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Q3 2021 · Earnings Call Transcript

Oct 25, 2021

Disclaimer*

This transcript is designed to be used alongside the freely available audio recording on this page. Timestamps within the transcript are designed to help you navigate the audio should the corresponding text be unclear.

The machine-assisted output provided is partly edited and is designed as a guide.:

Operator

00:07 Good afternoon. My name is Emma, and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise.

After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] 00:32 Mr.

Gafford, you may now begin your conference.

Derrek Gafford

00:42 Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for joining today’s call. I’m joined by our Chief Executive Officer, Patrick Beharelle.

00:49 Before we begin, I want to remind everyone that today’s call and slide presentation contain forward-looking statements, all of which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties, some of which are described in today’s press release and in our SEC filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements.

01:16 We use non-GAAP measures when presenting our financial results. We encourage you to review the non-GAAP reconciliations in today’s earnings release, or at trueblue.com under the Investor Relations section, for complete understanding of these terms and their purpose.

01:32 Any comparisons made today are based on a comparison to the same period in the prior year, unless otherwise stated. Lastly, we will be providing a copy of our prepared remarks on our website at the conclusion of today’s call, and a full transcript and audio replay will also be available soon after the call.

01:53 With that, I’ll turn the call over to Patrick.

Patrick Beharelle

01:56 Thank you, Derrek and welcome everyone to today’s call. I am pleased to report, our strong revenue momentum from earlier in the year carried into the third quarter.

Third quarter revenue was five hundred and seventy seven million dollars, an increase of twenty two percent compared to the third quarter of the prior year. 02:14 Growth was driven by businesses of all types turning to flexible workforce solutions as they grapple with worker supply challenges and a variety of uncertainties related to the COVID business environment.

This dynamic combined with new client wins helped us deliver net income of nineteen million dollars in the third quarter versus nine million dollars in the third quarter of the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was up eleven million dollars year-over-year with corresponding margin up one hundred and thirty basis points. 02:44 Before turning to our segments, I want to provide an update on the pace of our recovery and thoughts on key topics impacting our business.

First, we are excited third quarter revenue for PeopleScout, our highest margin business, surpassed pre-pandemic levels, up nine percent versus Q3 twenty nineteen. Volume across most industries are increasing due to high employee turnover, which is leading to an acceleration in demand from existing clients and new demand from first-time RPO adopters.

03:16 Our hardest hit market, travel and leisure was up three hundred and eight percent during the quarter, and new business wins were up two hundred and seventeen percent year-to-date with annualized revenue of thirty eight million dollars. At PeopleManagement, revenue was down only one percent versus Q3 twenty nineteen.

New business wins continue to be strong for this segment, which had twenty two million dollars of new wins in August, bringing the annualized total to eighty six million dollars or up thirty four percent year-to-date. 03:49 Revenue for PeopleReady was down sixteen percent versus Q3 twenty nineteen.

PeopleReady has been negatively impacted by the worker supply shortage, which I will address momentarily, and increased COVID cases from the Delta variant, which peaked in the U.S. late in the third quarter.

However, we continue to be encouraged by the demand within PeopleReady, specifically in the solar energy space. 04:14 Renewable energy is a focal point for the Biden Administration to reduce U.S.

carbon emissions. We expect solar energy to be an area of growth to support this directive.

We have serviced this industry for fifteen years and have specialized teams and processes in place to capitalize on this market expansion. 04:32 Now, I’d like to take a moment to touch on worker supply.

Like many companies across the U.S., we are experiencing pressure on worker supply. The shortage is especially hitting PeopleReady due to the short notice period we received from customers to deliver contingent workers.

While fill rates have softened in recent quarters, revenue recovery has been steady as job orders have increased. It is difficult to gauge the pace and magnitude at which supply will rebound.

05:02 Many workers, supported through government stimulus, were able to increase their savings, which afforded them the option to temporarily exit the labor force. Additionally, the Delta variant has been a contributing factor to the labor shortages.

However, while still in the early days since enhanced federal unemployment benefits ended in early September, we are seeing signs of supply returning. For example, in PeopleReady, billable associates are up nine percent in October versus the Q3 weekly average.

05:33 PeopleReady weekly revenue trends in October are encouraging as well, up seventeen percent year-over-year versus a fourteen percent increase year-over-year in September. We’ve launched programs to retain existing associates, re-engage former associates and source new candidates, including attendance bonuses and rewards to our top performers, enhanced referral programs, enhanced recruiter incentives and much more.

We are closely monitoring the situation and we will continue to provide updates. 06:05 Next, I want to take time to address a potential vaccine mandate.

The impact on our results could have a wide-range of outcomes. There are many uncertainties including whether the mandate will survive court challenges, when the mandate could take effect, the definition of a qualified employee, and the costs associated with testing workers.

