Oct 18, 2007
Executives
Diana G. Reardon - Sr.
VP and CFO Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and CEO
Analysts
Brian White - Jefferies & Co. Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch Shawn Harrison - Longbow Research Carter Shoop - Deutsche Bank Yuri Krapivin - Lehman Brothers William Stein - Credit Suisse Thomas Dinges - JP Morgan Jeff Walkenhorst - Banc of America Securities Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Operator
Hello and welcome to the Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call for Amphenol Corporation. Following today's presentation, there will be a formal question-and-answer session.
[Operator Instructions]. Until then, all lines will remain in a listen-only mode.
At the request of the company today's conference call is being recorded. If anyone has any objections, you may disconnect at this time.
And I would now like to introduce today's conference host, Ms. Diana Reardon.
You may begin.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Thank you. Good afternoon.
My name is Diana Reardon and I am Amphenol's CFO. I am here together with Martin Loeffler, our CEO, and we would like to welcome everyone to our third quarter call.
Third quarter results were released this morning. I will provide some financial commentary on the quarter and Martin will give an overview of the business and current trends.
We will then have a question-and-answer session. The company had a record third quarter exceeding the high end of the company's guidance in both sales and earnings per share.
Sales for the quarter were $734 million, up 15% in U.S. dollars and 13% in local currencies over the third quarter of 2006.
From a sequential standpoint, sales were up 7%, a very strong performance in a quarter that is typically softer from a seasonal standpoint. At the end of the quarter, the company completed the acquisition of a United States manufacturer of interconnect products for the geophysical exploration industry with annual sales of approximately $35 million.
We are excited about the growth potential created by this excellent addition. Breaking down sales into our two major components, the interconnect business which comprised 90% of our sales in the quarter was up 16% compared to last year.
Interconnect sales increased in most of the company's end markets. Our cable business, which comprised 10% of our sales was up 7% from last year as a result of increases in broadband cable television markets.
Operating income for the quarter was strong at a $143 million compared to a $114 million last year excluding from last year's number flood-related charges of about $6 million. Operating margin was 19.5% compared to 18% last year.
The operating margin improvement relates primarily to increased margins in our interconnect business. From a segment standpoint in the cable segment, margins were 12.7%, up 30 basis points from last year.
The margin increase relates primarily to the impact of a higher mix of specialty product and increased production levels in low cost facilities. In the interconnect segment, margins were 21.9% up a 150 basis points from last year.
The increase in operating margins relates both to good operating leverage in the company's core connector business and to margin improvement at TCS, which was acquired in December of 2005. The achievement of these strong margins in the company's interconnect business reflects the company's continued focus on the introduction and growth of higher margin applications specific interconnect solutions combined with a very strong focus on all elements of costs.
Overall, we are pleased with the company's margin achievement. Interest expense for the quarter was $9.4 million compared to $9.3 million last year.
Average debt levels in the quarters were about the same, and the majority of the interest rate exposure is hedged. Other expense was $4.7 million compared to $3.6 million last year.
The increase from last year relates primarily to increases in minority interest expense partially offset by higher interest income. The company's effective tax rate in Q3 was 29.2%.
This lower rate includes both the reduction of prior year tax reserves and a more favorable mix of income from lower tax rate jurisdictions. We now expect the company's effective tax rate to be approximately 30.5% in the fourth quarter, bringing the effective tax rate for the full year 2007 to approximately 30%.
In the third quarter of 2006 and for the full year 2006, the company's effective tax rate was 30.3% and 31.5% respectively. Net income in the quarter was $91 million approximately 12% of sales, an indication of our excellent profitability.
On an industry comparative basis, profitability continues to be very strong. Diluted earnings per share for the quarter was $0.50 per share, up 28% from $0.39 last year excluding the $6 million in flood-related charges from the 2006 results.
Earnings per share as reported in Q3, 2006 was $0.36. During the quarter, we generated a strong cash flow from operations of a $109 million.
This cash flow is after a voluntary contribution of $20 million to the company's U.S. defined benefit plan.
The cash flow from operations along with the $31 million in borrowings under the company's revolving credit facilities and $9 million of proceeds from the exercise of stock options including tax benefits were used for capital expenditures of $25 million, stock buyback of $35 million, acquisition-related expenditures of $32 million primarily relating to the acquisition that I previously mentioned, 2.7 million in dividend payments and an increase in cash of about $54 million. The balance sheet is in good shape.
Accounts receivable, days sales outstanding were 68 days at the end of September compared to 66 days at the end of the year. The translation impact of a weaker dollar added about day to the receivable balance at the end of September.
Inventory days declined to 83 days from 85 days at the end of the year. Our debt balance at the end of the quarter was $717 million compared to $680 million at the end of '06.
The company's leverage and interest coverage ratios remained very strong at 1.3 times and 15 times respectively. EBITDA for the quarter was approximately $117 million and the company had availability under its revolving credit facility of about $280 million at the end of September.
The amount of receivable sold under our receivable securitization program was $85 million at the end of the quarter at the same level as at the end of 2006. Orders for the quarter were $756 million, a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.0321.
Certainly from a financial perspective it was an excellent quarter. Martin will now provide an overview of the business and current trends.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you very much Diana. Welcome and thank you all for joining this conference call at the occasion of our earnings release.
