been eyeing sbux, amd, have googl, sofi @ 24, appl, nio, pltr.
not feeling so good about those at all
abbv seems really stable
Any recommendations for a boring, stable dividend company to add to my roth 401k?
Adding MKL to my monthly traditional 401k buys. That'll make 6 positions there. I'm neurotic though so I need 6 in my roth 401k as well. I already own SHW, MPW, JPM, TROW, BIPC, PEP, O, MMM, PLD, HD, COST, AMT, F, IIPR, SBUX, SBNY, and TSM.
anyone betting on lulu and sbux or anything becky related
SBUX has way more bitches, calls on SBUX
Nice job I watched some of his videos my smooth brain had trouble with the basics of his spread sheet manipulations. But I learned some of his sources. I thought he liked a few other SA guys than that?
I saw insider buys of SBUX, and KDP...
So this pretty hot Banking Advisor on our Team is talking about her day today: She came into the office and dropped her stuff, met up with a guy at the hotel and had sex- not her husband, grabbed SBUX coffee, meetings all day, then meeting up with one of her church-guy friend to have sex with him, go home and dinner with the family...
I did not, thankfully. Been holding mostly cash, doing some shorting, and buying stocks I think are a good value like WBD and SBUX. NET’s volatility and falling like a falling knife isn’t something I want in my portfolio right now.
I love SBUX coffee and I ain't afraid to admit it. Grind the beans and use a moka pot for excellent coffee every morning.
I am totally different person, who also likes SBUX, especially at these prices.
You get it, my friend. I like SBUX at these prices too.
Open brokerage app, nibble at SBUX, close app.
Nah. We're in a fragile market. There's way too much negative stuff going on for the market to keep going up. Between the war, SBUX coming out of Russia, Bad earnings calls from big tech a few weeks ago, and the fed meeting again this wednesday, it's a shitshow. Not to mention many big hedge funds are buying up real estate meaning the common investor will have NO $ to work with in the coming years, we're headed for a collapse a la 2008 at the minimum.
We were due for a massive correction before covid but then the government said "Lets give everyone free money and nobody has to pay rent" so then people put it into shitty investments that require $ to upkeep, which nobody has anymore.
So, no it wasn't just SNAP but snap is a catalyst for an event like this right now. Any bad news is a catalyst for something like this.
Are companies telling the truth when they say Russia or China makes up 1% of their revenue.
Seen MCD, SBUX, ABNB, and a few others claim that when they said they are exiting those markets.
Are puts on SBUX too obvious after news of them pulling out of Russia closing 130 stores?
Crossing my fingers for Apple @ 125. Would love LLY @ 250 but I don’t see that happening. Same with SBUX @ 60, but if it ever does I’ll be loading up.
Anyways. I've been doing in-depth research on this stock and it's new management for nearly 2 years. And not WSB "DD". I mean regression analysis using competitors data to find key ratios that Luckin will likely end up at. Boots on the ground staying in Luckin shops all day counting total orders. Reading through the most boring Cayman/US legalese shit you can imagine. Sifting through mountains of institutional grade china coffee market research data.
I'm confident that given the current growth projectory for Luckin vs competitors like SBUX and Manner, they will be the top dog in China in less than 5 years. Covid lockdowns actually helped them, Luckins GMV was barely down -4% for april vs -72% for companies like Manner and SBUX. They are at 1.25bn TTM revs already and even if growth stalls completely would be 1.6bn by EOY (projecting $2.1bn). Meanwhile SBUX is getting killed in China, only a matter of time before their revenues cross.
Can't lay it all out. Been wanting to share for a long time but given the level of the average DD on here, the anti-china sentiment and just general meme-nonsense replies it's not really worth it.
I'll just share the gain porn whenever I'm ready.
in order of amount : HLAL - $9500 UBER - $2400 XOM - $2500 ABNB - $1100 MMM - $800 AAPL - $650 PFE - $400 QQQ - $350 SBUX - $175
thats the current value, not cost basis gotta hold this til hopefully rebounded, unfortunately
Speaking of chicken what does the China expert think of YUMC? (KFC China). How does this compare to SBUX as a play on a growing Chinese middle class? I have exposure to Chinese tech but was interested in restaurants.
I found an investment company Gofen & Glossberg that bought up a bunch of stocks (6 pages listed by 25) during the 2008 crash. When sorting by Quarter 1st owned you can see the quality names they were buying up during the panic with estimated cost bases: JPM @ 41.27, SBUX @ 13.58, DIS @ 45.50, AAPL @ 26.46, DE @ 80.17, etc.