We are actively communicating with national officials to understand the logistics behind the plan and are well prepared to comply with the mandate, if and when it takes effect. 06:35 On a smaller scale, we have already successfully implemented vaccine tracking measures, as some large clients have required that only vaccinated associates can be assigned to their locations.

We will communicate more information as the mandate becomes more clear. 06:51 Also, as announced on September twenty two, due to Brannon Lacey leaving PeopleScout to accept a tech company CEO role, Taryn Owen’s role is expanding as she has been named President and COO of PeopleScout in addition to her President, COO position at PeopleReady.

Taryn served as President of PeopleScout from twenty thirteen to twenty nineteen and led the organization through a period of substantial growth, global expansion and digital transformation. 07:19 Taryn’s track record of success combined with her deep knowledge in recruiting and staffing perfectly positions her to lead both brands into the future.

Carl Schweihs will continue in his role as President/COO over the PeopleManagement brands. 07:34 Now let’s turn to our results by segment, starting with PeopleReady.

PeopleReady is our largest segment representing fifty eight percent of total trailing twelve-month revenue and sixty two percent of total segment profit. PeopleReady is the leading provider of on-demand labor and skilled trades in the North American industrial staffing market.

We service our clients via a national footprint of physical branch locations as well as our JobStack mobile app. Year-over-year PeopleReady revenue was up nineteen percent during the quarter.

08:05 PeopleManagement is our second largest segment representing thirty one percent of total trailing twelvemonth revenue and thirteen percent of total segment profit. PeopleManagement provides onsite industrial staffing and commercial driving services in the North American industrial staffing market.

The essence of a typical PeopleManagement engagement is supplying an outsourced workforce that involves multi-year, multi-million dollar onsite or driver relationships. Year-over-year PeopleManagement revenue grew by seven percent in the third quarter.

08:40 Turning to our third segment, PeopleScout represents eleven percent of total trailing twelve-month revenue and twenty five percent of total segment profit. PeopleScout is a global leader in filling permanent positions through our recruitment process outsourcing services as well as offering managed service provider solutions.

PeopleScout revenue surpassed pre-pandemic levels with year-over-year growth of one hundred and eight percent in the third quarter. We are very excited about the accelerated pace of recovery.

09:09 Shifting gears, I will now provide an update on our key strategies by segment, starting with PeopleReady. Our most important strategy at PeopleReady is to further digitalize our business model to gain market share and improve the efficiency of our service delivery cost structure.

The U.S. temporary day labor market is highly fragmented and there are very few large players in the industrial staffing segment where PeopleReady competes, with the bulk of the market made up of smaller companies.

09:36 These smaller, regional companies are typically not able to spend the type of investment required to deploy something like our JobStack mobile app, so this along with our nationwide footprint, is what makes us a leading provider within industrial staffing. Our goal is to use JobStack to deliver value through differentiated associate and client experiences leading to increased market share and operational efficiencies.

09:59 Since rolling out the application to associates in twenty seventeen and our clients in twenty eighteen, associate adoption has grown to over ninety percent and our JobStack client user count ended the quarter at twenty nine thousand one hundred, up eleven percent versus Q3 twenty twenty. We continue to focus on converting clients to heavy users.

As a reminder, a heavy user has fifty or more touches on JobStack per month -whether it’s entering an order, rating a worker or approving time. 10:31 Overall, heavy client users account for fifty six percent of PeopleReady U.S.

on-demand revenue compared to thirty one percent in Q3 twenty twenty. We’ve also seen continued growth in our digital fill rates, which have increased three times to nearly sixty percent with nine hundred and forty thousands shifts filled via the app during the quarter.

10:54 With the foundation of our digital strategy in place, we’ve expanded our focus on how to better serve existing clients and reach new ones more effectively. At the end of the first quarter, we launched two market pilots that utilize centralized service centers responsible for recruiting, onboarding and local delivery.

The service centers increase our accessibility as they operate eighty five hours per week versus sixty hours for a typical branch. This enhanced go-to-market approach includes repurposed job roles with the creation of dedicated account managers who are responsible for growing and building client relationships.

11:32 We believe we will be able to use the cost savings from reducing non-client facing roles to offset the cost increases from adding more client facing roles such as account managers. This fundamental shift in how we deliver our services requires thorough training and change management for our employees.

While it is still early, we are gathering key learnings that will improve our operating model, leading to higher digital fill rates, increased productivity and higher customer satisfaction. We are excited with the progress of the pilots and we’ll continue to provide updates.

12:09 Turning to PeopleManagement, our strategy is to focus on execution and grow our client base. Last year, we sharpened our vertical focus to target essential manufacturers as well as warehouse and distribution clients, and made investments in our sales teams to enhance productivity.

With these initiatives implemented, we have broadened the strategy to expand our geographic footprint by targeting more local and underserved markets. We are seeing strong results as PeopleManagement secured twenty two million dollars of new deals in August, bringing the year-to-date annualized new business wins to eighty six million dollars, up more than forty percent versus the three prior year comparable average.