As Diana just mentioned, I will give you some highlights of our achievements in the third quarter, discuss the trends and the progress in our served markets and the comment on the outlook for the fourth quarter and for the full year 2007. First some highlights, we're extremely pleased with the third quarter results.
They were strong in all respects. New records in sales and earnings, we were able to sustain the long-term trend of achieving industry leading growth and profitability.
And we most importantly further strengthened our competitive position across our served markets. This combined with our opportunities that we see in front of us will continue to give us a very positive outlook for the rest of 2007 and as we move into 2008.
Few comments for the sales. Sales increased a strong 15% over prior year.
Obviously currency helped somewhat in that by two points, so in local currency, it was 13% as Diana mentioned. This is a very strong performance in a generally moderate demand environment.
We're very pleased because the growth was very broad based across our end markets as well as our geographic regions in which we do business. The growth was particularly strong in the military and commercial aircraft market and the automotive market and in mobile phones or generally in mobile devices.
We're very pleased especially with our sequential sales increase of 7% from Q... from the record level of Q2 into a seasonally slower quarter Q3.
This is an outstanding performance and just reflects the strength that we have built in the various market segments that we are serving. Most of this growth that we have generated and the majority of this was organic growth.
Diana mentioned that we made a small tuck-in acquisition. It was essentially completed towards the end of the quarter, so the contribution from that acquisition was very minimal to our growth in the third quarter.
But we are very pleased with having added Stewart Enterprises, a Texas-based company to our portfolio in especially... in this for the industrial market.
Stewart Enterprises is a leading supplier to the geophysical exploration market and complements very strongly our already strong position in the oil and gas and power generation markets. It's truly a tuck-in acquisition of the nature that Amphenol likes to see.
It meets all the criteria that we always look for these small acquisitions. First of all, they are very complimentary and add into a marketplace where value-added opportunities are important which generate good margins.
So it's a company that is really not in the mainstream of commodity products. It allows Amphenol to add significant value to essentially locally operating company in Texas with our broad expansion opportunities that we have for that company in the international market.
And most importantly, it adds very fine management, management that has been there as the founders of the business and will continue with us in the future and it is accretive. This was one of the small tuck-in acquisitions that we certainly were working on for some time.
And it's always difficult to convince them entrepreneurs and the founders to want to become part of a larger organization. But I am very pleased to say that our acquisition pipeline continues to expand.
And we are very confident that additional acquisitions will happen over time, as a complement to our strong organic growth. In the quarter, profitability and cash flow also remained strong.
We were able to further expand our leading operating margins to 19.5%. This is an excellent achievement considering that the price down pressure from the customers persists, and in general, costs continue to rise.
However, with our continued strategy to focus on the value-added opportunities in the electronic markets with providing advanced technologies that create value with our customers and certainly with a continued stringent and innovative cost controls, we believe that there is continued opportunity for further margin expansion as we move forward. EPS reached the new record of $0.50 a share, 28% over prior year, which is approximately a rate of growth...
twice the rate of our sales growth. As you all know this is kind of our target that we have over a period of time.
This EPS growth reflects our strong operating leverage in the business. Amphenol remains also a strong generator of cash.
A $109 million in the third quarter is an outstanding achievement and equals almost... essentially exceeds a little bit our net income, which was over 12% in the quarter, which is another indication of the strong financial performance of the company.
This sustained performance of our industry leading growth and profitability, we believe is a direct result of the diversity of our company, in terms of its markets, the very broad customer base that we serve in each of our served markets, that product range that is tailored to each of these markets, and the diverse geography. We have built in each of these markets, a competitive strength that allow us to effectively compete against the set of competitors that we meet in each of these market segments and they are usually not the same.
The results are also a direct result of our close relationships to our customers, as a preferred supplier, that allows us to be involved with the next generation product at an early stage and create value for our customers. Another value creation that drives margins and also growth is our strong emphasis on technology.
We are providing to our customers, and we try to provide always value in form of complete interconnect solutions and advanced technologies that allow and enable our customers to enhance the performance of their own equipments. Another result that we...
why we attribute this performance to is our ongoing programs of cost control, and they go far beyond just looking for low cost labor. It is the look for low cost overhead in general.
It is a look for finding new materials that are lower cost but have better performance in many other areas that we are focusing on. Our global footprint is a true advantage, because it allows us, not only to be very close to the design centers of our customers, but it is also gives us the access to low cost labor and in many instances, access to new emerging markets as well.
70%... over 70% of our labor force, total labor force headcount is now in low cost areas.
And last, not least all of this is driven and managed by a very, very strong entrepreneurial and agile organization and management team. A brief word to the trends and progress in our served markets.
We are very pleased to again be able to achieve a double-digit market in a generally more moderate demand environment as I said earlier. But in some of the market segments we see good demand strength and military and aerospace is one of them.
It represented 19% of our sales in the third quarter. Sales increased a strong 40% over prior year, but when adjusting for the flood the increase is estimated around 21% year-over-year.
This strong growth is certainly a result of a very healthy demand environment on a broad basis both in commercial aircraft as well as on the military side itself. We all have heard about the delay of the Boeing program by another six months.
For us these delays are just a normal life. We know about these delays that come along, whether it's in commercial aircraft or whether it's in military.
But our broad program participation in general in military as well as in commercial aircraft will allow us to have a strong continuation of our growth in 2007 and into 2008. We don't see any major impact coming from that delay.
