORROW
they report on Tue. BTW, about 100,000 put holders think the same thing, as the OI for the 2/3 expiration > 100,000. I hold about 10 of them.
If you think PFE will drop x%, then you should buy a put that has strike HIGHER than x%. This costs a little more but increases probability of profit. Real gang-bangers will buy puts > x% drop.
For example. PFE is at 43.80.
If you think it will dump to 42...buy a 43 strike put. ballers will buy a 41 strike put (but they know what to do when it dumps on Tue)
If you think it will dump to 40, then buy a 41 or 42 strike put.
If I thought this I would buy PFE puts about 90 days out after Wednesday. Not advice….
Here you go. Look at the table, then change it too graph. You see how much of a change you need to see profit
https://optionstrat.com/build/long-put/PFE/230210P42
Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week (Jan. 30th - Feb. 3rd) - 477 Companies Reporting
$AAPL 4.7%
$AMZN 8.4%
$GOOGL 5.8%
$F 6.7%
$QCOM 6.4%
$SBUX 5.4%
$GILD 4.7%
$X 7.5%
$DECK 9.2%
$BILL 18.3%
$TEAM 15.3%
$HUBG 8.0%
$CBOE 3.4%
$REGN 3.8%
$META 9.9%
$ALGN 11.6%
$SNAP 20.0%
$EA 5.3%
$WDC 8.5%
$AMGN 3.9%
$EW 6.4%
$PTON 18.7%
$HUM 7.7%
$WM 2.9%
$EAT 11.3%
$SMG 13.3%
$MCK 4.1%
$MET 3.2%
$ELF 11.0%
$ALL 5.0%
$DXC 10.7%
$EL 7.0%
$LLY 3.8%
$MRK 3.0%
$COP 4.5%
$PENN 6.7%
$RACE 4.4%
$SWK 8.6%
$NXPI 5.8%
$WHR 5.6%
$UPS 6.5%
$GM 7.0%
$AMD 8.3%
$XOM 3.8%
$PFE 4.4%
$MCD 3.3%
$SPOT 11.4%
$GLW 5.1%
$PII 8.6%
$SOFI 14.8%
Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week (Jan. 30th - Feb. 3rd) - 477 Companies Reporting:
​
$AAPL 4.7%
$AMZN 8.4%
$GOOGL 5.8%
$F 6.7%
$QCOM 6.4%
$SBUX 5.4%
$GILD 4.7%
$X 7.5%
$DECK 9.2%
$BILL 18.3%
$TEAM 15.3%
$HUBG 8.0%
$CBOE 3.4%
$REGN 3.8%
$META 9.9%
$ALGN 11.6%
$SNAP 20.0%
$EA 5.3%
$WDC 8.5%
$AMGN 3.9%
$EW 6.4%
$PTON 18.7%
$HUM 7.7%
$WM 2.9%
$EAT 11.3%
$SMG 13.3%
$MCK 4.1%
$MET 3.2%
$ELF 11.0%
$ALL 5.0%
$DXC 10.7%
$EL 7.0%
$LLY 3.8%
$MRK 3.0%
$COP 4.5%
$PENN 6.7%
$RACE 4.4%
$SWK 8.6%
$NXPI 5.8%
$WHR 5.6%
$UPS 6.5%
$GM 7.0%
$AMD 8.3%
$XOM 3.8%
$PFE 4.4%
$MCD 3.3%
$SPOT 11.4%
$GLW 5.1%
$PII 8.6%
$SOFI 14.8%
>I think that you are correct about Pfizer (PFE) and Peloton (PTON). I believe that people will still be scared of Covid and get the jab, especially children. However, I also believe that society will return to their normal lives eventually and Peloton's business may not function as well in this environment.
I had a dream pfe was shut down.
My PFE shares thank you. And if you don’t get the vaccination, if you get COVID, you will be taking Paxlovid—also brought to you by Pfizer.
