Ummm it closed red today.

Want green... Look to the green cup of Sbux..

I lost my virginity at age 19 and fucked like 80 sluts throughout my 20's. Never once did I think about chopping my dick off or stuffing a cock up my ass.

Yet I'm part of the problem according to the SBUX crowd...

Ya boi (fresh off of his victorious banbet no less) is at SBUX.

Just ordered a grande iced vanilla latte with an extra shot of espresso.

$7.

You’re welcome SPY bulls.

I think coffee is pretty boring, so I vote SBUX. Each store is extremely efficient in paying for itself (about 1-2 years before they have paid for itself), the brand is very popular (average ticket price of 7-8 bucks in the US, compared to half as much for competitors), expanding stores in the thousands over the next 5 years, and the service experience is getting highly automated/streamlined to make it better for both customer and barista. The financials are, of course, fantastic, and guidance is being raised. The valuation is at a slight premium, but I don't think it will trade down to 'cheap' levels given the quality.

Dominos Pizza was an incredible outperformer over big tech the last decade, and I view SBUX as a similar possible success story.

I don't own it, but Union Pacific (UNP) seems like a steady, boring railroad stock. My concern here is the valuation and whether it's too late to enter the stock.

Also, probably DE. I was thinking CAT too but I think the financials and cyclicality of CAT are worse than DE. (I remember debt being worse for CAT?)

Bought more puts on that trash stock aapl and sbux and calls on qqq cuzfuckem

Puts on sbux and unity software

What are the chances SBUX hits 90 tomorrow

I need my SBUX and AMD calls to print

Loaded up on sbux at 82. Insiders were buying last week, open market at 92

Anytime VRTX stumbles below 280 I buy as it keeps popping 290s

The wildcard I'm buying tomorrow as a yolo is SIX. Thought it would plunge after last earnings, but it instantly rebounded and held 22-23.

SBUX immune to inflation.. right? ☕️

SBUX going to zero, I’ll allow it. Sorry Becky

Sbux

Most people still thinking that invest in Tech means investing only in the Tech sector. There is tech everywhere. Even if you invest in financials, you could be investing in tech. The same for healthcare, consumers, industrials, etc. Tech is way more than Apple, or Google. Even JPM, Pfizer, KO, SBUX, create or use tech in a lot of ways. True diversification among sectors, cap sizes, countries, still important.

I'm still trying to get to break even on SBUX puts. What a maroon!

2nd day of buyback blackout window, SBUX goes down. Gee, I wonder what was going on there?

# Tickers of Interest
**Gamma Max Cross**
* [FL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#FL) 10/21 39P for $1.65 or less
* [OHI](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SBUX) 10/21 31P for $0.65 or less
* [AZUL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AZUL) 10/21 10P for $0.70 or less
* [IRM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#IRM) 10/21 55P for $1.45 or less
* [AGQ](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AGQ) 10/21 22P for $1.60 or less
**Delta Neutral Cross**
* [AAPL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AAPL) 10/21 160C for $3.35 or less
* [UAL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#UAL) 10/21 38P for $2.05 or less
* [JNJ](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#JNJ) 10/21 165P for $2.95 or less
* [PEP](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#PEP) 10/21 165P for $2.10 or less
* [AUY](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AUY) 10/21 4.5C for $0.15 or less
# Trading Thesis
Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.
This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.
For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.
It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.
The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.
# Notes
* If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.
* Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
* I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
* The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.
# FAQ
* These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
* No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
* Are you entering all these plays?
* No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

Msft, google, Mo, xom, o, meli, ups, sbux, tgt

If you get one every day that's $3,000 a year. If you're an average person in a clerical office job making $55,000 job like most women, that's like $40,000 take home pay after taxes. Then take out 401k, insurance. what's that leave you with, $35,000? That's 10% of their net income on a drink. no way SBUX continues having success

SBUX. How many people paying $8 for a grande iced caramel macchiato have any tread on their tires?

I would bet on companies with great financials and moat. GOOG, AMZN, MSFT or some s/w companies with consistent growth like SNOW, DDOG or cybersecurity s/w companies like CRWD or PANW. I also feel CRM and ADBE will make a comeback considering how well they have done over past decade and their investment in cloud based SAAS and so many assets.

Beyond core tech I would say DIS, HD, SBUX are some of the companies I believe in over next decade.

Buy more Sbux.

Insiders have been buying open market.

Forecast is good.

Shitty little dividend.

It's fucking pumpkin spice season so this quarter is gonna kill it and as we have seen, beats get huge spikes and misses get fucked to the bottom.

Oh and their plan to make EV charging routes at their locations along the highway is fucking brilliant, especially since Volvo is paying for it.