I mean the delay of six months to the ten-year program before it goes into production is really a minute thing for Amphenol to face. Industrial market represented 12% of our sales in the third quarter, and the sales increased a strong 9% over the prior year.
We continue to benefit from our strategic focus on growth markets in the industrial area. One of them is the oil and gas, and power generation market.
And with the addition of Stewart Enterprises in the geophysical exploration market, we are expanding further our opportunities in this generally, very strong market. The rail mass transit markets as well as the medical instrumentation markets are other markets that have sustained good growth.
And we expect the trend of growth in these markets to continue as more and more electronics is being used in these applications. The automotive market represented 8% of our sales in the third quarter and sales increased a strong 29% over last year.
We all know that most of our automotive business is... resides in Europe, so currency adjusted, the growth in the automotive market was 21%, very strong still especially considering that we are dealing with a seasonally slower quarter in Q3.
The majority of this growth was driven by the introduction of our next generation interconnect product for the electronics used in cars. That includes certainly next generation for safety devices, where we have new customer wins and new platform wins.
They give us a very positive outlook into 2008 with continued strong growth. Now some of the communication and information technology-related market.
First, the broadband communications market over Hybrid Fiber Coax networks represented 10% of our sales. The majority of these sales are comprised of the coaxial cable side of our business.
Sales increased a strong 9% over the prior year. And this is essentially a result of a very healthy demand in a typically strong build period.
We believe that the success of the new broadband services over these networks will continue to drive demand, although we expect in the fourth quarter, and at the beginning of the first quarter a somewhat tapering off of that demand, as we enter a slower build period. The IT and data communication market is a very large segment of Amphenol with 23% of our sales generated in that market.
The sales were relatively flat when compared to a very strong third quarter of 2006. We are pleased however that on a sequential basis the sales in that market were up a strong 4% in end market that it has mix demand patterns and is generally relatively moderate.
However, our new high-speed products are gaining strong momentum, broad acceptance in the marketplace and certainly have excellent prospects for the future, especially as we are now offering to our customers complete interconnect solutions, a complete interconnect system architecture, as we call it, that will drive growth for years to come. Mobile infrastructure market, we had a very strong performance.
It represented 14% of our sales, and sales increased by 8% over prior year. The growth in this generally soft market was essentially driven by our strong performance in emerging markets and by our participation on high growth platform in that market.
Long term the outlook is positive. As the subscriber growth continues, there are increased data and multimedia traffic requirements that drive growth as well.
New IP mobile networks are also encouraging, as we see the development coming, and our increasing participation in the TDS, CDMA market in China, which is essentially dominated by Chinese customers only, no global manufacturers are really participating in that build-out. And we have good opportunities in this market to participate, as we move into 2008.
Last of our market, served market is the mobile device market, which represented in the quarter 14% of our sales. And sales increased a very strong 30% over prior year.
We certainly benefited from a seasonally improved demand environment. But to a larger extent, however, our growth was...
is a result of the successful introduction of our broad spectrum of innovative products across several customers and the number of new platforms. We are very encouraged to continue our growth in this marketplace as it has long term very positive outlook, as mobility continues to grow around the world.
However, we will continue to deal with seasonalities more than in other markets in that segment. In summary, we are extremely pleased with our progress of enhancing our position across our served markets.
And we are confident in the ability of our organization to the trend, the trends that we have right now in our strong performance in terms of growth and profitability. And we believe that we can continue to capitalize on our leading position in the diverse markets, capitalize on our superior technology and capitalize on many new opportunities we have created for ourselves.
On that basis our confidence that, and our position in the marketplace and the demands that we see we have been raising our guidance and outlook substantially for the fourth quarter and for the total year 2007. For the fourth quarter we expect now sales in the range of $740 million to $755 million and EPS in the range of $0.50 to $0.52 a share.
Obviously, this increased guidance is a result of adjusting for the better result of the third quarter and for... a generally stronger outlook for the fourth quarter that compared to what we saw in the middle of the year.
For the full year that means that sales are now guided in the range of $2.814 billion to $2.829 billion and EPS in the range of $1.89 to $1.91 for the full year 2007. We look forward with confidence to close 2007 with a new record for Amphenol, and we are very excited about the future as we prepare for a strong 2008 and a very strong close of 2007.
Thank you very much. And with this I would like to open it for any questions that you may have.
Question And Answer
Operator
Thank you. [Operators instructions].
First question from Mr. Brian White of Jefferies.
Brian White - Jefferies & Co.
Yes good afternoon?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good afternoon.
Brian White - Jefferies & Co.
I am wondering if you could talk a little bit about the December quarter and what markets you expect the greatest strength and the greatest weakness sequentially?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
We... that's a very fine question, thank you very much.
We usually don't forecast by market segment but in general, as I mentioned already here we believe that the military aerospace market will continue to be strong on a year... on a sequential basis.
We believe that the handset market was strong in the third quarter and maybe a little bit seasonally stronger in the third quarter than usually expected. Usually we expect the fourth quarter to be somewhat at that level of strength.
So maybe that is more of a flat situation. So...
and the automotive market we continue to feel that we will have continued strength as we have seen it in this quarter as well. The IT market and the data communication market will just remain as I said somewhat mix and moderate in its demand.
And for the broadband communication market as I said, we believe that it will taper off towards the end of the year in terms of its demand because just of the build cycle.