AVERAGE EARNINGS MOVE | LAST MOVE | IMPLIED MOVE FROM ATM OPTIONS PRICING
2023-01-30
$NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV: 5.53% | 5.71% | 4.34%
2023-01-31
$AMD | Advanced Micro Devices Inc: 10.97% | 1.45% | 8.18%
$AMGN | Amgen Inc: 4.27% | 3.59% | 3.41%
$CAT | Caterpillar Inc: 4.65% | 11.59% | 4.54%
$MCD | McDonalds Corp: 3.46% | 2.93% | 3.26%
$MCO | Moodys Corp: 5.01% | 7.74% | 5.83%
$XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp: 3.12% | 1.53% | 3.75%
$GM | General Motors Company: 4.5% | 4.46% | 6.96%
$SYK | Stryker Corp: 3.42% | 3.47% | 5.9%
$PFE | Pfizer Inc: 3.59% | 1.85% | 4.36%
$SNAP | Snap Inc: 22.84% | 35.48% | 20.07%
$MDLZ | Mondelez International Inc: 3.53% | 0.47% | 3.24%
$UPS | United Parcel Service: 6.05% | 2.4% | 6.34%
2023-02-01
$GSK | : 2.63% | 0.75% | 4.05%
$TMUS | T Mobile US Inc: 5.16% | 6.34% | 5.02%
$META | : 7.61% | 24.38% | 9.9%
$TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc: 3.62% | 1.97% | 4.58%
$MO | Altria Group Inc: 3.23% | 0.43% | 2.79%
$WM | Waste Management: 3.51% | 3.35% | 2.92%
$NVS | : 2.32% | 1.23% | 3.58%
2023-02-02
$AMZN | Amazon com: 7.32% | 8.03% | 8.41% $AAPL | Apple Inc: 4.69% | 9.28% | 4.69%
$BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb Co: 3.41% | 2.73% | 3.04%
$COP | ConocoPhillips: 4.28% | 4.87% | 4.25%
$F | Ford Motor Company: 5.67% | 5.59% | 6.63%
$LLY | Eli Lilly and Co: 4.13% | 2.43% | 4.21%
$EL | Estee Lauder Companies Inc: 5.73% | 5.87% | 7.16%
$MRK | Merck and Co Inc: 3.63% | 2.91% | 3.17%
$GILD | Gilead Sciences Inc: 4.86% | 13.5% | 4.65%
$HON | Honeywell International Inc: 3.01% | 5.17% | 3.56%
$QCOM | QUALCOMM Inc: 6.32% | 9.19% | 6.33%
$GOOGL | Alphabet Inc: 5.11% | 6.21% | 5.85%
$SBUX | Starbucks Corporation: 4.78% | 9.51% | 5.45%
2023-02-03
$CI | Cigna Corporation: 5.02% | 3.17% | 5.0%
$SNY | : 2.54% | 4.04% | 5.09%
Short $PFE
Pfe has been ass blasting me the whole way down. It used to move pretty close with mrk but I stopped paying attention a while back.
Maybe the down spiral is slowing?
This is a 0.2 delta optoom. Basically the market is saying it has a 20% chance of being profitable. Your breakeven is 41.7 so pfe has to drop 5% just to break even in a week.
Sounds reasonably priced to me
The most anticipated earnings releases scheduled for the week are Amazon #AMZN, Apple #AAPL, SoFi #SOFI, AMD #AMD, Meta Platforms #META, Alphabet #GOOGL, Exxon Mobil #XOM, UPS #UPS, GM #GM, and Pfizer #PFE. http://eps.sh/cal
Someone let me know if this isn't allowed but... That project veritas video on Pfizer is extremely damning.
I bought PFE puts
I'm surprised PFE Pfizer is not mooning today after the PV video
PFE effected by the new Veritas video? Shorts or nothing burger?
So puts on pfe when?
So ummm if pfe ceo going to jail
>EU AND PFIZER-BIONTECH DISCUSSING CUTTING DOSES EU MUST BUY THIS YEAR IN RETURN FOR HIGHER PRICE-SOURCE >EU UNDER CONTRACT TO BUY 400 MILLION-500 MILLION PFIZER-BIONTECH DOSES THIS YEAR-SOURCE $PFE
^*Walter ^Bloomberg ^@DeItaone ^at ^2023-01-27 ^07:44:49 ^EST-0500
Prove you believe PFE is going to crash but sharing your positions?
Puts on PFE!
Certainly crimes against fiduciary, aka my PFE.
Why is PFE selling off like it is?
$PFE puts
Which ones? Wouldn't PFE have all of the IP and blueprint from COVID? They also have all the relationships with government and existing signed contracts etc. Their moat is insanely large.
Do you think something like Moderna is better because it has more leverage to this theme?
Pfe 1/27 $45 calls
No that's not at all what I'm saying. I'm saying the gov't will say fuck you to your price gouging tactics and take the vaccine from pfizer and give it away before risking billions of deaths worldwide.
But for my entertainment please yolo your entire $400 robinhood account on $PFE and keep me updated I'll enjoy the free entertainment. My guess though is you already did and are in this forum shilling for PFE because you're stuck bagholding because you're peer reviewed conspiracy research on r/churchofcovid and r/conspiracytheories didn't pan out.
i am here to talk about stocks... and investing in PFE. the same people you think are fighting COVID. you should be happy.
You are like the 50th person here to say something along these lines and then simultaneously provide zero explanation as to why they hold that view. When I press people to answer specifically what their issue is they have nothing and continue with adhoms etc.