I'm sure there many others, but even Berkshire Hathaway has a gap where it jumps from 2007 to 2010 in terms of the same sorting.
I'm bullish on the US and will be DCA'ing in small increments (5,10,20 share lots) on the biggest quality names with big one week drops going forward.
My Stock Portfolio
Currently in this order: HON, SONY, NEE, SBUX, ABBV, AMD, NOK, BAC, GOOGL, DKNG, SOFI, AAPL, NIO, ETSY, TGT, STEM, PLTR
DCA monthly into stocks providing dividends with a good history and solidity, but anyway I bough less value, more into stability (TROW, TXN, Raytheon, Citigroup, SBUX, INTC, ABBVIE).
I am only bleeding 12% on a investment I took a risk (PATH), the rest are pretty okay with no more than 3-5% down.
I feel restarted. Put another grand on sbux
I bet the kinds of entertainment and luxury shifted towards lower cost, though. Sbux did well during the financial crisis, because people could more easily justify a $5 coffee, even if they had it every other day, than a $70 salon treatment.
Spread your money to different parts of the economy
Select companies with a history of >5% dividend increases annually.
Avoid companies with dividend over 3%. They have insufficient growth.
Here are *some* good choices: : HD/LOW, COST/TGT, JNJ, NKE, MCD/SBUX, MSFT/AAPL, INTC.
These are leading companies that pay dividends *but also have growth*. The magic of dividend investing is that *growing companies increase their dividends over time*, and that's what makes dividend stocks worthwhile. Some people here recommend VZ or MO. Personally, I wouldn't own either. VZ's dividend is stagnant and the company has almost no prospect for growth. I don't know about MO's dividend, but tobacco has become very risky, I would avoid it.
Always be on the search for new companies that are steadily raising dividends, and be willing to shift from stagnant older companies to faster growing newer companies. REmember the magic of dividend investing isn't in the amount of the dividend today, but instead it's in how much the dividend grows over time!
About to get assigned another 100 shares of SBUX @ $73.5 in about 42 minutes ⏰
I agree with you on SBUX. Great levels right now, even Howard Schulz loaded up around $68/share.
SBUX still green on the day buying puts with 0 research or thought 😎
Fucking retards here acting retarded but OP makes a great point.
YTD, MCD is only down 14%. As inflation continues and recession is manifested into every American as the GOP hammers this point come Q3 for election time, every company is going to get pummeled.
Other companies like SBUX (-40%), SHAKE (-41%), DPZ (-40%), WEN (-31%).
McDonald's is fucking expensive as fuck.
Just looking at the numbers compared to other fast food places like SBUX and DPZ, MCD can fall way way more. All the numbers are similar between all the fast food (slight revenue increase, falling net income and profit margin) I'm thinking of 180Ps for next earnings date 7/27.
AMZN, SBUX, AAPL, insert major corporation battling unions here. I'm either bearish or neutral on these companies until they can get their house sorted out.
Lulu died, target died, sbux died,,, white women, what are you doing!?
I’ve been assigned to a bunch of shit recently like AAPL and SBUX
My cost basis is atm
I would not write contracts below cost basis. Should have explained that part, my bad
Puts on SBUX and USCI bc fuck it.
I buy maybe $25-$50 split between VTI, QQQ, VXF each week. I buy Mondays and Wednesdays on market open. You can blame me for the recent declines.
I buy $25-$50 per week of individual tickers I like. Seems I've caused huge declines in AMZN, HCA, WMT, TGT, SBUX with my buys. Sorry for fucking everyone over because I bought $25 positions.
I'm at buying stocks pre-covid or near covid price. Market is acting like we're going back to pre QE pricing at this rate, some stocks are very cheap, but probably cheap for a reason. Regardless, I'm buying SMG, VZ, WMT, SBUX, DIS, TDOC among others.
Becky ETF screeching in pain today thanks to TGT starting off the dump
LULU, SBUX, ULTA, etc. etc.
If you order your iced coffee black at SBUX you get more coffee and also the store profits more because their main expense is milk.
Lot of babies born in the 70's to young adults with all that shit times 10. Wonder how they survived. Prob no sbux, aapl and all the other excessive shit
Building positions in FB, DIS, INTC, VZ, SBUX, QQQ leaps in descending order
When most Americans think about home made coffee they think about shitty instant coffee that makes you incestuous like Folgers. If you tell them to buy a coffee machine or even a plunger they just figure it’s cheaper and easy to go to SBUX everyday.
