I started 2 weeks ago with $100,000 cash. Here’s what I’m in so far.
Google @ 8% Meta @ 8% BNS.TO @ 8% EQB.TO @ 7% GSY.TO @ 5% DIR-UN.TO @ 5% SRU-UN.TO @ 5% ADBE @ 4% MAGT.TO @ 4% Sitting on cash @ 47%
Currently 53% in the market now. Looking at Apple as a potential buy next to make 10 total stocks. If apple goes to 120/130 levels I’ll start dipping my toes in. Also looking at semi conductor space but torn between AMD, MU & QCOM. So many good deals right now.
Short for semi conductors, QCOM, amd, nvda.
The whole idea of investing is to buy companies that make money, FCF is a measure of that. Can also look at P/E ratio. Non of these should alone be enough to base your decision on but they should at least influence the decision.
Not AMD or NVDA, but definitely the time to buy fundamentally-sound, low multiple semis that are either end-product neutral (AMAT, TSM) or who’s business isn’t overly concentrated in recession-vulnerable areas (QCOM always, bc patents)
Meh, SoC limited, QCOM hasn't released anything new in years and when the Apple visor arrives with the M1 it's going to rape everything apart, business as usual.
$QCOM seems like a very healthy business, is diversifying into various industries, growing and sub 10x pe and ebitda. also pays a > 2.5% div.
Intel, VZ, Apple, WB,T, Qcom, O, Reit etf, TDOC, dkng, Msft, Spy, AEP, Jnj, pep and few more but those are off the top of my head.
Most of these have been blown out. And yes I know the ARK names are dog shit down 80%+ dragging me down
Chip business is going low margin. Intel, AMD, QCOM, NVDA have new competitors: AAPL, GOOG, MSFT, AMZN. Vertical integration of SW and HW will make the pure semis low margin businesses.
I think AMD is a better buy as it takes more marketshare from Intel in Datacenter. That said I would look at others like QCOM, TXN, TSM etc. There are many chip companies at reasonable valuations.
Well, those are 3 month CDs. After three months, I might consider picking up some QCOM or NVDA for 1/2 current price.
Eh really neither. Nvidia is still overvalued and AMD is ok. Way better buys in the semiconductor industry right now. I think AVGO, QCOM, and TXN are much better plays especially as we see the economy pull back and valuations come down even more.
Yeah, right now I’m investing in QCOM, AVGO, AMD, and NVDA at low % of my total portfolio. I had invested in SOXX but realized that I should just take away the expense ratio and invest in the individual companies I believe will do well. Again, huge semiconductor bull because I think they’re necessary even for essentials like food/water. At least INTC has a hefty dividend yield to make it not the worst company if growth takes a long time
That's why you are much better off with ETFs containing companies that actually grow..........people here love INTC for some reason but it's a dog. Their server products coming soon aren't great compared to the competition and that alone is a good reason to avoid it. If you want semis you're better off just buying the ETF or companies like QCOM which at least stand a chance of growing while paying a dividend.
Could be. I'm not a buyer of NVDA, but generally I'm extremely bullish on semis long term. I prefer other companies tho, like QCOM.
QCOM. Growing as fast as NVDA and priced as cheaply as INTC.
entire market rallies including shit
QCOM - I don’t think I will
I bought some MLI today, but looking at getting more:
I bought more GOOGL and META this morning. I also hold QCOM and INTC and am holding them.
What do you see as dirt cheap? I’m watching: $GOOG $ADBE $META $LRCX $QCOM $INTC $PYPL $AOS $DPZ $TROW $BLK
There are a ton of other chip names out there that are trading at great evaluations.
TXN just upped their dividend and doing like another 8B in buybacks. Paying 18X forward sales.
ON is trading 12X forward earnings with a ton of growth.
NXPI is 10X forward.
QCOM is 9X foward.
Some of the chips are probably inflated, but some are oversold.
Also INTC, CSCO (almost), MU, QCOM (almost). Its a bloodbath out there for tech.