Sbux 110+ EOY

Basically my entire investment portfolio

1. AAPL

2. JNJ

3. LMT

4. O

5. PEP

6. SBUX

7. TGT

8. TXN

9. WM

My biggest nominal losses are in my index funds since they are my biggest positions--down 16% in VTI, or 1.8K, and similarly for VXUS. Up 12% on XOM but its only like $100 total gain. Total losses of 9K or down 13% from starting in June 2021. So more or less tracking the market.

I actually bought most of my individual stocks at decent prices. (Down 5% in Goog, flat on AAPL, -16% on Meta, -7% on JPM, V, -5% on MA, up 6% SBUX).

Wait till Wednesday and buy dec puts on aapl qqq hyg coin sbux

SBUX is not a good stock at this price

# Tickers of Interest

**Gamma Max Cross**

* [NFLX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#NFLX) 10/21 240P for $19.40 or less

* [SBUX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SBUX) 10/21 90P for $2.40 or less

* [CANO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CANO) 10/21 6P for $0.35 or less

* [CI](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CI) 10/21 290P for $8.95 or less

* [NRG](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#NRG) 10/21 43P for $1.05 or less

**Delta Neutral Cross**

* [BBBY](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#BBBY) 10/21 8P for $1.45 or less

* [SCHW](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SCHW) 10/21 72.5C for $2.90 or less

* [AEM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AEM) 10/21 45C for $1.00 or less

* [AUY](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AUY) 10/21 4.5C for $0.15 or less

* [FISV](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#FISV) 10/21 105C for $2.65 or less

# Trading Thesis

Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.

This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.

For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.

It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.

The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.

# Notes

* If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.

* Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.

* I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.

* The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.

# FAQ

* These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?

* No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.

* Are you entering all these plays?

* No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.

SBUX literally tastes like shit lol

SBUX gang wya, the only place demand will stay: rich white girls buying their pumpkin spice lattes

Fighting the FED is easy. The real challenge is fighting BECKY

SBUX 85 10/7 PUTS

More reasons I like SBUX as a company / stock. I won't focus as much on the financials in this comment as I have in the past, but they had excellent guidance, free cash flow, share buybacks, etc.

• Their efficiency in opening up new locations is incredible. They will add yet another 2K stores in the US alone by the end of 2025. For comparison, in the US in 2021, there were about 13.4K McDonalds locations (almost all franchised), and and about 15K SBUX (mixture of company operated and licensed stores).
• • Their 'cash on cash' return is over 50% in the US and 70% in China (not accounting for royalties), per Morningstar. This implies within 1-2 years, the new stores will have paid for itself.
• This Canadian company Nexii is able to build an extremely Starbucks energy-efficient cafe/drive-thru in six days. Their 'infrastructure' is highly standardized and automated. The technology is getting simultaneously faster/easier for baristas to use.
• They can generate a new cup of (hot) coffee with their new Clover Vertica machines in 30 seconds
• From article: The Siren System includes a custom ice dispenser, milk dispenser, and faster blenders to expedite the process of making frappuccinos and other cold drinks. Starbucks says it takes just 36 seconds and 13 steps for a barista to make a Grande Mocha Frappuccino using the new equipment, compared to 87 seconds and 16 steps with the current system. The process to make a grande Pink Drink will go from 52 seconds and 11 steps to 24 seconds and 9 steps, Starbucks says.
• [Article continued] Starbucks says it currently spends about $50 million per year on the labor required to make cold brew, which includes 20 hours of brew time and 20 steps. Using the new cold pressed technology, baristas will be able to make cold brew in four steps and cut time down to a few seconds, Starbucks says. The new technology dispenses, dilutes, and chills the cold brew, which was previously all done manually by baristas.

To add, if you watch the latest Investor Day video of the Siren System, you'll see a Barista take a blender, move laterally to 5-6 stations where she presses a button, pours the container, puts the blender on an automatic washing station, add whipped cream, boom, cold coffee drink is ready in 45 seconds. No bending down, no garbage generated (besides the coffee /s), no heavy lifting.

To summarize: You're charging $5-8 bucks to an (addicted) person for a < 1 minute long prep time, which is highly automated and requires little physical strain, in a store location that can be constructed in as little as 6 days to a few weeks and pays for itself in 1-2 years.

SBUX isn't a coffee company, they're a dairy (ie literal lactation) retail company that also happens to dabble in brewed coffee beans

Calls on SBUX

Got a chai cream frappuccino and a butter candymilk cookie from SBUX, glorious I tell you.

Ditch T,KO,Sbux and spread the money out over the rest. Single stocks will give you a bigger gain on the way back up.

