SBUX drivethru cashier was pretty but did not smile at me

I wrote this comment last week. This goes against the point of my post but it's interesting data.

Let me give some examples of recent rallies from Fall (or summer) 2022 lows. Cherry-picked but my point is the rally is broad-based and in many instance, seeing huge run-ups. I might have made a typo or two.

Industrials:

• Boeing: +73%
• CAT: +54%
• DE: +34%
• Siemens AG (German industrial): + 63%
• BASF (European chemical company): +48%
• Arcellor Mittel (European steel company): +50%

Commodities:

• FCX (copper): +68%
• X (US steel): +50%

Financials:

• JPM: +35%
• ALLY: +32%
• TD: +12%
• C: +29%

Airlines:

• United Airlines: +32%
• Delta: +40%

Semiconductors:

• Micron (semiconductors): +24%
• AMD: +37%
• INTC: +23%

Restaurants:

• Chipotle: +28%
• SBUX: +52%

Pharma:

• Whole sector did well, so not even going to bother listing them.

Defense:

• Also soared but again not really so relevant since its Ukraine driven.

ETFs:

• AVUV (US small cap value): + 22%
• AVDV (ex-US developed small cap value): + 26%
• VGK (Europe): +32%
• VWO (emerging markets): + 21%
• Russell 2000 (US Small caps): +16%
• XBI (biotech): +28%

Nothing immediate, but there are some longer-term sells I plan to do (after the market bounces back):

• DIS. I don't really like the streaming/entertainment business and I don't really understand it either. I don't think leadership change is going to solve everything, as much of the criticism aimed at Chapek could really also be aimed at Iger (as if Iger would have not waded into the political controversy either). Nelson Peltz's critique was pretty harsh (rightfully so). Currently I am underwater 24% and will not sell now.
• TGT (Growing neutral about the company, have higher conviction elsewhere and in higher margin businesses). Down 20%.
• OLPX/APPS (speculative trades). Down 32% and 52%, respectively. They can go zooming up and down that much quite regularly.
• AMD (just trimming a little! When it next bounces back it will be far too large a portion of my portfolio so I'll reduce its size) Down 32%.

I also have several tickers in the green, but I'd rather just hold than take profits. For example, SBUX (up 27%) but very bullish about China. MA/V may be getting a bit irrationally bid up but they are also some of the strongest businesses out there. (I already had trimmed MA a month or two back for a profit) XOM I'm up 44% but I'll just collect dividends and await more buybacks/dividends announcements.

I'm at SBUX and these blonde cunts are lecturing me they are The Real Housewives Of Hinsdale and I'm sitting at their usual table... Their douchebag husbands came and threaten to throw me out 🤣🤣🤣🤣

SBUX is a fucking rip off these days!!!!!

Calls on SBUX

Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week (Jan. 30th - Feb. 3rd) - 477 Companies Reporting

$AAPL 4.7%

$AMZN 8.4%

$GOOGL 5.8%

$F 6.7%

$QCOM 6.4%

$SBUX 5.4%

$GILD 4.7%

$X 7.5%

$DECK 9.2%

$BILL 18.3%

$TEAM 15.3%

$HUBG 8.0%

$CBOE 3.4%

$REGN 3.8%

$META 9.9%

$ALGN 11.6%

$SNAP 20.0%

$EA 5.3%

$WDC 8.5%

$AMGN 3.9%

$EW 6.4%

$PTON 18.7%

$HUM 7.7%

$WM 2.9%

$EAT 11.3%

$SMG 13.3%

$MCK 4.1%

$MET 3.2%

$ELF 11.0%

$ALL 5.0%

$DXC 10.7%

$EL 7.0%

$LLY 3.8%

$MRK 3.0%

$COP 4.5%

$PENN 6.7%

$RACE 4.4%

$SWK 8.6%

$NXPI 5.8%

$WHR 5.6%

$UPS 6.5%

$GM 7.0%

$AMD 8.3%

$XOM 3.8%

$PFE 4.4%

$MCD 3.3%

$SPOT 11.4%

$GLW 5.1%

$PII 8.6%

$SOFI 14.8%

Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week (Jan. 30th - Feb. 3rd) - 477 Companies Reporting:

​

$AAPL 4.7%
$AMZN 8.4%
$GOOGL 5.8%
$F 6.7%
$QCOM 6.4%
$SBUX 5.4%
$GILD 4.7%
$X 7.5%
$DECK 9.2%
$BILL 18.3%
$TEAM 15.3%
$HUBG 8.0%
$CBOE 3.4%
$REGN 3.8%
$META 9.9%
$ALGN 11.6%
$SNAP 20.0%
$EA 5.3%
$WDC 8.5%
$AMGN 3.9%
$EW 6.4%
$PTON 18.7%
$HUM 7.7%
$WM 2.9%
$EAT 11.3%
$SMG 13.3%
$MCK 4.1%
$MET 3.2%
$ELF 11.0%
$ALL 5.0%
$DXC 10.7%
$EL 7.0%
$LLY 3.8%
$MRK 3.0%
$COP 4.5%
$PENN 6.7%
$RACE 4.4%
$SWK 8.6%
$NXPI 5.8%
$WHR 5.6%
$UPS 6.5%
$GM 7.0%
$AMD 8.3%
$XOM 3.8%
$PFE 4.4%
$MCD 3.3%
$SPOT 11.4%
$GLW 5.1%
$PII 8.6%
$SOFI 14.8%

McDonald’s is the SBUX for these hard times.

AVERAGE EARNINGS MOVE | LAST MOVE | IMPLIED MOVE FROM ATM OPTIONS PRICING

2023-01-30

$NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV: 5.53% | 5.71% | 4.34%

2023-01-31

$AMD | Advanced Micro Devices Inc: 10.97% | 1.45% | 8.18%

$AMGN | Amgen Inc: 4.27% | 3.59% | 3.41%

$CAT | Caterpillar Inc: 4.65% | 11.59% | 4.54%

$MCD | McDonalds Corp: 3.46% | 2.93% | 3.26%

$MCO | Moodys Corp: 5.01% | 7.74% | 5.83%

$XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp: 3.12% | 1.53% | 3.75%

$GM | General Motors Company: 4.5% | 4.46% | 6.96%

$SYK | Stryker Corp: 3.42% | 3.47% | 5.9%

$PFE | Pfizer Inc: 3.59% | 1.85% | 4.36%

$SNAP | Snap Inc: 22.84% | 35.48% | 20.07%

$MDLZ | Mondelez International Inc: 3.53% | 0.47% | 3.24%

$UPS | United Parcel Service: 6.05% | 2.4% | 6.34%

2023-02-01

$GSK | : 2.63% | 0.75% | 4.05%

$TMUS | T Mobile US Inc: 5.16% | 6.34% | 5.02%

$META | : 7.61% | 24.38% | 9.9%

$TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc: 3.62% | 1.97% | 4.58%

$MO | Altria Group Inc: 3.23% | 0.43% | 2.79%

$WM | Waste Management: 3.51% | 3.35% | 2.92%

$NVS | : 2.32% | 1.23% | 3.58%

2023-02-02

$AMZN | Amazon com: 7.32% | 8.03% | 8.41% $AAPL | Apple Inc: 4.69% | 9.28% | 4.69%

$BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb Co: 3.41% | 2.73% | 3.04%

