Jul 23, 2007
TRANSCRIPT SPONSOR
Executives
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and CEO Andrew P.
Becnel - CFO and Sr. VP
Analysts
William Herbert - Simmons & Company Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets James Crandall - Lehman Brothers Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc. Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
Operator
Good day ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Weatherford Second Quarter 2007 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lauren and I will be your coordinator for today.
At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. We will conduct a question-and-answer session towards the end of this conference.
[Operator Instructions]. As a reminder this call is being recorded for reply purposes.
I'd like now to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Mr. Bernard Duroc Danner, Chairman and CEO.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. Good morning.
As usual Andy will lead his prepared comments and I will do the same, we will go to Q&A. Andy?
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
Thank you. Good morning.
For our second quarter of 2007 we report fully diluted earnings of $0.68 per share before non-recurring items. Our Eastern Hemisphere business continued on its steep growth trajectory well on our way to meeting our 40% year-on-year revenue growth expectations.
North America, on other hand, pulled back hard due to decreased activity in Canada. But more moving on to detailed commentary, we should take note of three items.
One, our $0.68 excludes an after-tax charge of $9 million related principally to severance charges; two, our reported number excludes an after-tax loss of $11 million related to the discontinuance of E&P operations; and three, we incurred a one-time withholding tax of $50 million on intercompany capital movements and at lowering our after-tax cost of capital. We will achieve an 18 months payback on this plan.
EPS Comparison. At $0.68, earnings per share are down 18% sequentially from $0.83 and stand 28% above Q2 of 2006.
The sequential drop of $0.15 was comprised of the following: $0.18 of sequential decline from the fields and $0.03 of improvement due to a lower tax rate. The effective rate for the quarter was 20% or 400 basis points below prior guidance due to geographic mix and more effective tax planning.
You should expect our rate for the remainder of 2007 and 2008 to stay between 20% and 21%. Finally, non-operational items other than taxes were flat with the prior quarter with increases in interest expense and other expense offset by lower corporate expense.
Operating performance consolidated overview. On a consolidated basis, revenue declined $36 million sequentially or 2%.
North America, which accounted for 49% of total revenue, was down $123 million. While the average U.S rig count grew 1%, Canadian rig activity fell 72% from Q1 levels.
At an average of 144 rigs Canadian activity reached a level not seen since Q2, 2002. In the U.S.
drilling services, wireline, lift completion and chemicals and stimulation all posted strong revenue gains. Revenue in Latin America increased $1 million despite reduced activity in Orinoco's heavy oil projects.
As expected our Eastern Hemisphere operations excelled this quarter. Revenue grew 13.5% sequentially or $86 million on a 3% increase in rig activity.
All product lines grew; the performance was exceptional. Consolidated EBIT before corporate, equity and earnings and R&D was $404 million, down $83 million with operating margins at 22.2%.
This 410 basis point decline from Q1 is attributable to severe detrimentals in Canada. Lower cost absorption on reduced activity on Orinoco did not help given our high market shares in this basin.
Operating margins in the Eastern Hemisphere increased a 120 basis points to 22.8% on 32% incrementals. These are the highest margins reported out of the Eastern Hemisphere in the last six quarters.
Geographic performance. Financial performance within our four geographic regions was as follows: North America 49% of total revenue, revenue fell $123 million or 12% on a 16% decline in rig count.
For perspective, last year revenue fell 9% sequentially on a 12% rig count decline. EBIT was $192 million, down $108 million.
Margins were 21.8%. The violent and sustained pullback in Canada produced severe [ph] detrimentals.
Revenue fell across virtually all product lines with chemicals and stimulation being a notable exception. As a reminder, we do not participate in the stimulation market in Canada.
Middle East, North Africa, Asia Pacific 24% of total revenue, revenue rose $41 million or 10%. EBIT was $97 million, up $14 million.
Margins rose 120 basis points to 22.3% on incrementals of 33.3%. Countries that showed particular strength included Oman, India, Saudi Arabia, Algeria, UAE, Yemen, China, Indonesia and Malaysia.
Drilling services, lift completion and drilling tools all posted substantial improvements. Europe, CIS West Africa, 16% of total revenue.
Revenue grew $46 million or 19%. EBIT was $69 million, up $14 million.
Margins grew to 23.7%, a 130 basis point improvement on incrementals of 30.7%. The Caspian, Russia and West Africa, the U.K.
and Eastern Europe all showed strong activity improvements. Every product line grew revenue with drilling services wireline, completion and drilling tools as the largest gainers.
Latin America, 11% of total revenue. Revenue was essentially flat.
