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Q3 2014 · Earnings Call Transcript

Oct 8, 2014

Executives

Mélanie Hennessey - Vice President, Corporate Communications Greg Lang - President and CEO David Ottewell - Vice President and CFO

Analysts

John Bridges - J.P. Morgan Eliot Glazer - W.M.

Smith Company

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the NovaGold’s Third Quarter 2014 Conference Call and Webcast.

My name is Phillip, and I’ll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode.

Later, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Mrs. Mélanie Hennessey, Vice President, Corporate Communications.

Please proceed.

Mélanie Hennessey

Thank you, Phillip. Good morning, everyone.

We’re really pleased that you’ve joined NovaGold’s third quarter call, where we will be speaking to our results and providing updates on the development of the Donlin Gold and Galore Creek projects. On today’s call, we have Greg Lang, NovaGold’s President and CEO; and David Ottewell, NovaGold’s Vice President and CFO.

At the end of the formal part of the presentation, we will take question both by phone and by e-mail. Before we get started, I would like to remind our listeners that any statements made today by the management team may contain forward-looking information such as projections and goals, which are likely to involve risks detailed in our various EDGAR and SEDAR filings, and in various forward-looking disclaimers included in the third quarter release and in this presentation.

With that, I have the great pleasure of introducing Greg Lang, NovaGold’s President and CEO. Greg?

Greg Lang

Thank you, Mélanie. Good morning.

And thank you for joining us on our third quarter call. For those who are new to NovaGold, we are a development stage company that has two great assets in North America, which are highlighted on slide four.

Our 50%-owned flagship asset, Donlin Gold is well into permitting and it’s poised to become one of the largest producers in the gold industry. Galore Creek which is held in 50% partnership with Teck is expected to be the largest and lowest cost copper mine in Canada.

The next slide provides an overview of our third quarter project activities. At Donlin Gold the key focus was on permitting, which progressed with the submission of the outstanding data to the Corps of Engineers that was needed to complete the preliminary draft EIS.

The draft EIS continues to be on schedule to be released to the public for comments in 2015. Earlier in the quarter, an updated long-term Surface Use Agreement was signed by Donlin Gold and TKC.

Thereby extending Donlin Gold like to use the surface land owned by TKC. This agreement was extended to coincide with the terms of the exploration and mining lease with the Calista Corporation.

This agreement represents an important milestone in the advancement of Donlin Gold towards development and future production. Beyond permitting and extending partnership agreements, NovaGold announced its commitment to invest in the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation's Alaska Wildlife Fund with conservation initiatives to protect, conserve and restore habitat in Alaska.

Many of the proposed projects are locally led efforts which will be conducted in the Yukon-Kuskokwim region where the Donlin project is located. The focus this year at Galore Creek is to incorporate the drilling results from the 2012 and 2013 programs, including the discovery of the Legacy zone, into a new mine model and advanced mine planning and project design.

As a follow-up to the workshops conducted in the second quarter, activities in the third quarter focused on optimization scenarios for mining, waste development and water management. With those highlights, I will now turn it over to Dave Ottewell, our CFO.

Dave Ottewell

Thank you, Greg. Turning to slide 6, third quarter spending at our projects remain on track for the budget for the full year.

As Greg discussed, activities at Donlin Gold are focused on the Draft EIS, permitting and community engagement in the region. While at Galore Creek, technical studies to advance the project are underway.

Our share of project cash funding year-to-date was $11.3 million, with $9.4 million at Donlin Gold and $1.9 million at Galore Creek. We are right on track at 75% of our total expected project expenditures for the year.

Slide 7 highlights our operating performance in the third quarter. Our operating expenses continued to decline.

We are focused on reducing general and administrative expenses as well as cost at our projects. Our third quarter operating loss of $10.7 million was 32% lower and the first nine-month loss of $30.4 million was 29% lower than the prior year periods.

We have realized savings in office costs, professional fees and our program at Galore Creek is significantly reduced this year. Looking at our cash flow on slide 8, cash decreased by $0.5 million in the third quarter and $10.4 million for the first nine months.

Term deposits decreased by $5 million in the quarter and $10 million year-to-date. At the end of the third quarter, we had cash and term deposits totaling $170.8 million, a reduction of $20.5 million from the beginning of the year and on track for our full year estimate of $30 million in spending.

So far this year, we used $11.3 million to fund Donlin Gold and Galore Creek and $8.9 million for administrative costs, with interest and other working capital changes making up the remainder. We are in great financial position to advance Donlin Gold through permitting, support ongoing activities at Galore Creek and repay the remaining $15.8 million of convertible notes in May next year.