SBUX puts? 🤔

I remember making over 100k on calls by following an idiot shilling me on white girl essentials LULU & SBUX in 2016

I occasionally need to have documents notarized and faxed, and scan and/or print something larger format than I'm set up for here at home. It's nice having FedEx, Wells Fargo and SBUX all right there, just a few minutes' walk. Also, my second-favorite Mexican joint is along the way, and sometimes I'll take care of my business and stop at the Mexican place for lunch and a couple cervezas.

Yeah I’m starting to think this is nothing more than a gambling addiction.

SBUX 85 10/7 P

I bought SBUX at $59 , CVX at $80 , JPM at $90

YES. I'M THE BIGGEST SHORT SELLER ON SBUX

I'm still pissed they pumped SBUX up when they had a "good investor day presentation" lol. Was shorting SBUX and they came for me.

SBUX FD's are on sale

NEE has been a solid investment for me.

TSLA has also been a bomb shell.

UNP was a great call - but I sold recently and will buy back in when railway the strikes settle out.

APPL is always a solid long term buy.

SBUX is recovering from the unionization waves. Their business on the rise again, and is thriving cuz it’s holiday season.

Apart from that …. My best advice is to always make sure you buy when stocks are rising. Make sure you wait a little bit bit before you buy too.

And when stocks are dipping, you wanna sell any stocks you have. Always.

Wholly shat! Why do I own SBUX puts?
Are people going to buy overpriced coffee in a recession?

Sbux I want my free birthday drink 😤

I saw that with SBUX on this sub. People just looked at the financials and didnt think to consider what would happen if China reopens or if they started doing their buybacks again. Since that would mean giving a forward looking statement. Upvote system favors looking to the past and just assuming a company will continue to be like that in the future. As if companies dont improve if macro elements get better for them lol.

Doing that kind of DD doesnt happen on r/stocks lmao.

Happened with SBUX. People just looked at the financials and didnt think to consider what would happen if China reopens or if they started doing their buybacks again. And many missed the opportunity to buy SBUX in the $70-75 range.

SBUX for the big bucks

I don’t understand how is SBUX doing so well after its June low and the continuous talk about the union. Shouldn’t have hesitated to buy it at the low 70s

>starbucks all the time

What is this exactly? A daily latte? Frappe? Coffee? Hanging out at the coffee shop? I ask, because my wife and I finally got a home espresso setup, was around $800 for an entry level machine and grinder, but we each make a double, every day. And it's so fast and easy, going to sbux, waiting in line etc is actually slower and I feel like an idiot spending $4-6 vs <$1

It was actually SBUX puts that fucked me good today

$SBUX puts are very tempting

SBUX won’t be denied during pumpkin spice season.

I've tried:

• Peets (1 type)
• Mayorga (5 types)
• Dunkin Donuts (1 type)
• Kicking Horse (1 type)
• SBUX (around 3 types)

Grind whole beans and either use moka pot or just drip machine.

Once I had Starbucks, I just couldn't enjoy the other ones. I like the burnt, bitter taste actually. Mayorga is a bit too fruity for me, although it was what got me off of instant coffee.

Damn SBUX a lot of people mentioning it on CNBC

$sbux can run to $96 folks

🥰 that first sip of hot SBUX in the morning

Sbux is the only thing green on my list lol

Wow, SBUX up 5%! Love to start my morning drinking my Starbucks beans coffee watching the stock pop.

SBUX up 2.5% AH, and was only down 1.4% today (despite the massive sell-off). It looks like investors were impressed with today's investor day, in which they announced the resumption of a buyback.

• The company sees annual growth in adjusted EPS of 15-20% for fiscal 2023-fiscal 2025
• Annual global comparable sales growth of 7-9% over that span, feeding global revenue growth of 10-12%.
• Expects annual U.S. comparable sales of 7-9% from 2023-2025, up from a previous forecast for 4-5%.
• China comp sales, meanwhile, should grow 4-6% annually over that time frame, with net stores growing 13%.
• The company will make $1B in investments in fiscal 2023, and it's boosting capital expenditures to $2.5B-$3B for the coming three years.
• As for capital returns, the company's resumption of repurchases will yield an annual EPS benefit of about 1% starting in fiscal 2024, Starbucks says. Between dividends and buybacks, it expects to return about $20B in capital to shareholders in the next three years.
• The company sees a dividend yield of about 2% for the three-year period.

No one cares about sbux def shorting here

Short SBUX

AAPL, ACN, AMD, AXP, BA, CAT, CRWD, MSFT, NKE, NVDA, SBUX, TSLA. Trailing stop loss at 5-10% and check account once per week or less.