Brian White - Jefferies & Co.
Okay. And there has been some talk about servers seeing some softness due to financial institutions going through the sub-prime meltdown.
I am wondering, if you have seen any softness in the server area?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I wouldn't say that there is softness in a particular area that is... has a significant impact.
We see fluctuations in that market throughout the year. Some ones are stronger than others, but we haven't seen a general trend that would suggest that there is softness.
Certainly not with the most recent demand that we have seen.
Brian White - Jefferies & Co.
Okay, and just finally the margin profile of the acquisition is at higher or lower than Amphenol?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
The margin is about... I have some opportunity for expanding, but obviously it is very close to what Amphenol is.
Brian White - Jefferies & Co.
Okay, thank you.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes.
Operator
: Next question from Mr. Steven Fox with Merrill Lynch.
Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch
Hi good afternoon.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good afternoon Steve.
Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch
: Couple of questions. First of all, Martin you called out the success you had in the wireless handset, or wireless device area.
You mentioned new products. I was wondering...
and platforms. I was wondering if we can get a couple of examples of what you were talking about?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Oh sure. I am happy to say that we have developed a very state-of-the-art hinge products that has...
which is a sliding hinge phone, which has had very broad acceptance with the major players, and the ramp up was very, very strong for these as these models go in to go out for the holiday season. In addition, a very strong performance in the antenna side of our business, as well as our in our traditional connector side where we have strength.
So it was relatively broad based but really the new products with the hinges some of the antennas, as well as scaled products that we have for SIMs as well as for the new generation of, we call it a bottom entry connectors or system connectors, which are essentially charger connectors which is getting a totally new life with a total new generation of products. We all have heard about the standardization in China that is happening, but other companies are following a total different lead, especially relative to data communication that is required out of these phones nowadays.
Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch
That's great. That's helpful.
And then two other quick questions. This is the second year in a row where the summer quarter has proved to be pretty strong sequentially.
Has anything changed in terms of your customers' ordering patterns, or just within your own business units that would explain it, or is it just a strong quarter?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think the fundamentals haven't changed. I think Europe continues to be a slower season, and we see that from a sequential performance standpoint.
But what is maybe somewhat novel and that is that in the mobile phone business similar like last year, it is a little bit earlier in the season where apparently our customers want to prepare for the holiday season than, rather than having that shift in the fourth quarter. That is the only one that is really visible in terms of its sequential from Q2 to Q3, because the sequential growth was very substantial in the mobile phone segment from Q2 to Q3.
Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch
Okay and then lastly Diana, just looking at your balance sheet, the cash level is a little higher than you guys usually carry. Is there any reason for that?
And should we expect a debt reduction in the next couple of quarters given where the cash is?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Sure, I think that we have actually changed our philosophy relative earlier in 2006... relative to the repatriation of cash from low tax rate areas in order to drive the tax rate down.
So what we are doing now is we are building some cash in countries where we have a tax advantage from doing that, and we expect to execute future acquisitions. And so what you will see down the road is you will see that cash used to do acquisition as an example either in Asia or in Europe.
Steven Fox - Merrill Lynch
Great, thank you.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Sure.
Operator
The next question from Shawn Harrison, Longbow Research.
Shawn Harrison - Longbow Research
Hi. I was hoping we could discuss the raw material environment both on the connector side as well as the coaxial side.
On the connector portion of the business, rapid rise, run up in gold, oil based resin prices recently. Just wondering if there was any consideration of going to distribution and how...
with price increases before the end of the year to help offset some of that?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well obviously that is an area... thank you for the question...
of continued attention throughout the company. Obviously gold is largely used in connector products and the plastic resins and oil based products as well.
So we watch that very carefully and where opportune... we'll certainly take the actions relative to price increases.
And that's just not limited to distribution but that wherever it is appropriate and possible. Obviously there are segments in the market where customers are very...
or suppliers are very hungry for the business where our customers feel that and obviously continue to put a lot of pressure on price. So that goes the other way, but obviously the general environment on raw materials is not a trend downward but it's rising.
Even if you see in aluminum, aluminum some improvement in general, the environment on raw material is still on the rise, as well as it is in wages and salaries around the world. There is inflationary pressure in general.
So we shouldn't just focus on the oil and those increases are having an impact on raw material only. It has certainly on payroll expenses as well.
Shawn Harrison - Longbow Research
Is the increase in raw materials though... have your peers started to look at price increases in the market that you may be able to follow suit to something similar?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I haven't seen any thing of significance across the connector industry that suggests that there is a broad swell of price increases coming along. But we continuously watch it very carefully and we obviously have leading positions in many of our market segments in that such obviously we would take the lead as well.
Shawn Harrison - Longbow Research
Okay. Second question, just has to deal with the good growth in automotive as well as handsets.
The new program win, is that, was that with existing customers? Are you gaining market share with customers that you previously hadn't engaged with before?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well it's actually a combination of both. We have a stronger penetration again in certain of the existing customers with these new products while we just don't have on their replacement business phasing out old products and replacing it by new products but also a broader acceptance across more platforms at these existing customers such as for example Volkswagen where you have not only Volkswagen but Skoda and Audi and others in that whole group.
So there is expansion within the same group if you want. At the same time we have also wins with new customers in especially in Europe with Mercedes and Fiat that are very positive for the future of the company.
Shawn Harrison - Longbow Research
Great. Thank you very much.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes.