EBIT was $46 million, down $3 million with margins at 22.1%. Product mix and absorption inefficiencies resulted in a 150 basis points of margin decline.
Gains in Argentina and Colombia were more than offset by reduced activity in Orinoco and Brazil, contract timing and startups. Drilling services, lift and well construction performed well.
Cash and capital, cash flow. During Q2 we generated EBITDA of $485 million with D&A running at $145 million.
Operating working capital, AR plus inventory less AP consumed $222 million of cash, with inventories up $143 million in preparation for substantial growth in the second half of 2007. Foreign currency fluctuations alone increased inventories and receivables by $44 million.
Even in the context of aggressive growth expectations, we're not satisfied with our working capital performance and continue our work to improve. As a reminder, our goal is to be at 110 days of working capital by the end of Q4.
After deducting interest expense and cash taxes, operating cash flow was $147 million for the quarter. In the second half of 2007, we expect free cash flow after CapEx to be approximately $350 million.
Capital expenditures. Capital expenditures were $313 million for the quarter net of lost in whole revenue.
We project total capital expenditures for 2007 at approximately $1.2 billion. Beyond CapEx, we invested $490 million in seven acquisitions during Q2.
Bernard will address the largest transaction in his commentary. The remaining six targets are technology-focused and are spread globally.
The results of the largest transaction will run through the equity and earnings line. The others will contribute approximately $10 million for quarter to revenue in the second half of 2007 with de minimis accretion for the year.
In 2008, the combined impact of all seven transactions will be approximately $0.10 of incremental earnings per share. Capital structure.
As of June 30th, 2007 our ratio of net debt to net capitalizations stood at 32.8% with total debt at $3.3 billion. Cash balances totaled $116 million at quarter end.
Guidance. Bernard will cover our operational outlook in his comments.
I have the following updates for you for 2007 non-operational items. Tax rate.
Our tax rate will run between 20% and 21% on average for the entire year. So you should expect variations from quarter-to-quarter.
Geographic earnings mix and continued planning activities have allowed us to steadily reduce our estimated rate. Two, net interest expense.
Net interest expense should run at $160 million for the year leaving $45 million for quarter for the remainder of the year. Three, incentive awards.
We expect to grand meaningful incentive awards to field level personnel during Q3. We expect the expense associated with this grant to be approximately $50 million on an annualized basis.
Share count. We exited the quarter at $337.7 million basic shares outstanding and $347.4 million fully diluted shares outstanding.
I will now hand the call over to Bernard.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Andy. Q2 is as we expected, a tale of two hemispheres.
The Western Hemisphere revenues declined a $123 million, driven by Canada's extraordinarily low level of activity. The operating income detrimental is associated with the abrupt decline with a very high 87%.
In sharp contrast, the Eastern Hemisphere added $86 million of revenues in the quarter, growing sequentially by 13.5% and year-on-year by 40% EBIT which I suspect will be the industry's highest performance amongst our peers. The growth was broad based across all product lines and EBIT incrementals were strong 32%.
Still the Eastern Hemisphere could not overcome in Q2 the one-time abrupt decline in Canadian market, not with the high exposure Weatherford has. The Canadian market was affected by an almost perfect storm combination of seasonal downturn, unforgiving weather, rain, client tactics and the recent change in tax laws.
Rig count was down 72% sequentially and 51% year-on-year. The level of activity was identical to Q2 2002 and only about 43 rigs above 1999 levels which defies the imagination.
Weatherford has the higher Canadian exposure than any of its peers on and around heavy oil. This is a historic fact and in the aftermarket of Precision acquisition.
It's fair to expect, we would be the most affected amongst our peers by end market contraction, and we were very effective. To give you a perspective, let me remind you of some historical data.
In Q1 of 2006, this is only 15 months ago, Canada represented about 25% of Weatherford's total business. By Q1 of '07, the number dropped to high teens.
In this quarter, the Canadian exposure was pushed down into single digits, combination of Canadian market declines and Eastern Hemisphere growth. Associated detrimentals were predictably very high, which is traditionally the case by a combination of two factors, obviously no fixed cost absorptions but also seasonal repairs and maintenance.
On the latter, we did attempt in the short 90 days of the quarter to extensively zero time and whenever possible upgrade our tool and equipment fleet in that market, best we can. The U.S.
concurrently did remarkably well posting another quarter of good sequential growth in spite of its infill month [ph] terrible weather patterns and a meager 1% sequential rig count increase. The U.S.
had particularly solid growth in lift, completion, directional and chemical stimulation service lines. Latin America was flat, primarily where it was Venezuela Orinoco for us which was very weak for obvious political reasons.