Additionally, we are investing in customer and associate care programs in an effort to better serve our clients’ needs and improve retention. 12:55 Turning to PeopleScout, our strategy leverages our strong brand reputation to capture opportunities in an industry poised for growth.

Many companies reduced or eliminated their in-house recruiting teams during the pandemic, and now we are seeing companies return to hybrid and fully outsourced models. To capitalize, we made investments in our sales teams to expand wallet share at existing clients and obtain new clients.

Our efforts are delivering results with annualized new wins of thirty eight million dollars so far this year versus the three prior year comparable average of nine million dollars. 13:31 In addition, many of our clients were forced to reduce their employee base during the pandemic, especially within travel and leisure, our largest industry vertical.

Our ability to hire large volumes of workers quickly has us well-positioned to help our clients restaff quickly. This has led to a rapid recovery in the third quarter where revenue exceeded pre-pandemic levels by nine percent.

13:54 I’ll now pass the call over to Derrek, who will share greater detail around our financial results.

Derrek Gafford

13:58 Thank you, Patrick. Total revenue for Q3 twenty twenty one was five hundred and seventy seven million, representing growth of twenty two percent, driven by new business wins and higher existing client volumes.

We posted net income of nineteen million dollars, or zero point fifty three dollars per share, an increase of ten million dollars compared to net income of nine million dollars in the prior year. 14:24 Revenue growth and gross margin expansion contributed to the net income growth.

Adjusted net income was twenty one million dollars, or an increase of thirteen million dollars, which is greater than the increase in GAAP net income, primarily due to four million dollars of government subsidies in Q3 twenty twenty that were excluded from adjusted net income. 14:44 We delivered adjusted EBITDA of twenty nine million dollars, an increase of eleven million dollars, and adjusted EBITDA margin was up one hundred thirty basis points, again driven by revenue growth and gross margin expansion.

Gross margin of twenty five point four percent was up two hundred and ten basis points. 15:03 Our staffing segments contributed one hundred and ten basis points of margin expansion comprised of seventy basis points from lower workers’ compensation costs primarily due to favorable development of prior period reserves and the remaining forty basis points largely due to increased sales mix from our PeopleReady segment, which has a higher gross margin profile than PeopleManagement.

PeopleScout contributed one hundred basis points of expansion driven by operating leverage from higher volumes. 15:33 SG&A expense increased thirty two percent, which was higher than our revenue growth of twenty two percent due to the severity of the cost actions taken in Q3 last year.

In Q3 twenty twenty, our cost management actions produced a decline in SG&A of thirty one percent, which outpaced the revenue decline of twenty five for that quarter. Q3 twenty twenty also benefited from $4 million in government subsidies which were excluded from our adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA calculations.

16:08 We are running the company more efficiently today than we did prior to the COVID pandemic based on numerous changes in how we operate and leverage technology. Compared to Q3 twenty nineteen, SG&A as a percentage of revenue in Q3 twenty twenty one was twenty basis points lower despite having sixty million dollars less revenue.

Our effective income tax rate was fifteen percent in Q3. 16:35 Turning to our segments.

PeopleReady revenue increased nineteen percent while segment profit increased thirty two percent with margin up seventy basis points. Strong recovery continued across most geographies and industries with the hospitality and service industries both above Q3 twenty nineteen levels.

Construction grew sequentially but was down versus prior year as projects have been delayed due to building material shortages. 17:02 Segment profit margin benefited from lower workers’ compensation costs.

We are encouraged by our trends as we enter the fourth quarter. PeopleReady revenue was up seventeen percent during the first three weeks of October versus growth of fourteen percent in September.

We also saw some improvement in worker supply. 17:19 PeopleManagement revenue increased seven percent while segment profit decreased forty eight percent with one hundred and sixty basis points of margin contraction.

During the quarter supply chain challenges slowed the pace of our recovery, but are being offset by new business wins. 17:38 PeopleManagement had eighty six million dollars of annualized new business wins through September with nine million dollars of new business revenue recorded this quarter and approximately thirty million dollars expected for the full year.

The decline in segment profit margin is partially due to the severity of employee-related cost reductions last year such as cuts in pay and 401(k) match as well as additional recruiting costs to stay ahead of the holiday surge given the tight labor market. Upfront costs associated with new business wins and a drop in same customer revenue associated with supply chain challenges are also impacting profitability.

18:15 PeopleScout revenue increased one hundred and eight percent with segment profit up nine million dollars and nearly thirteen hundred basis points of margin expansion. Revenue benefited from strong recovery in our hardest-hit industries, including travel and leisure, which grew over three hundred percent.