I don't like it. Too semicinductor heavy and the wrong companies in my opinion. I would get fully rid of INTC and MU and replace with TXN and AMD or increase QCOM allocation. I hate META- uncertain future, metaverse bet is a gamble, too dependent on ads in a privacy trend, founder a sociapathic lizard, the next myspace. Google also a bit too dependent on ads. I would move from both into MSFT and AAPL. keep some google tho
How can I trim/reorganise this? Was buying some dips and ended up with a bit of everything and a falling knife as my top holding! (Some of the weightage come from bit of VOO/VTI)
INTC 16.69 GOOG 13.49 META 10.48 MSFT 6.86 MU 6.76 SONY 5.98 AAPL 4.62 TM 3.69 MMM 2.37 AMZN 1.79 VZ 1.73 UBER 1.69 QCOM 1.67 HMC 1.58 AMD 1.40 ASML 1.17 T 1.11 JPM 0.81 C 0.62 NOK 0.57 UMC 0.48
instant buyer's remorse for my QCOM buy at 119.50 - they took it from $122 to $119.85 in like 9 seconds
that dump of QCOM was just ugly
I really like QCOM. Cristiano Amon has been a pretty good CEO so far. Their debt is pretty managable, great return on capital, buying back shares and you are only paying around 9.5x forward earnings.
They are starting to see a lot of growth in IoT and autos. There is a chance that they might get into making server chips as well.
I think the market is still thinking of them only as an handset company and not seeing the growth in IoT and autos.
However, there is a a law suit from ARM which should be interesting to see how it plays out.
There's plenty of cash on hand to start nibbling...
Play #1: QCOM under $120 (say $118.50) in a few hours or tomorrow for the inevitable 7 point snapback to $126
Play #2: WYNN under $60
Play #3: wait for the capitulation big red dildos near 369 tomorrow afternoon and then SPY 378cs for two weeks out
I dont feel well. QCOM 135 by Friday or im gg
Can’t address everything but I’ll say this.
The piece I watched about INTC blamed the vertical integration retool as you mentioned and the belief on managements part that AMD couldn’t reach them
Those are valid points concerning market changes and costs. It’s why I personally think the future of NVDA is more towards AI, Data, and Simulation/Physics.
Then also yes you don’t need a 4080 to play candy crush but as you mentioned that’s more QCOM area than NVDA but games like Star Citizen? Give me two 4080s, gaming is expensive
Yes, the lack of ARM deal sucks.
We’ll have to agree to disagree then NVDA has lost its value.
Yes but cash reserves dont push valuation very much. In fact its usually discounted. Also note the author of this thread wants a 1 year hold. He will need the money for college expenses from the sound of it.
In regards to QQQ companies. Im not saying they will go out of business, what im saying is the fundamentals seem to point to less growth. Slower growth = lower valuation. Doesnt matter how much cash you have. Further, deployment of cash is very hard to predict and the results take a long time to materialize. Right now we are seeing record buybacks again.
The other issue is current market valuations are not cheap. I like to use the S&P PE as a general valuation barometer due to long history. Its running at about 19-20 PE with earning growth slowing. Though this isnt outrageous like last year, its definitely on the high side of historic averages. Granted macro dictates that this PE should climb as more people participate in the market but still, 20 is on the high side of the band. In other words, there is still a good chance for valuations to flatten or even decline market wide. Id say its 50/50 regardless of inflation.
In the end you might be right. If 50/50 is believable, its still 50/50. It can go either way. I personally think the next decade will be dominated by energy tech (batteries and renewable efficiency upgrades) and computing will be slim picking. The only computing companies I like are Amazon (they should be credited with the last 10 years of computing growth for the whole sector), TSM, ASML, & QCOM because we will need an absurd amount of cheap chips and communication chips for cars and other energy devices. Everyone else, im in wait and see mode.