Operator
The next question from Carter Shoop, Deutsche Bank.
Carter Shoop - Deutsche Bank
Good afternoon. Wanted to talk a little bit about the complete interconnect system infrastructure.
You hinted that you are starting to gain a little bit of traction there and that was one of the big selling points from making the TCS acquisition. I was hoping for you to maybe quantify some of the recent wins, some of the traction, and how that complete system offering is going to enable you guys to continue to gain share in that market?
: Martin H. Loeffler: Now that's a very good question.
Very broad question. Then we would have to go into lot of details.
But the general jest is that when you can at an early stage sit down with the engineering group of a customer and really talk not only about a segment of the interconnect that is being used but about the whole build-up material it has tremendous advantages for the customer, because it reduces their costs. And as such we are pursuing that with the customers very heavily without going into the details where we have these particular wins, because some of those are in discussions at that point in time.
It wouldn't be opportune to talk about this publicly. But it's very broad base I can say, broad base demand, broad array of customers especially in the IT segment, and communication, data communications, as well as mobile communications market.
Mobile communication, I mean mobile infrastructure. It is clearly visible to us that there is an appetite of the customers to have a supplier, who can provide that value to them in form of an integrated solution.
It truly provides value, because it reduces their costs, but certainly has a potential margin opportunity for Amphenol at the same time. Now the same is actually happening in the military side as well through our integration of the printed circuit boards, the rigid boards, rigid flex, as well as the flex print circuits together with all the components they go along into an equipment is just really a significant advantage to gain market position also in the military segment on a broader base.
Carter Shoop - Deutsche Bank
Great. That is very helpful.
Second question is about the acquisition outlook. You mentioned how it sounds like it's becoming a little bit more favorable.
Can you talk about the recent credit crunch and how that might be enabling a few of your potential targets to actually become more excited about joining the Amphenol team?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well there are a lot of companies that are out there of the medium size, or smaller size that we are looking that would be excited to be a part of Amphenol. And the prices they have really nothing...
that was no impact from the credit crunch on those customers, on those companies. The private equity firms usually haven't really participated in these smaller companies.
As far as the larger ones are concerned, we continue to have appetite for those. It's not just that we are looking for these smaller tuck-in companies but...
and bolt-on companies, but also for larger ones that may become available. But usually that is through an auction and not just through a relationship building like we have it with the smaller companies.
So what we are focused on right now is these smaller companies, the pipeline is good. And obviously we are putting some of the money into Asia and in Europe not just because it helps us in the tax rate because we see a good pipeline of opportunities in those marketplaces to further add companies that are complementary and have the characteristics that we would like to see.
At the same time if a bigger one comes along obviously, we would very, very much look at them with great interest.
Carter Shoop - Deutsche Bank
Great, thank you. : Martin H.
Loeffler: Thank you.
Operator
: The next question from Yuri Krapivin [Lehman Brothers].
Yuri Krapivin - Lehman Brothers
Good afternoon. : Martin H.
Loeffler: Good afternoon.
Yuri Krapivin - Lehman Brothers
Martin, question regarding the organic growth rate. Obviously you have been delivering a very solid double digit organic growth rate to this year despite uncertain macro environment, and mixed trends in certain end markets.
Now how confident are you in Amphenol's ability to sustain double-digit growth in '08 I mean organic double-digit growth?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well obviously that's something that we are working very diligently. And one work that helps us to do this is create a better platform for growth and that is something that we have done throughout this year and over the last 10 years.
We have gained positions in each of the markets that we are at... that we serve.
We have created a better competitive position there and competitive advantages in each of these markets through our product portfolio through creating and expanding our customer base in each of these markets. So with that in mind that gives us the flexibility.
The diversity that we have in each of this market is certainly contributing to opportunity for further growth because we know from experience in all of the markets that it's in, there is not always one or two winners in that market. And with the more you are able to participate on a broad basis you can growth with one even if the other one doesn't do so well at that point in time.
So that is certainly one element that is very, very important that that is continue to work on the diversification of our customer base and the markets that we serve as a growth. And in addition the technology is advancing and as the technology of our customers is advancing they want new interconnect solutions to support their higher performing equipment.
And this is where we put a lot of emphasis and this is another area where we have a lot of confidence that we have to offer to our customers more than the majority of our competitors. And there is such...
we feel again confident that we can grow faster than the markets at least at the two times the rate that we always have. So I am certainly not sitting here and have a crystal ball and knowing what 2008 growth rate will be for the connector industry.
There are analysts... and connector analysts who have some predictions on this.
But what we believe is that we certainly can grow faster than the industry and we certainly target, and continue to target twice the rate.
Yuri Krapivin - Lehman Brothers
Okay. Thank you, Martin.
And my second question relates to backplane connectors. Recently Tyco Electronics and Molex signed second source agreement in the area of backplane connectors.
So, that agreement covers Tyco Electronics m-plugs [ph] product line and... I am sorry, Z-PACK line and Molex's input line.
In your opinion, is it just sort of standard industry arrangement because customers are required double sourcing or is intentions here to compete more aggressively against the TCS product line?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
As you know Molex has been for a long time and it continues to be a partner with Amphenol on backplane products. On that next generation product, obviously, Molex has a product and it is our intention with second sourcing, always in this areas, specially in this area, that a customer...
that a second source supports the total product line and doesn't just have a cross license. So you can either offer this product or another offer, because which one do you really offer.