We have a dominant share in Orinoco for a number of product lines, which is really heavy oil. The other factor this quarter was usual noise associated with contract timing is about to reverse itself.
The prognosis of Latin America is very strong. Eastern Hemisphere was very strong across the board.
The sequential 13.5 growth rate is spread between a quantum 19%, even performance out of the European, West Africa, CIS Africa region and a strong 10% performance out of the Middle East, Asia region. Russia, West Africa, Caspian and the U.K.
drove 19% sequential growth for the European, West Africa, CIS region. China, Oman, Algeria, India and Abu Dhabi, drove the 10% sequential growth for the Middle East, Asian region.
All product lines showed strong growth. Drilling services which is directional, underbalanced was the fastest growing product line.
Completion, lift and wireline showed the next greatest improvements in the hemisphere. Year-on-year comparisons painted almost exclusively international picture.
Q2 on Q2 12 months growth was indeed overwhelmingly international. Q2 2007 on Q2 2006 Eastern Hemisphere was up exactly 40%, adding $206 million in revenues.
Latin America was up 16% and international as a whole was up 33.5%, adding year-on-year $234 million in revenues or almost a $1 billion annualized. The company's regions, Europe, West Africa, CIS was up 42% versus a 3% underlying rig recount decline and had the highest year-on-year growth rate company-wide.
The close runner-up Middle East, North America, Asia was up 38% versus a 12% underlying rig count increase. By comparison, North America was up only 5% year-on-year, fairly decent performance in the growth wise in the U.S.
making up for the substantial Canadian decline. In the same time period, North American rig count was down 1% year-on-year.
And as Andy mentioned, the quarterly company's geographic breakdown was as follows: North America 48.6, international 51.4. For the first time post the Precision acquisition international revenues eclipsed the North American revenues.
Forward views, first North America, two comments. The trailing 12 months has been for our shareholders of understandable concern as to the direction and impact of the Canadian market on our company.
I would suggest the concern has no further reasons from being. The recent Q2, while, strikes out as an unsustainable and perhaps unreasonable across in activity, Canada, will tell, we're constructive on the latter part of the year and 2008.
Oil, heavy oil and the gas segments will drive the market recovery. In fact, we would expect Q4 or Q1 '08 latest to show a higher year-on-year statistics.
Two, we remain constructive on the U.S. market.
The productivity limitations of the U.S. reservoir base support a middle ground scenario of healthy single-digit growth for the market particularly in certain classes of product line.
In addition, for Weatherford specifically, there is organic growth to be had still in drilling services, wireline, ESP, sand control and chemicals, all have proprietary technology and all growing with small market share. Forward outlook for our international business is very strong and essentially unchanged.
As per the opening paragraphs in my comments, the trailing 12 months growth in international segment was 40% Eastern Hemisphere and 16% in Latin America, which translates into 33.5% the international market as a whole, that's the historical performance of trailing 12 months. Looking forward and setting aside both the recovery in Canada and decent prospects for the U.S., growth in 2007, '08, and '09 will primarily come out of the international market.
year-on-year in 2007, we expect a growth of 40% in Eastern Hemisphere and 25% in Latin America versus 2006. That hasn't changed, hasn't changed since beginning of the year.
Both numbers add up to weighted average 36% growth of Weatherford's international segment in 2007. In the Eastern Hemisphere, we expect North Africa, Russia, Middle East, sub-Sahara Africa, China and Central Europe to show the greatest growth year-on-year.
In Latin America, we expect Mexico, Brazil and Argentina to show the greatest growth year-on-year. Growth rates in Latin America for the next 18 months should be strong.
Setting the geographic aside, I'll take you through the quarterly performance of our 10 service product lines. The product lines as usual are ranked in size from largest to smallest.
Artificial lift $309.1 million, while construction $293.1 million, drilling services $281.3 million, drilling tools $217.2 million, completion systems $195.3 million, re-entry fishing $144.1 million, wireline $128.7 million, chemicals and stimulation $124.4 million, integrated drilling $87.2 million and in pipeline $35.5 million. As a comment on the ups and downs of the product line sequentially which you can compute for yourself is remarkable that drilling services, completion and lift grew company-wide in spite of Canada, where they all have large presence in market share.
Ex-Canada, which is the most meaningful metric, all product lines grew at Weatherford, there was no exception. The highest dollar growth was experienced by drilling services, directional, underbalanced was up 14%, artificial lift up 12.6 % and completion systems up 14.3%.
Drilling services had an outstanding quarter, as did completion, no doubt. The growth in PCP and ESP drove lift's over-performance.
In the course of the quarter we started up our first two management projects in North Africa and China. We expect in 12 months to be running five projects concurrently.