18:37 New business wins also contributed to revenue growth as PeopleScout delivered thirty eight million dollars of annualized new wins through September this year versus nine million dollars in the prior three year comparable average. New wins generated five million dollars of revenue in Q3 with twenty eight million dollars expected for the full year.

Operating leverage and increased recruiting staff utilization contributed to the higher year-over-year segment margin. 19:02 Now let’s turn to the balance sheet and cash flows.

Our balance sheet is in excellent shape. We finished the quarter with forty nine million dollars in cash and no outstanding debt.

While, our profitability increased compared to Q3 last year, cash flow from operations decreased largely due to a sixty million dollar payment in Q3 this year for twenty twenty two employer payroll taxes that were allowed to be deferred as part of the CARES Act. 19:29 We also had higher levels of working capital associated with our revenue growth and an increase in days sales outstanding since the beginning of the year, which was a multi-year low.

Compared to Q3 last year, days sales outstanding was down two days. For additional details about our outlook for the fourth quarter, please see our earnings presentation filed today.

19:52 We like where our business sits today. Our services are in high demand as businesses increasingly look for solutions to deal with tight labor pools, as well as a variety of uncertainties including COVID and supply chain challenges.

Likewise, our technology strategies are making us increasingly relevant in today’s business environment and along with changes in how we operate the business, more efficient in delivering our services. 20:17 Okay.

This concludes our prepared remarks. Please open the call now for questions.

Operator

20:37 [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is unmuted.

Jeff Silber

20:45 Great. Thanks so much.

Patrick, in the prepared remarks and forgive me I don't have the exact quote, but I think you said something about fill rates softening in recent quarters. Can we get a little bit more color on that?

Where were they before the pandemic? How low did they go and where are they roughly now?

Patrick Beharelle

21:04 Yeah. Thanks for the question, Jeff.

The fill rates are quite a bit different between PeopleManagement and PeopleReady. So I'm going to distinguish between the two.

Of course, in PeopleManagement, we have exclusivity and our fill rates had been running in the low to mid ninety. So call it ninety three percent, ninety four percent.

We saw those dropdown into the high eighties, so eighty eight percent, eighty nine percent in that business. So, most of that's driven by worker supply challenges in PeopleManagement.

21:37 In PeopleReady, the situation is a little different because in many cases we don't have exclusivity. So in some cases it's a jump ball where we're competing for the same positions as other staffing providers are and we had typically run in the high seventies low eighties in terms of fill rates in PeopleReady.

We dipped down to our low point in the high fifties. We're now running in the low sixties.

So call it a fifteen to twenty point drop in PeopleReady. 22:07 I do want to point out though, we're starting to see some of the supply of workers start to unfreeze a bit.

We mentioned in the prepared remarks that our October run rates in PeopleReady were stronger than what we saw in September in Q3. Our applications are up in the high-single-digits.

Our worker supplies up in the high-single digits in October and so, we're starting to see a softening. I think a lot of that has to do with the unemployment benefits that ran out in the first week in September.

22:38 And we think it's going to take a couple of quarters for the situation to unfreeze more, but we certainly saw an uplift in October and as people saving start to dwindle and people feel a little more safe coming back into the work environment, we expect a nice steady incline for worker supply going forward.

Jeff Silber

22:59 All right. That's great to hear.

And I guess a segue-off of that we've been hearing and reading a lot about wage inflation. Can we talk a little bit about how that's running for your company and are you able to pass that through in a timely manner in terms of increased bill rates, is there any lag there?

Patrick Beharelle

23:16 Yeah, I think, that is a question for Derrek to take. He is really well schooled on the details.

Derrek Gafford

23:22 Hey, Jeff, it's Derrek here. One comment to Patrick's answer that he provided on the fill rates and then I'll take the bill rate question.

The fill rates have definitely dropped since we've entered this year for all of the dynamics that Patrick just mentioned. However we also know that the fill rates have also dropped based on customer behavior.

So what we're also seeing though at PeopleReady since we're not exclusive is customers putting those same orders in across multiple companies. 23:54 So some of the drop is -- the majority of it actually is because of worker shortages, but some of it is also with customer behaviors is putting those orders in with multiple staffing companies, hoping to get more fills total from more suppliers.

24:08 When it comes to bill and pay rates. Pay rates and bill rates in our PeopleReady business were up, I'm going to round here, they were just about the same, about ten point five percent.

So we are getting them passed through timely. We're pleased about that there's been other periods of time where it has -- we've had big minimum wage increases, we've always got them passed-through, there has been some lag at points in time, but in today's environment, we're getting the bill rates increased in lockstep with the percentage increase in the pay rates.

Jeff Silber

24:44 Okay. That's really helpful.

And just one final question, you had that great slide on your balance sheet remaining strong. But I couldn't help noticing that the company hasn't repurchased any shares this year despite that and despite the strong cash flow.

Can you talk about what's going on there? What your capital allocation strategy is?