Last time I had this was when I was questioning COVID injections. I got a similar response. I am thankful ofcourse I went against the herd there because now I dont have to worry about a swollen heart of sudden death.
The amount of adhoms and lack of coherent counter points here again appears to be a good indication that my bullish PFE thesis is correct.
Exactly why it should be exposed and shouted from the rooftops. PFE can't be the only people doing this.
Good for this guy! Meanwhile, the plays I followed are bleeding hard right now (CCL, PFE).
$PFE
"Directed Evolution"
Short PFE premarket, puts at open.
selling PFE today
Puts on PFE.
What's going on with pfe?
I just shit a brick with the PFE shit I've been sitting on 8 40p for June
PFE calls, very bullish
$PFE with the rona shots???
I'm looking at it now on Twitter and I don't understand it. What's the context? Did something happen with the PFE vaccine?
I have to use mutual funds for my 457b PCRA so I use the SWTSX and SWISX funds which are equivalent to SCHB and SCHF - performance has been essentially identical to the VTI/VXUS combo. See this backtest to 2012.
The GOP healthcare plan would have gotten so many people out of poverty. I mean they'd be dead of course, but at least they wouldn't be poor anymore 🤷♂️
calls on PFE, ABBV, JNJ
At the moment, yes. $8.14 a share would bring their "effective" dividend yield up to the market average for, decent, profitable companies. If their TBV/share comes in at $4.40 or higher for this upcoming 2023 q1 report, then I would re-evaluate them up to a $28.80 fair value - otherwise, I will discount it lower again to make up for the year-over-year book value loss. And yes, I'm saying that - at-the-moment - 2/3 of their dividend is not sustainable, they are definitely struggling with it. So I discount the current yield to a more "effective" or "adjusted" yield in my records.
Like I said, I don't evaluate non-dividend paying companies anymore, but if you want to know which dividend paying companies I believe are currently undervalued to fairly valued and are not struggling to pay their dividend, then this is my list of those type of companies for the USA markets right now:
IIPR
JWN
SOI
METC
SWBI
EXR
DEI
VLY
HTBK
NOG
CIO
ASB
TRP
RPT
D
HRZN
NSA
KRG
ETR
PGRE
CM
SU
HASI
BXMT
LSI
NXRT
PFE
EVRG
MSM
SO
UMH
AVA
EQR
SKT
NWE
NEP
BEPC
AEP
SITC
POR
PCH
MAA
STAR
INTC
LTC
GAIN
FFIC
PNW
ALEX
OCFC
PSTL
STWD
KSS
OGE
ETD
ARI
WSO
UPS
SR
PKG
CUBE
ED
AVB
UDR
ROIC
UGI
ALE
REG
MOV
AGR
CUZ
PECO
CGBD
FRT
UBA
DUK
CPG
AKR
LADR
BRX
ARCC
RGP
BKH
NWN
VICI
KRO
CNQ
PDCO
WSR
SRC
FE
STAG
TG
GLPI
MDC
IP
RYN
AHH
HVT
TCPC
FLO
BNL
KMI
BMO
CPT
DOW
EPRT
NNN
DOC
PLYM
NTST
OKE
RDN
MAIN
PBA
O
LXP
ADC
OFC
CG
MPW
OGS
FTS
NAVI
GTY
BTG
WPC
PANL
RUTH
C
FCPT
SXC
RY
GMRE
ENB
TFSL
ES
HR
WELL
CHCT
CATY
LNT
SJI
I don't own all of them, only a handful. But I do watch all of them for swing trade opportunities.
"What do you guys think about Pfizer as a company in general and as a potential investment at this point?"
Vaccines are not a giant part of profits, but I don't know that I have tremendous confidence that what money that is will be reinvested well. Pfizer has had successes in the past, but they've also had misses (they would have overpaid massively for Allergan if it wasn't blocked) and the stock is around where it was a bit over 20 years ago.
"and offering a 3.65% dividend."
Eh. Should really not be a part of the thesis.
I agree that you're probably seeing some rotation out of what has done well/safety into what hasn't and that's part of the reason for the PFE decline. It is technically oversold and certainly reasonable at this point - maybe something I'd consider trying to play a bounce in but personally not interested as a long-term holding.
I like bullish put spread, or just sell put on pfe
I wouldn’t bet on it trading with vaccine news per se. The company has been around a long time. I think PFE is cheap when compared to the rest of the sector. DCA slowly over time is the safest strategy IMO.