Rate my current portfolio:
Currently 18 years old
MSFT - 22.57% - $255.88/share
AVGO - 11.51% - $516.27/share
GOOGL - 9.48% - $112.14/share
VTI - 9.04% - $214.38/share
JNJ - 7.69% - $168.51/share
QCOM - 5.83% - $133/share
JEPI - 5.02% - $55.05/share
SCHD - 3.30% - $73.04/share
HD - 3.21% - $276.88/share
VALE - 3.10% - $12.99/share
IBM - 2.94% - $128.61/share
JPM - 2.71% - $113.50/share
AIRC - .93% - $41/share
60%: QCOM, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, META, OKTA, TGT, TSLA
40%: DM, FUBO, ASTS, WKHS, SOFI, HNST, and a handful of other small cap companies I can’t name here
Large caps are great but I recommend diversifying with medium and small caps for higher possible returns
I've been adding to some semi names during this downturn. I won't mention my bags, because I have a few, but the ones I picked up at or near their lows this year: ASML, MCHP, MRVL, QCOM, ALGM, RMBS, MU and just a lil AMD and NVDA but I'm not as excited for latter.
AAPL, ABBV, ADC, AOS, APD, AVB, BCE, BMY, BX, CMI, CSCO, CVX, DOW, DUK, EBAY, EPD, GD, GILD, GIS, GOOGL, HD, INGR, KMB, LEG, MCD, MMP, MRK, PEP, PRU, QCOM, RIO, STAG, TD, TROW, UGI, UL, UPS, VFC, VZ, WM and WPC.
I think it depends on the horizon, but yeah, not everything is always a buy lol. The thing is, at this price points, paying 38X forward earnings isn't the craziest thing in the world.
High gross margins, buying back shares, no issue with debt, generates solid FCF.
They will have their issues with the digital coins, but at least their data center sales are going up. Will be interesting to see what happens with autos and industrials. A lot of other semis have seen a lot of growth in those fields, including QCOM, ON, NXPI.
Again, some will say it's overvalued, but I don't think it's the worst thing in the world. However, saying it's on the most overvalued stocks out there is kind of ridiculous.
If you aren't riding QCOM up to their EV auto conference then you're missing out.
Even GM went up bigly from their conference.
QCOM- investors day is Thursday
I just checked
QCOM in their 2000 report had EPS of $0.85. Their share price was $88.
103 PE ratio.
Their revenues weren't even growing from 1998 - 2000.
So... the problem was paying 100+ PE ratio which would only make sense if they were growing triple digits or at least 60%+.
As for CSCO that hit $77 in March 2000. They grew 43% YoY in 1999 to have an EPS of $0.62.
124 PE ratio.
MSFT + AAPL PE ratio is 25
GOOGL is under 20
META is under 15
The only fair comparisons are AMZN and TSLA which are both over 100 PE.
AMZN and TSLA has a long line of critics on their share price.
I would bet in 2000 there were many critics of there being a bubble.
Intel has been getting destroyed by AMD recently in terms of the quality of their CPUs. This has appropriately led to AMD taking a significant amount of Intels CPU market share over the past 2 years. Also Intels GPU initiative with Arc/alchemist has gone extremely poorly leading to multiple delays in release. Intel is also going through a period of investment while they build out northern American foundries with federal funding from the CHIPS act. For these reasons I am bearish on Intel short term.
That said, I do think that Intel has the possibility of becoming the TSMC of North America in 5 years. This would allow them to make a hard pivot and make AMD, NVIDIA, and QCOM their customers instead of competitors. I will plan on buying Intel if they reach a steep enough discount.
Ban Bet Created: /u/happierdayz4me2 bet QCOM goes from 125.4 to 140.0 before 2022-09-23 20:37:05.112191-04:00
its kinda funny i put another 5k in the stock market (CLF, META, QCOM) this week and they all tanked
Microsoft for one. Amazon for two. QCOM for three. ADBE for four. and for five? definitely Intel.
My two cents is that the street is lumping too many of the semi's together. It also depends on how much exposure they have to certain markets. We are seeing some slowness in headsets and pcs.
However ON, NXPI and QCOM are all seeing big growth in autos, industrials and IoT.
There are some names that are growing and are pretty cheap. I really like NXPI, ON, QCOM, and TXN.
It's probably going to be a rocky road for most names, but honestly, you are going long, you are buying some names for like 15X forward earnings, which is pretty cheap in that space.