$COP | ConocoPhillips: 4.28% | 4.87% | 4.25%

$F | Ford Motor Company: 5.67% | 5.59% | 6.63%

$LLY | Eli Lilly and Co: 4.13% | 2.43% | 4.21%

$EL | Estee Lauder Companies Inc: 5.73% | 5.87% | 7.16%

$MRK | Merck and Co Inc: 3.63% | 2.91% | 3.17%

$GILD | Gilead Sciences Inc: 4.86% | 13.5% | 4.65%

$HON | Honeywell International Inc: 3.01% | 5.17% | 3.56%

$QCOM | QUALCOMM Inc: 6.32% | 9.19% | 6.33%

$GOOGL | Alphabet Inc: 5.11% | 6.21% | 5.85%

$SBUX | Starbucks Corporation: 4.78% | 9.51% | 5.45%

2023-02-03

$CI | Cigna Corporation: 5.02% | 3.17% | 5.0%

$SNY | : 2.54% | 4.04% | 5.09%

SBUX April 115c

Yeah, that's insane. I still think it's attractive. Same multiple as LLY, SBUX, EL with significantly higher growth. Also attractive on EV/EBIT and market cap / revenue basis. Biggest risk is Elon. Here are those three metrics/charts: https://mezziapp.com/dashboard/?id=gsX8lPJypXhSm5eiUmeq

KELLOG OKE FL SBUX

These might be some good ones

I think even more importantly, SBUX just keeps increasing dividends. I hate the term "sleeping," but people are sleeping on Starbuck's.

Sbux ttm

SBUX is one of my big China reopening plays. I think they're going to give some awesome guidance and the stock will continue its fantastic rise. I haven't been buying since the 70s/80s though. (Cost basis 86)

I told you bros about SBUX a few days ago and its been hitting new ATHs ever since

SBUX 115 4/21 🔮

Bros SBUX calls into earnings

Told you bros about SBUX

You already have a bet going - SBUX to 80.0 before 04-Feb-2023 10:05 AM -05

I did, an actual portfolio. I bought a lot of semis in late 2021 (pre Cramer) and thank God I listened to Cramer when he was saying sell, sell, in March 2022. Saved my butt. Not all his picks were winners (choke, Paypal, Disney) but if you do your due diligence, some of his recommendations are spot on. You have to see and think of the big picture and know geopolitical events, watch the news. Like, he mumbles on and on about Reelz, how it's gonna outdo TikTok...well, if you start looking at what's going on behind the (government) scenes, the US government does not like one iota all the Chinese spyware on TikTok, and there are investigation panels preparing to make a case for banning TikTok. Cramer alludes to this every now and then. As I mentioned above, Cramer is a much better day trader than an investor, but that's hard to do on live TV. So, back to my modified portfolio: I'm up 1.248% since January 2022, when I first began listening to him (and along the way I ditched some of his suggestions before he did). Call it a learning curve, sifting between what he suggests and what is fundamentally sound. Ex: buying SBUX because China was gonna reopen after the reelection of Xi JingPing. Cramer was right on that call. I made a LOT of money on that one! Regardless of his calls, he can be entertaining if you can understand him.

The Starbucks ticker.(SBUX)

I've been shitting out MCD breakfast this past couple minutes.... Once I'm done... Walking to SBUX

I’m still in SBUX up a little.

You already have a bet going - SBUX to 80.0 before 04-Feb-2023 10:05 AM -05

I work for SBUX in Store Development, this is only half true lol

Sbux. They don't even put drink in their ice and their dragon ice isn't pink without food coloring!

If they're spending $8 every weekday morning at sbux, that's $2080 a year. If they can afford it and it's worth the treat to them, there's nothing wrong with doing that, but $2080 a year is also a lot of money if you're working class or working poor. In the end the government should be doing more to make the playing field more fair, but in the meantime there are still things most people can do to better their futures.

SBUX gonna soar after earnings

(Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long MSFT, JNJ, DHR, HAL, AMD, APPL, NVDA, GOOGL, DIS, SBUX.

Tickers of Interest - TL;DR

Gamma Max Cross

• SHOP 03/17 43P for $2.90 or less
• VALE 03/17 18P for $0.95 or less
• MARA 03/17 9P for $1.95 or less
• MS 03/17 95P for $2.30 or less
• SOXL 03/17 14P for $1.25 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• IWM 03/17 187P for $5.10 or less
• PBR 03/17 11P for $0.45 or less
• SCHW 03/17 80C for $2.00 or less
• CRWD 03/17 105P for $6.50 or less
• BOIL 03/17 10P for $1.95 or less

Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
• The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis.

FAQ - Because others have already asked.