To be honest PFE has been a dog up until Covid. I have been holding for since 2010 or so. Kept it for the 6-7% divi. Sold my position Tues with a good profit. After watching it slide from 55 down to 46. Between the CDC and FDA looking into the jabs due to strokes, spikes ,young people having cardiac arrest and death, analysts downgrades, maxine number is going down and people getting tired of hearing time to boost again I’m done. I see this slipping into the low to mid 30s like it was in mid 2020. Just my opinion
Just a heads up, vaccine production tends not to be a big money maker long term. A bet on PFE is a bet that they used their windfall from COVID to invest in new companies and that those investments will bear fruit
Pfizer is a pharma giant that has definitely ridden a wave of Covid related income. There’s a debate over how long that income stream will continue but I think there’s also added value in the technology, partnerships and knowledge the business has acquired over the past few years. There are few companies capable of doing what Pfizer did and we know they are strongly connected and positioned for future health crises. In my opinion it’s a reasonable valuation now. There are certainly more catalysts you can envision than downsides for the business in the future. Personally I made a ton on very cheap PFE options, which continue to be underpriced.
Have had PFE for decades have 4 figure shares from reinvestment from 100s.
Covid vaccine generates ~1% of corp revenue. They sell vaccine at cost since NIH give grant for the development. The rating from analysts Moringstar is 3 star and MSCI is rated A. Zacks 3 or B grade. Looks like time to load up these as there are other pandemic on its way.
To be more precise, no stock is increasing 5000% without anyone noticing unless it’s a penny sticking going from .01-.50 cents. If it were to do this, it’d be under major implications for pump and dump schemes.
However, another big possible leap is how pfe and Moderna kicked off 2020 April. If you had non public info that vaccines were going to be passed, that would help all stocks and not just them.
Maybe get non public info about current inflation reports and try to get in on that for general market news?
Again. All illegal. And walking a very thin line on “legal”
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Hey /u/Badboyardie, positions or ban. Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit. >TL;DR: Looking for tickers that are trading at least 2 million in volume a day, with a market-cap of no less than 500 million. Uptrending Tickers: EQT 2/3/23 36C .45, PANW 1/27/23 146C 1.33, ROKU 2/3/23 53C 1.76, EDU 1/27/23 41C 1.39, NVDA 1/27/23 185C 1.40, XOM 1/27/23 112C 1.12, MRK 1/27//23 109C 1.27, PFE 1//27//23 45C .63 Downtrending Ticker: SOXL
META, INTC, PFE.
MRNA is a fucking wagon buying calls at open. New king in health tech. Puts on PFE and LLY
Tickers of Interest - TL;DR
Gamma Max Cross
- CCL 02/17 10P for $0.45 or less
- ET 02/17 12P for $0.23 or less
- DKNG 02/17 12.5P for $0.55 or less
- XBI 02/17 87P for $2.75 or less
- RBLX 02/17 30P for $2.15 or less
Delta Neutral Cross
- AAPL 02/17 130P for $3.25 or less
- F 02/17 12P for $0.30 or less
- SNAP 02/17 9P for $0.70 or less
- PFE 02/17 50C for $0.55 or less
- MPW 02/17 12P for $0.45 or less
Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better
Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.
This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.
For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.
It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.
The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.
Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle
- If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
- Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
- I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
- The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis.
FAQ - Because others have already asked.
- These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
- No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
- Are you entering all these plays?
- No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
- You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean?
- The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not.
- Where are the crayons? I only see words.
- Click the links above.
- Have you back-tested this?
- Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.7), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error)
- What is the historical performance?
- The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.82 with a 67% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 58% and 79%. (Stats as of 2022-12-31)
Winter of death... 100% safe and 100% effective...
Calls on PFE... people love 100% safe and 100% effective medical treatments!!! its 100% yo!
its a scary economic situation. in times like these, only the best products/companie can weather the storm. Thats why when pfizer has a vaccine that is 100% safe and 100% effective, people take note. Even if customer's arent ill, the product being 100% safe and 100% effective, doctor's will sill recommnend it. PFE 400 JAN 2024 Calls
>NYC health officials say XBB.1.5 may be more likely than other variants to infect vaccinated people and people who already had COVID
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/health/covid-variant-xbb-1-5-prompts-nyc-health-department-update/4046083/
ADE may occur because of the non-neutralizing characteristic of an antibody, which binds viral epitopes other than those involved in host-cell attachment and entry. It may also happen when antibodies are present at sub-neutralizing concentrations (yielding occupancies on viral epitopes below the threshold for neutralization),[6][7] or when the strength of antibody-antigen interaction is below a certain threshold.[8][9] This phenomenon can lead to increased viral infectivity and virulence.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement
Well, there you have it. Pfe 22 Mrna 33 bntx 40
Thought the exact same thing yesterday. Have deep OTM MRNA and PFE Jan. ‘24 puts on my radar