Two other items, we discontinued an E&P operation that will divest of the assets. This E&P initiatives started two years ago had a primary R&D purpose.
It was complementary to proving up recent technologies. It has run its course and we have identified more efficient substitutes to progress new technology development.
I might add that the capital invested is modest in that discontinued operation. Second, we were uncharacteristically active on the acquisition front this quarter.
The past two years we've been essentially dormant in the acquisition realm. This quarter seven transactions were completed for total of $490 million.
Six of the seven were modest in size and essentially technology-driven, covering a wide spectrum of product lines from optimization software to pipeline. Four were in the West and two were in the East.
The seventh investment was more material. Late in the quarter we closed on the acquisition of a 33% stake in the Russian company Borets.
Borets is the world's largest ESP manufacturer by volume and the third largest in the world by value, with an extensive industrial and service infrastructure. The company operates eight large engineering, manufacturing and service bases throughout the Russian oil-patch.
Borets was founded in 1897, I did say 1897, was the first company in Russia to design and manufacture submersible pumps in 1952. While the Borets will be held as an equity investment, there will be a close cooperation between the two companies.
Notwithstanding this quarter's investments, you should not expect Weatherford to be particularly acquisitive. The relevance of acquisition depends entirely on circumstances that may or may not occur.
Aside from Precision, almost two years ago, acquisitions have not been a meaningful factor in our financial and operating performance. Taking an overall view of 2007 we are likely to invest about $1.2 billion in CapEx or at about Q2's level.
In addition, we're already advanced in planning our 2008 CapEx. Given the scale and qualitative organic growth opportunities in 2007-2008, investments in organic growth are the priority.
We estimate an after-tax return on organic growth of between 25% and 30% per annum. We bought 1 million shares in Q2 at an average price $55.45 per share.
We have another $272 million left under a $1 billion of share repurchase plan, and we do expect a renewed commitment as once this program is completed. In summary, we're executing the 2007 growth plan.
We are laying at the same time the seeds for 2008 and 2009. We have consistently believed that what is unfolding in the offshore service and equipment markets is a very long secular growth trend that mirrors three things; the acceleration of decline rates that's one, non-OECD demography and non-OECD GNP per capita Weatherford tax.
We are confident in our growth prognosis of the international market. We are constructive on the prognosis of the U.S markets.
We expect a reversal of trends in the Canadian market effective now. That concludes my prepared comments.
Operator, could you please open the question-and-answer period.
Question And Answer
Operator
[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from the line of Bill Herbert with Simmons & Company.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Thanks, good morning,
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Bill.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Hey, a quick question on Borets, largest ESP player in Russia, what kind of exporting capability if you will do you plan for Borets vis-à-vis your ESP endeavors outside of Russia?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
One of the strengths of Borets is its engineering and manufacturing.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Right.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
They have a very large scale. In fact, one of the surprising facts is that from a volume standpoint, the best of our assessments are Borets manufactures a bit more than twice the level of its largest Western competitors.
So they have very, very large manufacturing infrastructure, and it is not unreasonable to expect us to work with them in order to accelerate facilitate the manufacturing of the ESPs for the international market whether their design or our design.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay. Secondly with respect to Latin America, you prophesied or a relatively vigorous second half of the year yet Orinoco was one of the main reasons why the sequential performance was subdued.
Give us some color with regard to the second half of the year in Latin America, does Orinoco come back from your standpoint or is that growth attained notwithstanding a continued sluggish Orinoco?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
My comments are ex-Venezuela.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
So, the growth will come from Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia and Equator. It's very, very wide spread, cannot say anything reliable on Venezuela.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay. And then thirdly, I thought one of the singular revelations if you will from last quarter was the degree of success that you are having with respect to the project management business.
And I think last quarter we talked about something along the lines of $500 million with the contracts to be realized over two years. Any incremental contract wins on that front if you will?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
There are two more contracts that have been essentially completed making it to... making it four.
There's another two which are pending whose timing I... is hard to...
hard to pin point exactly. I know the math suggests that six, so we expect perhaps in the year that one will drop off.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Butperhaps the number five that we gave is a, just little bit cautious.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay. And can you give us any sense with respect to dollar magnitude from an incremental standpoint, and where these projects might be located?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Projects located all together... North Africa and Asia still remains the focal area.
The dollar amount will be closer to $750 million than what we said previously.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay so it's 500... so it's $750 million in total including the last two that you talked about last quarter?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Close enough.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay. Thanks very much.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Kurt Hallead with RBC Capital Markets.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Hello.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Kurt yes, yes you are on.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Sorry about that. Yes Bernard, it just sounds like your international expectations are pretty consistent with what you've been talking about middle of last year.