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
• You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean?
  • The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not.
• Where are the crayons? I only see words.
  • Click the links above.
• Have you back-tested this?
  • Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.7), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error)
• What is the historical performance?
  • The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.82 with a 67% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 58% and 79%. (Stats as of 2022-12-31)

SBUX gonna crush earnings

Let me give some examples of recent rallies from Fall (or summer) 2022 lows. Cherry-picked but my point is the rally is broad-based and in many instance, seeing huge run-ups. I might have made a typo or two.

Industrials:

• Boeing: +73%
• CAT: +54%
• DE: +34%
• Siemens AG (German industrial): + 63%
• BASF (European chemical company): +48%
• Arcellor Mittel (European steel company): +50%

Commodities:

• FCX (copper): +68%
• X (US steel): +50%

Financials:

• JPM: +35%
• ALLY: +32%
• TD: +12%
• C: +29%

Airlines:

• United Airlines: +32%
• Delta: +40%

Semiconductors:

• Micron (semiconductors): +24%
• AMD: +37%
• INTC: +23%

Restaurants:

• Chipotle: +28%
• SBUX: +52%

Pharma:

• Whole sector did well, so not even going to bother listing them.

Defense:

• Also soared but again not really so relevant since its Ukraine driven.

ETFs:

• AVUV (US small cap value): + 22%
• AVDV (ex-US developed small cap value): + 26%
• VGK (Europe): +32%
• VWO (emerging markets): + 21%
• Russell 2000 (US Small caps): +16%
• XBI (biotech): +28%

># Tickers of Interest - TL;DR Gamma Max Cross

• SHOP 03/17 43P for $2.90 or less
• VALE 03/17 18P for $0.95 or less
• [MARA](https://options

So I think my colleague is on her period... She was being a real fucking bitch... Not sure if I should I get her SBUX coffee in the morning or cranberry juice from 7-11 🤔

SBUX gonna destroy earnings

Tickers of Interest - TL;DR

Gamma Max Cross

• SBUX 03/17 105P for $4.00 or less
• DVN 03/17 60P for $2.15 or less
• JETS 03/17 20P for $0.65 or less
• APA 03/17 45P for $2.85 or less
• GT 03/17 11P for $0.50 or less

Delta Neutral Cross

• TSLA 03/17 130P for $10.55 or less
• XLF 03/17 36C for $0.75 or less
• ARKK 03/17 36P for $2.05 or less
• MU 03/17 57.5P for $2.55 or less
• DKNG 03/17 12.5P for $0.75 or less

Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle

• If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open.
• Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
• I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
• The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis.

FAQ - Because others have already asked.

• These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
  • No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
• Are you entering all these plays?
  • No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
• You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean?
  • The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not.
• Where are the crayons? I only see words.
  • Click the links above.
• Have you back-tested this?
  • Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.7), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error)
• What is the historical performance?
  • The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.82 with a 67% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 58% and 79%. (Stats as of 2022-12-31)

YESSSSS. I can’t wait for Feb 2nd and Feb 8th. SBUX and UBER. I’m looking at the 109$ SBUX calls for 2/10. I think post earnings SBUX gets to 115$. I’ve already been buying the 2/10 31$ calls on UBER. Picked those bad boys up at 0.95.

Yes, some more then others but the sector is definitely overvalued. You got companies like PEP, JNJ, KO, PG, etc. trading around 22-27 and are overvalued. Then you got companies like SBUX, COST, MCD which are trading over 30 P/E. Many of these companies are reliable and pay a reliable dividend but most have very little growth and not enough to back their extremely high multiples.

I think stocks that pay high dividends or ones that have grown a lot are already overpriced. I look for the "sneaky" stocks that are going up and keep paying higher dividends. The best I've found lately is SBUX. https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/sbux/dividend-history shows their dividend has been increasing for over a decade.

Upcoming big short bags:

SPY (positioned) SBUX (positioned) AAPL (no position) NFLX (no position/ wanted till after earnings)

Positions are +8 months out.

You ever go to a SBUX to get a latte and instead they give you a sugarless cappuccino?