We want to make sure that in our second sourcing and customers require second sourcing, we have a second source that totally supports a product line and one product line, and that's certainly something that we are continuing to pursue. That was our path strategy, a very successful strategy, gave the market leadership and that is continues to be the...
our position in the future. We feel very strongly about the position of our backplane products that is already in the marketplace, that is...
performs better than any other product that is in the market today in terms of its electrical performance. And we feel very strongly that the positions that we are gaining, which I alluded to earlier you know are significantly ahead of anybody else at that point in time.
And we feel very confident that we have strong market position and continued strong leadership in the backplane arena in the future. : Martin H.
Loeffler: Hello.
Yuri Krapivin - Lehman Brothers
Yes thank you, Martin. : Martin H.
Loeffler: I am sorry. I...
We were, I thought we were cut off, yes.
Operator
: And the next question from Mr. Will Stein, Credit Suisse.
William Stein - Credit Suisse
Thanks for taking my call. We saw a very strong top line growth this quarter.
I would like to turn to the margin for a second though. I am wondering why gross margin was down sequentially and whether there was a nice 10 basis points increase in op margins.
I've had some questions from investors, as to why perhaps it wasn't a little bit more given a very positive top line growth? : Martin H.
Loeffler: Go ahead Diana.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
I think that the total conversion margin in the quarter, and the margin improvement in the quarter, I am talking about operating margin now which is really the way that we manage the business to maximize operating income margin. We saw it was very good and quite strong.
In terms of the mix of gross margin and SG&A in the quarter... just to start perhaps from an SG&A standpoint we certainly apply the same discipline to SG&A spending that we do to capital investing and any other use of cash.
And I think there our velocity on SG&A, which includes the movement of quite a bit of the SG&A function to low cost regions has helped us to kind of move that SG&A cost down, as a percentage of sales over the last couple of years as we've had this strong top line growth. And that's something that we will continue to work on to drive those costs down.
From a margin standpoint depending upon the mix of sales by market in the quarter, depending upon from a seasonality standpoint in the summer, as an example, we have quite a number of our factories that have a lot more vacation time, and so forth. And so sometimes you will get some movement from a margin standpoint in one particular quarter, but we really...
the measure from a report card standpoint that operating income can version and we are quite pleased with that in the quarter.
William Stein - Credit Suisse
Is it fair to say it's also related perhaps to the mix in the cable versus connectors? I noticed that in the cable segment sales were up about 6% sequentially I think, but op margins were flat.
Was the hit... or not hit...
was the let's say the lack of margin expansion there owing to gross margin?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
The cable segment is really relatively small. So I don't think that had so much of an impact.
But as an example, the foreign exchange translation can have an impact also on mix, because not all of our units are at the average. And so there are many things during the quarter, mix of sales by market to foreign currency translation, and so forth that can have some slight shift in terms of the pieces.
We focus our people on the operating income line, because at the end of the day, if you want that dollar of operating income from that dollar of the incremental sales and whether you spend it on the gross margin line or you spend it on the SG&A line, it still gets spent. And when we look at our operating income performance, this is very, very strong.
So there is no I think issue out there relative from a margin trend standpoint that anybody needs to worry about.
William Stein - Credit Suisse
Very good, just one other with regard to the margins. Diana, you have mentioned kind of a target of 25% contribution margin on new product, which suggests that maybe you get there asymptotically over time.
Is that something that is potentially out there a couple of years away, or is that a more theoretical kind of very long term target?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Yes, I think as you know we don't so much like to predict our levels in the future. I think that we...
our first goal is to get the 20% return on sales. We also talked about this 25% conversion margin goal, where we want at least $0.25 on the dollar for each dollar of incremental sales.
And we continue to drive the company in that direction, that causes margin expansion as we implement all of these strategies that help us to achieve those goals, and we still continue to feel that that margin expansion in the business for all the reasons that Martin mentioned, I think in his prepared statements, we still feel that that opportunity exists in the business.
William Stein - Credit Suisse
Great, and then just a housekeeping question. Estimated tax rate for next year?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Yes, we haven't given the tax rate estimate for next year yet. In the fourth quarter we talked about a 30.5% rate that gives...
brings us to about 30% for this year. I mean at this point, I wouldn't expect the rate to go up, but when we give guidance for 2008, we will certainly talk about the tax rate at that time.
William Stein - Credit Suisse
Thanks very much..
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you.
Operator
The next question from Tom Dinges of JP Morgan.
Thomas Dinges - JP Morgan
Hi, good afternoon guys.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good afternoon.
Thomas Dinges - JP Morgan
One for you Martin. I wanted to just ask a question on top of one of your statements where you talked about the pricing environment.
It's still pretty challenging. And maybe can you just characterize it in two ways.
How much of the pricing environment is challenging because as you have also alluded to, lots of competitors in different areas and there does seem to be somebody always in some areas that you are in who will do something a little bit that are lower price than yourself. And how much of it is just kind of the customers themselves maybe taking advantage of some of these headlines that are out there, about things perhaps being a little bit softer next year and using that to try and get a little bit of leverage with their supply base?
And then I have a quick follow up for you.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes, well thank you very much. Obviously that pricing question is obviously in our minds and in minds of our whole organization.