1/3 would be below the current valuation of TXN, QCOM, AMD, INTC and less than half of Broadcom.
NVDA is the undisputed king of deep learning hardware chips.
Semi conductors and base metals. QCOM, NXPI, TXN, TSM, ASML and BHP and RIO
QCOM upsides for Oct are a no-brainer. Plus all the shares you can afford.
ALL EQUAL WEIGHT
TSLA, AAPL, META, MSFT, SQ, NFLX, AMD, NVDA, MU, GOOG, ADBE, QCOM, INTC, CRM, AMZN
This is what I wrote down last year:
>Dan Niles (Satori Fund) on 23rd of Dec 2021: 10y yield >2% in Q1 2022
He got it right, but can't really call that a serious prediction about the market lol
>Tom Lee (Fundstrat) on the 27th of Dec 2021: S&P500 at 5000 in early January 2022 (+4%), down by June 2022 (-10%), ending 2022 up 10% (~5300)
The "+4% in January" was wrong, the "down by June" right (although we had -20% instead of -10%, pretty big gap), the "ending 2022 up 10%" will be obviously wrong
>Jim Lebenthal (Cerity Partners) on the 28th of Dec 2021: -10% in Q1 2022 / sells AAPL MSFT in Jan 2022 / QCOM at 230 by 30.06.2022
Selling AAPL in January and seeing QCOM at 230 makes me lol. Standard move from the "valuation geeks".
>Dan Ives (Wedbush Securities) on the 30th of Dec 2021: Nasdaq 19000 in 2022
Obviously wrong also.
SMH is the standard for all semis. AMD and NVDA are still very overpriced. I’m big on QCOM and MU personally (look to what industries each company predominantly supplies chips for to gauge recession risk)
AMD has a great forward PE and is the fastest growing in the segment. I'd look at AMD QCOM and some SMH to diversify a bit
Stick with QCOM, AMD, NVDA and you’ll be happy. Stay away from has been and too risky with turbulent times ahead like INTC which will most likely test the $10’s before any upside.
I agree with autos being the next big industry for semis. However I disagree with some of the top companies.
I don’t think AMD is doing anything with autos, while NVDA is calling now an inflection point. There’s also some other solid companies worth buying like QCOM. They’ve talked about IoT and auto showing big growth. It’s also much cheaper in terms of toward sales.
There’s also ON and NXPI who both do vehicles and are seeing big growth. NXPi saw like 36% growth YoY in autos and is also seeing industrials as a boom. You’re also paying like 12x forward sales. ON is saying the same and trading at like 13x forward sales.
QCOM all day. Anytime it dips under $127 buy shares.
What is this bitch QCOM doing
Safe ish plays- AMZN, GOOGL, TROW, QCOM, AMD
Speculative plays- ASTS, HIMS, RKLB, NET, INMD
Idgaf they’re considered mega cap and they’re paying qcom for its masterrace chips (as will be evidenced by November) so win in my book, regardless of the very worthy but bannable adjectives attributable to that hybrid wuhanese fuck
I sold all my semi stocks at recent highs and am aiming to buy back in after they drop below 52 week lows.
I really am tempted to buy even more than those. I want ADI, AMAT AMD, GFS, INTC, KLAC, LRCX, MCHP, MRVL, MU, NVDA, QCOM, TSM, TXN, and WOLF. But we'll see what they look like in a bit.
Isnt a duopoly
the wrong competition.
It has but this year is different when you look into the x65 modem gsat and qcom designed together to allow access to Globalstar's n53 band. That modem will be in the new iPhone, is apple paying for this service? We find out Wednesday
I have alerts set for all of the semiconductor company 52-week lows. I'll buy when they hit. Some are quite a ways off, but these are very close now:
QCOM, MU, TSM (all better investments than INTC imo)
That’s just from a random article I don’t see demand dropping that hard. Not saying there isn’t downside but I’m starting to add to my positions around here. Hold amat lrcx mu qcom amd avgo
Here are some ideas:
QCOM is a better stock than AMD. AMD is all hype
You got balls. The apple rumor makes much more sense this year when you consider that gsat and qcom worked together on the x65 snapdragon modem that will be in the new iPhone specifically to allow access to Globalstar's s band called n53.