Greg, I will now pass it back to you.

Greg Lang

Thank you, Dave. With permitting past the halfway mark as well as on schedule and budget, the opportunity to make a construction decision will come quickly.

As shown on the diagram on slide 9, in the context of the Donlin Gold mine life, which is measured in decades with exceptional potential for growth, the current investment in time and resources required for permitting is relatively small. Activities in the third quarter were mainly focused on the preliminary draft environmental impact study.

Outstanding environmental baseline data and analysis required to complete the draft were compiled and provided to the Corps of Engineers. Once complete, the agencies will review the preliminary Draft EIS and provide input which will then be considered and incorporated by the Corps into the final draft EIS.

The Draft EIS is expected be issued for public comment in 2015. The EIS is in a large part the determining factor in the overall permitting timeline for Donlin.

Donlin Gold continues to work simultaneously with the other agencies on additional major permit applications such as air quality, water discharge and usage, gas pipeline, rights of way and dam safety. Tremendous amount of effort goes into permitting a large asset such as Donlin Gold.

These achievements to-date are a testament to professionalism and hard work from our group. We’re proud of the progress we've made so far.

As we progress through permitting and get closer to a construction decision, the Donlin Gold project owners are looking at ways to optimize the project by evaluating development scenarios and capital cost sharing opportunities such as third-party owner-operators for the gas pipeline, power plant and port facilities. Prior to making the construction decision, we expect to update the capital and operating costs, input parameters and underlying assumptions that were used in the Feasibility Study that was published three years ago.

The next chart on slide 11 demonstrates the importance of being halfway through permitting, especially when the timeline to bring on new discoveries to production has more than doubled over the last 30 years. Between 1985 and 1995, it took eight years on average to bring new mines from discovery to production.

From 1996 to 2005, it took 11 years that’s jumped to 18 years in the last couple years. This imposed on this backdrop of projects being canceled or shelved and lack of new discoveries further reinforces the need for high-quality projects like Donlin.

Beyond permitting is shown on slide 12. NovaGold has been active over the last quarter in community outreach activities in collaboration with our subsidiaries, Donlin Gold and Galore Creek Mining Company.

We are engaged in forming partnerships, sponsoring activities at the community level, supporting local youth in leadership endeavors and visiting the communities in the regions where our projects are located. Year-to-date the Donlin Gold team has visited 26 villages and fishing camps in the Y-K region.

During the visits, project updates are given to the communities in English and Yup’ik. In some instances, the teams went to school to speak with students about education, training and future employment opportunities.

Donlin Gold’s annual visit to the fish camps are part of a partnership with the State of Alaska and Yukon-Kuskokwim Health Corporation in the Kids Don’t Float Campaign. This is a good opportunity to raise safety awareness in the region.

At Galore Creek, we remain active in the community, sponsoring local fundraising events, supporting the Tahltan literacy camps, as well as providing assistance and funding for research on the Tahltan language dictionary. The current challenging market conditions have not changed our conviction or thesis.

We've executed on our stated strategy over the last three years and remain steadfast in our focus to permit Donlin Gold and bring the project up the value chain as shown on slide 13. By reducing expenditures over this time period and safeguarding our cash position, we are able to continue our current activities and if needed, proceeded or reduced expenditure level for many, many years while we wait for markets to improve.

We continue to evaluate opportunities to sell all or part of our interest in the Galore Creek project to further strengthen our cash position and contribute to the funding of Donlin Gold. As David mentioned earlier, our share of expenditures at Galore Creek are very modest to maintain our 50% interest.

About these will be familiar to many of you, we wanted to review the attributes which sets Donlin Gold apart, especially in a time when quality assets are scarce. With approximately 40 million excess of resources, Donlin Gold has a size with the mine life measured in decade.

Beyond size, when compared to the largest gold producers on slide 15, Donlin’s grade is at the top of the list. This is not to beat October, especially in the context of challenges facing the precious metals industry as reserve grades continue to decline and sources for new production to replace mine-out capacity are becoming increasingly scarce.

When looking at the gold industry’s open-pit mines, today’s average grade is below a gram. Donlin’s grade of 2.2 grams was where the industry was over 10 years ago.

The bar chart on slide 16 provides a comparison of Donlin Gold’s leading production output of more than 1 million ounces of gold annually, the largest development stage gold deposit. Another attribute of Donlin is its tremendous exploration potential.