$105.10 SBUX 1D 1W 1M 3M 1Y 5Y Your position Shares Market value 2.843469 $298.86 Avg cost Portfolio diversity $90.99 63.85% Today's return +$0.2947 (+0.10%) Total return +$40

^^Discord ^^BanBets ^^VoteBot ^^FAQ ^^Leaderboard ^^- ^^Keep_VM_Alive

Having DoorDash deliver your SBUX sounds like a nightmare. “Here’s your $6 coffee! That’ll be $15. Oh and don’t forget to tip the driver”

SBUX march 100 puts

To mention also a “normal” stock imho SBUX - I’m not sure why people are willing to buy it at these prices however it gets recommended so often here. Both PE and P/FCF way to high. Ah pardon they are paying sweet 1,7% dividends

Calls on RKLB, SBUX, and UAA until mid Feb

AAPL for 15 years. SBUX for 21 years

My father bought MU, SBUX and MSFT in 1994 and 1995, and held all until January 2021.

(He also at one time owned both BRK-B and BA, but sold these some years earlier.)

He bought the Seattle based stocks simply because I was living in Seattle at the time (as my wife was getting her MBA at UW), so he was interested in Seattle. I think he read about the Seattle stocks via mailers he received from Barron's.

So many times I told him he was up big and should sell, but he wisely ignored me and simply held, and held, and held.

So by January 2021 he had sold all his stocks, and in November 2021 he died of prostate cancer. (Just five months after he'd been diagnosed...)

>Starbucks and DoorDash Set to Expand Delivery Partnership Nationwide $SBUX $DASH

^*Walter ^Bloomberg ^@DeItaone ^at ^2023-01-17 ^09:01:05 ^EST-0500

SBUX march puts are free money

should be okay but short term and it has earnings (which is always a gamble).

i REALLY like SBUX puts for march

Puts on SBUX.

I would revisit your food spending. You mentioned eating at work and via DD (which at first I thought was Dunkin Donuts and then I realized you meant Door Dash lol). Things like Door Dash should be used very sparingly. If you're on a budget, eating out by yourself (at work, before/after work, not as part of social life) is something to minimize.

My experience with people on tighter budgets is that "food not made at home" is often a key place to cut back. Despite all the lame jokes about young people with their Sbux and avocado toast, there is truth to the idea that saving some bucks a day really does add up. Not enough to buy you a house or anything, but enough to save toward your trip or other expenditures.

That’s great, I actually work for Sbux corporate and we’ve been more productive than ever.

Sbux looks like a nice short target

What’s your order at sbux

You will be judged

There’s a homeless guy sipping sbux under the hotel palm tree

FSBC Five Star Bancorp SBUX Starbucks NS NuStar Energy TRIS Tristar Acquisition I SBLK Star Bulk Carriers

Does anyone actually like Dutch Bros? Should call it Dutch Poors. Shit is trash, even SBUX is better.

I don't know but SBUX gonna drop regardless.
As for Spy, we 90% see a pullback next week (below Friday's low), which will then get bought back up like this last one, then.. there's 2 scenarios, 1) we break out and head to 420-430, OR we get stuck around 399-400 again, have a larger pullback (~390), which then gets bought back up AGAIN to 399-400. after which big market decision comes. 420 or 360

I think i found the safest PUT play in the market right now, if atleast as a hedge if youre long.

SBUX MARCH 100p !!!

should see 95 forsure, then maybe 88, and if market goes back to bear mode, sub 80

when you hold a $SBUX call with a breakeven of $56.50 and SBUX is trading at $100... 🤔

Sbux ttm

If my poots print at open might go all out and Uber eats some sbux

this gaggle of women at SBUX look like they cast spells.

LLY, DLTR, DG, GIS, PGR, GD, CWT, AJRD, LHX, NOC, PG, KR, WMT, TJX, UPS, HWM, TMUSS, ON, KDP, PEP, KO, PANW, MCD, RSG, WM, LMT, ENPH, JNJ, CVS, SBUX, CAT, HON, RTX, BA

Treat yourself to a sbux

Individual stock are perfect now because everything is on sale. Ive been buying and once i make a profit i sell and throw into voo and schd.