Patrick Beharelle

25:04 Sure. Let's talk about both the year and the strategy going forward.

So you haven't seen any stock repurchases from us this year because we had a couple of big capital events to plan for. One was last year we had sixty million dollars of payroll taxes that we were allowed to defer under the CARES Act.

Half of that was due to be paid this year. We planned and did pay for all sixty million of it in Q3.

We elected to pay the full amount because under the CARES Act any losses in twenty twenty were allowed to be carried back to periods where the tax rate was thirty five percent. So we elected to pay all of that off.

That's a really good return for us paying that off and carrying it back. 25:51 Then the second piece is the growth in our accounts receivable.

We've had working capital surge and accounts receivable of about fifty five million dollars, so with well over one hundred million dollar of capital going to those two events. We didn't want to repurchase any shares till we got those behind us and saw what was going on with the operating environment.

At the level that we're at right now forty nine million dollars, we don't feel like we're overcapitalized takes about thirty million dollars to run the company. So we feel like we're in a good position right now.

Looking forward though returning capital back to shareholders certainly a priority for us. So we're not going to build up an excess of cash balance here.

We want to make sure we're returning that back to shareholders and given the current tax laws that are in place today. Our preference is to do that through share repurchase.

Jeff Silber

26:39 Okay. Great to hear.

Thanks so much for the color. I'll jump back in the queue.

Operator

26:48 Your next question comes from the line of Mark Marcon with Baird. Your line is open.

Mark Marcon

26:54 Good afternoon, Patrick and Derrek. Thanks for taking my questions.

I'm wondering with regards to the pilot programs in Chicago and Dallas. Can you talk a little bit about how the revenue trends compared over there relative to the rest of the PeopleReady operations?

Patrick Beharelle

27:12 Thanks, Mark. This is Patrick for your question.

Just a reminder for everyone, what we're doing with the market service centers. The first thing we're doing is, we've expanded hours from sixty hours to eighty five hours.

We're also adding more client-facing resources and fewer non-client facing resources that we're taking those savings and we're investing them and more client-facing resources. We're also providing more consistent delivery training coverage things of that sort.

27:41 The pilots are still what I would describe as sort of early phased, Mark. So we're not handing out or putting out revenue numbers for the pilots relative to the other locations.

What I can tell you is we've learned a lot since we started the pilots at the end of Q1. We're going to continue to run those through the end of the year and early next year assuming the pilots are where we want them to be.

We're going to expand out on more of a national basis, but what we're doing right now is we're not giving out local revenue numbers.

Mark Marcon

28:13 Okay. But, if presumably, if you're going to expand out, it would suggest that the results thus far are encouraging.

Is that a correct assessment?

Patrick Beharelle

28:25 Well, it's been mixed, we've had some areas where the results are very encouraging. And then we've had some areas where they're not as encouraging.

So we're trying to work through some of those issues and learnings where the results haven't been encouraging and we're making mid-course tractions on those. So it's been a mixed bag is how I would describe it.

Mark Marcon

28:44 What are the elements that are mix like what's going better and what's going worse?

Patrick Beharelle

28:49 Well, one of the challenges we ran into was around some of the essentially call center software that we had being when you're running a branch where you've got three people there, everybody kind of knows everything that's going on in that branch. When you expand out into an entire market where you've got essentially a market set of clients and a market set of workers as opposed to a branch set of clients and a branch set of workers.

There is a little bit this loss in translation there and one of the things we learned early on as we needed some better tracking software. So all of our folks that are working in the market center could have better access to what's happening with our workers and our clients.

So that was a big learning along the way that we had to make some mid-course corrections on. 29:31 In terms of and that's what really well is the worker supply is where really well.

We weren't sure what kind of a drop off we may have by closing the branches in Chicago and Dallas and to the degree that we were dependent on those branches to find local workers and one of the things we found is that we probably overestimated that a bit and we feel really good about our ability to attract workers locally without a branch network. And so that's one a little better than we expected.

So there has been some areas that went better and some areas that haven't went as well and the areas that haven't went as well, we've made some fixes and are seeing some good trending and are encouraged by the results.

Mark Marcon

30:13 Great. I appreciate the transparency.

With regards to the JobStack, how -- if somebody were to ask you like what percentage of revenue is now derived from JobStack and how you would characterize the margins for JobStack revenue that is totally independent of the branch operations to the extent that there is repeat business that's been automated. How would you characterize that?

Patrick Beharelle

30:47 Well, from a margin perspective, it's hard to say because the pricing and the bill rates and the pay rates that we're providing are very similar, whether it goes through JobStack or whether it doesn't, where we have clear efficiencies is, when clients are placing orders when they're approving time, when they're placing orders after hours. I give you an example, we had a client the other day, logistics and delivery company that placed an order last minute, late at night for fifteen associates that came in after-hours and within an hour those jobs are filled.