So I guess that is especially good thing, nothing's really slowed down there. Can you give us some additional color on what you think the differential growth region may be for example like in your Middle East or North Africa region, I think there has been some talk about ability to maybe triple that business in the next couple of years.
Can you give us some color around that?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
In general, what drives the growth not only North Africa, Middle East but also in the... on the European and the former Soviet Union and sub-Sahara African side is the same thing.
It's a combination of infrastructure which pre-existed and what we acquired from Precision and the introduction of a directional wireline, pushing of underbalanced and then all other young technologies at Weatherford. So we did not have the seeding from a product line standpoint two years ago that we are trying to get right now.
So you're getting good traction and you will for a couple of more years, probably, disproportionately so, until that's going on. The execution has to be good.
And yes, you are right. The expectations that we set up more than a year ago have been fulfilled and the expectations we lay out for the next 18 months are the same.
And so, I think you should expect us to be also consistent in our performance. But it's nothing more than execution.
It's nothing new as to what is the engine of the growth.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Yes and then... I am sorry Bernard.
But some of the questions that I have had that may be related to that the prospects of growing the business in that region to that extent, with Parce or Fab [ph] all the other bigger players that could be within that region. And so I was just wondering if there was some additional color you may be able to provide as to how you can...
you provided some of it. Now, the other element is, is it all existing relationship?
Is it new relationship, or is it just a function of the relationships plus the expansion of the investment programs in these countries?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think it's all of that. I think you start first of all from the lower base of our business and lower base of market share in a number of service lines, that's number one.
Number two, you do have existing relationships in some of the legacy service and product lines of Weatherford that has been doing very well in those countries for a long time. So it's a combination of both.
And I don't think it goes on forever. Differential in growth rates between Weatherford and its larger competitors will not go on forever, we can't.
But I do think you've got a period of time during which this... if we have good execution and I insist this is the key risk factor.
It's not the marketplace; it's execution. If you have a good execution you should be able to grow in those markets at a higher rate than your larger competitors.
I mean it's full load [ph], that's the reason. And then beyond that you should probably look somewhere more comparable.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Right. Now one other thing, probably it doesn't impact you but I want to check anyway is some discussion on the Schlumberger call last week about some pricing issues in Western Siberia and pressure pumping as a lot of North America companies try to move some assets.
Is there any effect on your business in some of your product lines in the international markets that are going to impact your incremental margins or pricing ability?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No, Actually it's quite... I mean I can't comment on the stimulation and pressure pumping in Western Siberia because it's not in our business.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Yes, probably that's right.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
What I will say is that I think that we are more constructive on the outlook for Russia than we have ever been. We've always been cautious about that market, and we remain cautious.
We are more constructive about it than we have ever been, that's one. And I am taking pricing into consideration.
Two, pricing in general in Eastern Hemisphere is strong. This is a view which is across all service lines, obviously there are differences by country, by market, by service line but it's strong Kurt, it's not...
it is not decelerating. In other words, the rate of increase is very encouraging, and not the case in North America, obviously but clearly the case in Eastern Hemisphere and you should expect this.
Forget the next two three years. For no other reason that when a market grows it needs to attract suppliers and the suppliers need to broaden their infrastructure, add people, train people, bring equipment etcetera, it's not easy.
This is not a context in which pricing ought to weaken, it's not natural.
Kurt Hallead - RBC Capital Markets
Great. Thanks, Bernard.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks.
Operator
: Your next question comes from the line of Jim Crandall with Lehman Brothers.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Good morning.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Jim,Good morning.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Bernard, what are the core competencies, you think the most critical core competencies that you would have that a) are allowing you to win this integrated management contract internationally? And secondly, what are the core competencies that you would bring to the table to have a customer choose you instead of perhaps the competitor?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Well I'll try to answer on the latter. On the former, I think in general, it's a combination of directional and not to deliver the point on infrastructure but adding the fact that you have larger bases that can either be easily expanded incrementally or just don't need to be expanded because they are larger enough and they are close to the field.
All those... all of these are the ingredients that makes a successful project management.
With respect to, why does a client choose us as opposed to our peers? I think there's a lot of interests on and around the market of for NOC clients in particular, in different degrees of project management.
It's not all the same. There's enough interest in it and I think there is a room for everyone to do well.
So I am not sure that we are crowding anyone out. I think that we are just doing what the clients are asking us to do.