Bought netflix and made 40% sold and put inyo voo. Did same for stla. Pbr. Duk. Sbux.

You can make higher gains on individual stocks in this environment because its volatile. Not sure how long itll last but voo and schd is safe money wont go to zero so if u do end up gambling on individual stocks, take ur gains and place in safe bets.

You already have a bet going - SBUX to 80.0 before 04-Feb-2023 10:05 AM -05

Bit off topic, but I never had SBUX on the radar. Pretty healthy chart.

I’ve had LULU and SBUX puts on the watchlist for their next earnings calls because I figured they implode but noooo LULU cut out some of the gains early like asshats!!

Hey guys, Im quite new... can you help me with my portfolio for year 2023? Can you tell me what stock out of these are rly good, what stocks should I dump and what stocks Im definitively missing? I have some money and can do more wild stocks.... but mostly I like these... (AMD GOOGL DIS META MSFT PLTR ABNB SQ ABBV O BAC WFC SOFI VNTR MTDR MO WDAY CRSR CORS SKLZ NET TSLA LLY GAMR APPL NTFX LUV are my top... and maybeee some of this - LULU AMGN SBUX CRSP PYPL BABA MMM VICI VISA PORSCHE also don't look that bad) What do you think? And how much % will you put in what stocks? GOOGL, DIS, META, MSFT, AMD, SQ should be top6 right?? what do you think? And thanks for help guys...

I remember during the Pandemic bottom, so many morons in this sub saying SBUX is done for cuz. WhO GuNnA GeT CoFfEe DUrInG PaNdeMic? the answer was :everyone. everyone ordered or went to drive thrus.

SBUX gonna get hammered on earnings.

All the Ghynese staying at home and who the fuck wants to spend $8 on fancy coffee when recession is imminent???

I bought SBUX at the pandemic low. I sold about $5 from the top. SBUX gave me a downpayment on a condo. I now go to Starbucks every day.

let me guess, SBUX puts?

Was $70k before loss…. puts dated out to January 20th on SBUX, shit part is they are $97 because it was $100 when I shorted. Bought right before it decided to rally 6% in a few days been avg’ing down but not anymore after today.

Sold my sbux 100c at open for a quick +35%. So now I’m -$44 ytd 😁😁😁

$SBUX is outperforming everything on my watchlist

Railroads historically crush the S&P 500: UNP, CNI, CP

Defense contractors: LMT, RTX, NOC

Heavy Industrials: HON, CMI, CAT

Agriculture: DE, TSCO, CNHI

Waste Management: WM, CLH

Oil supermajors: XOM, CVX

Financials: V/MA/JPM

Food/Drinks: My favorite here is SBUX

Im down $9,000 grand on my SBUX $97P for the 20th, brutal lesson learned not to bet against white chicks

Ban Bet Created: /u/jsie-iaiqhsi816278 bet SBUX goes from 103.59 to 80.0 before 04-Feb-2023 10:05 AM EST

Their record is 12 wins and 29 losses.

^^Discord ^^BanBets ^^VoteBot ^^FAQ ^^Leaderboard ^^- ^^Keep_VM_Alive

!banbet SBUX 80 30d

Today I bought SBUX puts just because Jim Cramer tweeted that he likes the stock. No research except a quick glance at the P/E ratio and the chart. Just straight up "Inverse Cramer not a meme."
Might do that again tomorrow.

Thank you for posting these. I have been testing some of these out, so far CVNA really hit for me. And to my surprise SBUX too. I had bought the SBUX 110 C for 0.23 per contract back on 12/19 when you posted, it had mostly been down but exp wasnt until 1/20. I even think as of yesterday it was in the negative, maybe even like 30% ish. Today SBUX stock moved 3.6% but my contracts were up 115% so I sold. Wondering why only a 3.6% move equated to that big of a jump. I am certainly not complaining lol, but am here to learn if you have any idea why. Thanks again!

Small venture capitalist, previous management consultant, and starter of a few businesses in the food and beverage industry (in Toronto).