Starbucks, $SBUX, to add abortion travel coverage to U.S. health benefits.
|Ticker|Allocation| |:-|:-| |AMD|28.75%| |ABNB|21.04%| |CROX|19.13%| |QQQM (ETF)|5.29%| |SE |22.04%| |SPTM (ETF)|3.74%|
I'm down big since I bought half of them near its high, but will continue to average down in tranches when any position drops by more than 20%.
Planning to put more cash towards both QQQM and SPTM rather than individual stocks in the next few months. WBD and SBUX are on my watchlist, and I could start a small position in either of them.
Is it really the coffee bean prices? Because SBUX is still turning in a net profit even with high bean prices, while they aren’t. Maybe marketing costs? Maybe Jerome’s fat juicy interest rates? Who knows…
Never been to one here in Colorado...my daughter mentioned all the kids loved it and finally noticed one and it was packed in a car line of about 15 waiting. Might be a better pickup in SBUX of the crash lows
Sbux coffee is also shit. Didn’t stop them.
I've shorted SBUX and would short Dutch Bros. but no shares are available to borrow because it's already shorted a bunch.
Nothing is going to grow or expand in the recession we're in.
Possibly, but if I had to sink a pile of money into Starbucks or 7Brew today, there would be no SBUX in my portfolio. Same with Dutch Bros. I'll take the chance on the growth and bail after a bit of explosive expansion.
Here are a few reasons why I don't buy QQQ:
This is not my beautiful AAPL, this is not my beautiful SBUX
The whole point of a loyalty program is to give up some profit to earn multiple visits that recoup the lost profit in transactional volume. SBUX switched to a price-based system because people could buy 10 drips and use their free coffee for a venti mocha-chai-iced-liquid-crack drink with chocolate nitro foam that costs $7-12
10 drips @ $3 = $30 in revenue to then give up $10-12 in revenue from a fancy drink vs a stars program that pays out less than 10% of the revenue you pull in. Separating rewards from dollars also messes up our mind's ability to compare equitable value so there isn't as much risk in considering alternate choices.
PTON, CVNA, DASH, ZM, COIN, SQ/ROKU/SHOP/TWLO, GM, SBUX, ABNB, FB , EA.
ill add to original post
Maybe so… but they make profits during a recession. When SBUX gets to around $40 I think we’ll be closer to a bottom.
In 2008 I watched SBUX crash and burn when consumers cut spending on items they could make at home. Calls on BUD! It did very well during the last major recession. People will always drink alcohol no matter how poor they are. Just ask a homeless Bull behind the Wendy’s dumpster!
sbux is like the entry point to the coffee world for a lot of people. the social aspect of going to a coffee shop is 75% of the fun and a lot of people I know got introduced to it from them. the quality is meh but the convenience and accessibility is a plus
You don’t want to be around sheepherders doing what sheepherders do to sheep. As someone rightly pointed out, SBUX is f***ing sheep every day!
Bought an espresso machine
Puts on SBUX
POTUS IG going right after AMZN and SBUX, expect blood on Monday
Can I get some of the top holdings in your dividend growth portfolio,? Looking for ideas as I'm currently constricting the same with the same requirements. My current top holdings in there are msft hd sbux low dpz. Thanks!
Keep doing it. not mad about GM because it is a cyclical business but they own Cruise I think which is interesting.
You can add some Medtronic, SBux, Goog, Bud ADR
It's a great question.
The first thing you should know is that most IPO companies wind up in the dollar stock bin. The problem is that new companies' projections of growth and profit almost never actually come true. If you got to the research section of your brokerage and look up PTLO (Portillo's), and look under the "Earnings" tab, you'll find they reported as a public company for only three quarters, and they missed - that is they were lower than - Wall Street's expected earnings on two of three and expected revenue on all three.
The second thing you should know is how to use earnings estimates. There should be some place in your brokerage research page on the stock that shows future estimates for the company. My brokerage shows the next four quarters and the next two years. For the annual ones, the expected earnings for the next two years are: 2022, $0.15/shr; 2023, $0.30/shr. One way to think of this is that you're buying an investment for $18 that will pay back fifteen cents in one year and another thirty cents in two years. That's a compound annual return of 1.24%. Not great. Now, if you expect earnings to continue to double every year for the next, say, five years, (very unlikely) here's what you get: 2023, $0.60; 2024, $1.20; 2025, $2.40. In that case your total return over five years would be $4.65 on $18 invested, or 4.70%. That's pretty lame, even though the return estimate is very high - and even though the company has a history of coming in below estimates.