And the client was so impressed with that, that they ended up moving all of their business to us and today this is a zero point five million dollars a year client. 31:33 And so when you see things like that where we would have had to come in the next morning and have a jump on with some other providers.

In fact, we were able to fill it, while our branches were closed and our competitors branches were closed. To me the biggest value for JobStack is the revenue lift that we get from taking wallet share at our existing installed base.

The margin profile again bill rate, pay rate spreads don't necessarily differ between a job that's filled by JobStack versus one that's not, but clearly when you look at the cost associated with filling positions, we're able to do with fewer people and the market service center is really going to allow us to take advantage of that because as we've only got a handful of people in our branches, so it's hard to cut a third of a person or a half of a person. But you can do that when you go to a market center concept where you've got dozens of people all working in one location.

And so I think we'll ultimately see here some nice cost savings that come out. It's just been difficult to extract up to this point where we've had small numbers of people in our branches.

And can you refresh me what the first part of your question was, Mark?

Mark Marcon

32:41 Yeah. So just trying to think through the revenue that you would directly attribute to JobStack?

Patrick Beharelle

32:49 Well, we've got some numbers we've put out there around heavy users, they essentially account for fifty six percent of our eligible revenue and we define eligible by the way we haven't rolled out JobStack in Canada or for some of our skilled trades. So if you exclude those two, heavy users account for fifty six percent, which is where the largest chunk of our revenue through JobStack is coming from.

So I think that's one measure that you might look at.

Mark Marcon

33:17 Okay. And then with regards to the thinking the implications of JobStack through as we look out towards next year and the following year, how would you envision the branch count evolving and what sort of savings and you end up getting from that and how do you think about this the incremental revenue that if JobStack really hits we could end up getting?

Patrick Beharelle

33:48 Yeah. I think, that would be a good question for Derrek to take around some of the cost savings, and I can probably add some more color after you speak, Derrek.

Derrek Gafford

33:56 Yeah. Hi, Mark.

It's Derrek here. So a little bit of extra perspective on JobStack and the efficiencies that it's bringing.

It's very hard to carve off the specific savings for JobStack. But if we stand back big picture and look at what we're running as far as revenue per employee and our PeopleReady business.

We are running at -- if we look back quarterly all the way to twenty seventeen over the last five years. This quarter is our highest quarter ever in revenue per employee and that's comparing back to a time when PeopleReady's annual revenue was one point six billion dollars.

So the technology is definitely delivering efficiencies for us. 34:40 As we take a look towards next year and the market pilots to give you an approximation of the amount of SG&A that's in our field operations at PeopleReady, it runs about two hundred million dollars.

We haven't given out any percentages yet, but you know if it was just say hypothetically ten percent coming from real estate savings and some other things. I mean that would be a very sizable amount for us.

So I'm giving that hypothetically, but that gives you an SG&A base to take a look at. 35:12 I think as far as productivity and cost savings there is even more opportunities behind us.

One of the other things that we're starting to take a look at too is the proprietary technology that runs PeopleReady's operating system. So think things like applicant tracking system, billing, payroll.

When I say payroll, it's less about just calculating the Paycheck. It's all of the work processes that go in around that.

So we think there's some technology upgrades that would also deliver a lot more efficiencies here. So we haven't given out any numbers at this point in time, but we're very optimistic that we can run this business in a more efficient manner and we'd be really disappointed if we didn't get above our EBITDA margin of the last cycle of five point two percent.

Mark Marcon

36:00 Great. And then I was wondering just can you talk a little bit about just the guidance here for the fourth quarter or the lack thereof.

From a revenue perspective, what are you trying to get at in terms of we know what the historical pattern has been but what could be different on a plus or minus basis relative to history and how should we think about the sequential change in SG&A?

Derrek Gafford

36:29 Yeah. So from a revenue perspective, we've given an outlook.

As we only give an outlook, we just given an average out there, which we've taken a look at that excluding last year our Q4 revenue is about the same as Q3 each year. We've also provided some information that our staffing operations have accelerated by a couple of points going into October versus September.

So while we haven't been giving revenue guidance really at all this year or since COVID broke out we've been giving some sequential direction according to our history. And I think those two data points are the most important.

37:16 And what was your second part of your question, Mark?

Mark Marcon

37:19 Just the SG&A how should we think about that in terms of the sequential change relative to the third quarter?

Derrek Gafford

37:29 Yeah. We've given an SG&A outlook of one hundred and twenty six million dollars to one hundred and thirty million dollars.

So in that two, you can find those numbers in our outlook section.

Mark Marcon

37:43 I'm wondering what's driving the change?

Derrek Gafford

37:45 Well, I was just kind of getting to that part in our EBITDA adjustments, we're talking a big part about it is an extra five million dollars. Half of it coming from some deferred compensation sales, that will be taking place in Q4, and also some SaaS software implementation costs.