Don't get a sense that it is a terribly competitive process, meaning there's enough work for everyone.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Okay. Second question I had Bernard is what would you consider to be the most significant technology developments for Weatherford in 2007?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Solidexpandables.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Okay.Can you summarize, what's going on now in that market in which...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Sorry I can't tell you that too much except to say that we are... we've been doing some live applications for solid expandables in a long time Jim.
So it's not like we haven't worked on it diligently, but in a long time. But the...
we're doing field, live well installations in solid expandables in a number of places around the world and they are very successful. And so, I think in terms of where it opens up, market wise in 2008, and so far it's very encouraging, that would be the single most important, there are others of course.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Okay. And the last question is in operational one, what gives you...
you seem to be extraordinarily confident that Canada will be above last year's level if not by Q1 '08 in Q4 '07. What is that specifically that gives you the confidence in that outlook?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think the... actually the oil and the heavy oil segments where our sense is that activity will be disproportionately strong.
The gas is... you are absolutely right, is that was implicit in your question, the gas is more uncertain as it depends really on the gas market in North America, in general.
However, the reservoirs whether the deep gas or the shallow gas, the reservoirs that are unattended show... will show a decline in productivity and in production rates.
It's not obtainable. We don't have a long-term viable solution without working the gas side.
So, I think the worst we could be is maybe off by a quarter or so, maybe two quarters. That's the worst we can could be and I don't think that's going to happen, I really don't.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Okay. And I guess one more quick question is that your U.S revenues seem to be quite good despite with some heavy rains in the Texas, Oklahoma area in June.
Any sense as to how much that impacted your business and comments on the U.S business in general being, pretty good relative to the activity that's going on out there?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
You're absolutely right. The June for the U.S is no good in simple terms.
It probably, not sure how much top line it cost us, it's hard to tell you. But I would say probably in the range of $20 million to $30 million in top line, I don't know that, that's just a guess.
But otherwise if you look at just April and May it was remarkable to see the Canadian numbers come in unpredictably being as a challenging as they were. It is remarkable to see just south of the border how well the United States is doing.
So U.S is doing well in a sort of a gradual incremental, building up on some few service lines type of business, with decent incrementals and so very predictable. And that's very encouraging notwithstanding the weather.
James Crandall - Lehman Brothers
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from of Robin Shoemaker with Bear Stearns.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Yes Bernard, just... actually following up one of Jim's questions was about young, or new early staged technologies.
And you mentioned solid expandables. I wonder if you could say where on your kind of emphasis list you have got drilling with casing.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Just right behind it.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Right behind it.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Yes.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
In a sense, drilling with casing underbalanced, solid expandables, they are all tied either for drilling house in mitigation which is a one field of application meaning drilling wells with less problems and wasn't drilling today are more prone to problems, drilling problems or putting all these technologies together for the purpose of handling the issue of reservoir productivity at the sand phase. They are all tied from an application standpoint.
So, yes DWC, drilling with casing is right behind solid expandables and stop to much a sort of a ranking with an allocation of capital, it's just a where we see the breakthroughs that are taking place or maybe in a couple of quarters if I am asked the same question I will mention DWC as being the number one.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Okay. And so that the...
that's still a principally two competitors, yourself and another competitor in that arena, and is the market share roughly have...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
It's meaningless, as it is still young, of course, we don't look at... we don't view the other company as the competitor.
We view them at a sense as a colleague in the development of something that could be terribly important for the industry. Actually at this stage you have to be...
I mean we hope that we continue to dedicate R&D efforts and support in developing their version of the technology. We really do.
We try to do it by ourselves, and so they are most welcome. I mean in five years of if DWC becomes something great industry importance there will be time to talk about competitors and market shares, not today.
Today we're really... in our mind maybe they view differently, we are colleagues.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Okay. Just one final question on Canada, was...
what you were implying is that, that probably the winter season coming up is the first sign of a rebound or will you say possibly sooner?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think you can just observe the numbers. I think Q3 in Canada appears to be descent.
I do not know if Q4 will be up year-on-year, it might as the spiking changed [ph], really depends on the gas side. The oil and heavy oil will be very robust I can tell you that.
And if Q4 is not up year-on-year, I am sort of getting reasonably sure that Q1 will be up year-on-year, but we shouldn't be obsessive about the up year-on-year, it's just a marker. The truth is that the prognosis to Canada is a constructive one.
It's a that, that market will do well. A lot of the factors that were hitting the Canadian markets are behind us.
And so I think what you have is degrees of recovery. That's sort of the choices, the choices that you have is either recovery which is healthy or recovery which is very strong, and sort of the deltas you have and so either one are fine.
Robin Shoemaker - Bear Stearns
Okay. All right.
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Geoff Kieburtz with Citigroup.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Thanks. Good morning.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good morning.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Couple of follow-up questions. We will stick with Canada for a moment.