Anyone have any thoughts or opinions on ARM suing QCOM?
Jim Cramer's August buys:
Danaher Corp 8/31/2022 35 270.89
TJX Companies Inc 8/31/2022 150 62.52
NVIDIA Corp 8/31/2022 25 150.72
TJX Companies Inc 8/30/2022 150 62.34
Starbucks Corp 8/30/2022 100 83.44
Microsoft Corp 8/29/2022 25 265.55
Johnson & Johnson 8/29/2022 50 163.52
TJX Companies Inc 8/29/2022 200 63.31
Starbucks Corp 8/29/2022 150 83.97
Qualcomm Inc 8/29/2022 50 137.44
Amazon.com Inc 8/29/2022 95 130.48
TJX Companies Inc 8/24/2022 350 64.53
Starbucks Corp 8/22/2022 275 85
Johnson & Johnson 8/15/2022 50 166.05
TSLA and AAPL.. followed closely by MSFT and QCOM
I am a simple man, with simple goals. I've been debating taking my money out of low yield savings acccount and putting into index funds and some stable dividend yielding stocks that I am familiar with, such as DUK and QCOM. While this is a long term strategy that will hopefully not be neccessarily dependent on economic cycles and the current recessions predictions, I am wondering if maybe I should hold off and wait to time the market. What are some thoughts from the internet.
Lmao you guys realize soxl is down like 40% in a week and you want to short now. Buy November QCOM calls. Buy sept 23 calls (post investors day on sept 22)
Like I’ve been saying all day and all this week.
QQQ SPY SOXL NVDA AMD MRVL INTC QCOM puts. Bearish af on semiconductors and chip makers.
ITS TIME TO BE MICHAEL BURRY!
They are long term except Baba, Netflix, Target
36% - VTI
9% - GOOG
9% - TD
8% - META
7% - PYPL
5% - CAR-UN.TO (Canadian Reit)
5% - QCOM
4% - BABA
4% - NFLX
4% - TGT
1% - XIC.TO (Similar to S&P 500 for Canada, planning to add until close to VTI)
1% - XPEV
BUD (adding more)
QCOM (it if hits $130)
SQ (if it hits $65)
LCID (if it hits $14)
Idk, MU and QCOM offer more growth than you think. I've read industry insiders talking about the promise in QCOM's chips to power AI - they've also had major wins with Snapdragon. They've had major car wins and are an important IoT chipmaker. MU could see a lot of growth in the future - memory is such a fundamentally important part of data center spend, on top of the next PC/phone cycle. This thing will bounce back hard.
True but you’re also getting either one at cheaper P/Es. But QCOM does have high single digit to over 20% growth expectations for EPS in the upcoming quarters.
I don’t disagree with you. The only thing is that MU and QCOM don’t offer the growth like NVDA.
I’d say probably about half of what it is trading at right now or at the very most, $110-$110 per share. Nvidia enjoyed the big run up from the pandemic with gaming booming but not sure they’ll demand like that again for awhile. It is still so expensive relative to the market and earnings expectations for coming quarters are expected to be over 30% lower YoY. I’d look at cheaper chip companies like MU and QCOM if you want to get into a chipmaker.
yes because either way, some huge company has paid GSAT over 500 million. it is either apple, microsoft, or amazon. most likely apple though if you look deep into the x65 snapdragon modem that GSAT worked on with QCOM
look into the x65 modem that GSAT and QCOM worked on together. it is in the new iphone!
I personally like QCOM and AMAT of the bunch. AMD is great as well, but both of those are on the cheaper end, with QCOM being 10X and AMAT being 12x forward sales.
AMAT should benefit from the chips act and they have solid revenue growth. QCOM is also moving out of just being an handset chip company and moving into IOT and Auto.
Auto is becoming an important space for the semi's and a lot of them are talking big growth in the sector, partially due to the EV's.