So there's about five million dollars or close to five million dollars of extra adjustments for the fourth quarter.

Mark Marcon

38:11 Great. Thank you.

Derrek Gafford

38:14 You bet.

Operator

38:17 Your next question comes from the line of Josh Vogel with Sidoti. Your line is open.

Josh Vogel

38:24 Thank you. Good afternoon, Patrick and Derrek.

Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to build off one of Mark's questions there on the branches.

Maybe just a little bit more color around potential timing like what do you have to see today from like a market dynamic and usage of your tech enablement capabilities to feel comfortable and pairing down the branch structure and could we see this start to materialize in twenty twenty two?

Patrick Beharelle

38:56 Thanks, Josh. This is Patrick.

Appreciate the question. Well, we're looking at a number of metrics that we're tracking.

So we're looking at client count, revenue growth, associate count, average hours per associate, average bill rate, average pay rate margins. We're looking at a whole host of metrics that are financial as well as non-financial metrics around client acquisition and client retention expansion rates things of that sort.

So we started the pilots right at the end of the first quarter and we've been measuring all of these metrics throughout the pilots both in Chicago and in Dallas. 39:38 In terms of sort of green lighting a more of a national expansion.

We want to see the two pilot markets the trending for those in Q3 and Q4 get above the pilot group that we're comparing against which is the rest of the U.S. branch network.

So when we see that we're outperforming then at that point we'd be in a position to green light on a much larger scale. There is a few other nuances that we’re about to start running some pilots on.

As an example, we have some branches that aren't part of large metropolitan cities. So if you take Illinois as an example Peoria, which is in the middle of the state two point five hours southwest of Chicago.

We only have one branch there. So one of the other things that we're looking at is, could we support our branch like Peoria from a market service center in Chicago.

That's an open item right now. They will be testing in Q4.

40:45 And so the first order of business was, could we outperform in our metro markets with the market service center versus a branch network. And then secondly, for those locations that are not metro that are secondary cities can we deliver services more effectively and more efficiently than through a local branch.

And so those are the things that are being tested and until we are outperforming, we'll continue to pilot and makes tweaks and perfections before we launch on a large scale. What we are not going to do is launch on a large scale if we're not outperforming the current situation and so those are some of the things that we're looking at.

Josh Vogel

41:29 Those are good insights. Thank you.

You certainly had very strong results across the three segments. I just wanted to focus a little bit on the little bit of margin compression we saw on a sequential basis.

Derrek, you had some comments on it. Supply chain issues.

I'm just curious when we look at Q2 versus Q3 was that supply chain issues that leaned on the margins at PeopleManagement and also sequentially we saw a little bit downtick in PeopleScout. I'm just curious what drove those?

Derrek Gafford

42:09 Sure. The down tick at PeopleManagement that certainly had something to do with it.

Our same branch revenue for PeopleManagement went negative in the third quarter. So and we're bringing on new clients as well as PeopleManagement.

So the same customer revenue is the most profitable and that's the one that really deleverages because we've still got the same amount of resources for the most part running those the sites, the revenue drops, and so all of those gross profit dollars fall to the bottom line without much offset on the SG&A side. 42:47 From a PeopleScout perspective, we gave a little bit of color on Q2, that was a really outsized margin quarter for us, but what we're turning in this quarter is probably more appropriate for the revenue side.

So what we saw was just a huge surge in same customer volumes. So we were getting great leverage maybe a little too great across our recruiting base.

And so it deliver some very, very nice margins. That business will still continue to deliver nice margins.

But the Q2 margin expansion was a bit ahead of itself and not one that we can still make the same type of service level agreements with all of our customers as far as timeliness. So that's a little color on those two pieces of the business.

Josh Vogel

43:35 Yeah, that's helpful. Thank you.

I'm sorry.

Derrek Gafford

43:37 Still we're [Technical Difficulty] of adjusted EBITDA margin we had for the quarter versus same quarter a year ago.

Josh Vogel

43:47 Got it. Thank you.

Your comments on the SG&A in Q4. I was just curious when the five million split between deferred comp and SaaS implementation.

Is that going to bleed into twenty twenty two or is it kind of just going to hit up in Q4?

Derrek Gafford

44:05 Yeah, those costs, while the SG&A is going up, those are excluded from our EBITDA calculations. So they won't be dilutive to adjusted net income or EBITDA.

The deferred compensation plan will be fully transitioned this year. We’ve been moving everything over to some company-owned life insurance policies for tax reasons, the last two or three years, and so that will complete itself.

And then the system cost the extra two point five dollars. Two million dollars, two point five million dollars that we'll spend there.

We could do some more implementation costs and likely will next year towards some SaaS based systems. But those two would be excluded from the SG&A and those would not be recurring cost that would continue with us once the systems are stood up.

Josh Vogel

44:53 All right. Great.