In... with the reduction in revenue and to single digit is a total part, how much is heavy oil and oil related in your Canadian business now?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
It's a moving target Geoff, but I would think that 60% and moving up will be the percentage at this point. Or put it another way, I would expect in Q3 it could be 60% and up, maybe two thirds.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Right. And in their recovery that you foresee, is it going to be driven by expansion of that business or are you counting as well on the recovery in the gas related business?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think it's to the oil Geoff. I think that's the one that I feel very confident on and there's enough to sustain the accession we made on being constructive.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes, but I think the gas will be no disrespect the icing on the cake.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I mean there's a difference between as I said a market which is healthy and a market which is very strong and I think gas becomes the delta.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Got you, okay. And then on the project management contracts, it sounds from what you described earlier that these are all really well construction-related projects, is that correct?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
There are two types. You have the re-entry brownfield project and then you have the...
step out greenfield project, and they're really quite distinct. And I would say that although things are not penned and finished quite yet but I would say when we...
if it's the number of the five projects of management underway here from today proves out to be correct I would guess that three are brownfields and two are greenfields or step out, major step out.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay. And does that make a difference in terms of the profitability of these?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No not really.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Not really. I am just giving you...
I mean obviously brownfields you're growing inside vertical well bores and to infuse the multilateral etcetera, no, not really.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
You threw out a number of around $750 million. I assume that was a sort of approximate revenue scale with supply projects?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes that's absolutely correct. I would take it with a grain of salt because the numbers are moving.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
But in that I mean how much of that $750 million is going to be related to Weatherford content as opposed to...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Geoff,that's a 100%. That is, the final numbers may be different but there will be some passthrough there.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
That's just what comes back to us. The rest is really noise but you have a good question.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay. So we could see more than $750 million...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
That's correct but it would not necessarily imply that we've gotten more business because we want to ask, then how much of it is pass-through always important question.
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
Geoff,it's Andy. On the first two contracts there's no pass-through.
On the next several that we look at if there ends up being pass through we will keep you guys posted. So you can understand any kind of differentiation in margins.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
And there will be pass-through on the other.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay. And then just finally a broad question specific to Canada but be interested your response on a kind of a global scale as well.
Where do you feel like you are in terms of cost management? I mean you've had various projects underway at different times in regards to improving supply chain costs and so on.
Could you just give us a status report of where you feel you are right now?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I feel I am still in the first set what I have to do. The part of the problem in feeling that we're efficient in that sort of thing is that this is terribly difficult to do in a high growth environment in a sense where...
when you grow as much you are trying to grow it is antithesis of being efficient. And that's just the nature of the beast.
From the supply chain and manufacturing for procurement standpoint, as Andy was alluding to from a working capital management standpoint on all of them I think we feel we capped by two use. We have...
either we can tell you that we are... we think we have a lot of work to get done still and there is a big emphasis on it.
On the other side of the coin is I suppose you say we have upside and we do.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Biggest emphasis I think today is really on and around manufacturing, in shortening the delivery dates... lowering the cost structure, these sorts of things.
And that's actually well underway.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Do you see anything of a step change nature next sort of four, five quarters or is it just going to be a...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No, no. I would never mention anything.
We are just...
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
If you find that at some point the margins look a little bit better than you expected, there will be that some of it has to do with manufacturing improvements. But we would not make...
we will not make too much stuffs around it. But it is a big area of focus.
Geoff Kieburtz - Citigroup
Very good. Thanks very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Dan Pickering with Pickering Energy Partners.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Good morning, Bernard.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Dan.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Borets, you are a third owner there. Do you have options to buy the remainder?
Can you just talk to us about are you the controlling partner now? Just trying to understand how that's going to work.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No. We are not the controlling partner.
We do have a let's put it this way precise status of the balance, in terms of an acquirer. Doesn't mean we necessarily will acquire.
But we are not the controlling partner. We are very anxious to keep the existing controlling partner in operating control.
Why? Because they do an excellent job.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay. But there is nothing contractual in terms of the remaining two-thirds of the business.
You're a right of first refusal buyer but you are not obligated to purchase the remainder going forward?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
That's absolutely correct, Dan.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay, thank you. And then with respect to the acquisition, obviously Borets is the biggest one.
Can you give us a rough idea in terms of timing of impact that we will see in the income statement and...? Go ahead.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Andy why don't you have done?