Very thoughtful and insightful post! Really lovely to read with my morning coffee. Agree with your macro perspective and a great proof point would be the Australian markets where the experience and price is better at most local shops (mini brands) than Starbucks. SBux has very very few locations in Sydney, Melbourne, etc.

Great job! If you have the tools, raise a little bit of capital and duplicate your model. I’m sure you’re on to something.

I think you hit the nail right there about reliable consistency as well. My company has a bunch of people from around the country all working out of our location for the week. The first day what do a bunch of them, who are all from different states, go do? They all walked over to sbux together and were able to order the exact same thing they get at home with reasonable confidence in knowing how it will taste.

Yeah, sbux rewards used to be way better too. Now it takes longer to earn stars, so they make you spend more to get that reward. Again it lowers the incentives. If I’m earning rewards regularly, I’m coming in to use them, driving a user behavior. If I earn them less often, the incentive to come in more regularly drops, and so it takes even longer to earn them. I’m demotivated. It’s a negative behavior pattern.

> Starbucks gross profit for the twelve months ending September 30, 2022 was $21.933B, a 7.93% increase year-over-year.

Glad your shop is doing well, but I feel like you might be sounding the death knell on SBUX a tiny bit prematurely.

I don’t think subway is a good analogy. Even in its heyday, subway wasn’t a 3rd space or perceived as cool. Starbucks has tremendous brand and “luxury” perception - whether that matches the post covid reality is a different issue. It was never about the coffee, if it was, 4th wave places would have grown beyond liberal elite city centres. I love real double cappuccinos from blue bottle, but no one has time unless you’re on vacation.

I think their growth prospects, as you allude to, will definitely slow, but to the point of mass saturation like subway? I’m not so sure about that - I think a lot of their restructuring is dealing with the post covid WFH shift. In my area, pre-covid, the downtown locations across the street from each other made sense because both were making money - nowadays all the business is in the bougie suburbs and a lot less ppl are in office buildings - 50% of pre-covid levels iirc. My bougie suburb sbux has been overworked pre-covid and failure cascaded once labor shortages started happening. But everyone still goes there and the cycle continues.

We started giving out cheap chocolate chip cookies for our loyalty customer month marketing stint, it went crazy. Cost us 20 cents per cookie, but it added value to the customer. Value that subway and sbux no longer provides the consumer, while charging insane prices. My last subway sub, turkey with bacon, 13.99 plus tax came to 15 and they also started a tipping program.

Can confirm. I remember when Subways were new (at least here in California) and their sandwiches were really good and actually fresh, and priced well. Then they blew up and the quality went way down while pricing didn’t. But they were everywhere! As someone that absolutely loved Sbux, I see the same thing happening with them now. I used to go to them every work day, and sometimes twice. Then it became a few times a week for convenience while I explored other options. Now I only go there when there’s nothing better around. I think I went maybe 4 times last month. They are not the same as they used to be.

Number 1 I think the VIX is being manipulated. Number 2 I think your SBUX and F contradict your VIX calls Number 3 you are so far out of the money it looks like gambling. The VIX has not broke 70 that often in recent times Otherwise I wish you luck

SBUX OTM Puts 6 months out is the play.

People aren't going to be buying $8 coffees as much in a recession, (revenue loss). Their 400K workers will keep demanding higher pay (Expense growth).

Overall negative headwinds for the becky company.

So it doesn’t bother you their staff are trying to unionize to bargain for higher wages meanwhile people aren’t spending nearly as much as they used to at their locations…. But all is well? Does it seem silly to you they pay a 2% dividend but if someone was really looking for interest income they could just put their funds in a savings account for risk free 3.50%

At some point institutional investors are going to see the writing on the wall that income growth isn’t there for sbux. Mcd is a solid choice though.

I go to Starbucks like everyday to get my work done cuz my neighbors are straight trash. Calls on SBUX

I've always had coffee at home but owned sbux for 8 years. Lines are the same length or longer. Most people aren't smart financially

I am at Starbucks and the place is busy as hell. Calls on Sbux.