And just a couple quick ones on around the vaccine mandates. I know you had some commentary there, Patrick.

I guess you talked about tracking measures and stuff like that, but what's the dialogue you're having at the client level both big and small. And if this is something that does materialize, do you think it could be a net benefit for you?

Patrick Beharelle

45:22 Yeah, Josh, I appreciate the question. So there is a lot of unknowns pertaining to mandate that should get cleared up in the next couple of weeks.

And until those get cleared up, it's difficult to say the magnitude and timing of the impact. A couple of things to note though from an RPO perspective, we've talked with a number of our clients and this could be a potential tailwind for us is certain clients have indicated that they expect much higher than normal attrition which would increase hiring volumes and of course, we get paid a fee for each hire.

And so the more churn there is that our clients, the more revenue and volume that we run through PeopleScout. So hard to predict, but it looks like if this ultimately gets implemented there's the potential that could be a nice tailwind for PeopleScout.

46:14 Related to our staffing business, it's just too early to know. There are so many uncertainties things like here's a complication, would you count the site, as the one hundred employee threshold or the staffing providers.

So as an example, we have a lot of small landscaping companies that would be fewer than one hundred employees. So would our hundred employee count matter or would it be theirs because it'd be odd for us to send workers to their site and our workers have to be vaccinated.

But there is don't. So that's an open item, how about work at home people for our corporate staff.

We don't really know. The definition of an employee, if we take the ObamaCare definition, it would have very small impact on our workforce.

If it's they work an hour for us and they count it would have a larger impact. And so it's hard for me to say on the staffing side of the business till we see the specifics because there's just so many unknowns that could go so many different directions that it probably be premature for me to try to guess what OSHA is going to come up with in terms of their rules.

Josh Vogel

47:19 That's helpful. Obviously a lot of uncertainty and moving parts there and you kind of led into my next question is taking PeopleManagement out of the equation looking at PeopleScout and PeopleReady.

And I guess it's a question you can’t really answer because of the definition of an employee, but I was curious what percentage of those clients fall below the one hundred employee threshold, but I guess you can’t answer that right now?

Patrick Beharelle

47:46 Well, I don't have that number handy. I can tell you that if the definition for an employee was the ObamaCare definition we would be in the single-digit percentages of our employees impacted.

And then you factor in the percentage of those that are already vaccinated and all of a sudden your it into a very small number. If it turns out, the other extreme where it's they work one hour and they're considered an employee then the impact would be a lot larger and we'd have to do some workarounds for sure.

48:17 The one thing I'd like you to take away is we're well prepared for this. We've been doing this already for clients that have come to us and said hey only send us vaccinated employees.

It's been more prevalent in PeopleManagement than in other places, but we're certainly well prepared to operate in this environment if the mandate survives the court challenges. 48:42 I do want to just follow up on one question you asked earlier about the margins in PeopleManagement and PeopleScout.

Derrek touched on this a bit but sometimes those go down for a good reason. We've had a lot of wins in PeopleManagement and PeopleScout that are in implementation in Q3 also some in Q4 and so I just know that the quarter-to-quarter can look kind of lumpy from time to time because of a large implementation or a couple of large implementations and we saw some of that in Q3 for sure.

Josh Vogel

49:21 I appreciate the follow-up on that. I guess just one last question around the potential for vaccine mandates.

Another way to kind of look at it if it perhaps put in place in certain states, but not others, can you give me a sense of your geographic exposure. So I guess blue states versus red?

Patrick Beharelle

49:46 Yeah, I think, that would be a good question for Derrek to answer.

Derrek Gafford

49:52 No, Josh, I don't have it sliced that way. I'd have to check into that one and get back to you.

Josh Vogel

50:01 No worries. I didn’t mean to catch you off guard on that one.

Patrick Beharelle

50:06 Well we do have our [Technical Difficulty] by state Derrek don't we that we could use this kind of a proxy to give Josh a sense of what our revenue is particularly in PeopleReady.

Josh Vogel

50:15 Yeah. Like maybe your top five states in terms of revenue or top three states or two states with California, Texas, New York?

Derrek Gafford

50:24 California at fourteen percent, Florida at thirteen percent, Texas at nine percent, Illinois at three percent and Washington at three percent. From there on they are all three percent and two percent.

I'd have to run up some calculations.

Josh Vogel

50:45 No, that's perfect. Well, thank you guys for taking my questions.

Patrick Beharelle

50:50 Thanks, Josh.

Operator

50:53 [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. Mr.

Beharelle I turn the call back over to you.

Patrick Beharelle

51:18 Well thank you everyone for joining the call today and thanks to all of our TrueBlue associates for the great work that they're doing every day. We look forward to speaking with you all again on our Q4 earnings call in early February and make sure everyone stay safe.

Take care.

Operator

51:37 This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for attending.

You may now disconnect.

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