The situation is simple in that way that in general in the areas where there is a high pressure on the side of our customers to reduce the costs of their equipment no matter what the environment is they will continue to come and look for somewhat less costly solutions. That's both a challenge and an opportunity.
Because if they want new solutions with higher performance we can develop a product that has essentially that specification, and we can develop it to have high margins as an application specific solution. If they stay with the product for a longer period of time and competition is there obviously becomes more of a standard product and there you have some price pressure.
And in those areas it is essentially in information technology in the mobile, mobile infrastructure and mobile device market where we see that kind of situation stronger than in the other areas like the industrial markets. The automotive market as well has some pricing.
They're very astute, having two competitors in play, one against the other in our opinion. But nevertheless the industrial and military and commercial aircraft markets are different from these other markets in terms of pricing situation.
Just simply because they are less standard interfaces number one; and it's a different kind of competition. Competition tries to maximize their profitability in those areas more than in the other areas.
Thomas Dinges - JP Morgan
Okay. And then you also mentioned that better than 70% of headcount now is in low cost countries.
You made an acquisition of a U.S. based company and you talked a bit about some of the...
perhaps some larger acquisitions that you guys are open to. Is that metric there in terms of having better than 70%...
is that kind of a minimum threshold that you would like to see in the size of a larger acquisition in terms of... do you really automatically want to see that they have already kind of lowered a little bit of their cost structure with that low cost headcount?
Or does that really matter at all when you are looking at something larger in size than perhaps what you've been buying over the year or so?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Not a prerequisite that they are already actually, we could create a tremendous opportunity, if they are not there because we have the presence there. We know how to do business there and can get them quickly to this.
And they would add to margin expansion because most of those companies that are just in high cost areas usually don't have the same margin except if they serve a regional market like this Stewart Enterprises serves a regional market at this point in time and has good margins. But there's opportunity now for international expansion for them.
There is no threshold relative to this. It depends really on the mix of markets that you are involved whether they are more regional in character where customers really insist to have it locally.
I mean, there are automotive customers for example, that insist that you produce in Germany. They wouldn't accept it in the Czech Republic like many of the other automobile manufacturers do.
They say you have to have automation in the high cost area and be willing to somehow work with you but we want it locally and want to have the control right in the same country. So it depends on the mix in the markets where in how many people are outside or in the low cost area on that.
Thomas Dinges - JP Morgan
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Your next question from Mr. Jeff Walkenhorst, Banc of America.
Jeff Walkenhorst - Banc of America Securities
Hi good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question.
This is the seventh quarter where Amphenol had delivered upside on EPS line which is certainly like investors like to see. I am wondering kind of what really has changed over the last year where we have seen...
where has the upside come from, where you have been surprised? We know military has accelerated and strategic many happening there, and aerospace is good.
But really any wins of new program but what has changed kind of to really to push the numbers somewhat higher in the last few quarters and does that mean that the bar should be set a little bit higher as you look forward?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well I think we have a record that goes far beyond the year... a few quarters we have, ten years of substantial increase in terms of sales in terms of our operating income and operating performance in EPS, a strong record that is really goes over 3 cycles in the business up and down and up again.
So I wouldn't want to limit it just to this quarter that we have outperformed. And there were no surprises.
We are a very conservative company even if we are aggressive in our performance targets and how we look at things we are very conservative. We have a conservative balance sheet, we are conservative in our outlook.
It is not always a very clear to predict whether from a seasonality standpoint in a given quarter, mobile phones would be stronger or not or whether certain customers in the military business grow exactly or for that piece of equipment that could have a more significant impact in terms of growth and so forth. So we like to look at this in a conservative standpoint, things that truly can be realized and delivered.
And obviously it manages from a top line and the bottom line side in most aggressive way that we can, but at the same time remain prudent in both in our outlook, prudent in our investment strategy, prudent in what the company in general is doing.
Jeff Walkenhorst - Banc of America Securities
Okay that's helpful. There's another way maybe to look at the question, we'll think about it is do you feel more confident today based on the new programs and maybe improvement at TCS, some of the acquisitions that you see out there relative to year ago?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Obviously a year ago there was really some uncertainty of what the market would do in general. In the meantime we have grown about...
added to our business $350 million. So we'll have by the end of the year which is a substantial medium size company that we have added through organic growth.
What that really means is that we haven't just added revenues, we have added customers, we have added positions of build-up materials. We have added products that drive us into the future.
And that gives you some confidence that you have the ability to continue to a very strong trend into the future. So establishing a stronger platform as I like to call it for growth is certainly a confidence booster as you look into the future.
But we remain certainly prudent relative to what the electronic market is giving and I think as a matter of our strategy we work in good times and we right now feel that even if this is a moderate climate it's still a demand environment which is supported from positive. We like to manage our company very lean, ready for any eventuality that comes.
We want to remain very agile to be able to react to whatever changes we see in the individual marketplaces or in the electronic industry as a whole.
Jeff Walkenhorst - Banc of America Securities
Okay. Thanks, one last follow you if I may.
The commercial aerospace, well and military segment has been growing about 20% year-on-year I think the last two quarters. And the White House has been asking for about $190 billion which is a big increase over President Bush has asked for earlier this year.
Do you think it's possible? And I think these programs have a lot of bipartisan support, do you think it's possible that Amphenol could even see accelerating growth in 2008 for that segment?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Right now I think you know a 20% growth is a very, very healthy growth and obviously all of this spending will depend where the spending goes. Does it go into the procurement of the equipment or does it go in spending of payroll or whatever troops deployment and so forth?