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
Absolutely, Dan '07 as I said probably in the each of the final two quarters about $10 million revenue ran through with the top line in '07, de minimis EPS impact. In '08 you should expect $0.10 of EPS contribution.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Thanks,all right. And do you anticipate putting incremental capital into these acquisitions of a sort of standalone ready to go as is?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Ready to go as is, nothing meaningful.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay, all right. And then you had a pretty good revenue growth sequentially in your chemical stimulation segment.
I am just curious there I am assuming that that's your pumping business. Do we have any international pumping business yet or is everything we are seeing there domestic at this point?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
We do not have any on the pumping slide any international top line in the number, for chemicals. Do not minimize what the young chemicals people can do.
There is a technology that is proving to be very effective but maybe it's an offline discussion Dan for you.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
On the chemical side which may actually... may get your attention which is driving as much of not more of the growth than the pumping side.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
To answer your question. And that's chemical top line progression is actually international as much as domestic.
The pumping side is purely domestic and will remain that way probably through the balance of the year.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay, all right. Last question from me and I apologize if you have talked about it and if I missed it.
Bernard, do you have any cost reduction efforts, targeted specifically at Canada at this point or given the product going to terminate [ph]?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
No. We are...
I think... I mean, two things.
At the end of Q1, we had already allocated some equipment and a small number of people out in the Canadian market, and that was done. We did spend I think a large amount of money on the maintenance side in Q2, taking advantage of the fact equipment and tools was back in the yard and that is done.
At this point I think we have calibrated the size of the operation in Canada to what we think the business will be, plus or minus. So, I think we are pretty much done, so, actually quite efficient in Canada.
Dan Pickering - Pickering Energy Partners, Inc.
Okay. Thanks, Bernard.
Thank you, guys.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Pierre Connor with Capital One Southcoast.
Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
Good morning Andy and Bernard.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Pierre.
Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
Bernard, first my question is about management projects and your strategy... glad to see that you are up and running with a couple and plan to expand it.
But the strategy go forward absent the passive type costs, do you see these management projects as primarily margin accretive through product mix that you bring or are they revenue growth opportunities, primarily?
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think really both. It's just a way of doing business that the client welcomes.
It's not that we are particularly enamored with project management. We are being more pulled into it than we're pushing into it, pulled into it by our client who is short of management talent.
We are short of management talent too, but we have to somehow put it together for the client. So, if I could end up with the same volume of business and marginal business with our project management particularly happy, and not necessarily obsessive about it.
But if the number of brownfield, number will step-out, number of greenfields both oil and gas internationally, and the number of unconventionals also internationally, this is all international discussion. And in our case, Eastern Hemisphere, we don't really...
not really interested in project management in the West, in Latin America. The number of all these projects is such that you can visualize a mental cut short.
That gives you an idea of all the projects out there that ought to get done and are not getting down, not even being planned simply because of management and manpower shortage. The one way in which one can make this project happen for the client is by taking on more of a coordination, logistic efficiency type responsibility and we are doing it.
Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
Does your outlook for next year's international growth include a bit... obviously the projects you have expected to start, but further growth in project management Barnard or...
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I'd rather not say, because I think for some time the assessment that we grow 40% and 25... 40% Eastern Hemisphere and 25% Latin America was viewed as not reasonable.
Now it is viewed as reasonable, because we have done and it appears that it is likely we are going to do it. Should we do better than that?
I'd rather just do it, rather than have you sort of bake it and so forth.
Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
Right, no, the rates show in [ph].
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I'd rather leave that little bit in dotted line, just because I think the guidance is good enough as I said.
Pierre Connor - Capital One Southcoast
No, that's fair. Appreciate it very much guys.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks Pierre.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And your next question is a follow-up from the line of Will Herbert with Simmons & Company.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Thanks. Andy you may have covered this and if you did that, I did not catch it, but Borets' equity income line accounting, what can we expect from a...
I mean what is that yield at the equity income line in the second half of this year?
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
In the second half of this year, not meaningful several pennies perhaps.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay. And you talked about $0.10 in '08, did that include Borets or?
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
Yes, that's all seven.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
All right.
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
You're going to see $0.03 or $0.04 running through normal ops, you'll probably see $0.06 or $0.07.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
Okay.
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
And I am trying to be conservative on those numbers, so you don't runaway with things and get crazy.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
All right, so $0.10 at least in '08 and perhaps something in second half '07.
Andrew P. Becnel - Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President
Correct.
William Herbert - Simmons & Company
All right, thank you.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
I think probably if there is one last question as we run our full hour, if there's last one question we will be happy to take it. If there isn't that will be end of the call.
Operator
Well there are no current questions in the queue.
Bernard J. Duroc-Danner - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Then I thank you very much to the audience and we will close the call here. Thank you.
Operator
This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect and have a great day.