The future mine as shown on slide 17 will be only three kilometers within an eight-kilometer gold bearing system. Exploration targets are found all along this structure north of the pit.

Many targets close to the fifth floor of walls would be mine with very little changes. One last attribute we wanted to highlight is the cash cost structure of the Donlin Gold project with all-in sustaining cost of $735 an ounce, its well below the industry average of about $1000 an ounce.

Beyond the extended timeline require to bring assets to production, the next chart on slide 19 clearly shows that large quality deposits are getting harder to find and production is heading for a steep cliff. We will soon see a supply/demand disequilibrium.

The number of gold deposits over the last 16 years has declined. During the 1990s on average they were at least 7 new gold deposits every year, 5 million ounces or bigger.

In fact, 2012 was the first year with no discoveries in more than two decades in spite of the highest exploration spending on record. If we don’t find these major deposits, we can’t grow, let alone sustained production levels.

In closing, the company is well financed to continue permitting at Donlin Gold and complete the technical work on Galore Creek. We remain determined and committed to bringing the Donlin Gold project up the value chain and will not let fluctuations in the market deter us from achieving this goal.

Donlin Gold will be one of the few projects that will be shovel-ready in just a few years. Our team has executed on our stated strategy over the last three years with rigorous alignment with all of our stakeholders.

We continue on the path of forward derisking our assets while enhancing their value. Operator, we’ll now open the line to questions.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And our first question comes from line of John Bridges with J.P. Morgan.

John Bridges - J.P. Morgan

Morning, Greg, everybody. Just wondered, you talk about the trough of the industries, is that turning into improved expectations for capital costs?

Just wondered where you could find some savings to bring down that earlier capital cost?

Greg Lang

Good morning, John and thank you for your interest. Since the feasibility study was completed about three years ago, a lot of the inputs into large scale projects have moved in our favor.

Heavy equipment, structural steel, copper prices, labor, all of the big inputs into projects like ours have -- we think improved in the last couple of years. So as we get closer to construction decision, we’ll refresh all of the assumptions that went into the capital and operating cost estimates.

John Bridges - J.P. Morgan

Okay. And then as a follow-up, you bumped up the size of that pipeline to I think, 12 inches.

I just wonder to what extent would that support and expansion of the project at some future date or allow you to make lot more friends with third parties in the vicinity by helping them with more reliable power than diesel where they can fly or drive in?

Greg Lang

John, that’s correct. The original study envisioned to 12-inch pipeline but that was -- it's a very modest investment to increase that to 14 inches.

So the pipeline at 14 inches would have more than adequate capacity to provide fuel to other customers or ultimately provide more fuel to the Donlin project. And as we’re getting closer to permitting, there is a lot more interest in the infrastructure by third parties and the owners of Donlin will evaluate that interest in the coming years.

John Bridges - J.P. Morgan

Okay. Great.

I stand corrected on the size of your pipe but anyway it’s great to hear you in the seventh innings of listening and best of luck.

Greg Lang

Thank you, John.

Operator

(Operator Instructions)

Mélanie Hennessey

So we have, Operator, a call coming on line. I mean, a question coming, which I will read out.

With the expected engineering and construction of the Donlin mine only a few years out now, how are the costs of construction expected to be met by NovaGold throughout development?

David Ottewell

Sure, I’ll take that one. It will be a mixture of debt equity project financing and we think it will be a different world in a few years when -- with the time we move on.

We do have $171 million approximately in funds right now which is more than enough to take us through permitting and get started on engineering.

Greg Lang

All right.

Mélanie Hennessey

Operator, any question.

Operator

Yes, we actually, do have one question coming from the line of Eliot Glazer with W.M. Smith Company.

Please proceed

Eliot Glazer - W.M. Smith Company

Yes. If you’re in seventh inning, does that mean that you’ll be ready for construction decision when, early 2016, late 2016 or late 2015?

David Ottewell

Well, we anticipate that the EIS will be done around the end of 2016.

Eliot Glazer - W.M. Smith Company

End of 2016?

David Ottewell

Yes. Excuse me, I miss spoke end of -- yes, end of 2016, we expect to have the permits in place.

At that stage, the owners can make a decision on proceeding with construction or deferring that. And I’m sure lot of that will depend on gold market conditions at the time.

Eliot Glazer - W.M. Smith Company

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

All right. At this point, we have no further question in the audio queue.

So I will now turn the call back over to Greg Lang for closing remarks.

Greg Lang

Hi everyone. Thank you for your interest in the company.

Good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today’s conference call. Thank you all for your participation and you may all now disconnect.

Have a wonderful day.

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