The third thing you should know is that the restaurant business ain't at all like the software business, and it can't produce the kind of earnings growth that MSFT or AAPL produce. There's a reason the largest restaurant chain (MCD) is one tenth the size of the largest software company, and the fifth largest restaurant chain is about 1/80th the size of the largest software company. Quality control and product control is very very difficult in restaurant chains. MCDs and SBUX have mastered this, but very few chains do. Also to get more revenue in a restaurant chain, you have to build a new building and kit it out, which is much more expensive than just pressing the copy button on a computer to sell an app or a video. Last but not least the restaurant business is extremely competitive and very few companies are successful at a high level.
That's my view.
Now here are the caveats:
the preceding discussion is based on estimates and probabilities, not certainties.
the value of the stock varies in the short term according to supply and demand, not fundamentals
Overall, though, in my mind this stock rates a valuation in the $5-$10 range at best.
It’s been an interesting 2 years for sure
GM: replace with more TSLA, or maybe a good div consumer staple. It doesn’t have the growth, yield and carries elevated risk.
DIS: replace with nothing or a bond fund - at least you’ll get something. How much upside is here realistically? Worth a trade at these levels at best. SBUX is a good replacement here.
JNJ and AAPL: since they’re so heavily weighted in the SP index I would rather own the index, get the others and sleep better.
The rest is great
Thank you, Howard Schultz, for buying 10 million shares of SBUX and making my calls slightly less red.
RBLX, FB, SBUX, DIS eventually I want to consolidate my IRA into mostly these stocks.
Just sold my home and was going to sit on the cash to buy another place later in the year but can't resist. Buying SPY, SPSM, and a few large caps that are looking cheaper (AAPL, BRK.B, JPM, SBUX)
And you paid it, calls on SBUX
I prefer things that have predictable long legs because my time frame is generational. I plop it into a corp and it will be passed on to kids and their kids. I do take chances every now and then, but a grand majority of my portfolio is steady. I dont avoid tech on principal, its more like I just dont have enough confidence in my forecasts when it comes to tech. I do have some though.
Right now my real estate stuff is crushing everything. Im not sure how much its worth at this moment but rent is up nicely too so there is my cash flow. I also get to mess around with the loans. Thats more than half my assets right now. Now sure what % any more.
I own a bunch of KRUS right now. It was supposed to be a temporary thing but I just cant let them go. Really love their model and will likely have 20-50% yoy growth for a long time and no reason why they cant be around as long as the USA exists.
I like video games. I see them as "almost consumer staple" and they are tech. But unlike most tech, their product is basically consumable a lot like other media content businesses. But this one is much harder to make especially at the high end of things (AAA games). My pick here is CD Projekt Red. But there are risks... They are a hop skip and jump away from that psychopath in Russia and major growing pains right now. They doubled in size the last 2 years and are moving to a 2x AAA game process (1 previously). They are also moving towards more efficient development (in house engines to Unreal for uniformity). Unbelievable upside here if you can just stomach the long cycles.
The rest of my portfolio is your basic stuff but all these are rather small. Maybe 1-2% each. GIS, KO, PEP, KDP, LMT, PFE, JNJ, T, WBD, V, VTR, OHI, NHI, MSFT, ZM, AMZN, QCOM, SBUX, F, COST, ENPH. Most of those are very long hold (almost 10 years). Some are new since the pandemic, F, ZM, AMZN, ENPH, PYPL. Obviously the tech pickups have been all over the place even though I didnt get in till they were 40-50% off. But they kept going down. Small positions so almost dont matter. Not a lot of confidence in them.
Finally I keep a lot of cash. Historically between 25% to 50% cash though I do deploy it for swing trades every now and then. My last big one was Tesla 2019 dip. Sold before pandemic. Was at 50% when the pandemic hit so as you can imagine, I did ok. Deployed it again and now about 20% cash due to how much KRUS grew (good problem). But im thinking to start deploying again in small amounts. Lots of good decent right now. AMD is a consideration but it will be a small position at best.
Whats your strategy?
Firstly it’s something I can afford to lose.
I started buying few stocks each, of the following: SBUX, SHW, SQ, OKTA.
Why these? Because I trust these companies make great products.
Going in on BROS OR SBUX . Coffee aint going anywhere bitchess
I have basically everything at 5% but LC is the largest. I have DCA down most of them but i lost my ass on UPST the other day. Trying to avoid anything too risky from here on out.
PYPL, NET, TSLA, CSCO, NEE, GOOG, CAT, BA, QCOM, MSFT, UNH, SBUX, V, DDOG, MA, DIS, TTD, AMD, and my current favorite LC
I have to think that alone is gonna make people clench up a little, I know its already affecting my psychology wanting to save as much as possible by cutting unneeded expenses like going out to eat and my SBUX addiction
In March or April of 2020, I bought PFE, XOM, T, AVGO, SBUX, MSFT, TTD,, SCHG, VOO, AMT, HD, ABBV, INTC, AMKR, LLY, DIS, PRU, STOR, ZTS, BABA. These are off my head because Schwanb doesn't go before May 2020.