I mean there are so many areas where money can be spent that is not as easily predictable for us. But we see however at this point in time very strong accelerated program especially on the upgrade of ground vehicles that have bomb detecting equipment and so forth.
That we are not going just to have one cop that the other being bombed then exploded in Iraq for example but they have preventive measures so there are accelerated programs right know to drive growth higher whether that kind of particular situation will continue time will see. But we will...
we are very confident that growth will remain strong in that segment.
Jeff Walkenhorst - Banc of America Securities
Okay, very good. Good luck guys.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. I think we have maybe two more questions
Operator
Very good you have two questions in queue. Amit Daryanani, your line is open.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Thanks a lot. Good afternoon guys.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Hi.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good afternoon.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Just a question on the handset segment, you guys are purely seeing a very good sell-through through the both season in Q3. I am just curious do you get a sense of the slowdown or the deceleration we see in Q4 and Q1 would be a little bit more pronounced this time around than the years past?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
If I would know how many phones, I am sorry for that answer but how many phones subscribers and consumers are going to use? I would love to know about as well.
But right know with the new programs that we are involved in, with the broad customer base and many models that we are involved with these new products I think we are able to moderate any very significant declines through the fourth quarter and as we move into the first quarter like we have been able to do in the past. So it may be as pronounced if it comes because of really gaining position in some of these areas and of models where we have confidence that they will be sold.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Fair enough. And then just a question on the Stewart acquisition.
Could you just talk what the revenue growth dynamics are for that company? And also just to clarify you are buying the used in [ph] connector division of Stewart cable as well
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Take the second question Martin.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
The first question is a revenue profile, as Diana has mentioned earlier is about $35 million of annual sales.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Is that the '06 number by the way?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Pardon me?
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
That's the 2006 number. Right?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Just a rough number.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
A rough annual number for...
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
The annual sales.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
All right. And then Martin.
Just a question here up. Historically you have spoken about Amphenol achieving 1.5 to 2 times connector market growth.
I think on today's call, you have spoken about getting to about two times connector market growth in 2008. So I am just wondering what's giving you the confidence to get to that high end of that run rate?
Are you seeing better market share gains? Or is there some acquisitions that are pretty closer to finish line that give you confidence?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No, I think we usually do not talk in this growth rate. We are adding in acquisitions but, obviously, if we look at 1.5 to 2 times, I right now feel that we have good organic growth.
We have accelerated, to be able to accelerate our organic growth over the past, which is a good sign, because it really means that the acquisitions are complimentary. And the main driver is the organic growth.
I mean, a few years ago, there was a question, can you not organically grow faster? I think we have proven very strongly that we have strong organic growth and with the positions that we have, as I mentioned earlier, we are very confident to continue to grow.
Obviously we also see a pipeline of these tuck-in acquisitions that could help to achieve, or exceed the top... the two times, as I mentioned earlier.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Got it. And then just Diana a quick question for you.
Inventory was up about $21 million sequentially.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Yes.
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
How much of that was because of the Stewart acquisition?
Diana G. Reardon - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
It would only be a few million dollars. There was in the quarter because of the way the dollar moved.
It got weaker, as the quarter along, so the foreign currency impact on the balance sheet was a little bit bigger than this quarter than we have seen in the past, but even with all that the inventory growth was less than the sequential sales growth. So we think the inventory performance was not too bad in the quarter that Q4 tends to be sequentially up, so we do tend that have some advance in terms of anticipation for Q4 also.
Amit Daryanani - RBC Capital Markets
Fair enough. Thanks a lot guys.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
: Thank you.
Operator
: Your final question is from Jim Suva of Citigroup. : Jim Suva: Citigroup: Thank you and congratulations everyone.
Martin earlier you mentioned about the acquisition pipeline was very strong. And I remember a couple of quarters ago, we had talked about China has seen to be little bit more regulatory paper work, or timeline.
Can you update us? Does that make it, so you're a little bit less opting for China?
Or is it just more of a process to take longer, because it seems like you are definitely setting aside some cash in that area?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
: I couldn't have expressed it better than you. It's more of a process than our appetite.
And clearly we are looking at opportunities in that country but not in that country obviously Asia is big. We are just opening and that has nothing to do with the acquisitions, but a third facility in India, because we see continued significant expansion.
We are exploring a new low cost areas outside of China, as well not to be only dependent on this. And we are moving more and more towards west of China where the total cost and labor pool, and skilled people are more readily available than in the East of China.
So there is a lot going on to in that area, and that includes obviously acquisition targets as well. : Jim Suva: And your pipeline versus a six months or twelve months ago.
Has it been stably strong or increasing, or how should we think about that from a comparative [ph]?
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
: You should think about that in my opinion that the discussions that are taking place with companies are firming up as opposed to being targets, so loose discussions and conviction going on. It's more of...
more intense discussions that are taking place. So what I am saying the pipeline is strong means nothing else that it's more solid in terms of the discussions than 6 months ago : Jim Suva: Great.
Thank you and congratulations everyone.
Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
: Thank you very much, and thank you all for your interest in Amphenol, and we look forward to talking with you soon. Thank you.
Good bye.
Operator
Thank you for attending today's conference and have a nice day. Thank you.