Good news with SBUX? They are up a lot AH

SBUX is spending $450 Million in a down market to revamp their stores but can’t upgrade their service with job layoffs coming and overpriced coffee. Guess time for long Puts.

sbux giving 3 year guidance to cover up for next quarters shitty guidance lmao

It's ok everyone sbux just saved the market

Puts on sbux nobody is buying shit ppl are just here on their laptops.nobody is in line. Yet it taking them forever to make my drink

Sbux is the new growth stock of 2022

SBUX you da real MVP

SBUX shouldn't exist

>*STARBUCKS SEES MORE THAN 25K INTERNATIONAL STORES IN NEXT 3 YRS $SBUX

^*Walter ^Bloomberg ^@DeItaone ^at ^2022-09-13 ^14:40:52 ^EDT-0400

need that sbux if u gonna go job hunting.

inflation wildly important for SBUX

There's a hot brunette Advisor talking about she's meeting up with some dude at SBUX and he's going to fuck her good raw in the SBUX bathroom stall

Like SBUX. It's a sneaky dividend and growth company that no one mentions.

My SBUX straddle is in deep trouble

I need SBUX to keep crashing down 5 points please

SBUX up a nice 20% from its trough back in April. Nearly up a nice 5%.

What I like about SBUX:

• Unreal pricing power and popularity. For all the complaints about the 'quality,' go look at the lines outside of any SBUX. Go to an airport, there will be a half dozen coffee shops, and only SBUX will have 20 people standing around on their phones waiting for their pickup. Average ticker order in 2021 was near $8 bucks, compared to near $4 for Dunkin Donuts.

• Still have the ability to expand around the world. They have 17K stores mostly in N. America and China, so plenty more to go elsewhere.

• Diversifying into cold coffee and other beverages, branding deals with Nestle

• Their loyalty program functions as a bank account in which people can prepay for their daily coffee. 27 million users in the US, or more than 10% of the adult population (in theory). Per Morningstar, "half of U.S. order volume now driven by program participants."

• Eventual resumption of share buybacks, and they pay a decent dividend (2.36%)

• Revenue/earnings remained decent despite taking massive hits in China due to Covid

• P/E isn't anything too crazy compared to historical norms.

• ROIC between is 15-25%

• I like SBUX beans, and I'm proud to say it

$ABNB:

128C over $124.88

122P under 123.47

$C:

52C over $51.33

50P under $50.55

$SBUX:

90C over $89.62

87P under $88.61

tripling down sbux puts at 90

Don’t listen to this sub, just buy a nice safe stock with dividends. Like KO, SBUX, DIS

I would like to share my dividend scorecard of Starbucks (SBUX). If you find it informative there are more over at: youtube.com/DailyDoseOfDividend

Metrics and thresholds being used in the scorecard:

Sales Growth (5Y): Over 4%

Earnings Growth (5Y): Over 8%

Earnings Estimates (5Y): Over 8%

Return on Invested Capital (5Y): Over 12%

Debt to Free Cash Flow: Under 5 years

Dividend Yield: 2-6%

Buyback Yield: Positive

Payout Ratio: Under 70%

Dividend Growth Rate (5Y): Over 5%

Dividend Growth Years: Over 10 years

An example of this benefiting a China stock is LKNCY. It's slowly purging SBUX from the country and Luckin is getting all that business.

SBUX is shitting the bed after hours

SBUX 9/10 95c. I love pumpkin spice and the color green. FUK why do I do this

Every position green today... except SBUX, which keeps bouncing off of $90. Really want that one to break through. Well, need is the better word.

$SBUX IS READY FOR A GAP 🐻🐻

$SBUX puts going to print🪓🪓

$SBUX FILL THE GAP 🪓

5year gains trading LEAPS in quality stocks i (I.E APPLE ) Cumulative time weighted return

543.66%

compared to

cumulative time weighted return S P 500

131.83%

Change in dollar value for this period

+$45,059.23

time and quality is my personal choice .. Amazon and uber are performing well now , , personal holdings AMZN GOOG MPC SLB SWN ACVA SBUX MATT DIS and shorted BBBY with $8.50 puts when it was $20+ good luck . Hope you get it back

I forgot I hated SBUX, thanks for the reminder

Names like $SBUX, $COST, and $BA have already made their lows and are in a holding pattern while the indexes search for a secondary bottom.

Time to double down on SBUX puts if it keeps ripping triple down with credit card cash advance if they all expire $ROPE

calls on SBUX, puts on MTCH?

This pretty hot blond chick in the office just got back from sucking a dudes dick inside a SBUX bathroom and she's saying she's meeting up with him for lunch

I walked by a Gamestop the Saturday morning. Was empty, besides two guys, who I presumed worked there, chatting behind the counter. Starbucks next to it was swamped tho. Maybe I should DRS my sbux?!

YES! COST and WM, adding LMT, selling China exposure TXN, AVY, SBUX, NKE.

New SBUX$ CEO hella ugly puts

SBUX is interesting. What strike?