Presuming you know what you are doing in terms of execution and won't just blindly buy stocks when they are trading with a high P/E, here are some ideas.
Positions in brackets should be smaller than your primary holding. I personally would be focused in TSLA, oil, computing, SAAS, and internet retail for alpha with other positions for diversification.
TSLA (F) (LCID) (RIVN)
AMZN (BABA) AAPL MSFT GOOG (FB) NVDA (AMD) (TSM)
ADBE ABNB DIS SPOT TSP (EMBK)
COST DLTR TGT WMT HD (LOW) CVS WBA
BA LMT NOC RTX
LUV AAL DAL UAL
JPM (GS) (BAC)
BRK.B AXP MA (V) PYPL
GIS (K) (KHC) MCD SBUX KO PG NKE (LEVI) (RL)
(CAT) (HON) (MMM) DE GE
sbux is extremely cheap
also STOP YOLOING AND CHASING. I know my risk , Know Yours
I have semi-long term puts into the SPY and QQQ, is hedging them with trickle in stock purchases of GOOGL, AAPL, SBUX, etc. a stupid self defeating hedge?
Will do a pickup of SBUX at 62. Pumpkin spice season in a few months and Instagram girls love that shit
Disney at 87 is a strong buy. Summer coming and parents will be dragging their fat children around those parks sweating and eating Turkey legs and buying $69.99 light sabers that make the “woom woom” sound
US labor board says Starbucks, $SBUX, unlawfully fired seven for union efforts.
They are valued like a software company in a low margin business, with one of the best companies every (SBUX) as competition.
Might not be the easiest short in the world anymore, but definitely not a buy.
I am honestly really debating on adding SBUX to my portfolio. It seems really cheap right now.
I agree CMG is silly but SBUX? I like it at these levels but I started dipping my toes around $72-73. I wouldn’t be surprised if it fell another $10-15, but the valuation is already awesome. I get that it’s a consumer discretionary but I can’t underestimate the addiction people have to caffeine.
I think it depends on the local owner. SBUX is a faceless corp as a company but I know my SBUX baristas and I like them. I also know the dick running his own coffee shop closer to my house. Fuck that guy.
You're absolutely fucking right. So many SBUX investors panicked and pulled money out because *clutches pearls* there's a small UNIONIZING trend! The CEO and SBUX's union-busting behavior and threats are shameful.
$213 avg with SQ lucky it is only small percent of portfolio. Crushed on AMZN, SBUX, DIS, FB too
I dunno, man. It's just a restaurant as far as I'm concerned, and I have a real hard time getting excited about restaurants as investments. SBUX and CMG included. I feel like now is about the worst time to pin your hopes on a growing but unprofitable low-margin business.
Got out of BROS ahead a few weeks ago and got into SBUX recently between $73-75…hope I don’t get burned on this one like the BROS holders…
Visa: started a position near ATH. Averaging down so not to worried. Lowe's: Near ATH. Just like visa, both are positions I was looking to start, so DCA was gonna happen anyways. MSFT : DCA since OCT. 2021 so no too bad. SBUX: Caught near top and averaging down. Had 3 I cut for an average 15 percent loss, but will take it and use it at tax time. I have 6 total stocks that I have been throwing money in since 2021, and planned on accumulating as much as I can through 2023 before my money has to go to other financial obligations.
$BROS has the same cult following as $SBUX I lived near one. The drive through made chin fil a look like amateur hour.
I’m buying with a 21.00 limit order of 100 Shares
BROS lmao so much for the SBUX killer
Stonks/corporations depend on input costs:
when labor costs (everything from tech to healthcare to farming to Amazon/Sbux unions) is up -> corps make less.
when input costs (Commodities/Labor) are in supply shock given COVID downsizing -> corps make less.
when cost of capital (Fed Funds/ECD rates) goes up -> corps make less.
Thank you, I got down voted so was hard to find replies, I will try to exchange into something else. I mostly just trade in my cash account and thought this was working on the side till late last year.
I did get hit hard but have a nice position in Activision and have flipped funko a few times this year. But Intel sbux and jpm killing me haha
I have a limit order for 20 shares if it hits 65 (which I think it will). SBUX has been trading richly for the past 16 months, but at these prices I see so much upside. I also like their situation with gift cards, making them a bank by proxy